Outback Bowl: Minnesota vs. Auburn odds, picks and best bets

Previewing the New Year’s Day’s Outback Bowl between Minnesota and Auburn, with NCAA football betting odds, picks and best bets

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (10-2) will take on the Auburn Tigers (9-3) in the Outback Bowl on New Year’s Day at 1 p.m. ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. We analyze the Minnesota-Auburn odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Minnesota at Auburn: Three things you need to know

1. After starting the year 9-0, the Golden Gophers finished by losing two of their last three games to Iowa and Wisconsin. They scored only 36 total points in those games, which is only two points higher than their average per game this season (34.3).

2. Auburn’s three losses came against teams ranked in the top 10 at the time of the game. The Tigers lost 24-13 to 10th-ranked Florida, 23-20 to No. 2 LSU and 21-14 to No. 4 Georgia.

3. Auburn ranks 13th in points allowed per game on defense, giving up just 18.6 PPG. Minnesota is 23rd in the country in scoring, putting up 34.3 points per contest.


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Minnesota at Auburn: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Auburn 31, Minnesota 21

Moneyline (ML)

Auburn is one of the best teams in the country, despite its record not reflecting that. The Tigers’ only losses came to top-10 teams, and all three games were close. They should beat the Golden Gophers, whose only impressive win came against No. 4 Penn State.

Auburn is 4-2 straight up in its last six games against the Big Ten. Take AUBURN (-264) to win outright in this one, largely because of its stronger resume.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Auburn to win returns a profit of $3.79.

Against the Spread (ATS)

Auburn is 9-3 ATS this season, which is far better than Minnesota’s 6-4-2 mark. The Tigers are also 6-0 ATS in their last six non-conference games, which bodes well for their chances in this matchup.

Auburn is favored by 7.5 points, but that’s a margin the Tigers are certainly capable of covering. Take AUBURN (+105) to win by at least 8 points, which is a good value at plus-money.

Over/Under (O/U)

The projected total for the Outback Bowl is 53.5 points. Both offenses rank in the top 27 of scoring, but the total won’t quite reach 54 points. The total has gone Under in four of Auburn’s last five games and in seven of the Tigers’ last 10 games on a neutral field.

Bet the UNDER (-106) in this matchup.

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Wisconsin Bowl Memories: Barry Alvarez and the 2015 Outback Bowl

The last great hurrah for Barry Alvarez on the sidelines at Wisconsin.

The object of the game is to win, but entering the 2015 Outback Bowl, the Wisconsin Badgers had to decide for themselves and each other how much this football game meant to them.

They had just unraveled against Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game, on a night when — we would later learn — former coach Gary Andersen had one foot out the door after just two seasons on the job. A bunch of coaches were not happy. Wisconsin got embarrassed on national television. The players had to sort through the aftermath. It was not a good time to be a Badger.

The Auburn Tigers had endured a rough 2014 season. In the first month of 2014, Auburn played Florida State for the last BCS national championship, and very nearly won. Coach Gus Malzahn didn’t have everyone back for 2014, but he still had quarterback Nick Marshall and some run-pass-option concepts which were not easy to defend. People thought Wisconsin would give Ohio State a good game in Indianapolis, and that did not happen. People thought Wisconsin would probably lose to Auburn, but before that, Wisconsin had to determine that this game was important.

Enter Barry Alvarez, the architect of Wisconsin football.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CKIyZbEGqo0

Badger football had enjoyed meaningful moments and forged historic achievements before Alvarez. Alan Ameche won the 1954 Heisman and, before that, led Wisconsin to its first Rose Bowl in the 1952 season. The 1962 team beat Minnesota when the Golden Gophers were at the height of their powers. Quarterback Ron Vander Kelen and a tight end named Pat Richter were part of the almost-but-not-quite comeback attempt which made the 1963 Rose Bowl against USC one of the most memorable college football games of all time. In the 150 years of college football history, that Rose Bowl game has to be one of the sport’s 50 best games, which is no small feat.

Yes, Wisconsin football had climbed great heights in a few specific moments before Alvarez came aboard at the end of the 1980s. Yes, the Badgers had left a positive imprint on college football in the decades before Alvarez was hired — interestingly enough — by Richter, who made a contribution to Badger football which was greater than the 1963 Rose Bowl or the 1962 UW season.

