Tag: Phillies Red Sox odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (46-21) and Boston Red Sox (34-34) wrap up a 3-game interleague series at Fenway Park Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Phillies fired out to a 4-0 lead after 3 innings against old friend RHP Nick Pivetta in Wednesday’s game. However, LHP Cristopher Sanchez and the middle relievers couldn’t hold the lead, allowing 8 runs from innings 4 through 6, falling behind 8-4. The Phils tacked on 2 runs late, but still lost 8-6 as the Over (8) easily cashed.

Philadelphia still has a 10-3 record in interleague play, and it hasn’t lost a series against an American League team this season. Boston has managed a 13-11 record against the National League.

The Red Sox have dropped 3 of the past 5 games at Fenway Park, and Boston is just 15-19 at home this season.

The Over result for the Phillies Wednesday snapped a 10-0-1 run to the Under. The total has gone high in 8 of the past 11 outings for the Red Sox.

Phillies at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Nola (8-2, 2.77 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 84 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 2-0 home victory vs. Milwaukee Brewers June 5
  • 2024 road splits: 4-0, 1.82 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.89 WHIP, .174 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 3 HR, 10 BB, 30 K in 5 starts

Houck (6-5, 1.91 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 85 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 0 BB, 9 K in 14-2 road victory vs. Chicago White Sox June 6
  • 2024 home splits: 2-3, 2.31 ERA (47 IP, 11 ER), 1.00 WHIP, .220 OBA, 1 HR, 7 BB, 44 K in 7 starts

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Phillies at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -118 (bet $118 to win $100) | Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+136) | Red Sox +1.5 (-164)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Phillies at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 3, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

The PHILLIES (-118) are worth a look in this interleague series finale, but expect to have a tight game throughout.

Nola and Houck should exchange plenty of donuts in this game, with runs at a premium in this battle between 2 potential All-Stars.

It won’t be easy for Philadelphia, though, as Boston has won 4 straight starts with Houck on the hill. Of course, Philly has won 5 in a row with Nola on the bump while going 11-1 in his past 12 outings.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re feeling a pitchers’ duel and like the home side, but you’d like some insurance, the RED SOX +1.5 (-164) aren’t ridiculously priced.

Houck has managed a sub-2.00 ERA at home this season, so the Phillies -1.5 (+136) could have trouble putting up runs on the manual scoreboard in the Green Monster.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the best play on the board in this matchup between Nola and Houck.

The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 6 starts for Nola, and one of those Over results was a game in the rarefied air at Coors Field in Denver May 25, which saw his team back Nola with 8 runs of support.

The Under is 8-2-1 in Houck’s past 11 starts while going 5-1-1 in his 7 home outings. The total has gone low at a 2-0-1 clip in his 3 starts against NL teams, too.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (46-20) and Boston Red Sox (33-34) play the middle contest of a 3-game interleague series at Fenway Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 1-0

The Phillies and Red Sox played to a 1-1 tie after the 1st inning Tuesday before Philadelphia picked up 2 in the top of the 4th, and 1 in the top of the 5th, to win it 4-1 behind RHP Zack Wheeler. The latter allowed just 1 ER, 3 hits and 1 walk with 4 K’s across 7 IP, while the bullpen tossed 2 scoreless frames. DH Kyle Schwarber swatted 2 solo HR to back the starter.

Philadelphia has won 5 of the past 6 outings, and 8 of the previous 10 contests, while cashing the Under in 7 in a row and a 10-0-1 clip in the past 11 outings.

Boston has scored 2 or fewer runs in 3 of the past 4 games while going 1-3 in the past 4 outings. The Red Sox pitching has had a tough time lately, allowing 4 or more runs in 4 straight outings. The Over has a 3-2 edge in the past 5 games while going 9-4-1 in the past 14 contests.

