Tag: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros odds predictions pick betting line spread

Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-13) and Houston Astros (14-13) close out a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-0

The Phillies came into Houston and rode their co-aces Aaron Nola and Zack Wheeler to 3-1 and 6-1 wins Friday and Saturday. They’ve won 8 of 10 to claw back within 3 1/2 games in the NL East division.

Houston has struggled at home at just 6-9 on the year. They Astros are just treading water — they’re 6-4 in the last 10 games — while 2B Jose Altuve (thumb) rehabs from a broken thumb. Part of the problem is their offense has yet to get started at 16th with 4.60 runs/9. Houston has scored just 1 run in each of last 3 games.

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Phillies at Astros projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. RHP Jose Urquidy

Falter (0-4, 4.50 ERA) makes his 6th start this season. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 28 IP.

  • Last start vs. Seattle Mariners Tuesday: 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K
  • 1 career appearance vs. Houston: 1 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 0 K

Urquidy (1-2, 5.64 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.75 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 22 1/3 IP.

  • Last start Monday vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 2 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K
  • Has never faced Phillies
  • Is 3-1 with a 3.13 ERA, 1.24 WHIP in 9 career interleague games (8 starts

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-160) | Astros -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Phillies 3

Moneyline

Houston will avoid the sweep as long as Urquidy can straighten it out. He has allowed 10 ER over 7 IP in his last 2 starts. Because of that, I’m going to pass on the -150 ML and head to the Win/Total section. Under Moneyline and Both Teams to Score 2 or More Runs, take ASTROS AND YES +135.

Run line/Against the spread

The Astros boast the 6th-best bullpen ERA at 3.09. Philadelphia is 24th at 4.59. Even if Urquidy gives up 4 or 5 again, I still like Houston’s chances against Philadelphia’s pen. The Phillies benefitted from 8 shutout innings from Nola and 6 shutout innings from Wheeler. That won’t be the case Sunday.

Take the ASTROS -1.5 (+135).

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Over/Under

It’s 84 degrees with an 8-mph wind blowing out to right-center. Both teams have been Under teams as Philadelphia is 2-8 O/U, and Houston is 3-6-1 O/U over the last 10 games. Houston has cashed 4 Unders in a row. The Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 between the teams and 3-0-1 in Houston.

Take the UNDER 9 (-120).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (14-13) play the 2nd contest of a 3-game interleague series against the Houston Astros (14-12) Saturday. First pitch at Minute Maid Park is scheduled for 5:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 1-0. Astros won 4-2 in the 2022 World Series and 2-1 in the regular-season series in Houston last year.

The Phillies picked up a 3-1 win in the series opener behind RHP Aaron Nola as the Under (7) connected. Philadelphia collected 8 hits to just 3 for Houston, including a pair of doubles by 3B Edmundo Sosa and a solo home run by DH/OF Kyle Schwarber.

Houston’s offense was limited to a solo bomb by SS Jeremy Pena, his 4th HR of the season. The Astros saw a 6-game win streak in the regular season against the NL East come to an end with the loss.

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Phillies at Astros projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Cristian Javier

Wheeler (2-1, 4.73 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 26 2/3 IP.

  • Has struggled on the road with a 1-1 record, 7.71 ERA and .349 opponent batting average (OBA) with 12 K across 9 1/3 IP in 2 starts
  • Posted a quality start (QS) last time out, allowing 3 ER on 3 H and 3 BB with 11 K across 6 IP in a win against the Colorado Rockies Sunday

Javier (2-0, 3.21 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 28 IP.

  • Allowed just 2 R (1 ER) on 3 H and 2 BB with 10 K across 6 IP in a QS with no-decision at the Atlanta Braves last time out on Sunday
  • Has managed a 2-0 record, 2.81 ERA and .254 OBA with 3 BB and 16 K across 16 IP in 3 home starts

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Astros -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Astros -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Phillies 2

Moneyline

The ASTROS (-125) are the play, and the wager is mostly based on the starting pitching matchup.

Javier has been excellent at home, while Wheeler has really struggled outside of Philadelphia, which is rather surprising since his home park is a bandbox.

Houston has also won 8 of its past 10 interleague games and has cashed in 4 of the past 5 interleague outings at home. The Astros are 5-2 in the past 7 contests against right-handed starting pitchers and are 11-5 in the past 16 at home vs. righties.

