Tag: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Philadelphia Phillies (65-44) and Seattle Mariners (58-53) meet for the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Seattle leads 1-0

Seattle overwhelmed Philadelphia 10-2 Friday while covering as a -109 home favorite. The Mariners scored a whopping 7 runs in the 2nd thanks to a 3-run shot from CF Luke Raley and a grand slam from DH Justin Turner. RHP Bryan Woo got the win, pitching 7 scoreless innings while allowing 5 H and racking up 6 K.

Friday’s loss marked the 5th straight for Philly while Seattle is 2-1 in its last 3 overall. RHP Tyler Phillips took the loss, allowing 8 ER, 5 H, and 3 BB in only 1 2/3 IP.

Phillies at Mariners projected starters

RHP Orion Kerkering vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Kerkering (2-2, 2.21 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 42nd appearance. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 40 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 0 K July 14 against Oakland Athletics
• Has never faced Seattle
• Home/road splits: Road – 2-0, 2.61 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 10.5 K/9; Home – 0-2, 1.80 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 9.5 K/9

Miller (8-7, 3.46 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 122 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 6-3 win at the White Sox Sunday
• First career start vs. Philadelphia

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Phillies +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mariners -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Mariners -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Phillies at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Mariners 5

Moneyline

LEAN PHILLIES (+100). 

Philadelphia is 4-2 in its last 6 meetings with the Mariners in Seattle. The Phillies are also the slightly better team and are a very solid 26-23 on the road this season.

This is a lean because the Mariners are the hotter team as Philly is only 2-8 in its last 10 and has dropped 5 straight while Seattle is 5-2 in its last 7 overall.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

The line is set too favorably to be worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-120). 

The Over has hit in each of Philadelphia’s last 4 games and is 6-4 in its last 10.

For Seattle, the Over is 6-1 in its last 7 overall.

The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Philly-Seattle matchups overall, also being 4-1-1 in the last 6 matchups in Seattle.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (65-43) take on the Seattle Mariners (57-53) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Phillies won 2-1 last year

The Phillies have hit a rough patch, losing 4 in a row and 6 of 7 before Thursday’s off-day. They lost 2 of 3 to Cleveland and were swept by the New York Yankees, both series at home, and they’re 7-13 over the last 20 games. DH Kyle Schwarber is back on a binge, hitting .375 with 3 homers and 6 RBIs in his last 5 games.

The M’s lost 2 of 3 to the Boston Red Sox, but they had a 4-2 road trip. Newly acquired OF Randy Arozarena is producing, hitting .316 with 1 homer and 2 RBIs in his last 5 games. Their trade deadline additions have helped steer the ship in the right direction.

Phillies at Mariners projected starters

RHP Tyler Phillips vs. RHP Bryan Woo

Phillips (3-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 4th start and 5th appearance. He has a 0.76 WHIP, 0.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 25 innings.

• Last start: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 8-0 home victory Saturday against Cleveland Guardians
• Has never faced Seattle
• Home/road splits: Away – 1-0, 0.90 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 10 IP; Home – 2-0, 2.40 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, 5.4 K/9

Woo (4-1, 2.35 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 53 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-3 win Saturday at Chicago White Sox
• Has never faced Phillies
• Home/road splits: Home – 2-0, 1.27 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, 6.3 K/9; Road – 2-1, 3.06 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 6.1 K/9

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+155) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Phillies at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 3, Mariners 2

Moneyline

Woo has been really good at avoiding hard contact. He has only given up 3 extra-base hits (no homers) to right-handed batters this season. Conversely, the damage has come from lefties, who have touched him up for 4 doubles and 4 homers in 105 at-bats. For Philly, Phillips has been awesome in his last 2 starts. He hasn’t allowed a run in 15 innings.

I’ll take the PHILLIES -110.

Run line/Against the spread

One prop that sticks out to me is TYLER PHILLIPS UNDER 1.5 WALKS (+110). He has allowed a total of 2 walks in 3 starts, and they came in separate starts.

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 86 degrees with a 3-mph gust blowing out to left-center. The M’s are 6-4 O/U in their last 10, and the Phils are 5-5. In a spacious ballpark without much wind and 2 pitchers that avoid hard contact, I like the UNDER 8 (-110).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.

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