A look at Aaron Rodgers’ track record vs. Miami over the course of his career

With the exception of a loss to Miami in 2010, Rodgers has had a great track record against the #Dolphins in his career

As the NFL’s reigning MVP for two straight seasons, Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is among the most accomplished players at his position in league history. His expert play and uncanny ability to find receivers downfield is unmatched, and the Packers will need him to channel everything he’s got against the Miami Dolphins on Christmas day.

Over the course of his career, Rodgers has played the Dolphins three times, securing victory for Green Bay in two of those matchups. He won the only game that he played on the road against Miami, and has posted exceptionally great numbers against the Dolphins after a mediocre start against them in 2010.

In his last two matchups against Miami, he put up a passer rating of 99.7 and 112.1 and combined for five passing touchdowns while avoiding interceptions. Rodgers needs to build on that stellar track record on Sunday, as the Packers will be at a distinct disadvantage against the burgeoning Dolphins on the road.

His worst start against Miami, Green Bay’s matchup against the Dolphins in 2010, resulted in a three-point loss at Lambeau Field. He threw for over 300 yards and managed to find Packers legend Greg Jennings for a touchdown, but turned the ball over on one interception.

Members of the Green Bay faithful would be forgiven for having forgotten about this disastrous Week 6 loss that took place more than a decade ago, and though the Packers will likely be underdogs on Sunday, they can’t afford to replicate their 2010 performance in primetime for the Christmas matchup.

Rodgers is a consummate professional and has shown an ability to win against all odds in years past, so despite Green Bay’s underdog status, fans shouldn’t rule the Packers out in this game. If he can make some of his signature throws that have come to define his career in Green Bay, the team just might be able to get past the Dolphins to secure their seventh win of the season.

Justin Fields says finding receivers open downfield is easier for him against zone coverages

Fields made it clear that he finds it easier to get the ball to open receivers downfield when defenses play zone coverage

Producing big numbers at the quarterback position in the NFL is not an easy task, and Chicago Bears signal-caller Justin Fields is out to do just that against the Buffalo Bills in Week 16. He has found a  tremendous amount of success as a runner this season but is still honing his game to find similar results as a passer.

He was asked by a reporter on Monday at the Bears’ media availability session about how he might be able to find more receivers downfield against the Bills, and Fields broke down the dynamics that he sees against different defensive schemes.

Fields made it clear that one particular situation provides a huge advantage to him relative to getting the ball further downfield because defenders have their eyes on him instead of players in their area.

“I think it happens more in zone coverage where they have eyes towards me,” He explained. “Defenses that play man-on-man, they’re pretty much going to stick to their defender unless they hear the crowd yell or something, and that means that I’m scrambling or somebody else has got the ball. But zone coverages where, you know, have eyes on me or might lose a receiver or something like that, they open the opportunity for keeping my eyes downfield and finding somebody down there.”

The second-year quarterback would do well to capitalize on every opportunity that Buffalo gives him to get the ball past the first-down marker, especially if one of the Bears’ speedy wideouts can make a break for the endzone. The threat that he poses to defenses with his legs is a given at this point, and the Bills may choose to deploy these zone coverages that enable their players to keep an eye out for his improvisational abilities on every down.

Chicago is still searching for their fourth win of the 2022 season, and a win over one of the AFC’s top teams would be an impressive feather in Fields’ cap, especially if he can make some sparks fly downfield in the process.

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ESPN’s Aaron Schatz says that Justin Herbert struggles in second halves

Herbert’s passing DVOA has dropped in the second halves of games this year, but that stat alone doesn’t tell the full story of his season

In a think-piece that analyzed every starting quarterback’s weaknesses across the NFL, ESPN writer Aaron Schatz made a compelling case that Los Angeles Chargers’ signal caller Justin Herbert struggles in the second halves of games. In his analysis, Schatz pointed to Herbert’s lower passing DVOA, or defensive-adjusted value over average, as a key indicator of Herbert’s supposed deficiency in this facet of his game, and said that the trend started well before the 2022 season.

The argument goes like this: Herbert’s passing DVOA, which measures his efficiency against an average based on opponent and situation, has dropped from 14.6 percent in first halves to -18.2 percent in second halves this year. This radical change is on par with his numbers in 2021, where his first-half passing DVOA was 23.4 percent and 12.3 percent in the second.