Yet, what changed for Wisconsin when Alvarez was hired is that the program found a true builder and sustainer, someone who could not only win and win big, but do so on a relatively consistent basis.

Ivy Williamson (who took Wisconsin to its first Rose Bowl) never won at least seven games in consecutive seasons. Milt Bruhn (who took the Badgers to multiple Rose Bowls) won at least seven games in consecutive seasons one time. In the early 1980s, Dave McClain won seven games in four straight seasons, but Wisconsin played 11 regular-season games at that point in time, not the nine games Bruhn and Williamson played in the 1950s and ’60s. It wasn’t until Alvarez turned the corner and established his identity that Wisconsin won with high-caliber consistency.

Under Alvarez’s oversight and guidance, the program is still robust and relevant, decades later. On the first day of a new calendar decade, the 2020s, Wisconsin will play in yet another Rose Bowl. This will be the Badgers’ seventh Rose Bowl since the Alvarez era began. Wisconsin played major college football for nearly 100 years before Alvarez arrived in Madison. The Badgers reached three Rose Bowls in that span.

Barry Alvarez is truly the “before and after” figure in Wisconsin football history. The program is split into two eras, with Barry in the center. He might not be a football Jesus if you’re uncomfortable with that comparison or imagery, but we can all agree on this: He sure did resurrect Badger football.

Therefore, when Alvarez coached Wisconsin for the 2015 Outback Bowl against Auburn — in a one-game relief appearance which recalled the 2013 Rose Bowl against Stanford after Bret Bielema left — the Badgers gained a very good reason to treat the game in Tampa as an opportunity and not a chore after the misery of the blowout loss to Ohio State. That reason was simple: Win it for Barry.

The rest, as they say, is history, and a very cherished part of history for Wisconsin.

Melvin Gordon closed out his career with 251 rushing yards on 34 carries. Wisconsin flustered Auburn for much of the day and did what it wanted to do on offense. In overtime, the Badgers kicked a field goal but stuffed Auburn and watched the Tigers miss a tying 45-yard field goal.

Wisconsin 34, Auburn 31. Barry Alvarez has led this program the past few decades even though other men have taken over gameday responsibilities as the head coach of the Badgers. It was fitting — and not that surprising — that when Alvarez came down to the sidelines for one last direct taste of the passion of coaching, his players delivered him an immensely satisfying victory.

Let’s be clear about one thing: The fitting and unsurprising nature of the victory does not make the moment less poignant or resonant, five years later. When one recalls the glories of Wisconsin football under Barry Alvarez in the distant future, the 2015 Outback Bowl will be one of the first games college football historians point to.

2019-20 college football bowl game schedule, dates, times, betting lines

The 2019-20 bowl schedule features 40 games. Here’s a look at who will be playing who?

There are a plethora of bowl games on the 2019-20 schedule. If it feels like almost every school is in a postseason game, that’s because it has almost come to that. Here is all the info you need to know about bowl season.

December 20

Bahamas Bowl
Buffalo vs. Charlotte
Opening line: Buffalo -4.5
Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium
Nassau, Bahamas
2 p.m. | ESPN

Frisco Bowl
Kent State vs. Utah State
Opening line: Utah State -8.5
Toyota Stadium
Frisco, TX
7:30 p.m. | ESPN2

December 21

Celebration Bowl
Alcorn State vs. North Carolina A&T
NC A&T -7.5
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta, GA
Noon | ABC
New Mexico Bowl
Central Michigan vs. San Diego State
Opening line: San Diego State -4.5
Dreamstyle Stadium
Albuquerque, NM
2 p.m. | ESPN
Cure Bowl
Liberty vs. Georgia Southern
Opening line: Georgia Southern -6
Exploria Stadium
Orlando, FL
2:30 p.m. | CBSSN |
Boca Raton Bowl
FAU vs. SMU
Opening line: SMU -3.5
FAU Stadium
Boca Raton, FL
3:30 p.m. | ABC
Camellia Bowl
Arkansas State vs. Florida International
Opening line: Arkansas State -3
Cramton Bowl
Montgomery, AL
5:30 p.m. | ESPN
Las Vegas Bowl
No. 19 Boise State vs. Washington
Opening line: Washington -3.5
Sam Boyd Stadium
Las Vegas, NV
7:30 p.m. | ABC
New Orleans Bowl
No. 20 Appalachian State vs. UAB
Opening line: Appalachian State -17.5
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans, LA
9 p.m. | ESPN

