The San Diego Padres (13-11) and Arizona Diamondbacks (11-11) play the opener of a two-game set Tuesday at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Chris Paddack is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 over 18 IP through four starts. Paddack opened his season allowing three runs – two earned – and three walks in four innings in a 3-1 home loss against the Diamondbacks April 4.
RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 through 21 IP across four starts. Kelly coughed up three earned runs on five hits and three walks in a season-low four innings of a 4-2 loss at San Diego April 2 in his first outing of 2021. This will be his first start of the season at home.
MLB betting offers/promotions
BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.
- Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
- RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!
Padres at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Padres -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+100) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Padres 6, Diamondbacks 3
Money line (ML)
The PADRES (-155) are worth a look against the Diamondbacks, and it’s all about the pitching matchup. Paddack won’t be confused with former San Diego starters Dave Dravecky, Eric Show or Ed Whitson, as he has gotten off to a very slow start. But he has been nowhere near as poor as Merrill, who is yielding nearly eight earned runs per nine innings.
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The PADRES -1.5 (+100) are rested and raring to go after a scintillating 8-7 win at the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday night. They covered the run line in all four games against the Dodgers, including three outright victories as underdogs. They also cashed the run line in their most recent two victories against the Snakes April 2-3.
Over/Under (O/U)
O/U 9 is going to be too close to call. I don’t trust either pitcher to hold the offenses in check, but at the same time, I don’t really trust the offenses, either.
If I had a lean, it would be to the Over, as the Padres are 3-0 O/U, averaging 6.0 runs per game, in the previous three against the Dodgers. But I think I’ll PASS here.
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]