Tag: Padres Dodgers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

NLDS Game 5: San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres and LA Dodgers meet in a decisive Game 5 of their best-of-5 NLDS Friday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: Tied 2-2; Padres won regular-season series 8-5

The winner heads to the NLCS to face the New York Mets. These teams split the regular-season series in Los Angeles 3-3.

With a 2-1 series lead, the Padres had the Dodgers on the ropes Thursday, but LA picked up an 8-0 victory in Game 4 as a moderate underdog (+118) while the total pushed (8) at most shops. The Over is 3-0-1 in this series.

The Dodgers piled up 12 hits in Game 4, with OF Mookie Betts, C Will Smith and 2B Gavin Lux each swatting HRs while picking up 2 RBIs apiece. LA used 8 pitches, going no more than 1 2/3 IP, while the Padres used 7 arms.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Darvish (7-3, 3.31 ERA) made 16 regular-season starts. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 81 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 10-2 road victory in Game 2 in L.A. on Sunday in 1st postseason start of 2024
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 4-0, 2.63 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 7 BB, 25 K, .198 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 5-5, 2.27 ERA (91 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Dodgers (regular season): 1-0, 1.72 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 3 ER), .145 OBA, 1 HR, 6 BB, 12 K in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: 5-6, 3.88 ERA (65 IP, 57 K, 1.06 WHIP) in 12 starts

Yamamoto (7-2, 3.00 ERA) made 18 regular-season starts. He had a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 90 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 1 K in 7-5 home victory in Game 1 vs. L.A. Saturday in his 1st career postseason start
  • 2024 home splits (regular season): 3-1, 3.88 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 9 BB, 55 K in 10 starts
  • 2024/Career vs. Padres (regular season): 0-1, 12.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 2 BB 8 K in 2 starts

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Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:19 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-185) | Dodgers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 3, Dodgers 2

Moneyline

The PADRES (+120) are worth a look as short ‘dogs in this decisive Game 5.

Backing the veteran Darvish against the Dodgers (-145) is a good move, especially with the rookie Yamamoto making just his 2nd career postseason start. He likely won’t have a very long leash, and the L.A. bullpen used 7  pitchers in the Game 4 win, so its bullpen is a little more taxed than San Diego’s.

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres +1.5 (-185) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive. The risk is just too great for the small reward if you require insurance and just can’t back the underdog straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) might be the best play on the board in Game 5.

We should have a lot of nerves all around, and both of these pitches are capable of throwing a lot of donuts. If they don’t, neither manager is likely to hesitate to go another way, similar to Game 4 where no pitcher lasted very long if things started going south.

We have had a lot of offense in this series, with the Dodgers averaging 5.4 runs per game (RPG), and the Padres going for 5.3 RPG. While that seems to scream Over, this is an elimination game for both teams, and everyone should be a bit on the tight side.

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NLDS Game 2: San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres and LA Dodgers face off Sunday for Game 2 of their best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 8:03 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Dodgers lead 1-0

LA picked up a 7-5 win in Saturday’s series opener as a -135 home favorite. After trailing 5-3, the Dodgers exploded for a 3-run 4th inning to take the lead before adding a final run in the 5th. DH Shohei Ohtani went 2 for 5, including a 3-run shot in the 2nd, and scored twice.

The Dodgers outhit the Padres 10-7, but the teams were even in HRs (1-1), runners left on base (8-8), and total bases (13-13). Saturday’s win was the 1st in the postseason for the Dodgers since Game 1 of the NLDS in 2022, also against the Padres.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Darvish (7-3, 3.31 ERA) made 16 starts. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 81 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-3 victory at Arizona Diamondbacks Sept. 27
  • Only career postseason start vs. LA: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-3 road victory Oct. 12, 2022, in Game 2 of NLDS
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 5-5, 2.27 ERA (91 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 across 15 starts
  • Career postseason: 4-6, 4.19 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 58 innings

Flaherty (13-7, 3.17 ERA) made 28 starts. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 162 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home win over Padres Sept. 25
  • Only career postseason start vs. Padres: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 4-0 road defeat Oct. 2, 2020, in Game 3 of NLWC with St. Louis Cardinals
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 2-1, 4.45 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Career postseason: 1-3, 3.60 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 25 innings

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-185) | Dodgers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

LEAN PADRES (+120).