Run line/Against the spread

The ASTROS -1.5 (+165) are a solid value on the run line. Houston is 5-3 on the run line in its last 8 victories as a favorite. If you like the ‘Stros to pick up the victory, you should like them to do so by at least 2 runs.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the lean.

The Under has connected in 8 of the past 10 games overall for the Phillies while going a perfect 4-for-4 in the past 4 games against winning teams.

The Under is also 4-1 in the past 5 games overall for the Astros while cashing at a 6-2-1 clip in the previous 9 against NL East foes.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (13-13) begin a 3-game series against the Houston Astros (14-11) on Friday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. The Astros posted a 2-1 record against the Phillies in 2022.

The Phillies came away with a 1-0 victory over the Seattle Mariners Thursday. Philadelphia is on a 2-game win streak and has won 5 of its last 6 contests.

The Astros defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 1-0 on Wednesday and had a day off Thursday. Houston has gone 7-3 in its last 10 games and is also amid a 2-game win streak.

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Phillies at Astros projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Nola (1-2, 5.40 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 28 1/3 IP.

  • Has given up 2 or more ER in each of his first 5 starts
  • Control has been an issue recently as he’s walked 3 batters in each of his last 2 turns

Valdez (2-2, 2.25 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 32 IP.

  • Has allowed multiple ER in 3 of his first 5 starts
  • Has recorded 5 IP or more in 33 consecutive starts dating back to last season

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-165) | Astros -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

ASTROS (-155) is the pick in this contest with Valdez on the mound for Houston. Meanwhile, Nola has gotten off to a shaky start this season.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Unless you can get the Phillies +1.5 at -150 odds or better, then I’d advise against wagering on the spread in this matchup. Even with Nola’s woes thus far, Philadelphia should be able to keep this game close.

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Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (+100) has nice value with Nola allowing 3-plus ER in 4 of his first 5 starts. The Astros have hit the Over in 8 straight games against a team with a losing record.

Houston has hit the Over in each of Valdez’s last 4 starts.

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World Series Game 6: Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros Game 6 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros meet for Game 6 of the 2022 World Series Saturday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is slated for 8:03 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series: Houston leads 3-2; the Astros won the regular-season series 2-1

NL Wild Card Philadelphia lost some momentum with its 3-2 loss in a cliffhanger of a Game 5 Thursday, and with being no-hit by 4 Houston hurlers Wednesday. However, the Phillies have surprised onlookers with more than a couple of resilient bounce-backs in these playoffs. Can they regain momentum once again in a situation where nothing else will do?

The AL champion Astros won 106 games in the regular season, so it figures they know a thing or 2 about holding onto momentum in a series, in a week, etc. In this series, hope for hanging on hinges on Houston’s pitching, which has thus far held the Phillies to a .613 OPS.

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Phillies at Astros projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Wheeler posted a 2.82 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 153 IP in the regular season. He went 12-7 over 26 starts.

  • Has clocked a 2.67 ERA with 28 K and 6 BB over 30 1/3 IP in this, first 1st postseason; he has allowed just 16 hits (2 HR)
  • Notched a 3.84 ERA and 1.20 WHIP on the road during the regular season
  • Last pitched Game 2 of the World Series last Saturday (at Minute Maid): allowed 5 R (4 ER) on 9 base runners in 5 IP

Valdez made 31 starts in the regular season. He went 17-6 with a 2.82 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 201 1/3 IP.

  • Held the Phillies to 1 R over 6 1/3 opposite Wheeler in Game 2; owns a 1.42 ERA in 19 IP this postseason
  • Over the last 3 years in the regular season, has notched a 2.70 ERA on the road and a 3.51 ERA at home

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Astros -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-175) | Astros -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +102)

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Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Astros 2

Moneyline

This is a rematch of the Game 2 pitching matchup. Valdez won that meeting; the host Astros won that game 5-2. Wheeler took a 1.78 postseason ERA into that start, and he coughed up some hard contact in allowing 5 runs in as many innings.

But Wheeler — who logged an 0.60 ERA over his last 3 regular-season starts — was a solid play that night at +125. He’s a solid play in this one.

During the regular season, Philadelphia filed a .727 OPS against right-handers and a .769 figure against port-siders.

The price on the visiting 9 is worth a quick trigger. I’d expect the price to drift toward Philadelphia. BACK THE PHILLIES (+133).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

More juice is brought into this equation, and the price on Philly is a bit high.

