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The Philadelphia Phillies (63-36) and Minnesota Twins (54-44) open a 3-game set Monday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Twins won 2-1 last year
The Phillies snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 6-0 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday as -116 road favorites. RHP Tyler Phillips allowed just 4 hits in 6 scoreless innings to pick up the win.
The Twins lost 8-7 against the Milwaukee Brewers Sunday as -156 home favorites. CF Byron Buxton hit 2 solo shots for Minnesota, which has lost 3 straight games.
Phillies at Twins projected starters
RHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Bailey Ober
Suarez (10-4, 2.76 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 114 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-2 home defeat against Oakland A’s July 12
- Career vs. Twins: 0-1, 2.84 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 6 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 1 start, a 3-0 home loss Aug. 13, 2023
Ober (8-5, 4.14 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 100 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-1 setback at Chicago White Sox July 10
- Never faced Phillies before
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Phillies at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+145) | Twins +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Phillies at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 7, Twins 6
Moneyline
BET PHILLIES (-115).
The Phillies have the best record in MLB, while Suarez has been one of their best pitchers. They bounced back with a shutout victory Sunday and have scored 6 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games. The Twins have dropped 3 games in a row and allowed 8 runs in back-to-back home losses.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The moneyline is the better play in this matchup.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-115).
Philadelphia has scored 6 or more runs in 3 of its last 5 games while allowing 8 or more in 2 of its last 4. Minnesota has scored 4 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games and allowed 7 or more in 3 of its last 5. While both pitchers have demonstrated good control this season, both teams’ bats have been hot, which will aid the Over.
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