San Diego, despite losing the last 3 in LA, has won 6 of the last 10 meetings overall. The 3 straight losses may sound off-putting, but that doesn’t scare me off. I don’t see the Dodgers beating a team as good as this one in 4 straight meetings, so this bet is worth the risk.

This is a lean because the Dodgers are the better and hotter team, so this does come with risk.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect the Padres to not only cover, but to also pick up the outright win. However, I am not a fan of doubling down on a team’s ML and run line, and I like the odds on the ML better here. As set at +1.5 (-185), this line is not worth the risk of betting on, so play the ML and/or total instead.

I recommend passing here. However, if you feel more confident in the Padres to cover +1.5 and are okay with betting a -185, then you can seriously consider playing it.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

The Over has hit in back-to-back home games for LA and is 6-3-1 in the Dodgers’ last 10 overall. For San Diego, the Over is 2-1 in the playoffs so far and 2-0 in its last 2 road games, including the regular season. The Over has also hit in 4 of the last 6 meetings.

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NLDS Game 1: San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers welcome the San Diego Padres to Dodger Stadium Saturday for the first of their best-of-5 NLDS series. First pitch is set for 8:38 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: 0-0; season series: Padres won 8-5

The Dodgers won the NL West and finished with the top seed in the entire league. Los Angeles finished the regular season on fire, winning 5 straight, 2 of those of which were against the Padres. It scored double digits in 2 of its last 3 games. The Dodgers were the second-best home team in the majors, ending with a 52-28 record. They won 5 of their last 7 at home. Los Angeles is led by DH Shohei Ohtani, who ended the season with a team-high 54 home runs and 130 RBIs.

The Padres, who finished 2nd in the NL West, had the best record of any non-division winner. They beat the Atlanta Braves in back-to-back games at home to advance to the NLDS. They won those games a combined 9-4 and have won 4 of their last 5 games, including the playoffs. They lost RHP Joe Musgrove in the process, though, and he’ll miss all of next season due to Tommy John surgery. San Diego has won 6 of its last 9 games on the road. It is led by 3B Manny Machado, who finished the regular season with 29 home runs and 105 RBIs.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Cease (14-11, 3.47 ERA) made 33 starts in 2024. He ended with a 1.07 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 189 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 4-3 road loss to the Dodgers Sept. 25
  • 2024 away stats: 8-4, 3.83 ERA (103 1/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 in 19 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1, 2.61 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 4 starts

Yamamoto (7-2, 3.00 ERA) made 18 starts this season. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 90 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 13-2 road win over the Colorado Rockies Saturday
  • 2024 home stats: 3-1, 3.88 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Padres: 0-1, 12.00 ERA (6 IP, 8 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 in 2 starts

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 2

Moneyline

BET DODGERS (-140).

The Dodgers have performed well recently with Yamamoto on the mound. They have won his last 3 starts. Los Angeles also has bats that are red hot, scoring a total of 26 in its last 3-game series and even putting up 11 on the Padres in their 2 games before that. The Dodgers have also been among the best in the country at home, so they should get a boost from that as well.

The Padres had the kryptonite for most of the season against the Dodgers, but they won just 2 of 5 to close the regular season and has their Wild Card series at home as well. San Diego has scored 5 or fewer runs in 9 straight games and has scored 3 or fewer in 3 of its last 7. Couple it all together and back DODGERS (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Dodgers are the run-line favorite here, but 4 of the 13 games between the 2 teams were 1-run games. They aren’t worth playing on the spread. The Padres are far too expensive as a run-line underdog as well.

