Tag: Philadelphia Phillies odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (13-13) begin a 3-game series against the Houston Astros (14-11) on Friday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. The Astros posted a 2-1 record against the Phillies in 2022.

The Phillies came away with a 1-0 victory over the Seattle Mariners Thursday. Philadelphia is on a 2-game win streak and has won 5 of its last 6 contests.

The Astros defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 1-0 on Wednesday and had a day off Thursday. Houston has gone 7-3 in its last 10 games and is also amid a 2-game win streak.

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Phillies at Astros projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Nola (1-2, 5.40 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 28 1/3 IP.

  • Has given up 2 or more ER in each of his first 5 starts
  • Control has been an issue recently as he’s walked 3 batters in each of his last 2 turns

Valdez (2-2, 2.25 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 32 IP.

  • Has allowed multiple ER in 3 of his first 5 starts
  • Has recorded 5 IP or more in 33 consecutive starts dating back to last season

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-165) | Astros -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

ASTROS (-155) is the pick in this contest with Valdez on the mound for Houston. Meanwhile, Nola has gotten off to a shaky start this season.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Unless you can get the Phillies +1.5 at -150 odds or better, then I’d advise against wagering on the spread in this matchup. Even with Nola’s woes thus far, Philadelphia should be able to keep this game close.

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Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (+100) has nice value with Nola allowing 3-plus ER in 4 of his first 5 starts. The Astros have hit the Over in 8 straight games against a team with a losing record.

Houston has hit the Over in each of Valdez’s last 4 starts.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Seattle Mariners at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Mariners at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Mariners (11-12) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (11-13) Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0

The Mariners secured a 5-3 win over the Phillies Tuesday with OF Jared Kelenic going 3-for-4 at the plate and hitting his 7 HR. Seattle has won 3 of its last 4 contests.

The Phillies saw their 3-game win streak come to an end with Tuesday’s loss. Philadelphia is 6-4 in its last 10 games.

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Mariners at Phillies projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Taijuan Walker

Gilbert (1-1, 3.57 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 through 22 2/3 IP.

  • Tallied 6 K’s in each of his first 4 starts
  • Recorded 6 IP or more in 3 of his first 4 starts

Walker (2-1, 3.80 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 21 1/3 IP.

  • Walked 2-plus batters in each of his first 4 starts
  • Has yet to notch more than 5 K’s in a start this season

Mariners at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Phillies +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+140) | Phillies +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-120) are the pick in this matchup with Gilbert getting off to a solid start. Meanwhile, Walker has struggled with walks to begin the season.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

While I believe the Phillies +1.5 (-165) can keep this game close, I wouldn’t advise taking them to cover the spread at the current odds.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean in this matchup with the Mariners scoring 5-plus runs in 3 of their last 4 games. The Phillies have also scored 4 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 contests.

There have been at least 9 runs scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these teams, and the Over is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia and 5-2-3 in the last 10 meetings overall.

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Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (5-7) are set to conclude a 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies (4-7) on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

The Marlins defeated the Phillies 8-4 on Tuesday with 2B Luis Arraez becoming the first player in franchise history to hit for the cycle. Miami has lost 3 of its last 5 games.

The Phillies have gone 3-2 in their last 5 games after beginning the season with a 1-5 record. Philadelphia recently received good news with OF Bryce Harper getting cleared to hit, so he’ll just need to be cleared to slide before he returns to the field following elbow surgery in the offseason.

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Marlins at Phillies projected starters

RHP Edward Cabrera vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Cabrera (0-1, 5.40 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.25 WHIP, 17.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 6 2/3 IP.

  • Has walked a league-high 13 batters in his first 2 starts of the season
  • Career starts vs. Phillies: 1-1 record with a 1.64 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 8.2 K/9 in 11 IP over 2 starts

Wheeler (0-1, 5.59 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 9 2/3 IP.

