The American Express: Fantasy Golf Power Rankings

Previewing the 2020 American Express and looking at the best fantasy golf selections for the tournament.

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The PGA Tour returns to mainland USA this week for The American Express in La Quinta, Calif. The tournament (formerly the Desert Classic) is played over three courses — TPC Stadium Course at PGA West, PGA West Nicklaus Tournament Course and La Quinta Country Club. It runs as a pro-am with a 54-hole cut before the remaining professionals tee it up on the Stadium Course for Sunday’s final round.

The American Express Fantasy Golf Rankings: Top 30

Sungjae Im. (Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2020 American Express in La Quinta, Calif.

30. Jason Dufner

The 2016 champion missed the cut last year, and he has slipped all the way to No. 265 in the Official World Golf Ranking, but he has fared very well on Pete Dye courses over his career.

29. Sebastian Munoz

Munoz missed the cut last week at the Sony Open in Hawaii. It came just two events after his third-place finish at The RSM Classic. He had another strong putting performance last week and his weaker tee-to-green game will be mitigated here with all three courses shorter than 7,200 yards.

28. Brendon Todd

Already a two-time winner in 2019-20, Todd continued his climb up the OWGR with a T-21 result last week and now sits at No. 58. He hasn’t played this event since back-to-back missed cuts in 2015 and ’16.

27. Nick Taylor

Taylor always has a strong approach game, as seen in his 1.27 Strokes Gained: Approach per round last week, according to Data Golf. He lost nearly a half-stroke per round putting, and an average performance would allow him to contend.

Cameron Davis. (Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

26. Cameron Davis

Davis was the 36-hole co-leader last week in Hawaii en route to a T-9 result. His driver was a big part of his performance, but it won’t be as valuable at the shorter courses this week.

25. Brendan Steele

Last week’s runner-up, Steele gained 1.49 strokes per round putting. That sort of success on the greens is rarely replicated week-to-week, but he also gained 1.61 strokes on approach and is worth a shot while he’s hot.

24. Jason Kokrak

Kokrak finished T-8 in 2018 and T-18 last year. The 64th-ranked golfer in the world missed just two cuts in 24 events last year and is a safe pick with a guaranteed 54 holes of play.

23. Alex Noren

Noren has made nine straight cuts in worldwide events. He’s coming off a T-32 finish last week despite losing 0.95 strokes per round with the flat stick.

22. Rory Sabbatini

Sabbatini has made three straight cuts in La Quinta, with last year’s T-57 finish his best result in that span. He missed the cut just once since last July.

21. Bud Cauley

Cauley has averaged 2.01 strokes gained per round on the Stadium Course, more than anyone else in this week’s field. He missed the cut last year but a T-3 result in 2017 was sandwiched by T-14 showings in 2016 and ’18.

20. Billy Horschel

Horschel hasn’t played here since missing the cut in 2016. He already has two top 10s early in the 2019-20 PGA Tour season and has one of the best resumes in this week’s weaker field.

19. Cameron Champ

Champ took last week off after a T-14 finish at the Sentry Tournament of Champions the week before. The Safeway Open champ makes his debut at this event.

18. Brian Harman

Harman ranks second to Cauley in Strokes Gained at the Stadium Course among those in the field with a minimum of six rounds played. He used a well-balanced game to pick up a T-32 finish last week.

17. J.T. Poston

The Postman missed the cut last week, as he lost 1.26 strokes per round on approach. He’ll look to rebound at an event where he finished T-7 in 2019.

16. Kevin Na

Na skipped last year’s tournament, but he hadn’t missed the cut in any of his previous four appearances. He had a top showing of T-3 in 2016. He’s incredibly strong in proximity to the pin on approach shots from 100-125 yards. With many of the par 4s on all three courses ranging between 350-400 yards, he’ll have plenty of his favorite shots.

Russell Knox. (Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

15. Russell Knox

Knox was third among those to make the cut last week with 1.47 strokes gained per round on approach. He was T-18 here last year following a T-29 in 2018.

14. Lucas Glover

Glover’s a regular contender in La Quinta with three top-20 showings in his last five appearances. His strong approach game sets up plenty of scoring chances at these shorter venues.

13. Phil Mickelson

The new co-host of this event, Lefty was a co-runner-up last year. He has slipped to No. 79 in the world entering this week, but he’s still a safe choice at these familiar courses.

12. Chez Reavie

Reavie had a rare missed cut last week. He has gained 1.45 strokes per round over eight career rounds on the Stadium Course, and he can create scoring chances.

11. Abraham Ancer

Ancer tied for 18th last year after finishing 76th in 2018. He gained 0.93 strokes per round on approach last week on his way to a T-38 finish.


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10. Matthew Wolff

Wolff played just the first of the two events in Hawaii, picking up a T-11 result in his first Tournament of Champions. The PGA Tour sophomore has been struggling on his approach shots, but he’s very strong off the tee and on the greens.

Francesco Molinari. (Photo Credit: Ian Rutherford – USA TODAY Sports)

9. Francesco Molinari

The odds may be stacked against the Italian Stallion, as only five non-Americans have won this event. He strung together a stretch of T-10, T-62 and T-12 from 2015 through ’17 before skipping the event the last two years.

