2023 Zozo Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Zozo Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The PGA Tour heads out of the country this week for the 2023 Zozo Championship, which will be played at Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club in Japan, just outside Tokyo. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning, but TV coverage begins Wednesday night due to the time difference.

Below, we look at the 2023 Zozo Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

It’s a stronger field than we’ve seen in most fall events the last month or so, with Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Keegan Bradley and Rickie Fowler all teeing it up in the 78-man field in Japan this week. Bradley is the defending champion here, beating Fowler and Andrew Putnam by 1 shot last year.

Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club has hosted this event 3 times in the last 4 years, with the exception being in 2020 when the event was kept stateside and played at Sherwood Country Club due to the pandemic. It’s a 36-hole venue, with the Zozo Championship using 9 holes from each of the 2 courses on-site. It’s a shorter course, playing 7,079 yards as a par 70.

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Zozo Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:28 p.m. ET.

Keegan Bradley (+2200)

Bradley not only won here last year, but he finished T-7 in 2021 and T-13 in 2019. He obviously likes this course a great deal and has played well here in the past, which isn’t necessarily reflected in his outright odds. There are 8 players with the same or better odds to win than Bradley, which doesn’t feel right.

Eric Cole (+2500)

Cole just finished T-3 at the Shriners Children’s Open on Sunday after finishing 4th at the Fortinet Championship last month, so he’s been playing well this fall. In fact, he hasn’t finished worse than T-35 since July, an impressive stretch of play by the 35-year-old.

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Zozo Championship picks – Contenders

Emiliano Grillo (+5000)

Grillo finished 30th in 2019 and 73rd in 2021, but he came close to winning here last year when he finished alone in 4th place, just 2 shots off the lead set by Bradley. We can ignore the fact he missed the cut in his last 2 starts this season because prior to that, he finished T-6, T-10, T-20, T-31 and T-29 in his previous 5 starts. This could be the week he gets back on track and he provides good value at +5000.

Tom Hoge (+5000)

In his last 2 starts at the Zozo Championship, Hoge finished T-9 in 2022 and T-17 in 2021. Before missing the cut last week at the Shriners Children’s Open, he finished T-13 at the Sanderson Farms Championship and 21st at the BMW Championship. He’s playing relatively well at the moment and has 2 top-20 finishes here.

Zozo Championship picks – Long shots

Hayden Buckley (+10000)

Buckley’s recent play is nothing to write home about, missing 5 cuts in his last 7 starts, with his best finish being a T-52. However, he tied for 5th in this event last year in his tournament debut, which gives us reason to believe he could get back on track this week in Tokyo.

Mackenzie Hughes (+10000)

Hughes has only finished better than T-49 once since the PGA Championship in May, but he’s come in 23rd and 4th in his last 2 starts at the Zozo Championship in Japan. It’s a good buy-low spot for a guy who can obviously play, which is why he’s a solid long-shot value at +10000.

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2023 Shriners Children’s Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 Shriners Children’s Open with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The PGA Tour heads to Las Vegas for the 2023 Shriners Children’s Open this week, which is once again hosted by TPC Summerlin. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning, with the final round concluding on Sunday afternoon.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Shriners Children’s Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

According to the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, Ludvig Aberg is the highest-ranked player in the field this week, coming in at No. 12. The defending champion, Tom Kim, is ranked 17th and has the best odds to win at +1100, slightly ahead of Aberg at +1200. Cam Davis and Si Woo Kim are also among the favorites to win in Las Vegas.

TPC Summerlin plays as a par 71 and is 7,255 yards. It was designed by Bobby Weed and opened in 1991, but the course underwent renovations that were completed in October 2022. There are water hazards throughout, which help protect the course from exceedingly low scores, but the winning scores have been between 21-under and 24-under in the last 5 years.

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Shriners Children’s Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Adam Hadwin (+650)

Hadwin has a great track record here, finishing in the top 10 in 3 of his last 4 starts at TPC Summerlin. Last year, he finished 10th after coming in 6th in 2021, so he’s been on the brink of another top 5 like he had in 2019 (4th).