Avoid the spread and take a moneyline option.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

At this level, both teams have strong starting pitchers taking the mound. That said, the Dodgers have gone Under in 3 of their last 6 games and have allowed 2 or fewer in 3 of their last 4.

While their offense has been hot, in their last series against the Padres, the Dodgers scored just 13 runs in all 3 games. The Padres split their Wild Card series 1-1 O/U and are 3-6 O/U in their last 9 games.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (91-67) and LA Dodgers (94-64) meet Thursday as they wind up a 3-game series in Chavez Ravine. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 8-4

San Diego and LA have split the 1st 2 games of the series. The Dodgers won Wednesday’s contest, snapping a 5-game Padre win streak. Since Sept. 13, San Diego is 9-2.

Los Angeles heads into Thursday’s game leading the Padres in the NL West by 3 games. The Dodgers are a half-game ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for the top seed in the upcoming NL playoffs.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Walker Buehler

Musgrove (6-5, 3.95 ERA) is making his 19th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 93 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 3-2 home win vs. Chicago White Sox Friday
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 0-7, 4.48 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 12 starts

Buehler (1-6, 5.63 ERA) is making his 16th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 70 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 6-3 home defeat vs. Colorado Rockies Saturday
  • Owns 6.51 ERA over his last 8 starts
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 6-1, 1.80 ERA (70 IP, 14 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 11 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+165) | Dodgers +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

SAN DIEGO (-105) is 5-2 over its last 7 games at Dodger Stadium.

Musgrove is in excellent form. Over his last 2 starts, he’s held foes scoreless while whiffing 17 batters without issuing a base on balls.

The Friars are an excellent road club (45-31) and are 6-2 across their last 8 away games. Heading into this series, the Padres ranked 5th and 6th, respectively, in road scoring (5.11 runs per game) and run prevention (3.88).

Buehler does not typically get deep into games, and that potentially exposes an LA bullpen which has trended the wrong way this month, at least in its analytic indicator numbers.

BACK PADRES (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

No interest. PASS.

Over/Under

Eight of San Diego’s last 9 games have hit the Under. Across the last 7 San Diego-LA meetings, the Under has gone 5-2.

Look for the starting pitching to be a tad undervalued by surface numbers. TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (91-66) and LA Dodgers (93-64) meet Wednesday as they continue a 3-game NL West series. The start time at Dodger Stadium is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 8-3

San Diego won Tuesday 4-2 as a +107 underdog. The Padres, 9-1 in the last 10 games, closed out the series-opening win in dramatic fashion, turning a 5-4-3 triple-play to retire LA in the home half of the 9th with DH Shohei Ohtani on deck. The win clinched a postseason berth for the Friars, who are now just 2 games behind the NL West-leading Dodgers.

Los Angeles had been 6-2 with a plus-34 run differential over its last 8 games before Tuesday. The Dodgers have lost 2 in a row at home just twice in the 2nd half.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Cease (14-11, 3.42 ERA) is making his 33rd start. He owns a 1.05 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 184 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 8 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-0 home shutout vs. Houston Astros Sept. 18
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1, 1.72 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 24 K in 3 starts

Flaherty (13-7, 3.10 ERA) is tabbed for his 28th start combined between the Detroit Tigers and Dodgers. He has authored a 1.06 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 157 innings between the 2 clubs.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 20-4 rout at Miami Marlins Thursday
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 2-1, 4.26 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 28 K in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 4:11 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Dodgers 4

Moneyline

San Diego is 8-2 over its last 10 games against LA.

The Friars are an excellent road club (45-30) and are 6-1 across their last 7 away games. Heading into this series, the Padres ranked 5th and 6th, respectively, in road scoring (5.11 runs per game) and run prevention (3.88).