8. Charles Howell III

Howell’s yet another course horse very familiar with all three tracks. He has collected three top-20 showings in his last five appearances, and he’s coming off a solid T-12 result last week.

7. Tony Finau

Finau’s the top golfer in the field from the OWGR (15), but he’s playing his first full-field PGA Tour event since the Mayakoba Golf Classic. He was fifth in last week’s Hong Kong Open on the Asian Tour.

6. Byeong Hun An

An makes his debut at the event formerly known as the Desert Classic and CareerBuilder Challenge. He hasn’t participated in a tournament since early November’s WGC-HSBC Champions, but he already has three top 10s on the 2019-20 season.

5. Paul Casey

Similarly to Molinari, Finau and some of the other top-ranked golfers in the field, Casey may struggle to get up for this event as he looks ahead to next week’s Farmers Insurance Open. He hasn’t played in La Quinta since a T-58 result in 2017.

Scottie Scheffler. (Photo Credit: Ray Carlin – USA TODAY Sports)

4. Scottie Scheffler

We haven’t seen Scheffler, a recent Korn Ferry Tour graduate, since a T-5 showing at The RSM Classic. He has three top 10s and two top 5s early in his PGA Tour season.

3. Rickie Fowler

Fowler skipped last week’s event following a T-5 finish at the TOC. He’s well worth backing ahead of his defense of the Waste Management Phoenix Open during Super Bowl week.

2. Kevin Kisner

Kis made the cut here each of the last three years but with a top showing of just T-25 in 2017. He finished T-4 last week while gaining 1.32 strokes per round on approach and losing 0.23 strokes putting. Nine of the last 10 champions here played in Hawaii the week before.

1. Sungjae Im

Im finished T-21 last week while picking up 0.84 strokes per round on the putting surfaces. He was T-12 in his La Quinta debut last year and is still looking for his first PGA Tour win.

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The American Express odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the sports betting odds to win the 2020 American Express, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

The PGA Tour is in La Quinta, Calif. this week for The American Express. Tony FinauPaul Casey, Francesco Molinari and Rickie Fowler highlight those in the field for the event hosted by Phil Mickelson. Below, we look at the best PGA Tour bets to win the 2020 American Express

The event is played on three courses and features a 54-hole cut. All three tracks were designed by Pete Dye and play to a par of 72. The key stats for the week are:

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Par 4 Efficiency: 350-400 Yards
  • Opportunities Gained
  • Proximity: 100-125 Yards

Pay added attention to golfer success on Dye-designed courses with Bermuda greens.

The American Express – Tier 1

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 3 a.m. ET.

Sungjae Im (+1800)

Im debuted at this event with a T-12 result last year. He enters the week 35th in the Official World Golf Ranking following last week’s T-21 finish at the Sony Open in Hawaii. He’s still looking for his first PGA Tour victory and will be one of the more motivated golfers in a rather weak early-season field.

Kevin Kisner (+2800)

Kisner enters the week as the sixth-best golfer in the field by the OWGR measure, but he’s seventh by the odds at BetMGM, representing moderate value for the three-time PGA Tour champ. He made the cut here each of the previous three years, but with a top finish of T-25 (2017). Only four golfers who made the cut last week gained more strokes per round on approach than Kisner’s 0.85.

The American Express – Tier 2

(Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports)

Chez Reavie (+6000)

Reavie’s coming off a missed cut last week in Hawaii, but he made the weekend each of the last four years in La Quinta. His best finish was a T-12 in 2017. The 37th-ranked golfer in the world ranks third in the field in Opportunities Gained on Pete Dye courses with Bermuda greens.


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Bud Cauley (+6600)

Cauley leads this week’s field with 2.01 strokes gained per round over seven rounds played on the Stadium Course in La Quinta, according to Data Golf. He missed the cut last week in his first event since a T-9 finish at the Houston Open. He was T-3 here in 2017 with T-14 finishes in 2016 and 2018 before missing the weekend last year.

The American Express – Longshots

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

Cameron Davis (+10000)

Davis finished T-9 at 7-under par in Hawaii last week. It was a Saturday round of 71 which was the difference for the 36-hole co-leader. He averaged 0.85 strokes gained per round on approach, but it was his 2.00 SG per round tee-to-green which had him contending. Davis finished T-28 here a year ago.

Doc Redman (+12500)

Redman’s worth a roll of the dice as our deepest shot for the week with a $10 bet returning a profit of $1,250 with a tournament win. He missed the cut last week for his third MC in nine events to begin the 2019-20 PGA Tour season, but his runner-up finish at last year’s Rocket Mortgage Classic was in a much stronger field than the one slated to tee off this week.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

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Sony Open: Fantasy Golf Power Rankings

Previewing the 2020 Sony Open in Hawaii and looking at the best fantasy golf selections for Waialae Country Club.

A field of 140 golfers descends on Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii this week for the 2020 Sony Open. It’s the first full-field tournament since late November’s RSM Classic. Justin Thomas, who claimed his second victory of the 2019-20 PGA Tour season at last week’s Sentry Tournament of Champions is the top golfer from the Official World Golf Ranking in attendance at No. 4.