Over/Under

There is a slight fade to the combined batting numbers owned by both sides, and this World Series has had a global Under lean going into each game.

However, PASS on this one until a +107 or better is available on the Under 6.5.

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World Series Game 2: Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros Game 2 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros meet for Game 2 of the 2022 World Series Saturday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is slated for 8:03 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series: Philadelphia leads 1-0 after 6-5 win in 10 innings Friday
Regular-season series: Houston won 2-1

NL Wild Card Philadelphia toted a postseason plus-22 run differential into Friday’s series opener. The Phillies did not widen that gap much in Game 1, but they now hold a 1-0 lead in the Fall Classic. The Phils battled all the way back from a 5-0 deficit and then capped off their lid-lifter heroics with a J.T. Realmuto 10th-inning home run en route to the 1-run triumph Friday.

Friday’s loss marked the 1st taste of playoff defeat for the AL West-champion Astros, who had been 7-0 in these playoffs. After starting pitchers Aaron Nola of the Phillies and Justin Verlander of the Astros exited Friday’s game, both bullpens dueled in effective fashion all the way to the 10th when Houston RHP Luis Garcia was touched up with Realmuto’s opposite-field smash to right.

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Phillies at Astros projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Wheeler posted a 2.82 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 153 IP in the regular season. He went 12-7 over 26 starts.

  • Spent some time in August and September on the IL with a forearm injury but has bounced back nicely: Owns a 1.34 ERA across 3 regular-season and 4 postseason starts since Sept. 21
  • Clocked a 3.84 ERA and 1.20 WHIP on the road during the regular season
  • Allowed 2 runs on 4 hits over 13 IP in the NLCS; walked 1 and struck out 16
  • Last pitched Oct. 23: Had a 2.57 ERA in 11 regular-season starts on 5-day rest

Valdez made 31 starts in the regular season. He went 17-6 with a 2.82 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 201 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 4 R (2 ER) in 12 2/3 IP during the 2022 postseason; owns a 3.83 ERA in 11 career playoff games (2020-22)
  • Last pitched Oct. 20: owns a 3.59 career ERA when pitching on more than 6 days’ rest (regular season)
  • Over the last 3 years in the regular season, has notched a 2.70 ERA on the road and a 3.51 ERA at home

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:42 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-190) | Astros -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Astros 2

Moneyline

Both starters had almost identical regular-season numbers. Wheeler has been sharper in the postseason. He may have been well-served by his August-September injury, at least in terms of fighting innings-build-up fatigue.

During the regular season, Philadelphia filed a .727 OPS against right-handers and a .769 figure against port-siders.

The price on the visiting 9 is solid here. BACK THE PHILLIES (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

If you’re on board with Philadelphia going up 2-0, just play the moneyline.

Over/Under

The Under went 2-1 – with an Over that involved 1 team not scoring – when these clubs met Oct. 3-5. The pitching for both sides — save perhaps for the starting efforts Friday — has been impeccable.

There is a slight fade to the combined batting numbers owned by both sides, and this World Series figures to have an institutional Under lean going into each game.

The Under whiffed in Game 1, but it remains a strong play Saturday.

BET THE UNDER 6.5 (+110).

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World Series Game 1: Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros Game 1 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros clash in a Game 1 showdown as the 2022 World Series gets underway Friday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is slated for 8:03 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Regular-season series: Houston won 2-1

NL Wild Card Philadelphia went 87-75 in the regular season and is a robust 9-2 with a plus-22 run differential in the postseason. The Phillies closed out their regular season by losing 2 of 3 to these Astros Oct. 3-5. Those 3 games were in Houston: The Phils finished the season 1 game under-.500 (40-41) on the road.

The AL West champion Astros are an undefeated 7-0 these playoffs. They went 106-56 in the regular season to earn the AL’s top seed. Houston’s last loss was Oct. 3 at Minute Maid Park to Philadelphia and RHP Aaron Nola, who is slated to start Friday’s World Series opener. The Astros would win the next 2 games of that series – Since Oct. 4, they are 6-0 at home with a .964 OPS.

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Phillies at Astros projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Nola went 11-13 with a 3.25 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 across 205 IP in 32 starts in the regular season.