Tom Kim (+250)

Kim won this event last year and hasn’t finished worse than T-24 in any of his last 5 starts on the season. He seemed to really hit his stride late in the season so he has some momentum heading to Vegas.

Shriners Children’s Open – Top-10 picks

Adam Schenk (+275)

Schenk hasn’t finished worse than T-27 in his last 4 starts in this event, headlined by a 3rd-place finish in 2021. Not to mention, he tied for 9th at the Tour Championship after coming in 6th at the FedEx St. Jude Championship.

Cam Davis (+220)

Davis has been on a heater, notching 4 top-10s in his last 5 starts, with a solo 3rd in his last start at the Fortinet Championship a month ago. Though he hasn’t finished higher than 27th in his last 4 starts in this event, his recent form has been excellent.

Andrew Putnam (+320)

In the last 2 years here, Putnam finished 11th and 12th. He came in 10th at the BMW Championship, which is his only top-25 in his last 5 starts, but he’s come close to cracking the top 10 here before.

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Shriners Children’s Open – Top-20 picks

S.H. Kim (+225)

Kim finished T-4 here last year, which was his only start at the Shriners Children’s Open. Last month, he came in 2nd at the Fortinet Championship but he’s also missed the cut in 3 of his last 5 starts.

Chesson Hadley (+320)

Hadley’s best finish in the last 5 years here was a T-7 in 2018, but he’s also come in 18th and 27th, making the cut 4 out of 5 times. He’s also made the cut in each of his last 5 starts this season.

Shriners Children’s Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Cam Davis (-105) vs. Si Woo Kim (-120)

This is based on recent form, which has been excellent for Davis. Kim has the course history advantage, coming in 8th twice in the last 3 years, but Davis is the better pick at -105.

Adam Schenk (-105) vs. J.T. Poston (-120)

Schenk’s 4 top-30s in his last 4 starts here make him a solid choice over Poston, who has missed the cut in 3 of the last 5 years at the Shriners.

Shriners Children’s Open – Top Canadian

Adam Hadwin (+200)

Adam Svensson (+225) is the Canadian with the 2nd-best odds this week, but he hasn’t finished better than 69th here in his last 3 trips, which includes 2 missed cuts. Hadwin has a significant advantage here, having finished top-10 three times since 2019.

Shriners Children’s Open – Top European

Ludvig Aberg (+240)

Aberg has never played this event, but he’s playing as well as anyone in the world, and just came in 2nd last week after losing in a 5-way playoff. Nicolai Hojgaard, who also played on Team Europe in the Ryder Cup, has the 2nd-best odds at +650.

Shriners Children’s Open – First-round leader

Si Woo Kim (+3300)

Kim runs hot and cold and last year at this tournament, he was hot with 4 sub-68 rounds, including an opening-round 64 on Thursday to put himself 1 off the lead after Round 1.

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2023 Shriners Children’s Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Shriners Children’s Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The field gets a bit stronger this week in Las Vegas for the 2023 Shriners Children’s Open at TPC Summerlin. The 1st round of this fall event begins on Thursday morning as Tom Kim will try to defend his title in Vegas.

Below, we look at the 2023 Shriners Children’s Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Kim is the defending champion, winning this event last year by 3 strokes. He’s the favorite to win again at +1100, slightly ahead of Ludvig Aberg (+1200). Cam Davis (+2000) and Si Woo Kim (+2500) are also among the favorites this week.

TPC Summerlin is a par 71 and plays at 7,255 yards. Designed by Bobby Weed and opened in 1991, the course is carved through canyons with plenty of water hazards to challenge players throughout. Renovations were completed in October 2022 before the Shriners Children’s Open, though the greens remain a blend of bentgrasses.

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Shriners Children’s Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Adam Schenk (+3300)

Schenk finished T-3 here in 2021 and followed it up with a T-12 last year. He finished the season strong with a T-9 at the Tour Championship after also finishing 6th in the FedEx St. Jude Championship in August. Combining his recent form with his course history, Schenk is a good bet this week.

