Tag: Phillies Angels odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Los Angeles Angels (11-19) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (20-11) to Angel Stadium Wednesday for the final game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Angels started the season 6-4 but have fallen off a cliff, losing to the Phillies 7-5 Tuesday, their 5th loss in 6 games. Los Angeles is 2-10 over its last 12 games. It is 4-10 at home, the 2nd-worst home win rate in MLB.

The Phillies lost 6-5 in the opening game of the series but bounced back Tuesday. They are surging, having swept the San Diego Padres in the series prior and winning 5 of their last 6 games. Philadelphia is 10-5 on the road, the 5th-best win rate in the majors.

Phillies at Angels projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP Patrick Sandoval

Wheeler (2-3, 1.93 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 37 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 8 K in 5-0 win at Cincinnati Reds Thursday
• Phillies are 2-4 in his 6 starts
• 2024 road splits: 1-1, 2.08 ERA, 13 IP, 3 R, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 5 BB, 13 K in 2 starts

Sandoval (1-4, 6.33 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.78 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 27 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-3 loss vs. Minnesota Twins Friday
• Angels are 2-4 in his 6 starts
• 2024 home splits: 0-2, 5.06 ERA, 10 2/3 IP, 8 R, 6 ER, 14 H, 1 HR, 3 BB, 10 K in 2 starts

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Phillies at Angels odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Phillies -188 (bet $188 to win $100) | Angels +158 (bet $100 to win $158)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-115) | Angels +1.5 (-104)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Phillies at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Angels 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Phillies (-188) are rightful favorites with Wheeler on the mound, but they aren’t worth backing at a steep -188. Similarly, the Angels haven’t played well at home and aren’t worth any size of unit as home underdogs.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

The Phillies are 6-5 on the run line as road favorites this season. They covered Tuesday, winning 7-5 and closing as -168 moneyline favorites. Philadelphia has covered in 5 of its last 6 games.

The Angels are 4-10 ATS at home and 4-5 ATS as home underdogs. The Angels are 2-4 ATS in Sandoval’s 6 starts and are 0-2 ATS in his 2 home starts. Considering those trends, back PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8 (-108).

The Angels are 17-13 O/U on the season and have gone Over in 4 straight games, scoring at least 5 runs in each. They have allowed at least 5 runs in 4 straight games, giving up 10 or more in 2 of those.

With Sandoval on the mound, the total is 5-1 O/U. As for the Phillies, they are 14-16-1 O/U on the season but are 3-0 O/U in their last 3 games and 4-1 O/U in their last 5.

Take OVER 8 (-108).

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The Philadelphia Phillies (19-11) and Los Angeles Angels (11-18) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at Angel Stadium Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Angels lead 1-0

The Phillies snapped a 4-game winning streak with a 6-5 loss as -143 road favorites in the series opener Monday as the Over (9) hit. Phillies 3B Alec Bohm had 3 RBIs and extended his hitting streak to 13 games.

The Angels snapped a 4-game skid and cashed as +131 underdogs in Monday’s win. SS Ehire Adrianza and CF Mike Trout gave L.A., which trailed by 3 early, the lead in the 7th inning when they scored on a wild pitch and throwing error.

Phillies at Angels projected starters

RHP Spencer Turnbull vs. LHP Tyler Anderson

Turnbull (2-0, 1.33 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.85 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 27 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 7-4 loss at Cincinnati Reds Wednesday
• 2024 road stats: 0-0, 0.82 ERA (11 IP, 1 ER), 0.82 WHIP in 2 starts
• Has never faced Angels before

Anderson (2-3, 1.78 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 30 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 7 K in 6-5 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
• 2024 home stats: 1-1, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 1.08 WHIP in 2 starts
• 2023 vs. Phillies: 0-1, 10.80 ERA (5 IP, 6 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 12-7 road loss Aug. 29
• Career vs. Phillies: 2-2, 5.56 ERA (34 IP, 21 ER), 1.38 WHIP in 6 starts

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Phillies at Angels odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Phillies -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Angels +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+120) | Angels +1.5 (-145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Phillies at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Angels 4

Moneyline

The Phillies (-140) should bounce back after choking away a 3-run lead in the series opener, but I recommend taking them on the run line at plus-money.