Phillies at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Cristopher Sanchez vs. RHP Nick Pivetta

Sanchez (3-3, 2.71 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 66 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 2-1 home win in 10 innings vs. Milwaukee Brewers June 4
  • 2024 road splits: 1-2, 3.68 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.64 WHIP, .285 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1 HR, 13 BB, 19 K in 6 starts

Pivetta (3-4, 3.40 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 42 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 9-0 home victory vs. Atlanta Braves June 5
  • 2024 home splits: 1-2, 3.80 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.03 WHIP, .192 OBA, 3 HR, 7 BB, 29 K in 4 starts

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Phillies at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Red Sox +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+128) | Red Sox +1.5 (-154)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Phillies at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

The RED SOX (+108) are a decent value as short ‘dogs at home in this middle contest.

Boston turns to Pivetta, who was extremely sharp last time out, allowing just a single hit and 2 walks across 7 scoreless IP in a win. He’ll also pitch with a little extra incentive, as he faces his original major league team. He made 71 starts with 92 appearances across parts of 4 seasons with Philadelphia from 2017-20.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re less confident and would like a little bit of insurance, RED SOX +1.5 (-154) isn’t priced out of line.

The Phillies -1.5 (+128) are an outstanding team, and they’re playing very well lately. However, Pivetta has a slight edge over Sanchez in the starting pitching battle. There is risk with Boston winning outright, though, as it is just 6-12 in 18 tries against a left-handed starting pitcher.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-114) is a solid play in the middle game of this interleague series.

The total has gone low in 2 of the past 3 games for the BoSox, including Tuesday’s series opener which saw just 5 combined runs with a total of 8.

The Phillies have been an Under machine, cashing low in 7 in a row while going 10-0-1 in the past 11 outings dating back to May 28. The Under has cashed in 3 straight starts with Sanchez on the bump, too, while the Under is also 3-0 in Pivetta’s past 3 starts and 7-1 in 8 starts overall this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (45-20) and Boston Red Sox (33-33) open a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Boston won 2-1 last season

Philadelphia lost 6-5 to the New York Mets Sunday as a -142 home favorite. The Phillies allowed the Mets to score 3 runs in the 9th to blow a 4-3 lead.  Sunday’s loss ended a 4-game winning streak for Philly.

After back-to-back losses in Chicago, Boston picked up a 6-4 win in 10 innings over the White Sox Sunday while covering as a -147 road favorite. The Red Sox scored 3 runs in the 9th and 10th innings to come back from down 4-3.

Phillies at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Wheeler (7-3, 2.23 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 80 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 3-1 win over Milwaukee on June 3
  • Career vs. Boston: 1-1, 3.55 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 10 H, 1 BB, 17 K in 2 starts

Crawford (2-5, 3.51 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 74 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in an 8-3 loss vs. Atlanta Tuesday
  • First career start vs. Philadelphia

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Phillies at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:46 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -164 (bet $164 to win $100) | Red Sox +138 (bet $100 to win $138)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+105) | Red Sox +1.5 (-126)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Red Sox 1

Moneyline

PASS.

Avoid paying the juice and take the Phillies on the plus-money run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHLLIES -1.5 (+105).

Philadelphia is 4-1 in its last 5 games and is 7-3 in its last 10 while the Red Sox are only 5-5 in their last 10. Philly has also won the last 2 matchups vs. the Red Sox in Boston.

Also, 11 of the Phillies past 12 wins have been by multiple runs.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8 (-105).

The Under has hit in 6 consecutive games for Philadelphia and is 9-0-1 in its last 10 overall. For Boston, the Under hit in its last home game and in its last loss. The Under is also 2-1-1 in the last 4 Philly-Boston matchups, hitting in the last meeting between these squads in Boston.

But be aware the Over is 7-3 in Boston’s last 10 games.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (43-44) and Boston Red Sox (55-35) close out MLB’s lone interleague series this weekend with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Fenway Park Sunday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Aaron Nola is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 6-5 with a 4.53 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 through 101 1/3 IP spanning 18 starts.

Nola has scuffled of late and owns a 6.10 ERA over his last 31 IP. Current Boston batters own an aggregate .771 OPS against the veteran right-hander.

RHP Nick Pivetta is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. Pivetta is 7-3 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9 over 92 1/3 IP across 17 starts.

Pivetta has a string of feast-or-famine starts heading into Sunday’s home turn. A couple of recent clunkers have come at Fenway Park, where he has notched a 5.32 ERA this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Phillies at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Red Sox +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Phillies 6, Red Sox 5

Money line (ML)

Philadelphia clocked an 11-2 win Saturday.