Wednesday’s pitching matchup is near-level. Looking at recent starts, Cease — who has not allowed a run in his last 2 starts and his last 16 2/3 innings — is a bit more of a green check mark in the mound category.

BACK PADRES (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

No interest. PASS.

Over/Under

Look for both offenses to have just a sliver of an edge in where this one fits compared to expectations. Consider a partial-unit play on OVER 7.5 (-120).

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San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (90-66) and LA Dodgers (93-63) meet Tuesday as they open up a 3-game NL West series. Start time in the Tuesday opener is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 7-3

San Diego is on the road after a 5-1 homestand. The Padres are 8-1 since Sept. 13. Since Sept. 1, they have gained a couple games on Los Angeles in the NL West standings.

The Dodgers, who lead the NL West by 3 games — over the Padres with 6 games to go — are 6-2 with a plus-34 run differential over their last 8 games.

The Southern California foes have played just 2 games since mid-May, and the Friars have won 5 of the last 6 meetings.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Michael King vs. RHP Landon Knack

King (12-9, 3.04 ERA) is making his 30th start and 31st appearance. He owns a 1.20 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 168 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-3 home loss in 10 innings vs. Houston Astros Sept. 17
  • Road splits: 8-4, 2.80 ERA (90 IP, 28 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 15 starts and 1 relief outing
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-0, 3.63 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 13 H, 8 BB, 23 K in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • 2024 vs. Dodgers: 1-0, 4.11 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 12 H, 8 BB, 20 K in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Owns a 2.06 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 9 ER) over his last 7 starts

Knack (3-4, 3.39 ERA) is making his 12th start and 14th appearance. The rookie has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 61 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 8-4 win at Miami Marlins Wednesday
  • Home splits: 1-3, 3.00 ERA (30 IP, 10 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Has never faced the Padres

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Padres +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+165) | Dodgers +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Dodgers 5

Moneyline

San Diego has won 8 straight series openers. The Padres rank 5th and 6th, respectively in road scoring (5.11 runs per game) and run prevention (3.88).

King has made 10 starts in the 2nd half; he’s allowed more-than-2 earned runs just once. Since 2022, the righty owns a 2.45 ERA, 1.08 WHIP in road starts.

For Knack, strikeout totals (17 in 13 IP) have not been supported by peripherals, and too many baseballs have been barreled up over recent starts. A wind-blowing-out contest in Chavez Ravine has plenty of risk against a Friars club hitting the way it is. San Diego owns a .789 OPS over its last 16 games.

BACK PADRES (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

This play brings more juice and a higher profit hurdle into the equation. AVOID.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-2 across the last 7 series meetings at Dodger Stadium.

Both starting pitchers are solid but overrated by their surface stats. The Padres bullpen fits into the same category when looking at its September numbers, and the LA bullpen has been off its collective game for more than a few weeks.

With an outward breeze in the forecast and 2 good hitting clubs in the batter’s box, BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (0-1) and Los Angeles Dodgers (1-0) close out the 2-game Korea Series Thursday morning in Seoul, South Korea. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 a.m. ET (ESPN) with the Dodgers being the home team for this one — the Padres were the home team Wednesday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 1-0; Los Angeles won 5-2 as a heavy favorite (-215) while the Under (8.5) cashed.

The Dodgers won the 1st MLB regular-season game ever played on South Korean soil, posting the 5-2 victory with 7 hits. Los Angeles SS Mookie Betts led off and collected a pair of singles, a walk and an RBI. Betts and DH Shohei Ohtani collected multiple hits for the Dodgers . Los Angeles batters also drew 9 walks, while taking advantage of 2 San Diego errors.

The Padres managed just 4 hits, with 2B Xander Bogaerts knocked a pair of singles with an RBI. Neither team had a home run, or even an extra-base hit, with all 11 knocks being singles. San Diego did draw 4 walks, while L.A. had 9, and that was the biggest story from Game 1.

Padres vs. Dodgers projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Musgrove (10-3, 3.05 ERA) made 17 starts in 2023. He posted a 1.14 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 97 1/3 innings.