On paper, this might seem like a death sentence to the narrative that Herbert is a clutch performer in crunch time, but in reality, the more basic statistics tell a different story. Herbert has four fourth-quarter comebacks in 2022 and has managed to be much more cautious when throwing into coverage, having thrown only seven interceptions through 13 games.

This isn’t to say that Schatz’s analysis isn’t without merit, but Herbert’s excellent play in this season shouldn’t be swept under the rug because one highly specific statistic points towards inefficiencies in the third and fourth quarters. Like all stats, passing DVOA only tells one part of the story.

Herbert has been without his top receivers for much of the season, and the Chargers have dealt with an overwhelming number of injuries over the course of the year. Star wideout Keenan Allen has played in just six games in 2022, and Mike Williams was out from Week 8 until he returned in Week 11.

Even without these key pieces in the offense for much of the season, Herbert has put himself in a position to surpass the 4,000-yard mark in Week 15 against the Tennessee Titans and should be considered one of the NFL’s top young quarterbacks.

2022 SEC quarterbacks: Passing yard leaders ahead of bowl season

2022 SEC quarterbacks: Passing yard leaders ahead of bowl season

The 2022 Southeastern Conference football season kicked off Aug. 27 between Vanderbilt and Hawaii.

Vanderbilt defeated the Rainbow Warriors, 63-10, during Week 0 at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, Hawaii.

Georgia defeated LSU, 50-30, in the Southeastern Conference championship game Dec. 3 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.

Tennessee’s 2022 regular-season schedule featured home games against Ball State (W, 59-10), Akron (W, 63-6), Florida (W, 38-33), Alabama (W, 52-49), UT Martin (W, 65-24), Kentucky (W, 44-6) and Missouri (W, 66-24).

The Vols’ 2022 schedule featured road contests at Pittsburgh (W, 34-27 OT) in the second edition of the Johnny Majors ClassicLSU (W, 40-13), Georgia (L, 27-13), South Carolina (L, 63-38) and Vanderbilt (W, 56-0).

2022 Tennessee Vols’ football schedule: Vols Wire’s downloadable schedule wallpaper

Following the SEC championship game, Vols Wire looks at SEC passing yards leaders. SEC passing yards leaders are listed below.

Boston Celtics icon Larry Bird was an ELITE passer

The Hick From French Lick was best known for his scoring, but Bird could find the open man like few have ever been able to.

Boston Celtics icon Larry Bird is perhaps best known for countless ways he could hang points on an opposing team, finding ways to score that sometimes baffled his defenders, coupled with eviscerating trash talk that broke their spirits at the same time.

But the Hick From French Lick could also move the rock on an elite level and was not selfish when he saw an open man with an easier shot than he had at any given moment. All the way back to his days at Indiana State in college, Larry Legend was already using his crafty court vision to lift his teammates.

Renowned NBA draft analyst Ben Pfieffer sat down and broke down some of Bird’s passing film for a recent short.

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/rnn-NOd8Y8M

Watch his clip for yourself to see why Bird was not just an otherworldly scorer but also a top-notch floor general when he needed to be.

Listen to the “Celtics Lab” podcast on:

Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3zBKQY6

Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3GfUPFi

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Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence struggles in first half vs. Steelers

Despite the early lead, Trevor Lawrence’s first-half performance against the #Steelers might be cause for concern with #Jaguars’ regular season rapidly approaching.

It might not have been the most horrendous first-half performance in Jacksonville Jaguars history, but Trevor Lawrence was definitely off his game in the first half of the team’s third preseason game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. He ended the second quarter with 14 completions on 21 attempts for 133 yards and neither a touchdown nor an interception. Those numbers are good for an 84.0 passer rating, which is average at best for a starting quarterback in the preseason.

These exhibition games are an opportunity to work out the kinks in an offense, but with just one more game standing between this Jaguars team and the regular season, the results this week may be cause for concern. The Steelers have a solid defense and didn’t need to do anything too innovative to keep Lawrence contained.

He started to show some life late in the second quarter but stalled out in the red zone to set up kicker Ryan Santoso’s second field goal of the game on his penultimate drive. On the final try, they would fail to convert on fourth down, setting up a Pittsburgh touchdown that put the Jaguars down by one point.

Veteran C.J. Beathard is set to take over under center for Jacksonville in the second half and will likely need to put more points on the board to get the Jaguars in a position to win. With Pittsburgh’s impressive rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett already off the bench in relief of Mitchell Trubisky, field goals likely won’t cut it for Jacksonville as the game wears on.