Fantasy Golf Rankings: Top 30

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2020 Sony Open in Hawaii at Waialae Country Club.

30. Zach Johnson

The former major champ hasn’t accomplished much of late, but the short venue (7,044 yards) suits his game. He was T-6 here in 2017 and T-9 in 2016.

29. Patton Kizzire

A winner in 2018, Kizzire followed it up with an adequate T-13 showing last year. He missed 15 cuts in 2019, but he’s still worth trusting in Honolulu.

28. Hudson Swafford

Two top 10s and no missed cuts in his last four appearances. The approach game is strong, he just needs to get there.

27. Kyle Stanley

Has slipped to No. 118 in the world after peaking at 26th in 2018. One of his five top 10s over the last two years came at Waialae.

(Photo Credit: Steve Flynn – USA TODAY Sports)

26. Keegan Bradley

Enters in woeful form since his co-runner-up finish at the 2019 Travelers Championship, but his best success has come on shorter tracks (like TPC River Highlands).

25. Sebastian Munoz

Munoz stood his ground at his first Sentry Tournament of Champions following a breakthrough win at the Sanderson Farms Championship. He has been great off the tee and avoids trouble.

24. Brian Stuard

A true course horse with a T-8 and T-4 results in his last two visits to the Sony Open.

23. Shugo Imahira

Has a win, two runners-up and a third-place finish on the Japan Tour since mid-October to rocket up to No. 30 in the OWGR.

22. Brendon Todd

Todd fell back to Earth with a 29th-place finish in the more competitive 30-man TOC last week, but he still jumped 11 spots in the OWGR to 61st.

21. Kevin Na

Only Martin Trainer lost more strokes per round putting last week than Na’s 1.45. It’s usually a strong part of his game and can be expected to bounce back.

20. Russell Knox

One of the best in the field at avoiding trouble and taking bogeys. Has three top 20s in the last five years.

19. Emiliano Grillo

Winless since 2015, Grillo has slipped outside of the top 100 in the world since finishing T-41 at the Mayakoba Classic. He’ll rely on a strong approach game to set up birdies on the short par 4s.

(Photo Credit: Shanna Lockwood – USA TODAY Sports)

18. Alexander Noren

Makes his debut at this event, but has the driver to make a short course even shorter and give himself good angles into the greens.

17. Rory Sabbatini

Loves carding eagles and has the approach game needed to compete at Waialae.

16. Abraham Ancer

Had a T-8 at the Mayakoba and a T-4 at the WGC-HSBC Champions before shining for the International team at the Presidents Cup. Will be able to set himself up well off the tee.

15. Cameron Smith

Another Presidents Cup star for the losing side, Smith hasn’t missed the cut here in his last four tries. Can handle the par 4s but will need to make some eagles.

14. Joaquin Niemann

The Greenbrier champ picked up a surprising T-5 result at the TOC last week with a well-balanced game.

13. J.T Poston

Ranked third in the field in Strokes Gained: Putting last week at the TOC and will look to keep the flat stick hot in Honolulu.

12. Corey Conners

Broke through with a T-3 result here last year after gaining entry as a Monday qualifier. He won’t need to rely on his shaky putter with his driver and irons dicing up the short course.

11. Chez Reavie

The best in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach and third in Eagles Gained and Good Drives Gained. Also tied for third a year ago.


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10. Brandt Snedeker

A runner-up in 2016, Sneds was T-16 last year. Hasn’t missed a cut in eight events since The Open.

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

9. Kevin Kisner

Will be able to score well with seven of the 12 par 4s coming in below 450 yards.

8. Charles Howell III

Two T-8 showings in his last three appearances here. He can take advantage of easy scoring opportunities.

7. Collin Morikawa

Will be playing in front of plenty of friends and family who call Maui home again this week. It helped him finish T-7 in his debut at the TOC last week.

6. Sungjae Im

Im hasn’t played competitively since a T-11 at the HSBC Champions. He was T-16 in his tournament debut last year.

5. Patrick Reed

Gained a ridiculous 2.33 strokes per round putting last week. His approach game was poor and it’ll need to be on point this week.

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

4. Matt Kuchar

The defending champ tied for 14th last week. He’s a wiz on the par 4s.

3. Marc Leishman

Leish comes off a T-10 showing at the Australian Open. He’s another member of the tie for third last year.

2. Webb Simpson

Simpson leads my stat model at Fantasy National with best-in-show ranks in SG: Approach and SG: Par 4s. He didn’t play last year, but was T-4 in 2018 and T-13 in each of his three previous trips.

1. Justin Thomas

Three wins since mid-August all against stiffer competition than he’ll face this week. He’s well worth the price of admission.

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Sony Open odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2020 Sony Open in Hawaii, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

This week’s Sony Open in Hawaii sees the PGA Tour’s first full-field event since the RSM Classic in late November. The 7,044-yard, par-70 Waialae Country Club hosts the tournament yet again in Honolulu, Hawaii.