  • Roughed up in last start: 6 ER in 4 2/3 IP in 8-5 NLCS Game 2 loss at San Diego Padres Oct. 19
  • Owns 3.12 ERA (17 1/3 IP 6 ER) across 3 starts this postseason, the 1st in his career
  • Clocked 2.60 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.90 WHIP over last 5 starts of regular season
  • Career vs. Astros (regular season): 2-0, 0.00 ERA (12 2/3 IP) in 2 starts, but current Houston batters own aggregate .330 OPS against him

Verlander went 18-4 in the regular season and led the majors in ERA (1.75) and WHIP (0.83). Across 175 IP in 28 starts, he finished with 1.5 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9.

  • Fanned 11.1 batters per 9 en route to going 10-1 with a 1.64 ERA (88 IP, 16 ER) in 15 regular-season home starts
  • 2022 postseason: 1-0, 6.30 ERA (10 IP, 7 ER), 13 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 14 K
  • Career postseason: 15-11, 3.55 ERA (197 2/3 IP, 78 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9, 10.0 K/9 in 32 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Career World Series: 0-6, 5.68 ERA (38 IP, 24 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9, 9.2 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies (regular season): 3-0, 1.42 ERA (19 IP, 3 ER) in 3 starts, holding them to an aggregate .450 OPS

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Astros -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-165) | Astros -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 3, Phillies 2

Moneyline

Both starters have had a clunker in this postseason. Verlander’s regular-season surface line benefits from a .240 batting average on balls in play. He’s also very tough on lefty bats and that looms large against Philly sluggers LF Kyle Schwarber and DH Bryce Harper (which plays into an Under lean in Game 1).

Nola logged a 3.00 ERA (108 IP, 36 ER) across 16 regular-season road starts. His combined September/October (2-2, 2.36 ERA, 34 1/3 IP, 9 ER) has been impressive and he gives Philly a decent chance Friday.

While I’m picking the Astros (-165) to win, there’s value in the Phillies. Watch for line movement and make a partial-unit bet if the Philly price hits +150.

Run line/Against the spread

Similar to above but perhaps the preferred play for those who favor a low-scoring opener.

Take Philadelphia +1.5 if the juice drops to -160.

Over/Under

The Under went 2-1 – with an Over that involved 1 team not scoring – when these two clubs met Oct. 3-5. The Phillies have since compiled an ERA of 3.06 since. The Astros have filed a 1.88 figure in their playoff games.

These two clubs can pitch. There is a combined slight fade to their batting numbers – and that’s looking at everything from Opening Day to now. Mix in rested bullpens and off days to reset relievers during the series, and this World Series figures to have an institutional Under lean going into each game.

So, the starters for Game 1 figure as a mixed bag – backing Nola and fading, just a bit, Verlander.

It all boils down to a strong play on this price. Consider grabbing it early.

BET UNDER 6.5 (+100).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (87-74) will face the Houston Astros (105-56) to close out both teams’ regular-season schedules Wednesday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 1-1

The Phillies were defeated by the Astros 10-0 Tuesday as LHP Ranger Suarez allowed 6 ER in only 3 IP. Philadelphia has the No. 3 wild-card spot in the NL despite the lopsided loss, ending a 10-year drought of not making the playoffs.

The Astros got a stellar performance from RHP Justin Verlander in his final start of the season Tuesday as he pitched 5-scoreless innings with 10 K. Houston owns the No. 1 seed in the AL, so they have a 1st-round bye in the postseason.

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Phillies at Astros projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Falter (6-4, 3.90 ERA) makes his 16th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 83 IP.

  • Has been credited with a win in 6 of his last 8 starts
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 6 of his last 8 outings

Valdez (16-6, 2.89 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 196 1/3 IP.

  • Has given up 10 combined ER in his last 2 starts
  • Had 25 straight starts of 6 IP or more before his last 2 contests

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Astros -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-140) | Astros -1.5 (+112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Phillies 3

Moneyline

I’m going to PASS on the moneyline in this game as I see the Astros closing the season out with a win, but the line is a little too steep to wager.

Even if Houston sits some of its starters, the lineup is deep enough to beat Philadelphia at home.

Run line/Against the spread

After seeing the Astros put up 10 runs Tuesday, it’s clear that they want to make sure their bats are ready for the playoffs as they’ll have a 1st-round bye.

With that in mind, give me ASTROS -1.5 (+112) at home in the final game of the regular season.