The silver lining here is that Lawrence managed to keep from turning the ball over, which was a constant plague on Jacksonville’s offense last season. He’ll need to find a way to get more efficient for the Jaguars to have a chance to compete this season. This performance against the Steelers is an impetus for a new approach next week when Jacksonville plays the Falcons at Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta.

The Jaguars entered halftime faced with a one-point deficit against Pittsburgh, down 7-6 due in no small part to Lawrence’s inability to put points on the board.

Why has Oklahoma struggled in the deep passing game?

A look at OU’s deep passing game, which has been struggling to find any consistency in 2021.

Oklahoma’s reputation as an explosive offense is well documented. This season though, that’s not been the case. There’s still time. Big 12 play starts this weekend at night at home against a decent West Virginia defense. The fans recognize it, the media recognizes it, and it wouldn’t take a rocket scientist to tell you that head coach and play-caller Lincoln Riley recognizes it. The offense doesn’t look right.

More specifically, it’s the vertical passing game that Oklahoma’s offense is lacking the most. The running game has found its footing the last two weeks, which bodes well as the schedule toughens up. The short and intermediate passing game is plentiful and very accessible for the Sooners to exploit. They’ve got to figure out a way to push the ball down the field, or the same issues they faced in the Nebraska game will be their undoing.

What exactly did Nebraska do? They went with a deep “2 high” (2 deep safety look) and forced Oklahoma to sustain long drives and run the ball. Their corners played soft zones, and linebackers used zone blitzes to bring additional pressure. To say it plainly, they refused to let Oklahoma beat them deep.

This season, Oklahoma hasn’t challenged teams down the field. With only six attempts on passes of 20 yards, Rattler is well below that of other Oklahoma quarterbacks from the past few years. Rattler’s not even on pace with his performance from a year ago where here attempted 57 deep passes. He completed 29 of those and earned himself a grade of 98.1 from Pro Football Focus which was third behind two first-round NFL draft picks in Zach Wilson and Mac Jones. On the six deep passes he’s attempted this year, he’s posted a grade of 41.6.

Here’s where things get interesting, though: Oklahoma has brought back virtually everyone from that team last year in wide receivers except Charleston Rambo, who transferred to Miami but added Mike Woods and electric freshman Mario Williams. So, in theory, they should be better or at least roughly at the same pace as 2020.

Marvin Mims was a recipient of a few of those 29 deep completions last year. He operated outside the numbers and didn’t see stiffer coverage until the season went on. He now operates out of the slot quite a bit since Jadon Haselwood and Mike Woods have assumed roles out wide.

It’s not unreasonable to think a few things could be causing the lack of vertical throws, but Lincoln Riley has shown us since he came to Oklahoma, he’s not shy about testing teams in the vertical passing game.

Marvin Mims and Mario Williams are probably the two guys who will get the majority of the deep shots. Creating ways to get the ball down the field to his slot receivers may have proven a lot harder than Riley anticipated. Rattler’s decision-making could be making it harder for Riley to want to push the ball downfield.

That decision-making has been Rattler’s biggest weakness, and having an all-world arm has made it harder for that decision-making to be better than it has been. When a quarterback has the arm talent Rattler does, he believes he can make every throw work, regardless of the coverage. Spencer will have to be better, and Riley will have to give him more opportunities to be better.

This offense won’t be able to unlock its full potential if it can’t threaten teams in the passing game at all three levels. Ultimately, that inability could cost them a chance to make a deep run in the Big 12 and return to the college football playoff.

Pete Carroll says Seahawks must run the ball more efficiently in 2021

Seattle Seahawks coach Pete Carroll knows the team must run the ball more efficiently in the 2021 NFL season.

In the aftermath of the Seattle Seahawks’ 30-20 loss to the Los Angeles Rams in the wild card round of the postseason, coach Pete Carroll discussed the team’s plans for 2021 during his press conference on Monday.

Carroll quipped that the Seahawks should run the ball more frequently next season to get a better feel for the opposition and their strategies.

“We have to run the ball better, not even better, we have to run it more,” Carroll stated. “We have to dictate what’s going on with the people that we’re playing, and that’s one of the ways to do that.”

Carroll assured that he does not necessarily mean that he intends to mark a return to the run-first approach the Seahawks offense has been known for in years past, but rather strive for an increase in rushing efficiency.