The key stats for this week are:

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Good Drives Gained
  • Eagles Gained
  • Strokes Gained: Par 4s

My model at Fantasy National is set to the most recent 36 rounds for each golfer in the field played on par-70 courses under 7,200 yards in length and featuring Bermuda grass greens.

Sony Open – Tier 1

(Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:45 a.m. ET.

Webb Simpson (+1200)

Simpson leads my stat model and is the best in the field in both SG: Approach and SG: Par 4s. He’s third in the field with an Official World Golf Ranking of No. 12, and he shares the second-best odds with Patrick Reed. The five-time PGA Tour champ didn’t play here last year, but he was T-4 in 2018 and T-13 each of the three previous three years.

Marc Leishman (+4500)

Leishman tied for third here a year ago, and he hasn’t finished worse than T-47 in any of his last five tries. He ranks seventh in the field by the OWGR measure, but he’s 13th by the odds at BetMGM. He’s a good value pick following last year’s top finish and a solo third at the Safeway Open in September early in his 2019-20 campaign.

Sony Open – Tier 2

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

J.T. Poston (+5000)

Poston is coming off a T-11 finish in the 30-man field at last week’s Sentry Tournament of Champions. He has missed just one cut in nine events since vaulting into the top 100 of the OWGR with his first career win at last season’s Wyndham Championship. He leads the field in Bogey Avoidance, and he ranks seventh in Good Drives Gained and fourth in SG: Par 4s.


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Rory Sabbatini (+8000)

Sabbatini is one of many in the field returning to competitive play for the first time since the RSM Classic. He’s coming off a 2019 calendar year in which he had six top 10s against just four missed cuts for his most successful season since his last PGA Tour win in 2011 at The Honda Classic. This is a similarly short venue, and he’s made the cut in four of his last five appearances with a T-6 result in 2015.

Sony Open – Longshots

(Photo Credit: John David Mercer – USA TODAY Sports)

Luke List (+15000)

List didn’t play this event last year following a missed cut in 2018, but he did finish T-13 in 2017. He enters the week ranked 145th in the world following three missed cuts to start his 2019-20 season, but he did have two runners-up last year. He also finished second at the 2018 Honda Classic amid a stronger field.

Mackenzie Hughes (+25000)

Hughes isn’t much of a course fit (49th in Eagles Gained and 57th in SG: Approach), but this number is far too high for a former PGA Tour champ. A $1 sprinkle at these odds returns a profit of $250.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Sentry Tournament of Champions: Fantasy Golf Power Rankings

Previewing the 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions and looking at the best fantasy golf selections for Plantation Course at Kapalua.

The Sentry Tournament of Champions in Maui, Hawaii kicks off the 2020 PGA Tour year with a field of 34 winners from 2019 in attendance. Those set to tee off Thursday include five of the top 10 in the Official World Golf Ranking.

The event returns to the Plantation Course at Kapalua, with the venue having undergone significant renovations since last year’s tournament. It now measures 7,518 yards and plays as a par 73.

Fantasy Golf Rankings: Top 30

Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions at the Plantation Course at Kapalua.

30. Adam Long

Long missed five consecutive cuts after getting career win No. 1 at the Desert Classic. He was T-2 at the Mayakoba Classic, but he followed it up with a T-35 at The RSM Classic.

29. Sung Kang

Kang claimed his first PGA Tour since 2013 at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but he missed the cut in six of his remaining 16 worldwide events on the year.

28. Max Homa

Homa takes a break from roasting his followers on Twitter this week to compete in the Tournament of Champions. His lone top-20 result since winning the Wells Fargo Championship was a T-5 at the Japan Tour’s Dunlop Phoenix.

27. J.B. Holmes

Holmes may be better known now for his “feud” with World No. 1 Brooks Koepka, than for his 2019 win at the Genesis Open. He finished the 2019 Tour year with no other top 10s and 10 missed cuts. He most recently withdrew from the CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges.

26. Tyler Duncan

Photo Credit: Ray Carlin – USA TODAY Sports

Duncan’s victory is the most recent among those in attendance, having claimed his first career win at The RSM Classic. The win vaulted him from No. 387 in the world to 170th, and he’s now 164th. He positions his tee shots well and has a good approach game.

25. Nate Lashley

Lashley got his first PGA Tour win at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. He missed eight cuts in 2019 and withdrew from the no-cut Zozo Championship in Japan, but he enters the week seventh in the field in Bogey Avoidance over everyone’s last 36 rounds on courses with Bermuda greens.

24. Dylan Frittelli

The reigning John Deere Classic champ started his 2019-20 season with top 10s at the Sanderson Farms Championship and Safeway Open before missing the cut at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open.

23. Lanto Griffin

Griffin has gained 1.015 strokes per round putting to start the season and took down the Houston Open in just his fifth PGA Tour event of 2019. He’s coming off a missed cut at The RSM Classic.

22. Ryan Palmer

Palmer gets entry into this event as the playing partner to Jon Rahm at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans in late April. He placed in the top 10 in four solo events, most recently tying for 10th at the Zozo.

21. Keith Mitchell

Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports

Mitchell won’t get the full advantage of his distance at this venue with all in attendance able to reap the rewards of the wide, rolling fairways. His victory came at the competitive Honda Classic, showing he can contend in elite fields.

