Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat odds predictions pick betting line spread

Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia 76ers (2-10) visit the Miami Heat (5-7) Monday. Tip-off from Kaseya Center is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the 76ers vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split 2-2 in ’23-24 regular season and 76ers won 105-104 in play-in

Philadelphia has lost 3 games in a row and 9 of its last 10 after falling 98-86 at the Orlando Magic Friday as a 2.5-point underdog. G Jared McCain had a team-high 29 points and was one of only three 76ers who scored more than 5.

Miami has dropped 2 of its last 3 games after falling 119-110 at the Indiana Pacers Sunday, failing to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. G Tyler Herro scored a team-high 28 points on 7-of-11 shooting from 3.

76ers at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated Monday at 10:29 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): 76ers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Heat -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +3.5 (-115) | Heat -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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76ers at Heat key injuries

76ers

C Joel Emiid (illness) questionable
G Tyrese Maxey (hamstring) out

Heat

(Not yet submitted — below was for Sunday’s game)

F Jimmy Butler (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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76ers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 105, 76ers 102

Moneyline

BET HEAT (-150).

Philadelphia has struggled immensely this season, losing 10 of its 12 games. With the loss of Maxey and the lack of availability from Embiid, the 76ers have not been the powerhouse that the NBA has seen in recent years.

While Miami has been without Butler, it has what it takes to hand Philadelphia another defeat Monday.

Against the spread

PASS.

The best wager in this matchup is on the Heat to win straight up.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 212.5 (-110).

Philadelphia has hit the Under in 5 of its last 6 games while it has struggled to identify scorers without Maxey and Embiid. It has scored 107 or fewer points in each of its last 6 games.

Expect the Miami defense to continue to create problems for the 76ers offense.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Heat (42-33) welcome the Philadelphia 76ers (41-35) to the Kaseya Center Thursday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the 76ers vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Heat lead 2-1

The Heat are riding a 3-game win streak, coming off a 109-99 home win over the New York Knicks Tuesday and closing as a 2.5-point home favorite. They are 4-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 7 and 36-37-2 ATS on the season. Miami is led by F Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 21 points per game.

The 76ers have won 2 straight, beating the Oklahoma City Thunder 109-105 on Tuesday as a 2.5-point home favorite. C Joel Embiid returned from a knee injury and has 24 points, 6 rebounds and 7 assists. The 76ers have lost 3 of their last 5 yet are 4-1 ATS in that stretch. Philadelphia is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 and 42-33-1 ATS on the season. All 3 of Philadelphia’s top scorers are listed as questionable for Thursday.

76ers at Heat odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:08 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): 76ers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Heat -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +2.5 (-108) | Heat -2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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76ers at Heat key injuries

76ers

F Robert Covington (knee) out
C Joel Embiid (knee) questionable
F Tobias Harris (knee) questionable
G Tyrese Maxey (hip) questionable

Heat

G Tyler Herro (foot) out
G Duncan Robinson (facet) available
G Terry Rozier (knee) available

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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76ers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 108, 76ers 104

Moneyline

PASS.

The Heat (-142) are the play here and are the hotter and more in-sync team; however, the value is on the spread, not the moneyline. Given the Philadelphia (+120) injury situation, now is not the time to back it as an underdog.

Against the spread

BET HEAT -2.5 (-112).

The Heat have won 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5, taking down the Cleveland Cavaliers and New York Knicks at home in the last week and a half. They are 2-0 ATS in their last 2 games as a favorite of 0-5 points. Miami has the defense in C Bam Adebayo to limit one of the best scorers in the game in Embiid, who played Tuesday and should be active.

The 76ers have lost 3 of their last 5 and 5 of their last 8, but with their stars returning from injury, the spreads are starting to get narrower, having been an underdog of 6 or more in 6 of those 8. The Heat should have more need to win this game and are the healthier side.

Take HEAT -2.5 (-112).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 210.5 (-108).

The 76ers have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 games, scoring at least 109 points in 3 straight and at least 107 in 4 straight. They have allowed at least 107 in 5 of their last 6.

The Heat have gone Over in 3 straight, scoring at least 109 in each, and have gone Over in 5 of their last 7. With Robinson and Rozier both expected to play, the offensive firepower and shooting should be there as well.

Back OVER 210.5 (-108).

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Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (39-21) visit the Miami Heat (33-29) on Wednesday. Tip from Miami-Dade Arena is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 76ers vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Philadelphia fell 110-107 to the Boston Celtics Saturday, failing to cover as a 1-point home underdog. The loss snapped a 5-game win streak both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS). The 76ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games to improve to 35-25 ATS this season.

Miami lost 108-103 to the Charlotte Hornets Saturday, failing to cover as a 6.5-point road favorite. It was its 4th loss in a row both SU and ATS. The Heat are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games to fall to 23-37-2 ATS on the season.

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76ers at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): 76ers -130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Heat +110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers -1.5 (-115) | Heat +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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76ers at Heat key injuries

76ers

C Dewayne Dedmon (hip) out

Heat

F Kevin Love (knee) probable
G Kyle Lowry (knee) out
G Max Strus (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

76ers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 109, Heat 103

Moneyline

PASS.

A play on the spread presents better odds for the Sixers.

Against the spread

LEAN 76ERS -1.5 (-115).

The Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning record and 7-3 ATS when playing as 1-2.5 point favorites.

The Heat are just 1-4 ATS as 1-2.5-point underdogs, 9-19-1 ATS at home — including 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games — and just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 215.5 (-110).

The Under is 4-1-1 in the Sixers’ last 6 games overall, 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing 100 or more points in their previous game and 4-1 in their last 5 against a team with a winning outright record.

For the Heat, the Under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record.