If you aren’t comfortable taking Houston by multiple runs, ASTROS -0.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-125) is a solid alternative.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-103) is where I’m going in this game as the bats of the Astros are hot right now and Valdez has been shaky in recent starts. The Over has hit in 3 of his last 4 starts.

The Over has also hit in 5 of the last 7 meetings between the Phillies and the Astros.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (87-73) take on the Houston Astros (104-56)  Tuesday at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Phillies lead 1-0

The Phillies are on a 3-game winning streak after a rough ending to September where they lost 5 of their last 6 games. Philadelphia has clinched a playoff spot, but is only 1 game behind the San Diego Padres for the No. 2 wild-card spot in the NL with 2 games remaining.

The Astros have won 5 of their last 8 games and they’ll finish with the best record in the AL. Houston has the No. 1 seed in the AL locked up, so the team may rest some of its starters in the final 2 games of the regular season.

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Phillies at Astros projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Suarez (10-6, 3.37 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 152 1/3 IP.

  • Has gone 6 IP or more in 4 consecutive starts
  • Has given up 2 ER or fewer in 3 straight starts

Verlander (17-4, 1.80 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 0.85 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 170 IP.

  • Has not given up a HR in 9 straight starts
  • Hasn’t surrendered more than 2 ER in 5 consecutive starts

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Astros -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-140) | Astros -1.5 (+112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Phillies 2

Moneyline

Go ahead and PASS on the moneyline in this game as the Astros are heavy favorites at home with Verlander on the mound. Taking Houston straight up isn’t worth the risk, especially with the team not needing any wins in the final 2 games of the season.

The Phillies are 0-5 in Suarez’s last 5 road starts.

Run line/Against the spread

ASTROS -1.5 (+112) is a line that I took advantage of for a decent portion of the season, so I have to take it at least 1 more time. Houston allowed SP Lance McCullers Jr. to go 94 pitches on Monday, which means that Verlander should go pretty deep in this game to get ready for the postseason.

The Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 games against the Astros that take place in Houston and we only need the Astros to win by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

With Verlander pitching for the Astros, I don’t expect the Phillies to score many runs if he pitches deep into the game. With Houston likely resting a couple of starters, Suarez could have a solid outing for Philadelphia.

UNDER 6.5 RUNS (+105) is where I’m going in this game with Verlander likely throwing a shutout before he exits. The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 home games for the Astros when they face a team with a winning record.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (86-73) face the Houston Astros (104-55) Monday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting since the 2017 season

The Phillies’ magic number to clinch the final NL wild-card spot is 1. It’s simple, Milwaukee has to win every game, and the Phillies just need to win 1 of the final 3 games. The Phils won 3 out of 4 against the Washington Nationals after a 5-game losing streak. It’s a brutal way to finish the season against the powerhouse Astros, but on the plus side, they’ll be battle-tested if they reach the postseason.

The Astros are 15-5 in the last 20 games and have nailed down had the top seed. They have been a bit streaky, though, as they’ve scored just 10 runs over the last 4 games. Houston will compete hard, but its main objective is leaving this series healthy.

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Phillies at Astros projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Lance McCullers Jr.

Nola (10-13, 3.36 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 198 1/3 IP.

  • Last 5 starts: 1-2, 2.93 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 11.7 K/9
  • 15 road starts in 2022: 4-9, 3.20 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 10.2 K/9

McCullers (4-1, 2.38 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 41 2/3 IP.

  • Loves pitching at home: 2-0, 1.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP vs. 3.57 ERA, 1.59 WHIP on road WHIP and 5.3 K/9

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Astros -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-200) | Astros -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 3, Astros 2

Moneyline

This won’t be easy to do, and it might take extra innings, but Philadelphia gets it done and punches their ticket to the playoffs. They have their ace on the hill and do not want to play around with Houston, who has RHP Justin Verlander and LHP Framber Valdez lined up for the final 2 games.

Take the PHILLIES +110.

Run line/Against the spread

We’re going to PASS here because of the juice stand on the Phillies. One thing to keep in mind when throwing down on this game. Milwaukee’s game starts 30 minutes before this one. If the Brewers get down by a lot or beaten early, Philadelphia has little incentive to grind it out and could pull starters.

Over/Under

Philadelphia is 6-4 O/U, and Houston is 5-4-1 in the last 10 games. Houston has scored 3 runs or fewer in 6 of 10. This should be a pitcher’s duel with a lot of strikeouts. Give me the UNDER 7.5 (-130).

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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