Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans odds predictions pick betting line spread

Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans meet Monday for Game 4 of their best-of-7 Western Conference 1st-round series, which OKC leads 3-0. Tip-off from Smoothie King Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Oklahoma City routed New Orleans 106-85 on Saturday while covering as a 1.5-point road favorite. OKC’s defense continues to shine this series as rookie C Chet Holmgren now has 11 blocks while the Pelicans only have 10 blocks as a team.

The Thunder had 3 starters score 20-plus points in the win. No scorer for the Pelicans reached the 20-point mark and every player who played 10 minutes or more Saturday finished with a negative plus/minus.

Thunder at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Pelicans +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -4.5 (-115) | Pelicans +4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 204.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Thunder at Pelicans key injuries

Thunder

None

Pelicans

F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Thunder at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 107, Pelicans 96

Moneyline

PASS.

I expect the Thunder (-190) to pick up the win and complete the sweep here, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such a heavy favorite. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET THUNDER -4.5 (-115).

The Thunder have covered the spread in back-to-back games and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. OKC is also 4-1 ATS in its last 5 matchups with New Orleans overall, leading 2-1 ATS this series.

The Pelicans are also only 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games, making this bet even more safe.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 204.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 3 of Oklahoma City’s last 4 games and is 5-2 in its last 7. For New Orleans, the Under is 4-1 in its last 5 games and is 6-3-1 in its last 10. The Under has also hit in 2 of the 3 games this series, being 6-3 in the last 9 OKC-New Orleans matchups overall.

This is only a lean because an Under number of 204.5 always comes with a fair amount of risk in today’s high-scoring NBA.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans meet in Game 3 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 1st-round series Saturday. The Thunder lead the series 2-0. Tip-off from Smoothie King Center is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The top-seeded Thunder covered as 7.5-point favorites in a 124-92 win in Game 2 Wednesday with the Over (210) cashing in Oklahoma City.

G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a game-high 33 points for the Thunder, who have covered 5 of their last 6. F Chet Holmgren finished with 26 points and 7 rebounds, and F Jalen Williams added 21 points. New Orleans, which is the 8 seed, had no player score 20+ points.

Oklahoma City has won the past 4 meetings between these teams, going 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Under has hit in 5 of the last 8.

Thunder at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Pelicans +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -1.5 (-105) | Pelicans +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Thunder at Pelicans key injuries

Thunder

None

Pelicans

F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Thunder at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 104, Pelicans 103

Moneyline

The Pelicans are just 22-20 at home this season, compared to 28-15 on the road, so backing New Orleans at Smoothie King Center without its leading scorer in Williamson doesn’t fill me with confidence over the course of a full game.

However, the 1st half of Game 3 is usually a good spot for home teams that are down 2-0 in a series. We saw the Orlando Magic and Los Angeles Lakers both cash their 1st-half moneylines Thursday, and a veteran team like New Orleans should be able to bounce back as well.

BET PELICANS 1ST HALF (-145).

Against the spread

While I prefer laying -145 with the 1st-half ML, which also gives us the ability to push on a tie, the spread is low enough that the Pelicans will likely cover it if they’re leading after the 2nd quarter. If you’re uncomfortable risking $145 to win $100 on the 1st-half ML, then the spread may be your better option.

LEAN PELICANS 1ST HALF -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Betting the Under has been profitable in recent meetings between these teams. The Under has also gone 7-4 this season when New Orleans is a home underdog, as the added pressure from being outmatched seems to motivate the Pelicans on the defensive end.

BET UNDER 209.5 (-110).

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Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (49-21) take on the New Orleans Pelicans (44-27) Tuesday with tip-off from Smoothie King Center set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

OKC had a 4-game winning streak snapped with a 118-93 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks Sunday. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had just 12 points on 5-for-12 shooting. It was his lowest point total since his 3rd game of the season Oct. 19. The Thunder sit in 2nd in the West, 1 game behind the Denver Nuggets and a half-game ahead of the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Pels sit in 4th place, 6 1/2 behind the leader and 5 1/2 behind the Thunder. NOLA has won 2 straight, despite being without F Brandon Ingram (knee), and they’re 8-2 over the last 10. F Zion Williamson is carrying the load with 27+ points in 7 of 8.

Thunder at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Pelicans -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -1.5 (+100) | Pelicans +1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Thunder at Pelicans key injuries

Thunder

None

Pelicans

F Brandon Ingram (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Thunder at Pelicans and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 111, Pelicans 109

Moneyline

Each team has won on the other’s home court this season, and with Ingram out, I look for that trend to continue. Zion and G CJ McCollum are answering the bell for the Pelicans, but they aren’t getting enough supplemental scoring.

I prefer the spread so PASS.

Against the spread

I like OKC’s side here at even money. They took the last game in New Orleans 107-83. They laid an egg against Milwaukee Sunday, and that’s a little concerning, but for the price you have to go THUNDER -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

Both teams are 3-7 O/U over the last 10. We’ve had 2 Unders hit this season, and 4 of the last 5 meetings have gone Under.

I like the UNDER 223.5 (-115).

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Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 10th-place Oklahoma City Thunder (40-42) and the 9th-place New Orleans Pelicans (42-40) meet Wednesday in the Western Conference play-in tournament at Smoothie King Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Pelicans odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Thunder covered the spread as 2-point home favorites Sunday with a 115-100 win vs. the Memphis Grizzlies. Oklahoma City has won back-to-back games, but is just 2-8 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10.

The Pelicans failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs Sunday in a 113-108 loss at the Minnesota Timberwolves. New Orleans has won 9 of its last 12 games and is 8-3-1 ATS over that span.