December 23

Gasparilla Bowl
Marshall vs. UCF
Opening line: UCF -17.5
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa, FL
2:30 p.m. | ESPN

December 24

Hawai’i Bowl
BYU vs. Hawai’i
Opening line: BYU -2.5
Aloha Stadium
Honolulu, HI
8 p.m. | ESPN

December 26

Independence Bowl
Louisiana Tech vs. Miami (Fla.)
Opening line: Miami -7.5
Independence Stadium
Shreveport, LA
4 p.m. | ESPN
Quick Lane Bowl
Eastern Michigan vs. Pittsburgh
Opening line: Pittsburgh -11
Ford Field
Detroit, MI
8 p.m. | ESPN

December 27

Military Bowl
North Carolina vs. Temple
Opening line: North Carolina -6
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Annapolis, MD
Noon | ESPN
Pinstripe Bowl
Michigan State vs. Wake Forest
Opening line: Michigan State -3.5
Yankee Stadium
New York, NY
3:20 p.m. | ESPN
Texas Bowl
No. 25 Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M
Opening line: Texas A&M -4.5
NRG Stadium
Houston, TX
6:45 p.m. | ESPN
Holiday Bowl
No. 16 Iowa vs. No. 22 Southern California
Opening line: Iowa -2.5
SDCCU Stadium
San Diego, CA
8 p.m. | FS1
Cheez-It Bowl
Air Force vs. Washington State
Opening line: Air Force -2.5
Chase Field
Phoenix, AZ
10:15 p.m. | ESPN
Camping World Bowl
No. 15 Notre Dame vs. Iowa State
Opening line: Notre Dame -3.5
Camping World Stadium
Orlando, FL
Noon | ABC
Cotton Bowl Classic
No. 10 Penn State vs. No. 17 Memphis
Opening line: Penn State -7
AT&T Stadium
Dallas, TX
Noon | ESPN
Peach Bowl (College Football Playoff semifinal)
No. 1 LSU vs. No. 4 Oklahoma
Opening line: LSU -12.5
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta, GA
4 p.m. | ESPN
Fiesta Bowl (College Football Playoff semifinal)
No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 3 Clemson
Opening line: Clemson -2
State Farm Stadium
Glendale, AZ
8 p.m. | ESPN
December 30
First Responder Bowl
Western Kentucky vs. Western Michigan
Opening line: Western Kentucky -1
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Dallas, TX
12:30 p.m. | ESPN
Music City Bowl
Louisville vs. Mississippi State
Louisville -3.5
Nissan Stadium
Nashville, TN
4 p.m. | ESPN
Redbox Bowl
California vs. Illinois
Opening line: California -6
Levi’s Stadium
Santa Clara, CA
4 p.m. | FOX
Orange Bowl
No. 9 Florida vs. No. 24 Virginia
Opening line: Florida -13
Hard Rock Stadium
Miami Gardens, FL
8 p.m. | ESPN

December 31

Belk Bowl
Kansas vs. Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech -3
Opening line: TBD
Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte, NC
Noon | ESPN
Sun Bowl
Arizona State vs. Florida State
Opening line: Arizona State -5
Sun Bowl
El Paso, TX
2 p.m. | CBS
Liberty Bowl
Kansas State vs. Navy
Opening line: Kansas State -1
Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Memphis, TN
3:45 p.m. | ESPN
Arizona Bowl
Georgia State vs. Wyoming
Opening line: Wyoming -7
Arizona Stadium
Tucson, AZ
4:30 p.m.
Alamo Bowl
No. 11 Utah vs. Texas
Opening line: Utah -6.5
Alamodome
San Antonio, TX
7:30 p.m. | ESPN