  • Has tallied a 10-4 record with a 2.41 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 10.0 K/9 in 123 1/3 IP in 19 career starts vs. Marlins
  • Has thrown 90-plus pitches in each of his first 2 starts of the season but has yet to go longer than 5 1/3 IP

Marlins at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-125) | Phillies -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Marlins 4

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Phillies (-190) are favored to win with Wheeler on the mound, but he’s struggled to begin the season. Taking Philadelphia at the current odds is not worth the risk.

Run line/Against the spread

MARLINS +1.5 (-125) is the pick in this NL East showdown. Cabrera has struggled with walks, but Wheeler hasn’t looked like his usual self either in his first 2 starts.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean in this matchup with how these teams are swinging the bat in this series. The Over is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings between these clubs and the Phillies are 4-0 to the Over in their last 4 games against a team from the NL East.

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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (0-4) face New York Yankees (3-1) in the 2nd game of a 3-game series on Tuesday. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0.

Anthony Rizzo‘s 1st HR of the season ignited a 5-run fifth inning as the  Yankees beat the Phillies 8-1 on Monday. The Phillies have lost 4 games in a row to begin the season and have been outscored 37-12.

The Yankees have won 2 games in a row with solid contributions from their pitching staff thus far. Outside of its 7-5 loss to the San Francisco Giants, New York has allowed 1 ER or less in each game.

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Phillies at Yankees projected starters

LHP Matt Strahm vs. RHP Domingo German

Strahm was 4-4 in 2022 with a 3.83 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9, and 10.5 K/9 in 44 2/3 IP.

  • Has primarily operated out of the bullpen in each of the last 3 seasons
  • Last career start was Aug. 17, 2021; pitched 1 1/3 innings in loss to San Diego Padres

German was 2-5 in 14 starts last season with a 3.61 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9, and 7.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

  • His 7.2 K/9 in 2022 was the lowest mark of his 5-year MLB career
  • Has made 14-plus starts in each of the last 4 seasons with NY

Phillies at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Phillies at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Phillies 3

Moneyline

With the Phillies struggling with OF Bryce Harper and 1B Rhys Hoskins sidelined, I’ll take the YANKEES (-150) to win at home. I wouldn’t advise taking the moneyline if the odds are worse than -150.

Run line/Against the spread

YANKEES -1.5 (+135) is the pick in this matchup with New York’s lineup likely having success against Strahm. Meanwhile, the Phillies have sputtered on offense despite adding SS Trea Turner in free agency.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-120).

The Yankees have combined for 9 HR in their 1st 4 games of the season and Strahm hasn’t had much experience starting games. German has also struggled with giving up homers, allowing at least 1.4 HR/9 in each of the last 4 seasons he’s played.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (0-1) are slated to take on the Texas Rangers (1-0) in the 2nd game of a 3-game series on Saturday at Globe Life Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 1-0.

The Phillies fell to the Rangers 11-7 Thursday despite jumping out to a 5-0 lead. RHP Aaron Nola got off to a solid start before allowing 5 ER in 3 2/3 IP.

RHP Jacob deGrom struggled in his debut with the Rangers, permitting 5 ER in 3 2/3 IP despite recording 7 K’s. Even with deGrom sputtering his debut, Texas put up 9 runs in the 4th inning to help it defeat Philadelphia.

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Phillies at Rangers projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Wheeler recorded a 12-7 record in 26 starts during the 2022 season, finishing with a 2.82 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 2 BB/9, and 9.6 K/9 in 153 IP.

  • Has posted an ERA below 3.00 in each of his 3 seasons with the Phillies.
  • Tallied 6 IP or more in 17 of his 26 starts in 2022.

Eovaldi registered a 6-3 record in 20 starts during the 2022 season. He concluded with a 3.87 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9, and 8.5 K/9 in 109 1/3 IP.

  • Signed with the Rangers in the offseason after spending 4-plus years with the Boston Red Sox.
  • Doesn’t walk batters much as he has tallied 1.7 BB/9 or better in 3 straight seasons.

Phillies at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Rangers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+125) | Rangers +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Rangers 3

Moneyline

After a disappointing result on Opening Day, I’ll take the PHILLIES (-135) to bounce back Saturday. Wheeler should be able to limit the bats of the Rangers, and the Phillies should be able to do some damage against Eovaldi.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILLIES -1.5 (+125) has some value as they have the better pitcher on the mound. Philadelphia hasn’t had much success against Texas in quite some time, but I expect that to turn around Saturday.