The Pelicans won the regular season series 3-1 straight up (2-2 ATS), with the Under hitting in 3 of the 4 meetings. Oklahoma City covered as a 1-point underdog in a 110-96 win as the Under (232.5) cashed in the most recent meeting March 11.

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Thunder at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Pelicans -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +5.5 (-110) | Pelicans -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Thunder at Pelicans key injuries

Thunder

None

Pelicans

G Jose Alvarado (shin) out
C Larry Nance Jr. (ankle) questionable
F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Thunder at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 111, Thunder 110

Moneyline

PASS.

New Orleans (-225) should be able to bounce back at home after a tough loss last time out, but the Pelicans are being slightly overvalued on the moneyline. Bet the spread and/or the total instead.

Against the spread

BET THUNDER +5.5 (-110).

The Thunder have played well vs. the Pelicans in recent games and are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in New Orleans. Oklahoma City is a streaky team and is 17-6-3 ATS in its last 26 games after a win by more than 10 points. The Pelicans blew a 14-point 2nd-half lead last time out and should struggle to win by margin vs. this young Thunder team that will be playing with much less pressure on it than New Orleans.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 226.5 (-105).

The Under is 4-1 in Oklahoma City’s last 5 road games and 7-2 in its last 9 vs. teams with a winning record.

The Under has hit in 8 of New Orleans’ last 9 home games vs. teams with a road winning percentage below .400 and should hit again Wednesday as both teams slow their pace in the postseason.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (31-35) battle the New Orleans Pelicans (32-34) Saturday. Tip from Smoothie King Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Pelicans odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Thunder are 0-3 straight up against the Pelicans this season yet 1-2 against the spread (ATS). The most-recent matchup was a 103-100 win for the Pelicans, covering as a 2.5-point road favorite.

The Thunder are coming off a 132-101 loss Wednesday, failing to cover as an 11-point underdog. They are 3-1 straight up over their last 4 and 3-1 ATS in that span. Oklahoma City is 38-25-3 ATS this season.

The Pelicans, on the other hand, are 2-6 ATS over their last 8 games and 2-6 outright over that span as well. New Orleans is coming off a 113-106 home win over Dallas, covering as a 2.5-point underdog. It is 30-36 ATS this season.

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Thunder at Pelicans odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Pelicans -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +1.5 (-108) | Pelicans -1.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Thunder at Pelicans key injuries

Thunder

None

Pelicans

G Jose Alvarado (tibial) out
F Brandon Ingram (ankle) questionable
F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Thunder at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 118, Pelicans 112

Moneyline

SPRINKLE THUNDER (+110).

The Pelicans are 2-6 straight up over their last 8 games, and the Thunder, although 4 of the games were at home, have taken down Utah twice and Golden State in their last 4 games.

I was a fan of the spread before it was bet down to +1.5, but given how the teams have faired lately and the potential absence of Ingram, the THUNDER (+110) is a solid option.

Against the spread

LEAN THUNDER +1.5 (-108) or just stick to the ML.

Oklahoma City is 17-11-3 ATS on the road this season, the 3rd-best covering team away from home. While also solid, New Orleans is just 18-14 ATS at home.

As a home favorite though, they are just 11-10 ATS. The Thunder are routinely a strong play as an underdog, having posted a 27-16-3 ATS record in the position. They have covered 3 of their last 4 as well and are 2-1-2 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Back the THUNDER +1.5 (-108).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 233.5 (-112).

The Pelicans just haven’t had the offense to keep pace with the Thunder. OKC has gone Over in 6 straight games, but this is a lofty total for the Pelicans.

They have gone Under in 5 straight and in 8 of their last 9. They have scored 108 or fewer in 4 of their last 6 and have eclipsed 115 just once in their last 10 games.

With Ingram possibly sidelined and their offensive rebounding having dropped from No. 4 in the league (last season) to No. 8 (this season), the opportunities haven’t been there.

Back the UNDER 233.5 (-112).

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Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (2-4) take on the New Orleans Pelicans (4-3) for the second time in a week and are in the third game of a five-game road trip. Tipoff is at 8:05 p.m. ET at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans on Wednesday night.

Below, we analyze the Thunder-Pelicans NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Thunder at Pelicans: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

Money line: Thunder +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Pelicans -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Thunder +8.5 (-110) | Pelicans -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 212.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Thunder at Pelicans: Key Injuries

Thunder

F Trevor Ariza (not with team) out
PG Ty Jerome (ankle) out
PF Aleksej Pokusevski (concussion) out

Pelicans

G Sindarius Thornwell (health and safety protocols) out

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Thunder at Pelican: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Pelicans 108, Thunder 101

Money line (ML)

The Thunder are in a familiar place, as they have been underdogs in every single game so far this season. They lost 113-80 a week ago Dec. 31 to the Pelicans at home. They actually are 2-1 on the road this season, the same record as the Pelicans at home. New Orleans’ No. 4 scoring defense in the league will lead the way again. Take the PELICANS -375.

Against the spread (ATS)

The Thunder are one game better against the spread than their actual record, and the Pelicans are one game worse. The Pelicans are 1-2 ATS when favored and 1-2 ATS at home. The Thunder will be more competitive than in the last matchup between the two teams, considering they play better on the road than at home. Take the THUNDER +8.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

The two teams combined for only 193 in their first matchup. Oklahoma City’s games have gone Over only twice this season. The same applies to the Pelicans. The Thunder have the worst scoring offense and three-point percentage in the league, and the Pelicans are allowing the fourth-fewest points in the league. The two teams combine to average 208 points a game. That will be more or less what I expect from them tonight. Take UNDER 212.5 POINTS (-110).

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Rumors: Thunder | Pelicans

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