Tag: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies odds predictions pick betting line spread

Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (20-19) and Colorado Rockies (16-24) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 5-1

The Phillies won 7-4 as -135 favorites at the Rockies Saturday. Philadelphia has won 5 consecutive games after losing 6 straight.

The Rockies closed as +125 home underdogs in Saturday’s loss. Colorado has lost back-to-back games after winning its 3-game series at the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1.

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Phillies at Rockies projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Nola (3-2, 4.44 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 48 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in an 8-4 win vs. Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday
  • Career vs. Rockies: 4-1, 3.42 ERA (50 IP, 19 ER), 48 H, 6 HR, 9 BB, 59 K in 8 starts

Freeland (3-4, 3.57 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 45 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 2-0 loss at Pirates Monday
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-3, 4.20 ERA (30 IP, 14 ER), 29 H, 5 HR, 10 BB, 29 K in 7 starts

Phillies at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Rockies +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-110) | Rockies +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Phillies at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Rockies 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Phillies (-165) should win their 6th straight game, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when Philadelphia should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-110).

Six of Philadelphia’s last 7 wins have been by multiple runs. The Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. teams with a losing record and should be able to win by margin vs. the Rockies, who are just 7-11 at home this season. Seven of Colorado’s last 8 losses have been by multiple runs and the Rockies should struggle to keep it close Sunday vs. Nola and the Phillies.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 10.5 (+100).

The Under is 4-0 in Philadelphia’s last 4 road games vs. teams with a losing record and 8-1 in its last 9 after a win. These teams have played low-scoring games vs. each other recently, with the Under hitting in 5 of the last 6 meetings, and Sunday’s matchup should stay under the total once again with Nola on the mound for Philadelphia.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (4-6) continue their road trip Monday by opening a 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies (6-3). First pitch is 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

First meeting this season. The Rockies won 5 of 7 vs. the Phillies in 2021.

The Phillies opened the season with 3 wins in 4 games, but have dropped 5 of their last 6 games. They just finished a 4-game road series against the Miami Marlins, dropping 3 of the games. They lost 11-3 Sunday.

The Rockies lost 6-4 Sunday to the Chicago Cubs, splitting their 4-game series at home. They have played 7 of their first 9 games at Coors Field.

Phillies at Rockies: Projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Chad Kuhl

Nola (1-1, 6.75 ERA) makes his third start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 3 BB and 12 K in 9 1/3 IP.

  • Lasted only 3 1/3 inning in his last outing, a 9-6 loss to the New York Mets. He allowed 3 runs on 3 hits, 3 walks and a hit batsman.
  • He’s 2-0 in 3 career starts at Coors Field with a 4.12 ERA.

Kuhl (0-0, 2.08 ERA) makes his second start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4 BB and 5 K in 4 1/3 IP.

  • Didn’t pick up the win, but the Rockies beat the Rangers 4-1 in his first start. He allowed a run on 2 hits in 4 1/3 innings.
  • Making his first home start at Coors Field. In 5 previous seasons with the Pittsburgh Pirates, he was 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA in 2 career starts there.

Phillies at Rockies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:13 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Rockies +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-108) | Rockies +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Phillies at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 6, Phillies 5

Money line

The Phillies have lost 3 of 4 road games this season and Nola struggled in his last start.

The Rockies are starting off all right at home, where they won 48 games last season. They are 4-3 at Coors Field so far. Kuhl was effective in his first start.

Kris Bryant and Charlie Blackmon both have career averages over .300 against Nola in over 10 at-bats.

The Phillies will have to adjust quickly to the thin Denver air.

Take ROCKIES (+133).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Rockies have covered the spread in 4 of 5 games this season in which they have been the underdog.

The Phillies are 2-5 ATS as favorites.

I like Colorado at home, especially early in the season when lines have not adjusted for actual play vs. expectations. I prefer the money line as a bet because it is the better value but I still like ROCKIES +1.5 (-112) here.

Over/Under

Games at Coors Field always get a high projected total. So far this season, only 2 of 7 games there have had totals of 12 runs or more.

Four of the Phillies’ 10 games have had 12 or more runs, including Nola’s first start. Kuhl’s first start had only 5 total runs.

Take UNDER 11.5 (-125).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies Game 3 odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (7-13) meet the Philadelphia Phillies (10-10) for the rubber match of their three-game set at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Philadelphia rebounded from a 5-4 loss in Game 1 to beat Colorado 7-5 in Game 2 to even the series.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

RHP Chase Anderson is on the mound for the Phillies. Anderson is 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA (13 IP, 6 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 3 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss with 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 5 K’s in Colorado’s 2-0 loss to the San Francisco Giants Monday.
  • Career vs. the Rockies: 4-3 with a 4.68 ERA (65 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.32 WHIP and 8.0 K/9 in 12 starts.

RHP Jon Gray is the projected starter for the Rockies. Gray is 2-1 with a 2.42 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 6 2/3 IP with 1 ER, 3 H, 4 BB and 6 K’s in Colorado’s 6-2 victory over the Houston Astros Tuesday.
  • Career vs. the Phillies: 3-3 with a 4.14 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.21 WHIP and 10.5 K/9 in 7 starts.

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Phillies at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Rockies -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-175) | Rockies -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 11.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Rockies 7, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the ROCKIES (-110) for 1 unit because Gray is Colorado’s best starting pitcher, and Anderson is more of a back-of-the-rotation starter.

Statcast grades Gray out in the 89th percentile of barrel%, 83rd percentile of hard-hit rate and 85th percentile of expected slugging percentage.

Conversely, Anderson is in the 49th percentile of hard-hit rate, 17th percentile in expected slugging percentage, 18th percentile in expected wOBA and his numbers at Coors Field are subpar as well.

Anderson is 2-2 with a 6.66 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.60 WHIP and 7.0 K/9 in five career starts at Coors Field.

Also, the Phillies cannot put together a winning streak and are 0-6 in their last six games following a win.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the ROCKIES -1.5 (+145) for a one-fifth unit if at all because Colorado has a 16-13 run line (RL) record as a home favorite since the start of 2020 and Philadelphia has a winning RL record as a road dog over that span.

Furthermore, Colorado’s run line price is being steamed up because money is coming in on Philadelphia. So if you’re planning on betting the Rockies to win by two or more runs then wait until closer to the first pitch for a better price.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 11.5 (-110) for a quarter unit because the Rockies are 0-4 O/U in Gray’s starts this year and have gone Under the total in four straight prior to yesterday.

Additionally, according to Pregame.com, nearly 90% of the money is on the Over in Phillies-Rockies and, as we all know, 90% of sports bettors don’t win.

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