NLCS Game 5 San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies Game 5 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres try to stave off elimination down 3-1 to the Philadelphia Phillies in the NLCS Sunday with first pitch scheduled for 2:37 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Game 4 between the Padres and Phillies had an offensive explosion in Philadelphia. 1B Rhys Hoskins had 2 home runs, while LF Kyle Schwarber and San Diego 3B Manny Machado each homered as well. The Phillies, after the 10-6 win, hope to end the best-of-7 NL Championship Series at their home ballpark.

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Padres at Phillies projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Darvish (16-8, 3.10 ERA) had a 0.95 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 193 2/3 IP in the regular season. He makes his 4th start of the 2022 postseason.

  • Allowed 2 ER on 3 H and 1 BB in 7 IP of Game 1 loss to Philly with 7 K and 2 HR — 1 each by DH Bryce Harper and Schwarber
  • 2022 postseason: 2-1, 2.84 (19 IP, 6 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 18 K, 6 HR in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: 4-6, 4.33 (52 IP, 25 ER), 1.096 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9, 8.5 K/9, 15 HR in 10 starts

Wheeler (12-7, 2.82 ERA) posted a 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 153 regular-season IP. He’s also making his 4th postseason start of 2022.

  • Won Game 1 showdown with Darvish in series opener behind 7 shutout IP with 1 H, 1 BB, 8 K
  • 2022 postseason: 1-1, 1.40 (19 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.52 WHIP, 17 K, 0 HR in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: Same as above — this is his 1st season in playoffs

Padres at Phillies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:42 a.m.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-200) | Phillies -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: -101)

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Padres at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7, Padres 4

Moneyline

Take the PHILLIES (-140) for the win.

The Phillies do not want to travel back to San Diego. They will do everything they can to finish this series Sunday. The ML (-140) is the right side.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+150) is the play.

It is going to be a dreary day in Philadelphia Sunday, but not at Citizen Bank Park. The Phillies are on an offensive roll now. They hit 4 HR Saturday night in the 10-6 win and they should be able to put up another 1 or 2 Sunday afternoon.

Over/Under

TAKE OVER 6.5 (-120).

Wheeler has an ERA of 2.82 this season, while Darvish has an ERA of 3.10. With almost 6 runs expected in this game and with the teams scoring a lot this series, I expect another Over to hit. Game 4 had an O/U of 7.5 and got to 16. This one easily gets to the 7 needed.

OVER 6.5 (-120) is my FAVORITE PLAY in this game.

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