  • 2023 night game splits: Went 6-1 with a 2.72 ERA with 6 BB and 50 K across 46 1/3 IP in 8 starts
  • 2023 splits vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 3.38 ERA across 10 2/3 IP in 2 starts with 7 BB and 10 K

Yamamoto (17-6, 1.16 ERA) made 24 appearances for Orix in the Nippon (Japan) Professional Baseball League in 2023. He’ll make his MLB debut Thursday.

  • 2024 spring stats: 0-1, 8.38 ERA in 3 starts. He has a 1.97 WHIP with 4 BB and 14 K in 9 2/3 innings

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Padres vs. Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-125) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Padres vs. Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 5

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-190) took care of business in the opener, winning by 3 runs, but they’re turning to an import pitcher making his Major League debut in Game 2. It’s risky, as there just isn’t much of a sample size with Yamamoto. Truth be told, so far the sample size hasn’t been great in Cactus League play.

On the flip side, the Padres (+155) can’t be trusted with Musgrove, who struggled in 2 starts against the Dodgers in 2023. The light-hitting Padres really struggled to cobble together much offense on Wednesday.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The PADRES +1.5 (-125) aren’t priced out of line, if you’d like a little bit of a insurance, but don’t want to play San Diego straight up.

The Padres should be able to piece together a little more offense against the unproven Yamamoto, than they did against Wednesday starter RHP Tyler Glasnow and L.A. in the opener. We should see our 1st extra-base hits of the season, too.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-115) is worth a look in Game 2, as we should see an uptick in offense, including the first extra-base hits of the season, and perhaps a home run or two.

We weren’t sure how the Gocheok Sky Dome would play, and it turned out it is a single haven as Glasnow and San Diego’s Wednesday starter RHP Yu Darvish each fared pretty well. We still saw 7 total runs, and an increase an offense is expected with lesser pitching on the bump Thursday.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (68-78) wrap up a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (88-56) on Wednesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 9-3

The Padres were defeated 11-2 by the Dodgers on Tuesday as OF Fernando Tatis Jr. hit his 24th homer of the season. San Diego has lost 5 of its last 8 games and is 8 games back of the final NL Wild Card.

Dodgers 1B Freddie Freeman hit his 26th home run of the season and tallied 4 hits in Tuesday’s lopsided win. Los Angeles is 4-2 in its last 6 games and is 13 games ahead of the Arizona Diamondbacks atop the NL West.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Ryan Pepiot

Snell (13-9, 2.52 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 through 161 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 11-2 road win vs. Houston Astros Friday
  • 2023 road stats: 4-4, 2.29 ERA (78 2/3 IP, 20 ER) in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-2, 2.86 ERA (56 2/3 IP, 18 ER) in 12 starts

Pepiot (2-0, 0.86 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.52 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 21 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 10-0 road win vs. Miami Marlins Thursday
  • 2023 home stats: 1-0, 0.90 ERA (10 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
  • First career start vs. the Padres

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Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Dodgers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-175) | Dodgers -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 3

Moneyline

I’ll take the DODGERS (-130) at home Wednesday despite that they’re facing Snell. The Dodgers are a perfect 4-0 in the Pepiot’s 4 appearances and have won 9 of 12 meetings vs. the Padres this season.

Run line/Against the spread

DODGERS -1.5 (+145) is how I’d wager on the spread with L.A. playing at home. The Dodgers have beat the Padres by at least 2 runs in 8 of their 9 wins against them this season.

Over/Under

While Snell and Pepiot have been great on the mound, OVER 8.5 (-120) is the lean in this game. The Dodgers boast the 6th-best ISO (.204), wOBA (.367), and wRC+ (133) against left-handed pitching since the beginning of August.

The Over is also 6-0 in the last 6 meetings overall.

