Tag: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays odds predictions pick betting line spread

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (82-56) and Toronto Blue Jays (67-73) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 2-game series. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 3:07 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 2-1

Philadelphia beat Toronto 10-9 Tuesday while covering as a +101 road underdog. The Phillies trailed 6-1 at the end of the 1st before scoring 9 runs in the remainder of the game to complete the comeback.

Reliever Chad Green (2/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 K) took the loss. The Blue Jays have lost back-to-back games while the Phillies have won 3 straight.

Phillies at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Christopher Sanchez vs. RHP Bowden Francis

Sanchez (9-9, 3.49 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 152 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 5-4 win over Atlanta Braves Thursday
  • Career vs. Toronto: 1-0, 1.29 ERA (7 IP, 1 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 1 start

Francis (8-3, 3.66 ERA) makes his 10th start and 24th appearance. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 78 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 2-0 win at Boston Red Sox Thursday
  • Career vs. Philadelphia: 0-0, 9.00 ERA (1 IP, 1 ER), 1 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 1 relief appearance

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Blue Jays +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+135) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Blue Jays 5

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (-125). 

Philadelphia is the slightly hotter team, having won 3 in a row and 5 of its last 7 at home, while the Blue Jays have dropped 2 straight games and are only 2-4 in their last 6 on the road.

The Phillies are also 6-2 in their last 8 overall matchups vs. the Blue Jays, being 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in Toronto.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Blue Jays to cover here as +1.5 (-165) underdogs, but this line is set slightly too favorably toward Toronto to risk betting on, so bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8 (-115).

For Toronto, the Over is 74-63-3 on the year while also being 33-30-2 for the Phillies in away games. The Over has also hit in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these squads while also hitting in 3 of the last 4 meetings in Toronto.

This is a very slight lean as the Over and Under have been extremely even in each team’s last 10 games as well as in the last 10 Philly-Toronto matchups.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (81-56) and Toronto Blue Jays (67-72) open a 2-game set Tuesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Phillies have won back-to-back games after taking down the Atlanta Braves 3-2 in 11 innings Sunday as -125 home favorites. RF Nick Castellanos was the hero with 3 RBIs, including a walk-off single, while RP Carlos Estevez (2 IP, 0 H, 0 BB, 2 K) picked up the win.

Toronto fell 4-3 against the Minnesota Twins Sunday as a +234 road underdog. RP Chad Green blew the save, allowing 3 ER on 3 hits and no walks with 1 K in the 8th inning.

Phillies at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Tyler Phillips vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Phillips (4-1, 5.50 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 36 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 9-5 home win against Miami Marlins Wednesday
  • Has never faced Toronto

Bassitt (9-13, 4.27 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 151 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-0 setback at Boston Red Sox Wednesday
  • Career vs. Phillies: 4-0, 1.86 ERA (29 IP, 6 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 5 starts, including 1-0 with 2.84 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start this year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Blue Jays -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+155) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (-110).

Philadelphia is 7-3 in its last 10 games, including 3-1 in its last 4 overall and 2-0 in its last 2 on the road. It has scored 11 runs in each of its last 2 road games and held opponents to 4 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 9 overall. Toronto is 2-4 in its last 6 and has scored 3 runs or fewer in 5 of its last 6.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Phillies’ moneyline.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

The Phillies have scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5 games while holding opponents to 4 or fewer in 7 of their last 9. They have also failed to hit the Over in 5 of their last 7.

Toronto has hit the Under in 5 of its last 6. It has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 6 games and allowed 4 or fewer in each of its last 5.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (65-55) and Toronto Blue Jays (67-54) wrap up a 2-game set Wednesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-1

The Phillies lost 2-1 as -110 favorites in the series opener Tuesday. Philadelphia has lost 3 in a row but is still in 1st place in the NL Wild Card standings.

