Penn State vs Ohio State Prediction, Game Preview

Penn State vs Ohio State prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

Penn State vs Ohio State prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 30


Penn State vs Ohio State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 30
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH
How To Watch: ABC
Record: Penn State (5-2), Ohio State (6-1)
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Penn State vs Ohio State Game Preview


Why Penn State Will Win

The defense has done enough to be unbeaten … to a point.

Yeah, Illinois hammered away for 357 rushing yards in last week’s win, but 1) there were just 38 passing yards allowed, and 2) how many times and ways did you want the Nittany Lion D to stop the overtime chances?

The defense gave up just 305 yards in the loss to Iowa, it allowed fewer than 300 yards in three of the four games before that, and it has the secondary, the ability to take the ball away, and the pressure to be a bother against the Buckeye offensive machine.

Ohio State might be putting up yards by the bucketload, but Tulsa, Akron, Rutgers, Maryland, Indiana. Oooooooooooooh, CJ Stroud and company weren’t exactly dealing with the 2000 Baltimore Ravens.

Of course, the O put up over 600 yards against Oregon in desperation comeback mode, but the Ducks were missing a few key parts, Ohio State lost, and Penn State’s defense is better.

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Why Ohio State Will Win

Maybe the stats are a wee bit overblown because of the mediocre competition over the last five games, but if you’re No. 1 in the nation in total offense, you’re doing something right.

Let’s just cut to the chase here. TreVeyon Henderson might be the best running back in college football – he just hasn’t been used enough yet as a workhorse on a big stage. That might change on Saturday night.

WRs Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave are going to be in your NFL fantasy drafts for the next decade or so, and helped by the relatively light schedule and all the talent around him, CJ Stroud has the reps logged in to get up to speed.

And then there’s the Penn State offense.

Starting quarterback Sean Clifford got banged up against Iowa and it showed, with the offense only coming up with 287 yards in the loss. Clifford was back last week against Illinois, and the O only came up with 227 yards in the loss.

After a rocky start, the Ohio State defense has become fantastic against the run. It allowed over 200 yards in the first two games – and over 30 points in each- and it gave up just over 76 rushing yards once in the five games since.

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What’s Going To Happen

Allow me to reintroduce myself …

If it feels like a long, long time since you’ve seen Ohio State play – and unless you’re a Buckeye fan, there’s been no reason to tune in to the soft schedule since the loss to Oregon – you might not recognize it.

It’s not that it’s a different team since it opened up struggling against Minnesota and Oregon, but it’s playing like it needed a few games to work out the timing and the kinks, and now it’s all good.

Penn State is still a talented team, but it’s a mess on offense and the defense isn’t going to make up for it.

It’s been able to get by so far against a slew of offensively-challenged opponents – with some due respect to Auburn – but now it’s about to deal with a Buckeye team looking to make one giants statement a few days before the first set of College Football Playoff rankings come out.

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Penn State vs Ohio State Prediction, Lines

Ohio State 38, Penn State 20
Line: Ohio State -18.5, o/u: 60.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5

Must See Rating: 4.5

5: The French Dispatch
1: Finch

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Penn State vs. Ohio State Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

Penn State vs. Ohio State fearless prediction and game preview.

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Penn State vs. Ohio State fearless prediction and game preview.


Penn State vs. Ohio State Broadcast

Date: Saturday, November 23
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH
Network: FOX

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Why Penn State Will Win

With some due respect to Wisconsin, Penn State is getting off the bus with the most impressive, athletic, and toughest defensive front that Ohio State has faced all year.

There are issues with the Nittany Lion D – getting to that in a moment – but but no one has been able to run for more than 3.5 yards per carry on this bunch, no one has hit the 200-yard mark, and only three teams have been able to push past 100 yards.

It can get pounded on a bit – Michigan was able to get physical in the second half – but the next-level talent in several spots makes up for it by getting behind the line and not allowing any sort of a big play on the ground.

The Ohio State offensive line has been fantastic, but it had problems keeping Wisconsin out of the backfield, giving up five sacks. Start with Penn State being even better at getting to the quarterback, and go from there.

Fields is going to have to be even quicker with his decision-making ability this week, and he’s not going to be able to take off and run at will.

Offensively, Penn State has the quick strike ability to at least answer the Ohio State home runs.

The O doesn’t have the ability to keep up if this gets into a wild shootout if the Buckeyes go off, but KJ Hamler and Jahan Dotson are each averaging over 17 yards per catch, the tight ends are dangerous, and the offense has found something over the last two weeks in RB Journey Brown, who followed up a 124-yard day against Minnesota with 100 yards against Indiana.

However …

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Why Ohio State Will Win

It’s a stretch to suggest that Penn State has been exposed over the last few weeks, but for all the good things this team has done, and for as good as it is, it’s got a few major flaws that aren’t going to play well in Columbus.

First of all, it’s not consistent enough in the passing game.

Penn State quarterbacks haven’t needed to be deadly accurate lately to succeed – Trace McSorley only connected on 53% of his throws last year – but it’s occasionally a problem. Sean Clifford has been fine, and he’s hitting on a few big plays, but he only completed 48% of his passes against Indiana a week after throwing three picks in the loss to Minnesota.

He’s had a few moments – he was fantastic in the win over Maryland back in September – and he hit Michigan State for four scores, but against this NFL Ohio State secondary, not being razor-sharp is a problem against the No. 1 D in America.

The No. 1 D in America that gets back a fresh, rested and surly Chase Young.

The other big problem? The Penn State secondary is having a few issues.

It’s been able to bend-but-not break in several games – Pitt and Iowa were able to throw, and Michigan’s Shea Patterson got rolling in the second half – and then Tanner Morgan went off. The Minnesota quarterback hit 18-of-20 passes for 339 yards and three scores, hitting the Nittany Lions for big play after big play.

Indiana’s Peyton Ramsey followed that up with a 371-yard day in last week’s loss.

Ohio State? It’s averaging over 13-yard per completion with the fourth-most efficient passing game in America. And …

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What’s Going To Happen

Justin Fields can run.

Yes, Penn State’s defensive front is the real deal, and it’s going to generate pressure, but it hasn’t faced a mobile quarterback yet who can blast away with the big dashes like Fields can.

It’s the final home game of the year, it’s the week before Michigan, and it’s the return of the best defensive player in college football to a defense that doesn’t need him.

Penn State is really, really good. It’s about to have a rough day.

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Penn State vs. Ohio State Prediction, Line

Ohio State 37, Penn State 17
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Ohio State -18.5, o/u: 57.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5
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Must See Rating: 5

5: Citizen K
1: Frozen II

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