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The PGA Tour begins its fall portion of the schedule with the aptly named FedExCup Fall, which starts with the 2023 Fortinet Championship at Silverado Resort in Napa, Calif.
Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Fortinet Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Max Homa is going for the three-peat after winning this tournament the last 2 years, and he’s unsurprisingly the betting favorite to win at +750. The next-closest player is Justin Thomas at +1600, tied with Sahith Theegala. Cam Davis has the 4th-best odds (+2000) to win this week.
The North Course at Silverado Resort is a par 72 and will play at 7,123 yards this week. It features poa annua greens, which typically favor players from California, and with the shorter length of the course overall, distance off the tee isn’t essential.
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Fortinet Championship – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:20 p.m. ET.
Sahith Theegala (+360)
Theegala is a California native and has played well in this tournament before, finishing 6th last year after coming in 47th and 14th in his previous 2 starts. He’s at a reasonable price for a top 5 this week.
Stephan Jaeger (+525)
Jaeger has finished in the top 35 in each of his last 6 starts this season, showing good form coming into the week. His best finish in his last 3 starts here, however, was a T-43 last year.
Fortinet Championship – Top-10 picks
Beau Hossler (+275)
Hossler has finished 25th, 16th and 23rd in his last 3 trips to the Fortinet Championship, playing at a high level at Silverado Resort.
Brendon Todd (+350)
Todd may not be a long hitter, but that’s what makes him a great fit for this event. He’s come in 9th and 22nd the last 2 years, using his wedge play and irons to hit a lot of greens.
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Fortinet Championship – Top-20 picks
Austin Eckroat (+240)
Eckroat came in 64th here last year and has missed the cut in his last 2 starts this season, but he’s due to get back on track after playing extremely well in May and June.
Doug Ghim (+240)
Ghim has been a cut-maker all season, missing just 1 cut since the beginning of May. He finished 14th here in 2020 so he does have some decent course history at Silverado Resort.
Justin Lower (+425)
Lower surprised a lot of people by coming in 4th here last year after missing the cut in 2021. Additionally, he’s made the cut in 3 of his last 5 starts, including a T-8 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Fortinet Championship – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Brendon Todd (-105) vs. Eric Cole (-115)
Going back to Todd here with his course history and accuracy off the tee, which will give him a lot of opportunities to hit these greens.
Sahith Theegala (-115) vs. Cam Davis (-105)
This course doesn’t exactly suit Davis’ game, being a longer hitter who likes to overpower venues by cutting corners and bombing it off the tee. He’s missed the cut in 2 of his last 3 starts here, while Theegala is 3-for-3.
Fortinet Championship – Top European
Stephan Jaeger (+200)
It’s not a particularly strong European field, with Alex Noren and Callum Tarren being the next-best players in the field after Jaeger. The +200 might feel like short odds for this one, but Jaeger is trending up.
Fortinet Championship – First-round leader
Sahith Theegala (+3000)
Let’s go with the Cali kid to take an early lead on Thursday after finishing 6th here last year.
More expert prop bet predictions
Group B winner: Brendon Todd (+400)
The others in Todd’s group for this bet are as follows: Beau Hossler (+280), Eric Cole (+333), J.J. Spaun (+375) Andrew Putnam (+400). He has the longest odds of the bunch, which is why I like the value in such an open field.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
- Don’t freak out, but Tiger Woods is on the range at Liberty National
- Thrilling finishes await at Fortinet Championship after Silverado improves routing
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