20. J.T. Poston

Poston moved from 158th to 77th in the OWGR with his win at the Wyndham Championship immediately prior to the start of the FedExCup playoffs. He rarely finds trouble or plays himself out of contention.

19. Cameron Champ

Champ picked up a win at the Safeway Open to qualify for his second straight Tournament of Champions. He tied for 19th a year ago, but that’s unrelated to his ranking, here.

18. Matthew Wolff

Wolff won the 3M Open in his rookie season. It came just one week after the only missed cut of his debut campaign at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

17. Kevin Na

Na won twice on the PGA Tour in 2019, taking down the Charles Schwab Challenge and Shriners. His lack of distance will be a weakness at this venue.

16. Chez Reavie

Reavie stepped into the winner’s circle for the first time since 2008 with a victory at the Travelers Championship. He positions himself well off the tee.

15. Sebastian Munoz

Another first-time PGA Tour winner in 2019, Munoz claimed victory at the Sanderson Farms Championship. He missed the cut in two of five events since, but he was solo third at The RSM Classic.

14. Joaquin Niemann

Niemann had four top-10 showings in the 2018-19 season before starting the 2019-20 campaign with victory at The Greenbrier. He’s one of the top pin-seekers from distance in the field.

13. Brendon Todd

Photo Credit: Ray Carlin – USA TODAY Sports

Todd enters the week in better form than anyone in the field after consecutive wins at the Bermuda Championship and Mayakoba Classic and a solo fourth at The RSM Classic. He’ll face a tougher test at a longer venue amid a stronger field.

12. Corey Conners

Conners came up with a clutch victory at the Valero Texas Open to gain entry to the Masters. His putting struggles won’t be as apparent at a longer venue where his distance and ball-striking will shine.

11. Kevin Kisner

Kisner broke through with a win at the WGC-Match Play, but was held out of the top 10 until back-to-back T-9s at the BMW Championship and Tour Championship in the FEC playoffs.


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10. Collin Morikawa

A finalist for 2019 Rookie of the Year, Morikawa’s first of what seems likely to be many career wins came at the Barracuda Championship. There aren’t any flaws in his game.

9. Paul Casey

Casey avoids trouble and can score low. He tied for 16th a year ago.

8. Rickie Fowler

Fowler finished fifth in 2016 and tied for fourth in 2018. He returns after year off following his win at the Waste Management Phoenix Open.

7. Patrick Reed

Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports

It’s unknown at the time of publishing whether Reed made the flight to Maui with his trusted shovel. His accuracy off the tee and on approach hasn’t been in top form of late, and he’ll again need to overcome the ire of spectators.

6. Gary Woodland

Woodland was the runner-up here a year ago and makes his second straight appearance following his US Open win.

5. Xander Schauffele

The defending champ has won a total four PGA Tour events over the last three years, but this was his only win in 2019. He had three runner-up results.

4. Patrick Cantlay

Entering the week at No. 9 in the OWGR, Cantlay won the Memorial Tournament and had seven other top 10s last year. He’s had two runner-up finishes since mid-August.

3. Jon Rahm

The top golfer from the OWGR at No. 3 in the world, Rahm was the runner-up here in 2018 and finished T-8 in 2019.

2. Dustin Johnson

Johnson hasn’t finished worse than T-6 in his last three appearances here, including a win in 2018. He has a total of 12 worldwide wins since the start of 2016.

1. Justin Thomas

Thomas is the 2017 champion of Kapalua and he finished third a year ago. The free distance added by the venue plays to his advantage and lets his ball-striking and putting carry the weight.

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Sentry Tournament of Champions odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

The 2020 portion of the 2019-20 PGA Tour schedule kicks off this week with the Sentry Tournament of Champions at the Plantation Course at Kapalua. A field of thirty-four features five of the top 10 golfers in the Official World Golf Ranking.

The key stats best suited to the 7,518-yard, par-73 venue are:

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Sand Saves Gained
  • Good Drives Gained
  • Proximity 175-200 Yards

My model at Fantasy National looks at the most recent 36 rounds played on courses with Bermuda greens.

Sentry Tournament of Champions – Tier 1

Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:20 p.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+1400)

Cantlay is the fourth-best golfer in attendance by the OWGR measure. His only 2019 win came at the Memorial Tournament, but he preceded it by back-to-back T-3 results and followed it up late in the year with runner-up finishes at the BMW Championship and Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. He has the most appealing odds of the top golfers in the elite field with a $10 bet returning a profit of $140.

Collin Morikawa (+2200)

Morikawa offers a better return than Cantlay. A rookie in 2019, his first career win came at the Barracuda Championship. He enters the week ranked 65th by the OWGR and most recently finished T-5 at the Japan Tour’s Dunlop Phoenix. He has a great approach game and excels from our key proximity distance this week.

Sentry Tournament of Champions – Tier 2

Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports

Corey Conners (+2800)

Conners won’t get the full advantage of his driver this week at a venue with wide, rolling fairways allowing all in attendance to bomb it off the tee, but he will get something of a reprieve from his usual struggles on the greens. Each of the last five TOC champions finished at or below 21-under par, and Conners certainly has the ability to go that low.