Cam Davis (+2000)

Davis is riding a lot of momentum coming into this event, finishing 3rd at the Fortinet Championship a few weeks ago. He only has 1 finish outside the top 10 since the 3M Open in late July, so he’s been playing extremely well since the middle of the summer. In a field that’s lacking star power, this is exactly the type of event Davis should excel in. He finished T-37 and T-27 in his last 2 starts here.

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Shriners Children’s Open picks – Contenders

Andrew Putnam (+4000)

Putnam has finished T-12 and T-11 in his last 2 starts in the Shriners Children’s Open. He missed the cut at the Fortinet Championship last month but in the start before that, he came in 10th at the BMW Championship. As a mid-tier option, his course history alone makes him a guy worth betting on.

S.H. Kim (+5000)

At this event last year, Kim finished T-4 and just 4 shots off the lead set by Tom Kim. Prior to missing the cut in the Sanderson Farms Championship last week, Kim finished solo 2nd in the Fortinet Championship 2 weeks prior so he’s capable of finishing near the top of the leaderboard.

Shriners Children’s Open picks – Long shots

Chesson Hadley (+9000)

In his last 2 starts here, Hadley hasn’t cracked the top 25, but he has finished T-27 and T-37, so he’s come close. He hasn’t missed a cut since the John Deere Classic in early July, making 5 consecutive cuts since then.

Greyson Sigg (+9000)

Sigg made the cut in each of his 2 starts here, finishing in similar spots: T-44 and T-47. A 1st-round 73 last week caused him to miss the cut at the Sanderson Farms Championship, but this is a good bounce-back spot for him.

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2023 Sanderson Farms Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The PGA Tour’s fall slate continues this week in Mississippi with the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship at the Country Club of Jackson. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning and the tournament concludes on Sunday in Jackson, Miss.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Ludvig Aberg, who helped Europe win the Ryder Cup last week, is the favorite to win this week (+1200) and is the highest-ranked player in the field, according to the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. He comes in at No. 12, while Stephan Jaeger is the 2nd-highest-ranked at No. 25. Jaeger and Eric Cole are tied for the 2nd-shortest odds (+2000) to win in Jackson.

The Country Club of Jackson will play as a par 72 this week and is 7,461 yards in length. The greens are Bermuda grass and small, and they’re typically some of the quickest on tour. The winning scores here have been between 16-under and 22-under.

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Sanderson Farms Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:12 p.m. ET.

Ludvig Aberg (+260)

Aberg should be done partying by now after the Europeans’ Ryder Cup win on Sunday night so hopefully he’ll be ready to go for Thursday’s 1st round. As long as he doesn’t toss up a 78 in Round 1, Aberg should be in contention after he shakes off the jetlag. On the plus side, he should be in good form after playing a bunch in Rome.

Eric Cole (+400)

Cole hasn’t finished worse than 31st in his last 5 starts and came in 4th in his most recent start, which was the Fortinet Championship 2 weeks ago. He’s in the best form of any player in the field not named Ludvig Aberg, so he’s worth taking for a 2nd straight top 5 in the fall.

Henrik Norlander (+2800)

Norlander is a long shot here but he’s finished 4th, 4th and 24th in his last 3 starts in the Sanderson Farms Championship since 2020. His recent form hasn’t been great, missing 3 straight cuts, but at +2800, he’s a good top-5 value.

Sanderson Farms Championship – Top-10 picks

Kevin Streelman (+400)

Streelman has only made 3 of his last 5 cuts and has just 1 finish better than 51st in that span, but that was a runner-up at the 3M Open in July. In his last 3 starts in this event, he’s finished 4th (2019), 31st (2021) and 24th (2022). A top-10 is well within his potential.

Mark Hubbard (+350)

In this event last year, Hubbard tied for 5th. He also tied for 17th in his last start this season, the Fortinet Championship, so he comes in with some momentum from a good showing 2 weeks ago.