PASS. Bet the RL and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Anderson hasn’t been great against Philadelphia in his career (5.56 ERA), and he especially struggled against it last season, allowing 6 earned runs in a blowout loss at Citizens Bank Park. He has looked better this season, allowing 3 runs or fewer in each start, but it’s unlikely that he’ll be able to maintain that level of production.

Philadelphia is averaging the 6th-most runs (4.67) in MLB over the last 3 games and should have no trouble scoring against Anderson. Turnbull has allowed just 4 earned runs all season, and the Phillies have outscored opponents by an average of 2.4 runs per game in his starts.

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under

The Over has hit in 5 of L.A.’s last 6 games and is 6-3-1 in Philadelphia’s last 10. However, 9 is a key number in MLB totals, and I would prefer to play this at 8.5 or lower.

LEAN OVER 9 (+100).

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The Philadelphia Phillies (19-10) and Los Angeles Angels (10-18) begin a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Angel Stadium is slated for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Phillies won 2 of 3 in 2023

The Phillies just completed a 3-game sweep of the Padres in San Diego over the weekend. Philadelphia took Sunday’s finale 8-6 as a +128 underdog. 2B Bryson Stott hit 2 home runs, 3B Alec Bohm raised his batting average to .365 (3rd best in the NL) behind a 3-for-5 performance and LHP Jose Alvarado picked up his 5th save, striking out 2 in a perfect 9th inning. This is the last stop of a 10-game, 3-city road swing for the Phillies, who are 5-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) on the trip, which started with a 2-2 split at the Cincinnati Reds.

Los Angeles is 1-5 on a current homestand after getting swept by the Minnesota Twins over the weekend. The Angels lost 11-5 as slight -103 underdogs Sunday, dropping a 4th straight game. LHP Reid Detmers was beat up for 5 earned runs on 9 hits in 5 innings, dropping his record to 3-2. RHP Luis Garcia didn’t help the cause by yielding 4 runs in the 7th inning — the Twins finished with 17 hits. 2B Luis Rengifo and 1B Nolan Schanuel homered for the Angels in the loss. They have been outscored 46-27 thus far on this homestand.

Phillies at Angels projected starters

LHP Cristopher Sanchez vs. RHP Griffin Canning

Sanchez (1-3, 2.96 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 24 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 1 ER (5 R), 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-1 defeat at Cincinnati Tuesday
• Career vs Angels: 0-0, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER) in 2 games (1 starts)

Canning (1-3, 7.50 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 24 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 7-4 home victory vs. the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
• 2024 home stats: 1-0, 6.52 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.55 WHIP in 2 starts
• Never faced Phillies before

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Phillies at Angels odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:08 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Phillies -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Angels +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Phillies -1.5 (+110) | Angels +1.5 (-135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7, Angels 4

Moneyline.

PASS.

I like the Phillies (-145) to keep things rolling as they head to the City of Angels, but I’m not going to bet nearly 1½ units to win 1. I’ll take the plus odds om the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).

These are 2 teams going in different directions at the moment. Philadelphia is riding high, and I have no doubt that it will keep things rolling into Los Angeles. The Phillies are 11-2 in their last 13 games with 9 of the victories being by 2 runs or more, including 8 in a row.

The Phillies have been crushing left-handed pitching, batting .273 to rank 6th in the majors so far this season. Oh, and did I mention that Philadelphia’s road ERA ranks 4th at 2.76.

The Angels have lost 10 of its last 12 games. Seven of the losses were by 2 or more runs. They are just 3-9 at home on the season.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-105).

The last 6 head-to-head meetings — dating back to the 2022 season — cashed Over tickets.

The Phillies are 3-2-1 against the Over in their last 6, while the Angels have been Over in 4 of its last 5.

Los Angeles has the worst home ERA at 6.17 and 3rd worst overall ERA at 5.01.

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