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Matt Kuchar (+2800)

Much of Kuchar’s career success has come early in the calendar year. The 24th-ranked golfer in the world won twice last season, at the Mayakoba Golf Classic and the Sony Open in Hawaii. He was also the runner-up at both the RBC Heritage and WGC-Match Play. He ranks second to Conners by my stat model.

Sentry Tournament of Champions – Longshots

Photo Credit: Thomas J. Russo – USA TODAY Sports

Joaquin Niemann (+3000)

Niemann is coming off a Presidents Cup loss as a member of the International team. He gained entry to this event with his first career victory at A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier to kick off the 2019-20 PGA Tour campaign, and has been one of the most active golfers early in the season. His strong approach game gives him an advantage on the expansive greens.

Keith Mitchell (+4000)

Mitchell is our longest dart throw at a tournament without a lot of betting value due to the small field of elites. He also earned his first career victory in 2019 at The Honda Classic in early March. He held off World No. 1 Brooks Koepka on Sunday, and showed he can compete in strong fields.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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QBE Shootout odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2019 QBE Shootout and which teams of golfers are the best options for the event. Who will win at Tiburon Golf Club?

Twelve two-man teams will compete in the QBE Shootout at Tiburon Golf Club in Naples, Fla., this weekend. The 54-hole event runs three days, from Friday through Sunday.

The first round is played under scramble rules, whereby both members of each team will play every shot with the better ball being taken each time. Round 2 consists of greensomes, where both players tee off on each hole and the alternate shot is played from the spot of the better ball.

The final round is played under standard four-ball rules with each golfer playing the hole on their own and the best score being taken.


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The 7,288-yard venue plays as a par 72. The teams compete for a $3.5 million purse, but it is not an official money event and no FedExCup points are awarded.

QBE Shootout – Odds, picks and best bets

Matthew Wolff. (Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET.

Viktor Hovland-Matthew Wolff (+600)

The two combine for just 42 years of age, making them younger than several of the individual golfers in this event. Hovland is expected to be a top contender for PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, while Wolff came up just short of the award last year.

Hovland, 22, placed solo fourth at last season’s Wyndham Championship for the best result of his young career. He’s ranked 96th by the Official World Golf Ranking, while Wolff, who got his first career win at the 3M Open last summer, is 117th in the world. Their odds are lower as fan favorites, but the youngsters have the length and putting, and the motivation for the early-career win in an uninspired field.

Charles Howell III-Bubba Watson (+800)

Watson, ranked 44th by the OWGR, is coming off a last-place finish at last week’s Hero World Challenge. Howell, ranked 54th in the world, missed the cut at the RSM Classic as his last event. The two combined for four victories in 2018.

Howell finished tied for third here last year with partner Luke List. Watson was sixth with Harold Varner III.

Charley Hoffman-Kevin Kisner (+1200)

Hoffman also finished T-3 a year ago (with partner Gary Woodland), while Kisner finished last with playing partner Cameron Champ. Kisner tied for seventh at last week’s Hero World Challenge exhibition. The two have plenty of length off the tee, and Kisner, who’s the defending match-play champion, can get hot and carry the team with his putter.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Hero World Challenge: Fantasy Golf Power Rankings

Previewing the 2019 Hero World Challenge and looking at the best fantasy golf selections for Albany.

The 2019 Hero World Challenge brings host Tiger Woods and 17 more of the top golfers in the world to The Bahamas for the final individual PGA Tour event of 2019. The Presidents Cup and QBE Shootout will run next week before the golf world takes a short hiatus ahead of the Sentry Tournament of Champions in the first week of January.

The event returns to Albany for a fifth consecutive year. Three of the previous four champions, including defending champ Jon Rahm, are back. A total of six of the top 10 golfers from the Official World Golf Ranking are in the field and competing for their share of the $3.5 million purse.

Fantasy Golf Rankings: Top 30

Here are my fantasy golf rankings for the 2019 Hero World Challenge at Albany.

18. Chez Reavie

Named as the replacement for Dustin Johnson last week, as the No. 4 golfer in the world withdrew in preparation for the Presidents Cup. He enters the week ranked No. 36 in the world, having moved up from No. 63 at the end of last year.

17. Kevin Kisner

Last played here in 2017 and tied for 12th. He enters in poor form having missed the cut at the RSM Classic and tied for 76th at the Mayakoba Golf Classic.

16. Henrik Stenson

Doesn’t have a win since the 2017 Wyndham Championship but has five top-10 showings in 2019. He was fourth here last year and was the runner-up in 2016.

15. Jordan Spieth

The 2014 Hero World Challenge champ got his victory at a different venue (Isleworth Country Club). He didn’t participate last year but was T-3 in 2017. He’s the top putter in the field, but his tee-to-green game remains a mess. Has the worst OWGR ranking among those in attendance (No. 44).

14. Bubba Watson

Holds the tournament scoring record at Albany at 25-under par set in his 2015 victory. He’s collected three top 10 finishes in 2019, but he missed the cut in two of his last five events with a top finish of T-28 in that time.