“I want to see if we can run the ball more effectively to focus the play of the opponents and see if we can force them to do things like we’d like them to do more, like we have been able to do that in the past,” Carroll said. “That doesn’t mean we’re going to run the ball 50 times a game. It means we need to run the ball with direction and focus and style that allows us to dictate the game.”

The veteran head coach added that the Seahawks must figure out how to bypass the two-deep looks opposing defenses gave them that constantly hindered the offense in 2020 and that they must change up the schematics in the passing game and be less predictable.

“I mean I just, frankly, I’d like to not play against two-deep looks all season long next year,” Carroll said. “And so we have to be able to get that done. It’s not just the running game. It is the style of passes that will help us some, but we have to get after it a little bit differently. As it unfolded in the end of the season, it became really obvious. In the last four or five games, it became really obvious.”

Seattle has a long offseason ahead after a grueling end to a promising season, and Carroll and his cohorts must work to rectify the team’s issues before their time as a contender runs out if it hasn’t already.

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Prescott’s monster day overshadowed by Cowboys loss: ‘No other stats matter’

The Cowboys QB set an NFL record on Sunday and is on pace for an epic 2020, but the only numbers he cares about compiling are Dallas wins.

“There was a lot of good football that will totally go unrecognized,” Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy told reporters in his postgame interview on Sunday. “That’s what happens when you lose.”

Cowboys Nation is rightfully disgusted by the team’s 49-38 home loss to Cleveland. But McCarthy’s correct: the play of the historically bad defense makes it easy to lose sight of the otherworldly streak that quarterback Dak Prescott happens to simultaneously be on.

Sunday marked his third straight game with over 450 passing yards. He’s the first player in league history to do that.

But to the 27-year-old quarterback, the only numbers that concern him are in the team’s win and loss columns. And 1-3 aren’t the digits he wants to see there.

“I’d give all those yards back for a different record. I care about one stat, and that’s to win. So when we don’t do that, no other stats matter.”

Prescott turned in another eye-popping performance in Week 4. His 41 completions are tied for second-most in Cowboys history; his 58 pass attempts are third-most for any Dallas passer. But those figures simply speak to the massive hole the team had dug for itself on Sunday. Cleveland was up by 27 points as the fourth quarter got underway.

The quarterback led the Cowboys offense on three straight touchdown drives, each of which was capped with a successful two-point conversion to cut the deficit to just three with less than four minutes to play.

On those three drives alone, Prescott went 17-for-23 on 29 total plays, throwing for 208 yards and two touchdowns. The possessions covered 77, 84, and 80 yards.

Odell Beckham’s 50-yard scamper killed the Cowboys’ momentum, but didn’t ice the game. Down by 11 with more than three minutes to work with Prescott tried to engineer the second-most improbable comeback win for Dallas in a three-week span.

The rally finally ended when the two-time Pro Bowler was intercepted inside the Browns’ ten-yard-line. It was his second turnover of the afternoon, following a strip fumble early in the second quarter that led to a Browns score.

For McCarthy, though, Prescott is the only reason the Cowboys ever had a hope of stealing a win.

“Dak is exactly what you’re looking for,” the coach said afterward. “He’s wired the right way, his ability to just keep playing through adversity. He never blinks. Obviously, the turnovers: you take a look at them, why they happened, how they happened. It’s like anything in this game; the negatives are usually not just one thing or one person, so we’ll take a look at that. But I thought Dak stood tall and led us back to give us a chance to be in the game there at the end.”

The quarterback himself was more focused on the team’s errors than the fantasy stats he produced.

“Making the same mistakes over and over again,” Prescott explained after Sunday’s loss. “We keep hurting ourselves on offense, putting our defense in a bad spot. And not starting fast enough; that’s what’s been killing us over the last few games and once again, it’s what hurt us tonight.”

After initially falling behind 7-0, Dallas responded with consecutive touchdown drives. But it was a collapsing pocket that allowed Cleveland edge rusher Myles Garrett to get to Prescott and knock the football from his grasp as he cocked his arm for another throw.

Prescott, though, refused to lay fault at the feet of his beaten and battered offensive line.

“I’ve said it before: those guys are going to go in there and they’re going to battle their tails off,” Prescott said. “Let’s get this right: Myles Garrett is a hell of a player, one of the best pass rushers in this game. He was fighting, he was giving it his all. Myles did a good job of getting to me. Obviously, we were setting up a little double move there, and Myles got to me, got to the ball. As I said, we can’t continue to turn the ball over. I’ve got to be better somehow and help that tackle out, move around, get off my spot. We’ve got to continue to work on these little things and these things that are hurting us.”