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Sanderson Farms Championship – Top-20 picks

Greyson Sigg (+250)

He has only played here twice, finishing 9th last year and missing the cut in 2021. In his most recent start this season, he finished 25th in the Fortinet. Sigg doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses coming into this week, ranking in the top 100 in all strokes-gained categories.

Scott Stallings (+350)

Stallings has 2 top-20s in his last 3 starts here and 3 top-30 finishes in his last 4, playing this tournament in each of the last 8 years. Experience at the Country Club of Jackson isn’t a concern at all for him.

Sanderson Farms Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Emiliano Grillo (-125) vs. Lucas Herbert (+100)

There aren’t many enticing matchup plays this week but one that’s tough to turn down is Grillo over Herbert. Grillo hasn’t finished worse than 39th here in the last 4 years and was 5th last year, while Herbert has played here once and missed the cut. Not to mention, Grillo has 2 top-10s, 3 top-20s and 5 top-31s in his last 5 starts this season.

Sanderson Farms Championship – Top South American

Emiliano Grillo (-135)

Going back to Grillo here, who has the best odds to be the top South American by a wide margin. The next-closest player is Augusto Nunez at +450 and there are only 5 total South Americans in the field. Getting a good player at -135 to beat 4 other players is a nice value.

Sanderson Farms Championship – First-round leader

Mark Hubbard (+5500)

Hubbard fired a 1st-round 67 last year, 1 shot off the pace set by Davis Riley and Will Gordon. Coming off a T-17 two weeks ago, Hubbard is playing well and finished 5th here last year.

Stephan Jaeger (+3500)

Jaeger is one of the top players in the field and opened this tournament with a 1st-round 69 last year.

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2023 Sanderson Farms Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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One week after Europe’s win in the Ryder Cup, the PGA Tour continues its fall schedule with the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship in Mississippi. The Country Club of Jackson is hosting the event for the 10th time, with the 1st round beginning on Thursday morning.

Below, we look at the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Ludvig Aberg is the highest-ranked player in the field at No. 11 in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, and is the betting favorite (+1200) to win in Jackson. Eric Cole, Stephan Jaeger (both at +2000) and Emiliano Grillo (+2200) are also among the top players teeing it up in Mississippi this week.

The Country Club of Jackson is a par-72 course and will play at 7,461 yards. It features bermuda grass greens that often roll at very quick speeds, and given the length of the course, strokes gained: off the tee is a good measure of success at the Country Club of Jackson, as are most ball-striking stats due to the smaller greens. The last 9 winning scores here have been between 16-under and 22-under par.

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Sanderson Farms Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:37 p.m. ET.

Eric Cole (+2000)

Cole doesn’t have a PGA Tour win yet on his resume, but he’s someone who’s due for one. He has 4 top-10 finishes already this season, including a 4th-place finish in the Fortinet Championship two weeks ago. He missed the cut  last year after a 1st-round 78 but he’s a good bet this week in Mississippi.

Ludvig Aberg (+1200)

Is Aberg going to be jetlagged and burned out from the festivities in Rome? Maybe. Is he still deserving of the shortest odds this week? Definitely. I’m willing to take him to win this week and ride the momentum after playing well in the Ryder Cup and winning the Omega European Masters last month.

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Sanderson Farms Championship picks – Contenders

Mark Hubbard (+4000)

Hubbard tied for 5th here last year after missing the cut the previous 2 seasons, which was one of 3 top-30 finishes in the fall last season. In the Fortinet Championship 2 weeks ago, he tied for 17th, so he has some momentum.

Greyson Sigg (+5000)

He tied for 9th in this event last year. Last month he tied for 25th in the Fortinet and is above-average in SG: off the tee this season, ranking 79th on tour. As a mid-tier target, Sigg has good value this week.

Sanderson Farms Championship picks – Long shots

Scott Stallings (+9000)

Stallings has a lot of experience in this event, playing it 8 straight seasons. He’s only missed the cut twice in that span and has never finished worse than T-43 when he has made the cut, with his best finish being T-6 three years ago. His odds should probably be shorter, given his course history.