In 7 of the last 8 meetings between the Phillies and the Rangers, the game has been decided by 2-plus runs.

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Over/Under

Even with Wheeler starting on the bump, I lean toward taking OVER 7.5 (-115) in this contest. Despite OF Bryce Harper and 1B Rhys Hoskins being sidelined, the Phillies still boast a lineup that is capable of scoring runs in bunches.

On the other hand, the Rangers also deploy a lineup that can help hit the Over in this matchup.

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Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (73-60) and the San Francisco Giants (63-68) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Oracle Park with the 1st pitch scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead series 4-1

The Phillies have lost 5 of 6 games after losing to the Giants 5-4 Saturday. Four of Philadelphia’s last 5 losses have been by 5 or more runs.

Following a 7-game losing streak, the Giants won their 2nd in a row Saturday. San Francisco’s Joc Pederson has driven in 8 runs this series against Philadelphia.

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Phillies at Giants projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Suarez (8-5, 3.42 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.42 BB/9 and 7.71 K/9 in 123 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision Monday against the Arizona Diamondbacks with 6 R in 3 2/3 IP on 5 H, 2 BB and 4 K
  • Is 6-1 with a 2.54 ERA through 71 IP in 12 road starts

Rodon (12-7, 3.03 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.68 BB/9 and 11.36 K/9 in 151 1/3 IP.

  • Gave up 5 runs in 4 IP against the San Diego Padres on Monday and took the loss after winning his 4 previous starts
  • Is 6-2 with a 2.42 ERA through 67 IP in 12 home starts

Phillies at Giants odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:59 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Giants -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-210) | Giants -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Giants 2

Money line

The PHILLIES (+102) have had a disappointing road trip, but getting swept is not something they’ve done since July 24 against the Chicago Cubs. Despite looking impressive the last 2 games, the Giants being favored to sweep a team with the potential firepower of Philadelphia is a steep price. The value is on the Phillies as an underdog to not get swept.

Run line/Against the spread

The PHILLIES +1.5 (-210) might look pricey, but still has value considering the Giants have only won by 2 or more runs in 2 of their last 10 games. Philadelphia has also proven lately that it is a hard team to sweep. In Philadelphia’s last series, it was blown out twice by Arizona before ending the 3-game set with an 18-2 win Wednesday.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is worth a bet, especially for those who are uncomfortable betting on a Philadelphia team that hasn’t looked great on this road trip. Suarez’s numbers on the road are very similar to Rodon’s numbers at home. Both starting pitchers should help keep this game under the total.

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Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (46-40) and the St. Louis Cardinals (46-42) wrap up a 4-game wraparound set Monday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Phillies lead series 4-2

The Phillies won the first 2 games of this series with shutouts, posting a 2-0 win Friday, and a 1-0 win behind RHP Kyle Gibson Saturday. The Under has hit in 5 straight for Philadelphia.

The Cardinals exacted a little revenge with a 4-3 win on Sunday afternoon. The Under has cashed in 8 in a row, and 11 of the past 12 for the Cards.

Phillies vs. Cardinals projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Miles Mikolas

Nola (5-6, 3.15 ERA) makes his 18th start of the season. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 111 1/3 IP.

  • Is just 2-4 in 8 starts over 55 IP, but he has a sparkling 2.13 ERA with 61 K.
  • Lost last time out in a quality start, allowing 3 ER, 7 H and 1 BB across 7 2/3 IP against the Washington Nationals Wednesday.

Mikolas (5-7, 2.72 ERA) makes his 18th start of the season. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 106 IP.

  • Is 2-2 with a 2.60 ERA and .191 opponent batting average in 52 IP across 8 home starts.
  • Allowed 4 R (2 ER) with 6 H and 2 BB across 5 1/3 IP in a loss at Philadelphia on July 1.