On the very next offensive play, Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott coughed the ball up again. Another short field for the Browns, another Cleveland touchdown. The nightmare was on.

“We just can’t do that, simple as that. We get two back-to-back possessions, and we turn the ball over, and we put our defense in a compromising situation. That’s just unacceptable. That’s not complementary football. It’ll eventually hurt you and get you down in the game, and now we’re forced to play outside of the way that we want to play. We’ve got to play better complementary football and help our defense.”

Fueled by the turnovers and helped with great field position, the Browns ripped off 24 unanswered points before intermission.

Down 38-14 after Cleveland’s opening possession of the second half, Prescott believes he tried to do too much to will the Cowboys back into contention.

“We can’t press. And I think I may have done that personally a little bit early in the third quarter. But you can’t press. When you get down in games, we’ve shown that we can continue to come back. That’s something that we have to avoid trying to do, trying to press, trying to be perfect. It will all click if we just- as I always tell the offense- we all take care of our jobs individually, it will work well together. We’ve just got to focus on doing our job handling our side of the ball and giving our team the best chance to win.”

Now in his fifth season, Prescott says he’s becoming more aware of those moments on the field and is getting better about reeling himself back in so as not to compound routine gameplay mistakes with insurmountable football decisions.

“You’re trying to make every throw. You’re trying to make the perfect throw. And then when it doesn’t work for a drive or so, that’s usually the time for me to snap back out of it and realize that’s why I was trying to make those throws, and those weren’t throws that I’d normally make if I just allow the offense to come to me and read the defense in the correct way.”

While Prescott’s mistakes- three interceptions and three fumbles in four games- have contributed to the team’s poor turnover margin and disheartening 1-3 start, it’s Prescott’s relentless and record-breaking air assault that has kept the Cowboys in every game this season.

If he tops 400 passing yards next week against the Giants, Prescott will become the first player ever to do that four weeks in a row. His 502 air yards versus Cleveland was just four short of the Cowboys’ single-game record. He tossed 29 first-down throws on Sunday, the most since that stat has been kept. As absurd as it would be, he’s on pace right now for over 6,700 passing yards in 2020, which would smash Peyton Manning’s record by nearly 1,300 yards.

With the steady improvement he’s shown ever since his transcendent rookie campaign, all of the gaudy stats shouldn’t surprise anyone when it comes to No. 4. Prescott has proven himself to be a dedicated and tireless worker, going from a largely unknown fourth-round draft pick to one of the league’s elite passers.

The shock, however, is that it hasn’t been enough to translate to more wins for this Cowboys squad who had such lofty expectations for the season.

“I’m surprised,” the Mississippi State product admitted. “Obviously, I’ve got all the confidence in this team, each unit that we have. I see the way we prepare throughout the week. It doesn’t make sense and it doesn’t add up right now. But I believe in the men that we have, the great leaders and coaches that we have, that we’ll have it fixed.”

Prescott is quickly building himself a reputation for leading unlikely comebacks after falling way way behind.

So maybe he’s got the 2020 season right where he wants it.

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Jameis Winston named one of the NFL’s worst deep-ball quarterbacks

The New Orleans Saints had a quarterback ranked among the NFL’s worst deep-ball passers, but it wasn’t Drew Brees. Jameis Winston took fire.

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Doug Farrar over at Touchdown Wire listed the worst vertical passers in the NFL today, and one New Orleans Saints quarterback made the list: but it isn’t Drew Brees, who placed among the lowest-ranked passers in that category by Pro Football Focus.

Instead, Farrar took aim at one of Brees’ backups. Jameis Winston ended up catching flak for his performance last season. Farrar wrote of the former first-overall draft pick and Saints third-string quarterback:

Per Sports Info Solutions, Winston was both great and terrible on throws requiring a deep ball (seam, go, fade, post, etc,) with 164 attempts, 76 completions, 1,859 yards, 1,464 air yards, and 19 touchdowns. All of those totals led the league last year. Unfortunately, Winston’s nine interceptions on such passes also tied for second-worst in the league with Philip Rivers, who we’ll get to in a moment.

We’ll see if Winston can improve in New Orleans, but he clearly has a lot of work ahead of him. Working with coaches like Sean Payton and Joe Lombardi, with Brees providing a good model to imitate, should do him plenty of good.

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