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2023 Ryder Cup prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 Ryder Cup with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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Every other year, Team USA and Europe square off in the Ryder Cup. This year’s competition is being held on European soil at Marco Simone Golf and Country Club just outside Rome, Italy.

The fun gets underway on Friday morning, with 2 days of team matches and the final day consisting of 12 singles matches to decide the eventual champion. Below, we look at the 2023 Ryder Cup odds and make our picks and predictions.

Headlining the American team are Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay, while Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm and Viktor Hovland lead the way for the European squad.

Marco Simone Golf and Country Club is an iconic venue with big elevation changes and a handful of driveable par 4s. This week, it’ll play as a par 72 at 7,268 yards.

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Ryder Cup – Top USA points scorer

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 3:28 p.m. ET.

Xander Schauffele (+650)

Schauffele has the benefit of playing with his buddy Cantlay, and I expect captain Zach Johnson to utilize that duo often in Rome. Considering how frequently Schauffele and Cantlay should be picked in doubles matches (at least 2 or 3 times, I would think), Schauffele is worth a bet to be the top points scorer – that is, if he can win his singles match and Cantlay lose his.

Jordan Spieth (+1000)

Like Schauffele, Spieth has his partner already set up: Justin Thomas. Now, Thomas has struggled all year and looks like a weak link on the United States team, but match play and the Ryder Cup are a different animal. Spieth is 8-4-2 in doubles matches in the Ryder Cup and though he’s winless in singles, this European squad has a few players that Spieth would be favored against, depending on the draw.

Ryder Cup – Top European points scorer

Rory McIlroy (+450)

Take Rory and don’t think twice. The Europeans are probably going to play their top 3 players (McIlroy, Rahm and Hovland) in all 5 matches, so that gives McIlroy ample opportunities to earn points. Assuming he isn’t paired with Rahm or Hovland, too, he could pull ahead of both players in the points category if they trip up in doubles.

Tommy Fleetwood (+650)

Fleetwood might be the Europeans’ not-so-secret weapon. He’s one of the best ball-strikers in the world, which makes him a dream partner in foursomes because he’s going to hit a bunch of irons close for birdie looks.

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Ryder Cup – Top USA rookie

Max Homa (+160)

Homa was perfect at the Presidents Cup last year (4-0) and now gets to make his Ryder Cup debut. While he might seem like a laid-back California kid, he showed plenty of fire in the Presidents Cup and will make a great partner for whoever Johnson pairs him with.

Ryder Cup – Top European rookie

Ludvig Aberg (+150)

Yep, chalk again. Right next to Rory, Aberg is one of the best players off the tee at this Ryder Cup, using his driver as a major advantage thanks to his combination of accuracy and easy power. It remains to be seen how many matches Aberg will play but if he gets off to a good start Friday, he might be tough to keep off the course.

Ryder Cup – Top USA captain’s pick

Jordan Spieth (+450)

Going back to Spieth with this one over Brooks Koepka, Collin Morikawa and others. It just comes down to opportunities and match history, and I think Spieth will be out there a bunch with Thomas, given their match-play success.

Ryder Cup – Top European captain’s pick

Tommy Fleetwood (+225)

Fleetwood is my favorite to finish with the most points among captain’s picks, ahead of Justin Rose, Aberg and others. He does have the shortest odds for this bet, but he deserves to.

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2023 Ryder Cup odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Ryder Cup, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The U.S. and Europe will get together in Italy this week for the 2023 Ryder Cup, which is being held at Marco Simone Golf and Country Club just outside of Rome. Team USA won the Cup in 2021 when it was held in the states, running away with it, 19-9, but the Americans haven’t won on European turf since 1993.

Below, we look at the 2023 Ryder Cup odds and make our picks and predictions.

The American team is led by World No. 1, Scottie Scheffler, as well as 2023 major champions, Wyndham Clark, Brooks Koepka and Brian Harman. Also on the squad are Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, Sam Burns, Max Homa, Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele and Rickie Fowler.