The Under is also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these 2 in Miami and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings overall.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat Game 5 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (2-2) visit FTX Arena Tuesday to take on the Miami Heat (2-2). Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Heat Game 5 odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Philadelphia was fined for violating injury reporting rules for Game 3 as MVP finalist C Joel Embiid made his return to the court. The 76ers won both home games to even the series.

Embiid allows the Sixers to play bully ball on the interior, freeing up shooters. The typically slow-paced Sixers put up 116 points on the Heat in Game 4 behind 31 points from former MVP G James Harden.

The Heat are led by former Sixers F Jimmy Butler who poured in 40 points in Game 4. G Kyle Lowry and G Tyler Herro combining for 17 points doomed Miami.

The Heat have been unstoppable at home as they’ve gone 5-0 in the playoffs so far. They were 34-12 at home during the regular season, tied for the 4th-best home record in the NBA.

76ers at Heat odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:51 a.m. ET.

Money line: 76ers +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Heat -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +3.5 (-110) | Heat -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

76ers at Heat key injuries

76ers

C Joel Embiid (facial fracture) questionable

Heat

F P.J. Tucker (calf) questionable
G Kyle Lowry (hamstring) questionable
G Tyler Herro (ankle) questionable

[tipico]

76ers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 106, 76ers 101

Money line

PASS.

If there is a play here, it’s that the Sixers (+133) money line. That’s more so on the value and the fact this series, with Embiid, should generally have competitive down-to-the-wire games.

That said, I do like the Heat to come out on top and not drop 3 straight contests.

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Against the spread

BET the HEAT -3.5 (-110).

The Heat have been dominant at home. They’ve averaged a 13.4 margin of victory at home this postseason and outscored the Sixers by 14 points in Game 1 and 16 points in Game 2.

Embiid will be back for his first game of the series in South Beach, and he’s been impactful. But, the Heat have been a different animal at home all season long.

Miami is 34-26-1 against the spread (ATS) against conference opponents whereas the 76ers are 28-33-1 ATS. The Heat had the fourth-best regular-season defensive rating.

The Heat also ranked 5th in opponents’ three-point shooting whereas the Sixers are 3rd in three-point percentage.

Given Miami’s ability to limit what Philly is best at along with its dominance at home and success against mutual, in-conference opponents, I’ll take the Heat to cover here.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 208.5 (-107).

The Heat are 1-4 O/U during their playoff run.

I would expect some regression from Harden, who was 6-for-10 from deep in the Sixers’ Game 4 win. Harden was 4-for-19 in the first 3 games. Game 4 was his first time this postseason hitting more than 2 triples.

The Heat, led by dominant defenders like Tucker, Butler and Lowry, should be able to limit Harden. The Heat-Sixers have the slowest pace of any second-round series and both teams rank in the bottom five in pace among all 16 playoff teams as well.

This game shouldn’t be one played in transition. Considering the trends and playstyle, I’ll take the UNDER 208.5 (-107).

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Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Eastern Conference semifinals continue Wednesday with the Miami Heat hosting the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 2 of the best-of-7 series. The Heat won Game 1 easily and look to take a 2-0 lead over the shorthanded Sixers. Tip-off from FTX Arena is 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Heat cruised to a 106-92 win in Monday’s game, outscoring the Sixers 56-41 in the final 2 quarters. SG Tyler Herro (25 points) and C Bam Adebayo (24) led the way while SF Jimmy Butler scored 15 points with 9 rebounds and 3 assists. Adebayo had the only double-double of the night with 12 rebounds to go with his 24 points.

The Sixers are playing without C Joel Embiid, who suffered a facial fracture in the first round and is out indefinitely. G James Harden struggled in Game 1, shooting just 5 of 13 from the field with 16 points and 9 rebounds. SF Tobias Harris did his best to carry the offense with 27 points on 11-of-18 shooting.

76ers at Heat odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:24 a.m. ET.

Money line: 76ers +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Heat -420 (bet $420 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +8.5 (-120) | Heat -8.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 207.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

76ers at Heat key injuries

76ers

C Joel Embiid (facial fracture) out

Heat

SG Tyler Herro (ankle) questionable
PG Kyle Lowry (hamstring) out
SF P.J. Tucker (calf) questionable
SF Caleb Martin (ankle) questionable
G Max Strus (hamstring) questionable
SG Gabe Vincent (knee) questionable

[tipico]

76ers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 110, 76ers 99

Money line

The Sixers are in a terrible spot without Embiid, which allows the Heat’s swarming defense to focus on Harden. That worked to perfection in Game 1 with Harden only scoring 16 points and the 76ers making only 6 of 34 shots from 3-point range.

I think the Heat will take a similar approach and the Sixers won’t be able to adapt enough to win this one. I like the Heat to win, but it’s not worth wagering on the money line (-420). PASS.

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Against the spread

The Heat were favored by 7.5 points in Game 1 and covered that spread by beating Philadelphia by 14 points. They’re favored by even more in Game 2, despite Miami’s injury questions heading into this matchup.

Butler doesn’t seem to be in any danger of missing Game 2, and as long as he has Herro, Strus or both, the Heat will be in good shape. Bet the HEAT -8.5 (-120) to cover the spread at home, where they’re 24-21 ATS this season. The Sixers are simply too shorthanded to keep this one close.

Over/Under

The Over/Under is 1 point lower in this one than it was in Game 1. The total went Under in the first game with a total score of 198 points, a low-scoring game without Embiid.

I think there will be more points scored in this one after the 76ers shot horrifically from 3-point land in Game 1, which is why I like the OVER 207.5 (-110). Philadelphia should have a better night shooting from deep, and it will need to if it wants to have a chance to win on the road.

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