13. Matt Kuchar

The 23rd-ranked golfer in the world hasn’t won since last season’s Sony Open in Hawaii. He is a two-time runner-up in 2019 with four other top 10s matching his number of missed cuts.

Aug 25, 2019; Atlanta, GA, USA; Gary Woodland lines up his putt on the third green during the final round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports

12. Gary Woodland

The reigning U.S. Open champ tied for eighth in his debut at Albany last year. He has slipped to No. 18 in the world after peaking at No. 12, but he is coming off a disappointing T-20 finish in a weaker field at the Japan Tour’s Dunlop Phoenix.

11. Bryson DeChambeau

Slipped from No. 5 in the world at this time last year to No. 12 entering this week. He hasn’t played in an event since finishing T-4 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in the first week of October. A strong putter, but his ball-striking game hasn’t been in good enough form.


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10. Tony Finau

An expert ball-striker but he won’t have his usual advantage off the tee due to the tight confines of Albany with forced layups on the shorter holes. He was the runner-up last year, but he’s coming off a very disappointing missed cut in a weaker field at the Mayakoba Golf Classic.

9. Patrick Reed

Has struggled slightly with the flat stick of late. His 11th-place finish last year was his worst result in four attempts at Albany, but he was the runner-up in his 2015 debut.

Aug 23, 2019; Atlanta, GA, USA; Rickie Fowler walks to the fourth hole during the second round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports

8. Rickie Fowler

The 2017 champ has never finished worse than his T-5 in 2018. The No. 22 golfer in the world hasn’t played a worldwide event since his 19th-place finish at the Tour Championship to conclude the 2018-19 season.

7. Justin Rose

Leads the field in Opportunities Gained over everyone’s last 36 rounds, per Fantasy National. He finished solo third last year following a T-5 in 2017. His last victory came at the Farmers Insurance Open, and he had six other top-10 showings in 2019.

6. Webb Simpson

Enters the week just outside the top 10 in the world ranking at No. 11 following his runner-up finish at the RSM Classic. He’s the only golfer in the field making his debut at Albany, but Rahm made his debut in victory a year ago.

5. Patrick Cantlay

Twice finished as the runner-up since the beginning of August at the BMW Championship and the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Collected his second PGA Tour win at the Memorial Tournament and tied for fifth here last year.

4. Tiger Woods

The host is a five-time winner of this event but never at Albany. His top result at this venue was a T-9 in 2017. He got his first win of the season at the Zozo Championship in Japan, but he may be too focused on the Presidents Cup ahead of his duties as a player-captain.

3. Justin Thomas

Leads the field in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking and Strokes Gained: Total but has been struggling with the putter. He failed to crack the top 10 in each of his previous two attempts at this event, but he already grabbed his first win of the season at the CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges in South Korea.

Aug 25, 2019; Atlanta, GA, USA; Xander Schauffele lines up his putt on the 18th green during the final round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

2. Xander Schauffele

A T-8 finisher here last year, he is coming off a runner-up result at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China. He has one victory, three runner-ups and a third-place finish in 2019.

1. Jon Rahm

Leads the field with a world ranking of No. 3 following victories in each of his last two events, at the Open de Espana and the DP World Tour Championship, Dubai. He looks to defend his title at this event with a total of three victories, two runner-ups and two third-place results in 2019.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

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Hero World Challenge odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2019 Hero World Challenge and which golfers are the best options for the event. Who will win at Albany?

Host Tiger Woods and 17 more of the top golfers in the world are in The Bahamas this week for the Hero World Challenge. The condensed field consists of six of the top 10 golfers from the Official World Golf Ranking, including Woods and defending champ Jon Rahm. It is played at Albany which measures 7,302 yards and plays as a par 72.

The showcase tournament is the final standard stroke-play event on the PGA Tour in 2019. The Presidents Cup and QBE Shootout will run next week. There’ll then be a brief hiatus before the Sentry Tournament of Champions and Sony Open kick off the 2020 portion of the schedule in the first two weeks of January from Hawaii.


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The small field and champion pedigree of each of those in attendance means bettors need to adjust their strategies this week. Make fewer, larger wagers while focusing on those at the top of the board. Only three golfers — Bubba WatsonKevin Kisner and Chez Reavie — have odds greater than +3000. Don’t go chasing higher payouts, as each of the past four champions entered the week ranked inside the top 10 of the OWGR.

Hero World Challenge – Odds, picks and best bets

Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:15 p.m. ET.

Tiger Woods +900

Woods has won this event five times but not since 2011 and never at this venue. He claimed his first victory of the season at the Zozo Championship in Japan in late October but hasn’t played a pro event since. He finished second-to-last here last year, but he has since climbed to No. 7 in the world. Woods has the fourth-best world ranking among those in attendance and is fourth by the odds at BetMGM in a rare case of him not being overpriced as a public favorite.

Xander Schauffele +900

Schauffele enters the week ranked ninth by the OWGR. He most recently finished as the runner-up at the WGC-HSBC Champions following a T-10 at the Zozo Championship. He debuted at this event with a T-8 finish last year. He has been an excellent early-season performer over his young career and looks to stay hot ahead of his defense of the Tournament of Champions next month.