On Team Europe, Rory McIlroy leads the way again, alongside Jon Rahm and Viktor Hovland. Major champions Matt Fitzpatrick, Shane Lowry and Justin Rose are also representing Team Europe, along with PGA Tour rookie Ludvig Aberg. Also on the squad are Tommy Fleetwood, Tyrell Hatton, Robert McIntyre, Nicolai Hojgaard and Sepp Straka.

Marco Simone Golf and Country Club will play as a par 72 and 7,268 yards this week. The course features a few drivable par 4s, which will certainly make match play more interesting, and the severe elevation changes also bring added strategy into the mix.

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Ryder Cup – Winner

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:30 p.m. ET.

USA: -105
Tie: +1200
Europe: +115

There’s no shortage of star power on either team this year. From top to bottom, it’s the strongest collection of talent in the Ryder Cup in quite some time. The Americans have the edge in experience, with returning players such as Scheffler, Morikawa, Koepka, Thomas, Cantlay, Schauffele and Spieth. However, the Europeans are loaded at the top with McIlroy, Rahm and Hovland all ranked inside the top 4 of the Official World Golf Ranking.

Where the Americans could have the edge is further down the board thanks to their depth. Hojgaard, Straka and Aberg are all Ryder Cup rookies and don’t have the same level of experience as the Americans. Clark and Harman are both major champions and ranked in the top 10 in the world, so while they’re Ryder Cup rookies, they’ve had terrific 2023 seasons.

Team USA also doesn’t have a player ranked lower than 26th in the world, whereas Europe has 5 ranked 34th or lower. So as a whole, the Americans have the edge in that regard.

If the Ryder Cup were being played in the U.S., there’s no doubt the Americans would be heavily favored to win. But because it’s in Europe, that gives the home squad a significant advantage, given their success on European soil in past Ryder Cups.

So much of the Ryder Cup comes down to singles matches when all 24 players will be in the spotlight. And as much as I like the Europeans to keep things close or even come out of doubles matches with a slight lead on Saturday, the Americans will get the job done in singles on Sunday because of how deep their team is.

BET USA (-105) to win the Ryder Cup this weekend and retain the cup, beating Team Europe in a close match.

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2023 Fortinet Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 Fortinet Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The PGA Tour begins its fall portion of the schedule with the aptly named FedExCup Fall, which starts with the 2023 Fortinet Championship at Silverado Resort in Napa, Calif.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Fortinet Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Max Homa is going for the three-peat after winning this tournament the last 2 years, and he’s unsurprisingly the betting favorite to win at +750. The next-closest player is Justin Thomas at +1600, tied with Sahith Theegala. Cam Davis has the 4th-best odds (+2000) to win this week.

The North Course at Silverado Resort is a par 72 and will play at 7,123 yards this week. It features poa annua greens, which typically favor players from California, and with the shorter length of the course overall, distance off the tee isn’t essential.

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Fortinet Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:20 p.m. ET.

Sahith Theegala (+360)

Theegala is a California native and has played well in this tournament before, finishing 6th last year after coming in 47th and 14th in his previous 2 starts. He’s at a reasonable price for a top 5 this week.

Stephan Jaeger (+525)

Jaeger has finished in the top 35 in each of his last 6 starts this season, showing good form coming into the week. His best finish in his last 3 starts here, however, was a T-43 last year.

Fortinet Championship – Top-10 picks

Beau Hossler (+275)

Hossler has finished 25th, 16th and 23rd in his last 3 trips to the Fortinet Championship, playing at a high level at Silverado Resort.

Brendon Todd (+350)

Todd may not be a long hitter, but that’s what makes him a great fit for this event. He’s come in 9th and 22nd the last 2 years, using his wedge play and irons to hit a lot of greens.

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Fortinet Championship – Top-20 picks

Austin Eckroat (+240)

Eckroat came in 64th here last year and has missed the cut in his last 2 starts this season, but he’s due to get back on track after playing extremely well in May and June.

Doug Ghim (+240)

Ghim has been a cut-maker all season, missing just 1 cut since the beginning of May. He finished 14th here in 2020 so he does have some decent course history at Silverado Resort.

