Tag: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers odds predictions pick betting line spread

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-16) and Los Angeles Dodgers (18-13) meet Wednesday at 4:10 p.m. ET to close out a 3-game series at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Los Angeles leads 2-0

Philadelphia hurlers had compiled a 2.70 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over their previous 9 games (April 21-30), but the Phillies were touched up for 13 runs in each of the 1st 2 games of this series.

The Dodgers have won 5 in a row and 8 of their last 10. LA has outscored opponents 40-11 over its last 5 games.

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Phillies at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Gavin Stone

Nola (2-2, 4.46 ERA) makes his 7th start of the season. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 36 1/3 IP.

  • Is coming off his best start of the season: 1 ER on 3 H and 0 BB with 6 K over 8 IP at the Houston Astros Friday
  • Has held current Los Angeles bats to a .625 aggregate OPS

Stone is a 24-year-old rookie making his Major League debut. He has notched a 2.69 ERA and 1.18 WHIP across 55 minor league games in his career (2021-23).

  • Has allowed 1 ER over his last 9 2/3 IP at AAA-Oklahoma City
  • Tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings with 14 K in spring training

Phillies at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -104 (bet $104 to win $100) | Dodgers -112 (bet $100 to win $112)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Dodgers +1.5 (-182)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Phillies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

Peg the true odds as being buried between these prices. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

No interest, focus on the Over/Under for the best value in this one. PASS.

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Over/Under

The Under is 6-2 in the Phillies’ last 8 games against winning teams.

Peg both bullpens as being due for better days. Philadelphia relievers have had to work around a .320 batting average on balls in play, L.A.’s with a .342 mark. Both do well to keep hard contact in check. The back ends of those units are both in good shape.

Don’t overreact to the Dodgers’ 26 runs — on a 19-for-29 with-runners-in-scoring-position mark — so far in this series.

This is a half-unit play at best with a 1st-time starter in the mix, but BACK THE UNDER 9 (-122).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-15) and Los Angeles Dodgers (17-13) meet Tuesday at 10:10 p.m. ET to continue a 3-game series at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Los Angeles leads 1-0

Philly hurlers had compiled a 2.70 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over their previous 9 games, but the visitors were touched up for 4 home runs and 8 walks in a 13-4 setback in game 1 of this series Monday.

The Dodgers swept the St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend and with Monday’s triumph have now won 4 in a row and 7 of their last 9. LA has outscored opponents 27-10 over its last 4 games.

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Phillies at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Matt Strahm vs. LHP Julio Urias

Strahm (2-2, 2.31 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.81 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 through 23 1/3 IP in 6 games (5 starts).

  • Has been buoyed by a .213 batting average on balls in play
  • Facing a Dodger lineup that has been woeful against southpaws (.621 OPS)

Urias (3-3, 4.41 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 32 2/3 IP.

  • Was hot in his first 3 starts of the season, but has gone cold the last three, allowing 13 ER over 14 1/3 IP
  • Has pitched in and around a 20% HR/FB ratio and .326 BABIP

Phillies at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies +134 (bet $100 to win $134) | Dodgers -158 (bet $158 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-146) | Dodgers -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Phillies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

Peg the true odds as being buried between these prices. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

No interest, focus on the Over/Under for the best value in this one. PASS.

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Over/Under

The Under is 6-1 in the Phillies’ last 7 games against winning teams.

With the Los Angeles batting attack scuffling against port-siders, the Under is definitely in play.

Peg both bullpens as being due for better days. Philadelphia relievers have had to work around a .320 batting average on balls in play, L.A.’s with a .342 mark. Both do well to keep hard contact in check. The back ends of those units are mostly intact after Monday’s blowout.

The weather report for Dodger Stadium calls for an outward breeze but a game-time temperature in the 50s.

BACK THE UNDER 8 (-122).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-14) and Los Angeles Dodgers (16-13) meet Monday at 10:10 p.m. ET to open a 3-game series at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Philadelphia won last year’s series 4-3

The Phillies took 2 or 3 from the Houston Astros over the weekend and are 7-2 in their last 9 games. Over that stretch, Philly hurlers have compiled a 2.70 ERA, 0.94 WHIP.

The Dodgers are coming off a weekend home sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals. LA outscored the Cardinals 14-6 in the 3 games and is 6-2 over its last 8 games.

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Phillies at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Taijuan Walker vs. RHP Tony Gonsolin

Walker (2-1, 4.97 ERA) makes his 6th start of the season. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 25 1/3 IP.

  • Owns a a 3.92 ERA over 172 career games0
  • Has a history as a road struggler: From 2021-23 he has 4.47 ERA on the road vs. 3.64 ERA at home

Gonsolin (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 8.1 BB/9 and 2.7 K/9 in 3 1/3 IP.