Webb Simpson +1200

Simpson is the second-best putter in this field behind Jordan Spieth (+2500), who will not be winning. He is coming off a solo runner-up finish at the RSM Classic and sits at No. 11 in the world ranking. This is his debut at Albany, but Rahm won in his debut a year ago.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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RSM Classic: Fantasy Golf Power Rankings

Previewing the 2019 RSM Classic and looking at the best fantasy golf selections for Sea Island Golf Club.

The RSM Classic will be the final PGA Tour event of 2019 with FedExCup Points on the line. It’s the final full-field event of the early portion of the 2019-20 Tour season and takes place at Sea Island Golf Club in Glynn County, Ga.

A select group of golfers will be in The Bahamas in two weeks for Tiger Woods‘ Hero World Challenge. The Presidents Cup and QBE Shootout will then conclude the 2019 calendar year. The 2020 portion of the schedule will begin in Hawaii with the Sentry Tournament of Champions and Sony Open, played in the first two weekends of the new year.

Fantasy Golf Rankings: Top 30

Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2019 RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Club.

30. Ryan Armour

Made the cut at Sea Island in each of his last four tries with a top finish of T-15 last year.

29. Peter Uihlein

In the top 10 of the field in both Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green and SG: Scrambling.

28. Bronson Burgoon

Tied for 13th at the Houston Open and followed it with a T-33 at the Mayakoba Golf Classic last week after more than a month off of competitive play.

27. Alex Noren

Has been playing often this fall after slipping to No. 64 in the Official World Golf Ranking. Has one of the top world-wide resumes in the field.

26. Cameron Tringale

Ranks ninth in the field in SG: Approach over everyone’s most recent 50 rounds. Tied for 66th at the Mayakoba Golf Classic in his last event.

25. Patrick Rodgers

Tied for 10th in 2016 and finished as the runner-up last year but missed the cut in 2017.

24. Luke List

Started the season with two straight missed cuts but made three in a row before missing last weekend at the Mayakoba Classic. Tied for fourth here last year.

23. Vaughn Taylor

Tied for second last week for his best result in four straight made cuts. Missed the cut last season but was T-8 in 2017.

22. Mackenzie Hughes

Mackenzie Hughes. Ray Carlin – USA TODAY Sports

Hasn’t been in good form this season but he missed the cut the week before his 2016 victory at Sea Island.

21. Rory Sabbatini

Collected finishes of T-33 and T-31 in much stronger fields during the Tour’s swing through Asia last month.

20. J.T. Poston

Three straight made cuts going back to the Zozo Championship. Has a poor history at this event but has just one missed cut since the John Deere Classic in July.

19. Russell Knox

Hasn’t missed a cut since A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier to open the 2019-20 season and ranks second in the field in SG: Approach over everyone’s last 50 rounds.

18. Austin Cook

The 2017 champ followed it up with a T-11 last year but missed the cut last week.

17. Dylan Frittelli

Ranks fourth in the field in SG: Around-the-Green and 15th in SG: Approach.

16. Russell Henley

Has gained 1.07 strokes per round at Sea Island GC over 15 rounds played since 2010, according to Data Golf.

15. Jim Furyk

Jim Furyk. Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports

Leads this year’s field with 2.10 strokes gained per round since 2010, despite missing the cut last year.

14. Kyle Stanley

The best approach game in the field over everyone’s last 50 rounds. Has been held back by his play around the greens.

13. Brian Stuard

Excels on the approach and around the greens. Needs to avoid trouble.

12. Brendon Todd

Can’t be ignored following back-to-back wins. Made the cut at this venue in each of his last three appearances.

11. Brian Harman

Tied for fourth in 2017 and finished T-32 last year. Ranks fifth in the field in SG: Scrambling.


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10. Sebastian Munoz

This venue has rewarded hot putters in the past if he can recapture his form from his Sanderson Farms Championship win.

9. Zach Johnson

A local resident who picked up his lone top-10 finish of last season at this tournament.

8. Lanto Griffin

The third golfer in the field to have a win already this season. He has been riding a hot putter and is ninth in the field in SG: Scrambling.

7. Billy Horschel

Two top-10 finishes to open the season strong, including a T-8 result last week.

6. Scottie Scheffler

Hasn’t missed a cut in six events since graduating from the Korn Ferry Tour. Has a good all-around game and just needs to get some luck on the putting surfaces.

5. Charles Howell III

Last year’s champ picked up three other top 10s last season and has two already in the 2019-20 campaign.

4. Adam Hadwin

Consistently one of the top putters on Tour and will be making his final preparations for the Presidents Cup.

3. Kevin Kisner

Kevin Kisner. Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

The 2015 champion has three other top-10 finishes here since 2014. Ranks second in the field in strokes gained at Sea Island among those with 20 rounds played since 2010.

2. Matt Kuchar

Typically a strong early-season performer, he hasn’t finished higher than T-22 at this event since 2014. He’s coming off of a T-14 result in his defense of the Mayakoba last week.

1. Webb Simpson

Finished solo third here last year and enters the week as the betting favorite despite playing just one event this season — where he finished T-7 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

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