Blue Jays 2B Cavan Biggio was hit by a pitch with the bases loaded in the 8th inning, which gave the Blue Jays a 2-1 lead. Toronto remains in the final AL Wild Card spot, with a 2-game buffer on the Seattle Mariners.

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Phillies at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Nola (9-8, 4.49 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 148 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-2 home victory vs. Washington Nationals Thursday
  • 2023 road stats: 5-5, 5.15 ERA (85 2/3 IP, 49 ER) in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 1-2, 4.94 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 15 ER) over 5 starts
  • 2023 vs. Blue Jays: 1-0, 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1 start, an 8-4 home victory May 9

Gausman (9-6, 3.04 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 139 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 1-0 victory at Cleveland Guardians last Wednesday
  • 2023 home stats: 3-2, 2.71 ERA (69 2/3 IP, 21 ER) in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-3, 3.70 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 17 ER) over 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • 2023 vs. Phillies: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (6 IP), 3 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 1 start, a 2-1 road loss in 10 innings May 10

Phillies at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Blue Jays -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-165) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 3, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

The Phillies should bounce back after losing 3 straight, especially after such a close game Tuesday.

While Gausman has been the Blue Jays’ best starting pitcher this season, Toronto is just 2-5 in his last 7 starts. Both offenses struggled in the series opener, and Philadelphia is being undervalued in this spot.

BET PHILLIES (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

Philadelphia +1.5 (-165) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Phillies should win straight up.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

Gausman has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 8 of his last 9 starts, and the Under is 29-18-3 (61.7%) this season when the Blue Jays are home favorites, according to Teamrankings.com.

Both offenses struggled Tuesday, and we should see more of the same in the series finale.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (65-54) and Toronto Blue Jays (66-54) open a 2-game set Tuesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-0

The Phillies lost 3-0 as -114 home favorites vs. the Minnesota Twins Sunday. Phillies 1B Alec Bohm was ejected for spiking his bat on a borderline called strike 3, which would’ve loaded the bases for DH Bryce Harper had it been ruled ball 4. Philadelphia has won 6 of its last 10 games and remains in 1st place in the NL Wild Card standings.

The Blue Jays won 11-4 as -112 home favorites vs. the Chicago Cubs Sunday. LF Daulton Varsho hit a 3-run HR in the 2nd inning and finished with 5 RBIs as Toronto avoided a 3-game sweep. The Blue Jays are still in the final AL Wild Card spot with a  2 game buffer on the Seattle Mariners.

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Phillies at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Wheeler (9-5, 3.74 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 137 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 8-4 home victory vs. Washington Nationals last Tuesday
  • 2023 road stats: 6-3, 3.44 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 27 ER) in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-2, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER) over 5 starts
  • 2023 vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 1.29 ERA (7 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 2-1 home victory in 10 innings May 10

Kikuchi (9-4, 3.53 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 122 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1-0 loss at Cleveland Guardians last Tuesday
  • 2023 home stats: 5-2, 3.44 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 20 ER) in 10 starts
  • Never faced Phillies before

Phillies at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+145) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Phillies 2

Moneyline

The Blue Jays are 5-2 this season as home underdogs and are coming off an impressive win vs. the Cubs.

The Phillies are just 26-27 after a loss this year, and Wheeler has allowed 3 or more earned runs in 5 of his last 8 starts.

BET BLUE JAYS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

Toronto +1.5 (-175) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Blue Jays should win straight up.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

The Under has gone 7-3 in the Blue Jays’ last 10 games and is 4-2-1 this season when Toronto is a home underdog. Kikuchi has allowed fewer than 2 earned runs in 5 straight starts and should have no trouble vs. the Phillies, who are 19th in MLB with just 4.43 runs per road game this season.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (46-42) and Toronto Blue Jays (46-42) meet Wednesday at 7:07 p.m. ET to play the back half of a 2-game interleague set at Rogers Center. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Toronto leads 1-0.

