The Philadelphia Phillies (70-66) and Milwaukee Brewers (84-54) play the opener of a three-game series Monday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Phillies RHP Zack Wheeler (11-9, 3.01 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 through 182 2/3 IP.
- Allowed 4 earned runs on 5 hits and 4 walks in 6 innings in a win Aug. 30 at the Washington Nationals.
- Has given up 4 or more earned runs in four consecutive starts and 3 or more earned runs in eight of his previous 10 outings.
Brewers RHP Brandon Woodruff (9-7, 2.35 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 through 157 1/3 IP.
- Allowed just 1 run on 5 hits and 3 walks with 8 strikeouts across 6 innings in a win at the San Francisco Giants Tuesday. Has won each of his last two starts.
- Posted a 2-1 record and 2.77 ERA with 33 strikeouts across 26 IP in five August starts.
Phillies at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:52 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Phillies +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Brewers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)
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Prediction
Brewers 4, Phillies 2
Money line (ML)
The BREWERS (-145) are the play with Woodruff on the hill as he looks for his third consecutive victory. While he has been impressive this season, he is especially great at home. Woodruff has a 4-1 record with a 2.08 ERA in 12 starts at Am-Fam Field.
While he lost May 6 in Philadelphia in his only appearance against the Phillies, he was sharp with 1 run and 2 hits allowed with 11 strikeouts over 6 2/3 IP. Back Woodruff and the Brew Crew.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
BREWERS -1.5 (+155) is a strong play on the run line. The Brewers have won by 2 or more runs in 11 of their 12 victories since Aug. 17. They’re humming along right now, so if you like them to win straight up you should like them on the run line too.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the UNDER 7.5 (-135) as Wheeler and Woodruff should be locked in a pitcher’s duel.
While the Over is 4-1 in the last five starts by Woodruff, it is mostly due to an overwhelming amount of run support or relief pitching issues.
The Under is 10-3-1 in the last 14 games for the Phillies against teams with a winning record and 6-2-1 in their last nine as an underdog.
The Under is 8-3-1 in Milwaukee’s last 12 games and 10-4-2 in its last 16 at home against teams with a winning mark.
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