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The No. 5 Penn State Nittany Lions (8-1, 5-1 Big Ten) travel to face the Purdue Boilermakers (1-8, 0-6) Saturday. Kickoff from Ross-Ade Stadium is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Penn State vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Penn State, the No. 5 team in the US LBM Coaches Poll, enters after picking up a 35-6 blowout over the Washington Huskies Saturday while covering as a 13-point favorite. The Nittany Lions held Washington to just 193 total yards of offense while also not allowing a score until the 3rd quarter in the win.
Purdue was shut out 45-0 by the Ohio State Buckeyes Saturday while failing to cover as a 37-point underdog. Purdue turned the ball over 2 times in the loss while forcing none from the Buckeyes. The Boilermakers have lost 8 straight and have been held scoreless in 2 of their last 3 games.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Penn State at Purdue odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Penn State -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100) | Purdue +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)
- Against the spread (ATS): Penn State -29.5 (-110) | Purdue +29.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Penn State at Purdue picks and predictions
Prediction
Penn State 41, Purdue 3
Moneyline
PASS.
Penn State will pick up the win here as a -10000 favorite, but this heavy of a favorite is never worth the risk of betting on. Pass here and bet on the spread and/or Over/Under instead.
Against the spread
BET PENN STATE -29.5 (-110).
Penn State is the much better team on both sides of the ball and is going against a Purdue team that was blown out 52-6 by Wisconsin, a team that Penn State beat by 2 TDs. The Boilermakers are also just 2-7 ATS this season and have dropped 3 straight ATS.
Be aware that the Nittany Lions are only 4-5 ATS this season.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 50.5 (-110).
The Under has hit in each of Penn State’s last 3 overall and is 7-2 for the Nittany Lions this season. With Purdue being shut out by Ohio State, a team whose defense is of a similar caliber to Penn State’s, the Nittany Lions’ defense will have no trouble holding this Purdue squad to single-digit points.
This is a lean both because 3 of the last 4 matchups between these squads hit the Over and because Purdue’s defense is so bad that Penn State could put up 50 points by itself in this matchup.
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