Jan. 1, 2020

Citrus Bowl
No. 13 Alabama vs. No. 14 Michigan
Opening line: Florida -13
Camping World Stadium
Orlando, FL
1 p.m. | ABC
Outback Bowl
No. 12 Auburn vs. No. 18 Minnesota
Opening line: Auburn -7.5
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa, FL
1 p.m. | ESPN
Rose Bowl Game
No. 6 Oregon vs. No. 8 Wisconsin
Opening line: Oregon -2.5
Rose Bowl
Pasadena, CA
5 p.m. | ESPN
Sugar Bowl
No. 5 Georgia vs. No. 7 Baylor
Opening line: Georgia -7.5
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans, LA
8:45 p.m. | ESPN

Jan. 3

Birmingham Bowl
No. 21 Cincinnati vs. Boston College
Opening line: Cincinnati -6.5
Legion Field
Birmingham, AL
3 p.m. | ESPN
Gator Bowl
Indiana vs. Tennessee
Opening line: PK
TIAA Bank Stadium
Jacksonville, FL
7 p.m. | ESPN

Jan. 3

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Nevada vs. Ohio
Opening line: Ohio -6.5
Albertsons Stadium
Boise, ID
3:30 p.m. | ESPN

Jan. 4

Armed Forces Bowl
Southern Miss vs. Tulane
Opening line: Tulane -6
Amon G. Carter Stadium
Fort Worth, TX
11:30 a.m. | ESPN

Jan. 6

LendingTree Bowl
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Miami (Ohio)
Opening line: Louisiana -14
Ladd-Peebles Stadium
Mobile, AL
7:30 p.m. | ESPN

Jan. 13

College Football Playoff National Championship Game
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans, LA
8 p.m. | ESPN

Making sense of the Big Ten bowl lineup

We will find out what bowls Big Ten teams are going to on Sunday. Let’s look at the potential destinations so we can be prepared for them.

Nine Big Ten teams will find out their bowl destinations on Sunday. Where will they be headed? And who are the likely opponents? Let’s look up and down the lineup and see what we can find. There are a few things that we know, though a ton is still up in the air. What happens this weekend–especially in the College Football Playoff race–will have trickle effects on all of the Big Ten’s biggest bowls.

First, we have to explain the Big Ten’s bowl process. After the Citrus Bowl, every bowl sends its preferred team(s) to the Big Ten. The conference then decide which teams go where, though there are some requirements. For example, most bowls have some sort of deal for “five teams in six years,” while the Pinstripe Bowl says its “goal is to have eight different Big Ten schools participate in eight years, with a minimum of six different” teams playing. As this year is the end of the six-year cycle for most of the bowls in the lineup, this leaves some bowls–most notably the Outback Bowl–in an awkward situation.

The easiest way to make sense of the lineup is to go through, bowl by bowl, what teams will be the likely option. Let’s start at the very top, where the answers are very obvious.

College Football Playoff

Restrictions: None

Likely teams: Ohio State

Barring an incredible collapse on Saturday night, the Ohio State Buckeyes will be going to the College Football Playoff. Either the Peach Bowl or Fiesta Bowl is possible for the Buckeyes, though the Fiesta Bowl seems more likely. There is also a very slight chance that Wisconsin could find its way into the tournament. If the Badgers do make it, that will have shakeups down the bowl lineup, as I will explain.

Rose Bowl Game

Restrictions: None

Likely teams: Wisconsin, Penn State

Potential Opponents: Utah, Oregon

Based on the selection committee’s rankings this week, it seems very likely that Wisconsin will be going to the Rose Bowl. If, however, the Badgers get bumped down below Penn State after losing to Ohio State again, we could see the Nittany Lions in the Rose Bowl.

Remember, though, the Rose Bowl gets to select its Big Ten team. It will very likely follow the selection committee’s rankings, but it is not bound by them. So if Wisconsin loses badly but doesn’t drop in the rankings, it could still be passed over by the Rose Bowl. The Rose Bowl could even select Minnesota after the Gophers had their best season in over 50 years, though that no longer seems likely now that Minnesota is the Big Ten’s sixth-highest ranked team.

The opponent in this game will be either Utah or Oregon. If Utah wins the Pac 12 Championship Game but does not make it to the Playoff, then Utah will be the opponent. If Utah reaches the CFP or Utah loses the Pac 12 Championship Game, then Oregon will be the opponent.

Next… Other NY6 Bowls and New Years’ Day Bowls