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (67-77) and Los Angeles Dodgers (87-55) open up a 3-game set at Dodger Stadium Monday. First pitch is at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 8-2

The Padres enter this matchup after dropping 2 of 3 games in each of their last 2 series to the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies. The Friars are just 8-12 over the last 20 games as their disappointing season is nearing the end. The Padres are 28-41 on the road and 20-23 within the NL West.

The Dodgers are coasting a bit with a 13-game lead in the NL West. They are just 4-6 over the last 10 games, which presents a risk in betting on them this late in the regular season. OF Mookie Betts was able to return Sunday from a foot injury that kept him out a couple of days. L.A. is 26-12 within the division.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Pedro Avila vs. RHP Gavin Stone

Avila (1-2, 2.19 ERA) makes his 5th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 37 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 6 BB, 1 K against the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • 2023 as a starter: 1-2, 3.50 ERA, 1.72 WHIP and 8.5 K/9

Stone (1-0, 10.50 ERA) makes his 4th start and 6th appearance. He has a 2.28 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 in 18 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 7 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 3 K May 28 against Tampa Bay Rays
  • Was 7-4 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 19 starts and 21 games at Triple-A Oklahoma City

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Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Dodgers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Dodgers 5

Moneyline

I have no reason to believe in the Dodgers, who are just trying to make it to October without suffering more injuries. They had a bullpen game Sunday, and Stone has given no reason to consider backing them.

The PADRES (+140) is the way to go in this one.

Run line/Against the spread

If you can’t bring yourself to take the underdogs and want some insurance, the Padres are at a solid price to keep it within a run. The Dodgers are just 38-33 on the RL at home this year, and San Diego is 33-36 on the RL on the road.

Either take the ML or take PADRES +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

The Dodgers have plated 31 runs over the last 4 games, and 2 of those were without Betts atop the lineup. Both of these starters are unproven with some spotty results. The Over has cashed in the last 4 meetings between the teams and cashed in 3 of Avila’s last 4 starts as well.

LEAN OVER 9.5 (-110).

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (19-21) hope to avoid a 3-game sweep by the Los Angeles Dodgers (25-15) on Sunday. First pitch for the series finale is Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 4-1

The Padres have lost 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7 after the Dodgers have taken both games of the series so far with 4-2 victories. San Diego has been held to 3 or fewer runs in 6 of its last 7 games, all losses.

The Dodgers have a 4-game winning streak and are 12-2 in their last 14 games.

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Padres at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. RHP Tony Gonsolin

Weathers (1-1, 2.50 ERA) makes his 4th start and 6th appearance overall. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 5 BB and 11 K in 18 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP 6 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 5 K in 2-0 loss to the Atlanta Braves on April 17
  • Is 0-0 with career 3.95 ERA in 4 appearances (3 starts) vs. Dodgers

Gonsolin (0-1, 1.93 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 5 BB and 10 K in 14 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 R (0 ER), 3 H, 0 BB, 6 Ks in 9-3 loss Monday at Milwaukee Brewers
  • Is 4-0 with career 1.45 ERA in 6 appearances (5 starts) vs. Padres

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-130) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers have won 12 of their last 14 games and are 14-6 at home while the Padres have lost 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7 games.

It seems 5 runs is the magic number for the Padres. They are 10-0 in their last 10 games scoring 5 or more runs. They are 0-10 in their last 10 games scoring fewer than 5 runs.

The Dodgers have allowed 4 or fewer runs in 11 of their last 13 games.

The moneyline is a little too costly to bet the Dodgers here, but they are  good bet on the run line.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Ten of the Dodgers’ last 12 wins have been by 2 or more runs. Their last 3 wins over the Padres have been by more than 1 run. Meanwhile, 9 of the Padres’ last 12 losses have been by more than 1 run.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+105).

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Over/Under

None of the last 12 games between the Padres and Dodgers have reached 9 total runs. The Padres’ last 10 games have had 8 or fewer total runs.

BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).

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