Justin Lower (+425)

Lower surprised a lot of people by coming in 4th here last year after missing the cut in 2021. Additionally, he’s made the cut in 3 of his last 5 starts, including a T-8 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Fortinet Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Brendon Todd (-105) vs. Eric Cole (-115)

Going back to Todd here with his course history and accuracy off the tee, which will give him a lot of opportunities to hit these greens.

Sahith Theegala (-115) vs. Cam Davis (-105)

This course doesn’t exactly suit Davis’ game, being a longer hitter who likes to overpower venues by cutting corners and bombing it off the tee. He’s missed the cut in 2 of his last 3 starts here, while Theegala is 3-for-3.

Fortinet Championship – Top European

Stephan Jaeger (+200)

It’s not a particularly strong European field, with Alex Noren and Callum Tarren being the next-best players in the field after Jaeger. The +200 might feel like short odds for this one, but Jaeger is trending up.

Fortinet Championship – First-round leader

Sahith Theegala (+3000)

Let’s go with the Cali kid to take an early lead on Thursday after finishing 6th here last year.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group B winner: Brendon Todd (+400)

The others in Todd’s group for this bet are as follows: Beau Hossler (+280), Eric Cole (+333), J.J. Spaun (+375) Andrew Putnam (+400). He has the longest odds of the bunch, which is why I like the value in such an open field.

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2023 Fortinet Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Fortinet Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 1st tournament of the inaugural FedExCup Fall begins this week with the 2023 Fortinet Championship at Silverado Resort in Napa, Calif. It’s the 1st of 7 events this fall as Max Homa goes for the threepeat at this event in his home state. The tournament begins on Thursday morning, with the final round on Sunday afternoon.

Below, we look at the 2023 Fortinet Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Homa is the favorite (+750) to retain his title this week, attempting to win this tournament for the 3rd year in a row. Justin Thomas (+1400) and Sahith Theegala (+1800) are among the big names in the field, along with Cam Davis (+2500). Homa is the highest-ranked player in the field in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, coming in at No. 10.

The North Course at Silverado Resort isn’t overly long, playing at 7,123 yards as a par 72. It was designed by Johnny Miller and this year, holes 8-17 have been rerouted to change the layout.

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Fortinet Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Brendon Todd (+3500)

Todd doesn’t have much length off the tee, but he’s a good fit for Silverado Resort, which isn’t a very demanding course from a distance perspective. It’s part of the reason Todd finished 9th and 22nd in his last 2 starts in this event, and he also finished 26th in 2016 when it was the Frys.com Open.

Stephan Jaeger (+2500)

Jaeger tied for 43rd here last year, but I’m much more interested in his 6 straight top-35 finishes in his last 6 starts, including a T-20 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, his most recent tournament. Jaeger is riding some momentum into this event.

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Fortinet Championship picks – Contenders

Austin Eckroat (+5500)

Eckroat had a hot streak from May to June when he finished in the top 30 in 5 straight starts, including a runner-up at the AT&T Byron Nelson. He’s missed cuts in his last 2 tournaments, but he could be in line to bounce back at an event where he finished 64th last year due to a final-round 77.

Doug Ghim (+5500)

Ghim has only missed 1 cut since the beginning of May, and while he hasn’t finished better than T-12, he’s a cut-maker who could break through eventually to win his 1st PGA Tour event.

Fortinet Championship picks – Long shot

Justin Lower (+10000)

Lower has played this event the last 2 years, missing the cut in 2021 before finishing 4th last year. He finished 8th in July at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

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2023 Tour Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 Tour Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The FedExCup Playoffs will come to a close this weekend at East Lake Golf Club, which is hosting the 2023 Tour Championship once again. The 1st round begins on Thursday from Atlanta.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Tour Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scottie Scheffler comes into the week as the heavy favorite (+140), holding the poll position in the FedExCup standings. That earns him a 2-shot cushion to start the tournament, beginning the week at 10-under par thanks to the staggered scoring format. Viktor Hovland will start at 8-under par, while Rory McIlroy (7-under), Jon Rahm (6-under) and Lucas Glover (5-under) will follow behind Scheffler. Sam BurnsEmiliano GrilloTyrrell HattonJordan Spieth and Sepp Straka will begin the week 10 shots back at even par.