  • Limited to 65 pitches in his April 26 season debut after spending 4 weeks on the IL with an ankle injury
  • Owns a 2.48 ERA through 276 career innings
  • In 27 career games at Dodger Stadium, has held opposing bats to a .535 OPS while logging a 1.99 ERA

Phillies at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:51 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies +142 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -168 (bet $168 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-146) | Dodgers -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Phillies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

Los Angeles is 6-0 in Gonsolin’s last 6 home starts vs. over-.500 clubs.

The Dodgers are a play to improve on both sides of their runs/runs-allowed ledger. They’ve played a tough slate so far.

The pitching matchup would be more of an emphatic green check in the L.A. column if this was not Gonsolin’s 2nd start back. And he’s working with a partly-compromised (not all hands on deck) back end of the bullpen.

This line has drifted toward the Phillies in the morning. Would consider Dodgers -168 if it drifts that far still. Otherwise PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

No interest. The ML action is more in line with some value.

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Over/Under

The Under has hit in 4 straight Phillies games and 2 straight Dodgers games.

Peg both bullpens as being due for better days. Philadelphia relievers have had to work around a .317 batting average on balls in play, L.A.’s with a .345 mark. Both do well to keep had contact in check.

The weather report for Dodger Stadium calls for an outward breeze but a game-time temperature in the 50s.

BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-104).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (17-17) seek to complete a 4-game road series sweep Sunday afternoon against the Los Angeles Dodgers (20-12). First pitch is 4:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Phillies are 3-0 against the Dodgers this season after taking the first 3 games of the series in L.A., 9-7, 12-10 and 8-3. They have won 4 games in a row and 6 of their last 8.

The Dodgers have lost 4 games in a row and 5 of their last 6. Their starting pitching ERA has gone from the best in baseball at under 2.00 to 2.51, which is now second place in the league.

Phillies at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Michael Grove

Nola (1-4, 3.83 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 40 IP.

  • Phillies have lost his last 6 starts in a row. Nola is coming off a start in which he allowed 5 R (4 ER) in 5 1/3 innings.
  • Is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA in 5 career starts vs. the Dodgers.

Grove is making his major league debut for the Dodgers. Starting the year at AA Tulsa, he has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 through 16 1/3 IP in 5 starts.

Phillies at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:07 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-170) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Phillies 4

Money line

This series has gone against how the season has gone. The Phillies have scored 29 runs off the Dodgers’ pitching staff, which has not given up many runs this season. They have handed the Dodgers their first home series loss this season. This is also the first time the Dodgers have lost more than 2 games in a row, which suggests they are due to bounce back.

The Phillies have won 4 games in a row for the 2nd time this season. They have not had a longer winning streak than 4 games. And remember they have lost Nola’s last 6 starts.

Take the DODGERS (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers have covered the spread in every victory this season. Every win they have has been by at least 2 runs. They have also been favored in every game so they have not covered the spread in any loss.

The Phillies are 17-17 ATS overall and 9-7 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread in 4 straight games.

Take the DODGERS -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under

Every game this series has had 9 runs or more. Nola’s last 2 starts have had double-digit runs as the total.

I thought the other games this series would stay low-scoring. I guess that wasn’t in the cards.

Take OVER 8.5 (-107).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (16-17) attempt to clinch a road series win Saturday against the Los Angeles Dodgers (20-11) in the third game of their 4-game series. First pitch is 10:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Phillies 2-0

The Phillies took the first 2 games of the series 9-7 and 12-10 (10 innings). They have won 3 in a row and 5 of their last 7.

The Dodgers have lost 3 in a row and 4 of their last 5. They are on the verge of losing a home series for the first time this season.

Phillies at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Julio Urias

Suarez (3-1, 3.68 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 29 1/3 IP.

  • The Phillies have won 5 of Suarez’s 6 starts this season.
  • After allowing 3 earned runs apiece in back-to-back starts, his last outing was his best of the season. He pitched 6 scoreless frames in a 9-0 win at the Seattle Mariners Monday, allowing 4 hits and 2 walks with 7 strikeouts.

Urias (2-2, 2.10 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 30 IP.

  • He took the loss in a 5-1 defeat to the Pittsburgh Pirates Monday in his last start but only allowed 2 runs in 6 innings.
  • Including the 2 earned runs allowed in his last outing, he has given up only 4 combined earned runs in his last 5 starts.

Phillies at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:23 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-130) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Phillies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Phillies 2

Money line

The Dodgers have not lost a series at home and the current 3-game losing streak is their longest of the season. With their 10-4 record at Dodger Stadium, I wouldn’t bet the Phillies to win again, especially with a 7-8 road record.

However, I don’t love the -200 price for the Dodgers, so PASS on the money line unless you are including it in a parlay bet.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers’ only ATS losses this season have been outright losses. All 20 of their wins have been by at least 2 runs. They have been favored in every game this season.

