The Philadelphia Phillies (1-4) and New York Yankees (3-2) close out a 3-game series Wednesday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is at 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1.
The Phillies notched their 1st win of the season Tuesday with a 4-1 victory over the Yankees. OF Kyle Schwarber hit his 1st HR of the season in what could be a step out of his early season slump hitting .136. Five pitchers combined to allow just a run on 4 hits, and they’ll need their ace Aaron Nola to go deep Wednesday.
It was a rare day for the Yanks, who had scored at least 5 runs in every other game this season. They’ll attempt to shake the rust off quickly in what should be a fun gamee with their ace Gerrit Cole on the mound as well.
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Phillies at Yankees projected starters
RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Gerrit Cole
Nola is 0-0 in 1 start with a 12.27 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 3 2/3 IP.
- Hasn’t faced NYY since 2021, when he had a 2.77 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 14 K’s in 13 IP over 2 GS
- Was a better road pitcher with a 3.00 ERA against a 3.53 home ERA in 16 starts each last year.
Cole is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 16.5 K/9 in 6 IP.
- Has not faced the Phillies the last 2 seasons
- Was better at home last year with a 3.20 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 12.1 K/9 vs. 3.81 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 11.0 K/9 on road
Phillies at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Phillies at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Phillies 2
Moneyline
Offense should be at a premium Wednesday, and the Yankees have enough to grind out a game like that over a team slumping offensively with a tired bullpen. Nola was not sharp in his 1st start, and Cole was lights-out. The Yankees are at a good price with their ace.
Take the YANKEES -160.
Run line/Against the spread
The Yankees should get it done by more than a run, but runs will be hard to come by Wednesday. I’ll PASS on the spread and head to the Win/Total section. The YANKEES AND UNDER 8.5 RUNS +160 looks great. I’d also throw a HALF-UNIT at YANKEES AND UNDER 7.5 +195.
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Over/Under
It’s slated to be 52 degrees with a 10-mph wind blowing straight in from center field. So the ballpark will play big Wednesday. The Yankees are just 2-3 O/U despite scoring 5 runs in all but 1 game. With the weather conditions and the talent on the mound, this UNDER 7 (-120) should hold.
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