East Lake Golf Club is a par 70 and plays at 7,346 yards, with 2 of the par 5s being played as par 4s during the Tour Championship. It features some of the narrowest fairways on tour, which makes driving accuracy essential because the rough is thick and penalizing.

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Tour Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:17 p.m. ET.

Xander Schauffele (+170)

Schauffele starts 7 shots back of Scheffler and is tied for 11th to begin the week, meaning he has to overtake at least 6 players just to have a chance at the top 5. I’m confident he can do that, given his track record here. In his last 6 starts here, he’s never finished worse than 7th without starting strokes applied, leading the field with the lowest 72-hole score twice.

Max Homa (+160)

Homa comes into this week red hot, improving his finish in each of his last 5 starts: T-21, T-12, T-10, T-6 and T-5 since the start of July. He had the 3rd-lowest 72-hole score last year and starts the week tied for 6th, so he doesn’t have a ton of ground to make up.

Brian Harman (+300)

Harman starts the week tied with Homa for 6th at 4-under par, but we don’t need him to overcome the 6-shot deficit to Scheffler with this bet. He just has to finish in the top 5. In his last 24 rounds, he’s only shot over 70 twice.

Tour Championship – Top-10 picks

Sungjae Im (+160)

Im nearly took down McIlroy last year when he finished T-2 with Scheffler thanks to rounds of 67, 65, 66 and 66. This year, he starts tied for 16th at 2-under but he has the ability to heat up quickly with how frequently he makes birdies.

Russell Henley (-105)

Henley is starting tied for 11th at 3-under. This is only his 2nd time playing the Tour Championship since 2017 but his accuracy off the tee will keep him in the short grass and able to attack pins.

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Tour Championship – Winner without bonus strokes

Xander Schauffele (+1200)

Schauffele has cashed this bet twice in his last 6 starts here and he’s also finished 2nd and 3rd once each in that span. As previously mentioned, he’s never finished worse than 7th without the bonus strokes applied, owning the highest total strokes gained here since 2015, per Ron Klos.

Rory McIlroy (+550)

McIlroy is a perennial contender at East Lake, winning the Tour Championship just last year after taking down Scheffler. Without bonus strokes, he’s finished with the low 72-hole score 3 times since 2016.

Tour Championship – Matchups (bonus strokes applied)

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Brian Harman (-120) vs. Lucas Glover (-105)

It might feel risky to bet Harman at -120 considering he’s spotting Glover a shot to start the week, but one shot is nothing for him to overcome. It might be time to fade Glover, who finished 22nd out of 50 players last week at the BMW Championship. He could be running out of steam, but I don’t think the same can be said for Harman.

Russell Henley (-125) vs. Rickie Fowler (+100)

Since his win in July, Fowler has finished 25th, 58th, 23rd and 42nd, so he hasn’t exactly played that well lately. Henley is deadly accurate with his driver and had the 3rd-lowest 72-hole score without strokes in 2017, his last appearance at East Lake.

Tour Championship – Top Asian

Sungjae Im (+138)

Tom Kim (+175) and Si Woo Kim (+225) are the only other competitors in this wager, and they all start at 2-under par, so they’re playing straight-up this week. Im has the best track record here and has 2 top-10 finishes in his last 2 starts this season.

Tour Championship – First-round leader

Rory McIlroy (+500)

It’s tough to bet on the 1st-round leader this week because Scheffler has a 2-shot lead over the next-closest guy, Hovland, but McIlroy is one worth betting because when he’s in a position to chase, he can go really low.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group B winner: Xander Schauffele (+275)

Schauffele and Homa are tied as the favorites in this group, followed by Glover (+375), Matt Fitzpatrick (+450) and Wyndham Clark (+450). I’ve already mentioned how well Schauffele has played here in the past, making him the best player to bet in this group.

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