Phillies vs. Cardinals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+155) | Cardinals +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Phillies vs. Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 3, Phillies 2

Money line

The CARDINALS (-105) are a decent play as short ‘dogs at home in what should be a well-pitched affair. The Phillies (-115) are a solid 4-1 in the past 5 road outings, while going 14-5 in the past 19 against teams with a winning record.

While the Cardinals have struggled, especially to score runs lately, they’ll do a decent job behind Mikolas at home.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Cardinals +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly two times your potential return if you’d like a little insurance and do not trust them straight up. It’s not a recommended play, however.

PASS.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-107) is the way to be.

The Under has cashed in 5 in a row for Philadelphia, while going 5-0 in the past 5 vs. RHP, too.

For St. Louis, the Under is 8-0 in the past 8 against winning teams while going 11-1 in the past 12 against teams with a winning overall record. The Under is 7-0 in the past 7 vs. RHP, too.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (36-32) and Texas Rangers (31-35) meet Tuesday for the opener of a 2-game interleague set at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: These teams met May 3-4 in a 2-game set in Philadelphia, with the Rangers winning both games by a combined score of 8-5.

The Phillies have won the past 5 series openers, and Philadelphia is 4-0 in its past 4 interleague games. Philly enters red-hot, too, going 15-3 in the past 18 games overall, while cashing in 7 of the past 8 on the road.

The Rangers are back home, and that’s not necessarily a good thing. Texas has won just 2 of its past 8 games at GLF, while winning just once in the past 5 tries against winning teams.

Phillies at Rangers projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. LHP Martin Perez

Gibson (4-2, 4.04 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 71 1/3 IP.

  • Is just 0-1 with a 5.70 ERA and a .289 opponents’ batting average through 23 2/3 IP across 5 road starts.
  • Has struggled against Rangers 2B Brad Miller, who is 8-for-18 (.444) with 2 doubles, 2 RBI and a 1.121 OPS vs. Gibson.

Perez (4-2, 2.10 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 81 1/3 IP.

  • Has posted a 3-2 record, 2.45 ERA and .222 OBA with just 1 HR allowed across 40 1/3 IP over 7 home starts.
  • Is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and .342 OBA with 16 K across 18 IP in 3 starts in the month of June.

Phillies at Rangers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Rangers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+160) | Rangers +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Phillies at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, Phillies 3

Money line

While the Phillies (+100) have been red-hot lately, the RANGERS (-120) own the 2-0 season series lead. Texas hasn’t necessarily been very good at home, but with the southpaw Perez on the hill, it has its most consistent pitcher going.

Philadelphia is 1-4 in the past 5 interleague road games against a left-handed starting pitcher, while going 3-8 in the past 11 as an underdog and 2-5 in the previous 7 as a road ‘dog.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Rangers +1.5 (-200) will cost you twice your potential return if you decide you’d like some insurance and don’t like Texas straight up.

AVOID, and just play the home team on the money line.

Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-108) is the slight lean in this interleague series opener.

The teams split the Over-Under in the 2-game set in Philly in early May. While Philadelphia has cashed the Over in 19 of the past 27 games overall, while hitting at an 18-7-1 clip in the past 26 road outings, the Under is 10-4 in the past 14 following a scheduled day off.

For Texas, it’s all about the Under, going 7-2 in the past 9 at home, while cashing at a 10-2-1 pace in the past 13 against winning teams.

I don’t love the Under, though, and would simply play it lightly.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (4-7) continue their three-game set at the Colorado Rockies (7-3) Tuesday. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Colorado beat Philly 4-1 in the series opener Monday as Rockies SP Chad Kuhl had a quality start with 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 4 K.

Phillies at Rockies: Projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Gibson (1-1, 3.09 ERA) makes his third start. He lost at the Miami Marlins 4-3 in his last outing Thursday as he surrendered 4 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 6 K over 4 2/3 IP.

  • vs. Rockies on the current roster: 2.87 FIP with a .135 batting average (BA), .201 wOBA, .188 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 25.4 K% and 84.3 mph exit velocity (EV) in 59 plate appearances (PA).