Looking at run differential and some underlying indicators, peg Boston’s winning percentage as being somewhat lofty with a 17-9 record in 1-run games being a big boon for the Red Sox.

With a batter’s breeze in the forecast for Sunday’s game, beware the prospects of Pivetta, who yields more fly balls than Nola and who has been barreled up more frequently of late.

Nola has pitched around a .331 batting average on balls in play and figures to be a decent play in upcoming weeks. Behind him and some indicators of better days ahead for a Phillies relief unit bedeviled by some bad luck around the margins, BACK THE PHILLIES (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

AVOID the extra juice in this run line equation.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total is a respectable one. It’s perhaps worth shading just a tad on the OVER 9.5 (-110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (42-44) and Boston Red Sox (55-34) continue MLB’s lone interleague series this weekend with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Fenway Park on Saturday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Matt Moore is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. Moore is 0-1 with a 5.60 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 7.6 K/9, and 4.6 BB/9 in 27 1/3 IP through five starts and six relief appearances.

Saturday will mark the veteran’s third straight start since rejoining the Phillies rotation on June 25. Moore has averaged roughly 4 IP per start this season, so figure on plenty of work for a second-tier Philadelphia bullpen.

LHP Martin Perez is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 7-4 with a 3.89 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 7.2 K/9, and 3.0 BB/9 in 81 IP over 17 starts.

Perez has seemingly rebounded from getting roughed up over two straight turns in mid-June. After giving up a combined 11 ER in games on June 8 and June 13 he has posted a 1.86 ERA in 19 1/3 IP across his last four games.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Phillies at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:43 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Red Sox -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-130) | Red Sox -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 11 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Phillies 5, Red Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The Sox are looking to extend a nine-game home win streak but this game is ripe for some value on the visiting underdog.

Looking at runs vs. runs allowed and some underlying indicators, peg Boston’s .618 winning percentage as being somewhat unearned. (a 17-9 mark in 1-run games has been a big boon for the Crimson Hose).

Philadelphia is at its best against lefty pitching, and current Phillies bats own an aggregate .741 OPS against Perez.

On a fade of Perez and the Boston pen, and on some prognostication of better days ahead for a Phillies relief unit bedeviled by some bad luck around the margins, BACK THE PHILLIES (+140).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

With the high total and pitching gray area, PASS on Philadelphia’s run line play.

Over/Under (O/U)

This is a big number and on a 68-degree day with an inward breeze, look to leverage the UNDER 11 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (42-43) and Boston Red Sox (54-34) open a three-game interleague series Friday with a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Vince Velasquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 3-3 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 9.6 K/9, and 4.6 BB/9 in 70 IP over 13 starts and four relief appearances.

Velasquez has registered a 6.21 ERA over his last seven starts. He’s posted a 5.16 ERA on the road since 2019.

RHP Garrett Richards is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. Richards is 4-5 with a 4.88 ERA, 1.69 WHIP, 7.2 K/9, and 4.4 BB/9 in 86 2/3 IP over 17 starts.

The righty owns a 6.61 ERA over his last seven starts and has logged a 6.75 ERA at Fenway this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Phillies at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-160) | Red Sox -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 11 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Phillies 5, Red Sox 4

Money line (ML)

Philadelphia has struggled on the road with an 18-27 record through 45 games. However, the Phillies are coming off taking 3-of-4 at Wrigley Field and are 5-2 over their last seven games overall.

Boston is returning to Fenway after a 3-3 California trip. The Sox are looking to extend their home win streak as they have won eight in a row in the shadow of the Green Monster.

Looking at runs vs. runs allowed and some underlying indicators, peg Boston’s .614 winning percentage as being somewhat unearned. There is a significant bullpen gap in production vs. expected production on both sides. Those gaps swing against Boston and toward Philly.

BACK THE PHILLIES (+110).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

With the high total and pitching gray area PASS on Philadelphia’s run line play.

Over/Under (O/U)

This is a big number, and there is a bit of room to leverage in shading the Under. However, on a humid, wind-out evening in Boston, consider just a partial-unit play on the UNDER 11 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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