The Phillies are 16-17 ATS and 8-7 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread in 3 straight games but only have covered 4 straight once this season – during a 4-game home sweep of the Colorado Rockies, who are known to struggle on the road.

TAKE DODGERS -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

The first 2 games of the series had 16 and 22 runs. That isn’t likely to happen with Suarez and Urias on the mound.

Five of the Dodger’s 6 games before the series against the Phillies had 8 or fewer runs.

None of Urias’ last 5 starts have had more than 7 total runs.

TACK UNDER 8.5 (-125).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-17) continue their 4-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers (20-10) Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Philly held on for a 9-7 win in Thursday’s series opener after recovering from giving up a 6-run lead with a 2-run top of the 9th inning.

Los Angeles is 7-3 in the last 10 games but has dropped 3 of its past 4 games, including losing 2 of a 3-game set at the Pittsburgh Pirates earlier this week.

The Dodgers beat the Phillies 4-2 in last year’s season series, outscoring Philly 22-10 in the 6 games.

Phillies at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Walker Buehler 

Gibson is 3-1 with a 2.94 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP over 6 starts.

  • Win vs. the New York Mets 3-2 Sunday with 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 3 K.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 12.29 FIP with a .286/.436/.633 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA), slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, 15.0 K% and 92.9 mph exit velocity (EV) in 60 plate appearances (PA).

Buehler is 4-1 with a 1.96 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 36 2/3 IP over 6 starts.

  • Beat the Chicago Cubs 7-1 Sunday at Wrigley Field with 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 6 K.
  • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 5.09 FIP with a .285/.363/.503 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 24.3 K% and 89.9 mph EV in 37 PA.

Phillies at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:43 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Dodgers -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-117) | Dodgers -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Phillies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 9, Phillies 3

Money line

PASS.

Los Angeles (-220) is just too pricey for a straight-up bet.

I could see including the Dodgers’ ML in a parlay with another similarly priced line for a better payout, but even that’s a sub-even wager.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET A HALF UNIT on the DODGERS -1.5 (-103) because they have a 3-phase edge in this matchup (hitting and starting and relief pitching), Buehler is their best starter and the Dodgers lineup has raked Phillies SP Gibson in the past.

Also, L.A.’s bullpen ranks 1st in both WHIP (0.95) and hard-hit rate (27.3%) and 5th in ERA (3.03), per FanGraphs. Philly’s bullpen is 25th in both ERA (4.29) and WHIP (1.36) and 21st in hard-hit rate (40.3).

TAKE DODGERS -1.5 (-103).

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (+105).

Buehler is a Cy Young contender, the Under is 5-1 in Gibson’s 6 starts and the Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 Phillies-Dodgers meetings.

However, I prefer the Dodgers’ RL more than the Under.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (14-17) open a 4-game road series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (20-9) Thursday. First pitch is 10:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This is their first meeting of the year.

The Phillies are coming off a road series win as they took 2 of 3 games against the Seattle Mariners. They had only 1 win in their last 6 games prior to that series.

The Dodgers have won 7 of their last 9 games but are coming off a road series loss as they dropped 2 of 3 games at the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Phillies at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP Tyler Anderson

Wheeler (1-3, 4.10 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 26 1/3 IP.

  • Has not allowed a run in his last 2 starts across13 2/3 innings after starting the season with 3 straight losses and an ERA of 8.53.
  • He is 2-2 in 5 career starts against the Dodgers with a 4.66 ERA.

Anderson (3-0, 2.78 ERA) makes his 6th appearance and 4th start of the year. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 22 2/3 IP.

  • The Dodgers have won his last 2 starts. He has gone 5 innings in each of those outings and allowed 3 earned runs across that span.
  • He has not allowed more than 2 runs in any appearance this season.

Phillies at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-180) | Dodgers -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Phillies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Phillies 2

Money line

The Phillies are 5-8 on the road this season and have won only one road opener this season. They were 3-7 on the road before their series win in Seattle.

The Dodgers are 10-2 at home with the best home winning percentage in the league. They are 4-0 in home series openers this season.

L.A. has the best starting pitching ERA in the league at 1.78 and the 4th-best bullpen ERA at 2.94.

Take the DODGERS (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Phillies are 14-17 ATS this season overall and 6-7 ATS on the road.

The Dodgers have been favored in every game this season and have not won a game by fewer than 2 runs this season. They have 20 wins and 20 covers.

Take the DODGERS -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

Both starters have not been allowing many runs but only twice in the last 7 games for the Dodgers has a game ended with fewer than 8 runs.

Four of the Phillies’ last 7 games have had fewer than 8 runs.

We know the Dodgers won’t allow many runs as their opponents have scored more than 3 runs only 3 times in their last 12 games.

Take UNDER 7.5 (+105).

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