Freeland (0-2, 10.00 ERA) makes his third start. He was shelled 5-2 in a home loss to the Chicago Cubs Thursday. He went 5 1/3 IP, allowing 5 ER on 9 H and 2 BB with 1 K.

  • 2021 vs. Phillies: Loss, 6-1, in 6 IP with 4 ER on 5 H and 4 BB in one start.
  • vs. Phillies on the current roster: 6.77 FIP with a .205 BA, .310 wOBA, .412 xSLG, 19.2 K% and 83.8 mph EV in 52 PA.

Phillies at Rockies and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Phillies -135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Rockies +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+110) | Rockies +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Phillies at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 5, Phillies 4

Money line

LEAN to the ROCKIES (+110) only because the Phillies have the better starter on the hill and I prefer Colorado’s RL.

Gibson’s FIP is lower than his ERA and he grades in the 72nd percentile or better in EV, hard-hit rate, K%, whiff rate and expected wOBA, according to Statcast.

However, Colorado’s lineup and bullpen have been much more productive than Philly’s to start the year. Philly is also 14-22 overall as a road favorite since the beginning of last season and the Rockies are 53-36 at home over that span.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET the ROCKIES +1.5 (-135) since they are 33-19 RL as home underdogs since 2021 and the Phillies are 8-28 RL as road favorites with a minus-2.6 RL margin along that span.

Philly’s bullpen also has the second-most blown saves since the start of last season. Colorado’s lineup is underrated so if it can keep this game within a few runs when Philly brings in its bullpen the ROCKIES +1.5 (-135) can sneak in the backdoor.

BET the ROCKIES +1.5 (-135) for 0.75 units.

Over/Under

PASS because this is a sharp total, the Rockies have played more to the Under as home underdogs since last season and the Phillies have played more to the Under as road favorites.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (4-2) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (3-2) Wednesday for the finale of their three-game set at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Mets look for their second series win of the season in this set finale. New York was held to just 3 hits Tuesday in a 2-0 victory as it limited Philadelphia to just 2 doubles and 4 singles with 10 runners left on base.

The Phillies struck out 12 times against Mets pitching Tuesday while failing to draw a walk. After scoring 9 runs in the regular-season opener Friday, Philadelphia has plated 10 total runs across the past four outings.

Mets at Phillies: Projected starters

Mets RHP Max Scherzer vs. Phillies RHP Aaron Nola

Scherzer won his Mets debut Friday in Washington, one of his former teams, yielding 3 runs and 3 hits with 1 walk and 6 strikeouts across 6 innings.

  • Posted an 8-2 record, 2.05 ERA and .163 opponent batting average across 14 daytime starts in 2021 across 92 1/3 IP.
  • Dominated the Phillies in 2021, posting a 3-0 record and 1.23 ERA with 28 strikeouts across 22 IP over four starts.

Nola wasn’t terribly sharp in his Friday’s opener against Oakland, but he won, allowing 4 runs on 4 hits and no walks with 7 strikeouts across 6 IP.

  • Went 3-1 with a 4.08 ERA over 68 1/3 IP across 12 starts during the day in 2021, including his only complete game of the season.
  • Turned in a 1-1 record, 2.25 ERA and .241 opponent batting average with 33 strikeouts over 20 IP in four starts vs. NYM in 2021.

Mets at Phillies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+155) | Phillies +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Mets at Phillies prediction and picks

Prediction

Mets 3, Phillies 2

Money line

The METS (-105) scratched out a low-scoring win Tuesday, and you can expect similar results with Scherzer on the hill in this getaway day game. Runs should be at a premium with two aces on the bump, but New York proved to be capable of more timely hits in the middle game.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Phillies +1.5 (-190) will cost you two times your potential return, and it’s just not worth that kind of risk. If you like them with Nola on the hill in the finale, just play them straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

I wouldn’t make a habit of betting the UNDER 8.5 (-122) in games at the bandbox known as Citizens Bank Park, but we saw just 2 total runs Tuesday, and there isn’t a lot more offense expected with Scherzer and Nola expected to throw up plenty of donuts.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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