Philadelphia hurlers had compiled a tidy 1.80 ERA in 4 games prior to falling 6-1 at the St. Louis Cardinals Monday. The Phillies lost Tuesday’s opener 4-3 as the Blue Jays collected 14 hits in the game.

Toronto perhaps benefited from an off day Monday. The Blue Jays were reeling, having lost 4 games in a row and 9 of their previous 10 contests. Toronto was outscored 56-27 in those 10 games.

Phillies at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Ross Stripling

Wheeler (8-4, 2.46 ERA) has clocked a 1.05 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 95 IP over 16 starts.

  • Coming off back-to-back 7 scoreless inning affairs against the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Owns a 1.56 ERA since May 18.
  • Owns a 2.73 ERA and 1.05 WHIP across the last three years (2020-22).

Stripling (4-3, 3.34 ERA) has registered a 1.16 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 67 1/3 IP. He’s made 12 starts and appeared in 8 games as a reliever.

  • Dominates lefty bats (.531 OPS allowed in 2022, .661 allowed career) which is a key against a Philadelphia club that came into the week with left-handed hitters owning a robust .759 OPS against right-handed hurlers.
  • His season ERA marks his best since 2018.

Phillies at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:06 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Phillies -1.5 (+155) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Phillies at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Phillies 4

Money line

The Jays batted just .176 with runners in scoring position over their losing skid (and that’s with a .200 average on balls in play) — an offensive turnaround is coming.

Philadelphia has batted just .220/.241/.323 (.564 OPS) on its current road trip. The Phillies own a .565 OPS over their last 13 road games.

TAKE TORONTO (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread

AVOID THE MESSY JUICE: PASS.

Over/Under

Both starters look to be a bit too far over their skis with their surface ERAs. Philly has some play in its defensive numbers and fade in its offensive numbers.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-130).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (46-41) and Toronto Blue Jays (45-42) meet Tuesday at 7:07 p.m. ET to play the front half of a 2-game interleague set at Rogers Center. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting. Toronto took 2 of 3 from Philadelphia in 2021.

Philadelphia hurlers had compiled a tidy 1.80 ERA in 4 games prior to falling 6-1 at St. Louis Monday. The Phillies enter Tuesday’s contest without the benefit of something their hosts have under their belt: A Monday off day.

Toronto perhaps needed that day for multiple reasons. The Blue Jays are reeling, having lost 4 in a row and 9 of their last 10. Toronto has been outscored 56-27 in those 10 games.

Phillies at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Andrew Bellatti vs. RHP Jose Berrios

Bellatti (1-3, 3.14 ERA) is scheduled for 1st career start after 52 career relief appearances. In 28 2/3 IP this season, he’s logged a 1.22 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 3.4 K/9.

  • Will likely serve as an opener for this game, yielding to a bulk pitcher after perhaps an inning-plus.
  • Owns a career ERA of 3.42.
  • Threw 26 pitches in an inning of work Sunday. The 26 tosses marked a season high.

Berrios (6-4, 5.44 ERA) is tabbed for his 18th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 89 1/3 IP.

  • Has lost a bit of zip on his fastball, and his strikeout percentage (18.7%) is the lowest it has been since his 2017 rookie season.
  • Has struggled mightily on the road (7.15 ERA, 1.55 WHIP).

Phillies at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:47 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Blue Jays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Phillies +1.5 (-130) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -104 | U: -120)

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Phillies at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Phillies 3

Money line

The bullpen game does not play into any expected stats-versus-surface stats leverage for Philadelphia. Toronto is a lean at -180, but that price doesn’t figure to be in the offing at any point throughout the day.

AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread

TORONTO -1.5 (+105) is a solid play with a decent price.

Berrios has been much more capable in his home yard. Over their losing skid, the Jays have batted just .176 with runners in scoring position (and that’s with a .200 average on balls in play). An offensive turnaround is coming.

Over/Under

Both clubs bring in a mix a play-this-fade-that on both sides of the ball. STEER CLEAR.

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