Ohio State Texas betting odds lines moneyline against the spread Over Under

College Football Playoff: Ohio State vs. Texas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Ohio State vs. Texas odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Ohio State Buckeyes (12-2) face the Texas Longhorns (13-2) in the Cotton Bowl Friday in a College Football Playoff semifinal. Kickoff from AT&T Stadium in Arlington is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Ohio State vs. Texas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Buckeyes fans were up in arms and ready to run coach Ryan Day out on a rail after a stunning 13-10 home loss to rival Michigan Nov. 30, a game Ohio State was favored by 19.5 points. However, things have simmered down considerably in the playoffs.

Ohio State fired out of the chute to throttle Tennessee 42-17 in a first-round playoff game as a 7-point home favorite Dec. 21 while the Over (47) cashed. The Buckeyes rolled up 156 yards on the ground and 317 yards through the air, winning handily despite a minus-1 turnover margin.

At the Rose Bowl Jan. 1, the Buckeyes exacted a little revenge with a 41-21 spanking of Oregon, covering as 2.5-point favorites while the Over (55.5) cashed. The Buckeyes led 34-0 until a late score by the Ducks before halftime.

Against Oregon, Ohio State posted 181 rushing yards and 319 passing yards while limiting the Ducks to minus-23 rushing yards. RB TreVeyon Henderson had 94 rushing yards and 2 TDs while QB Will Howard passed for 319 yards with 3 TDs.

Texas polished off Clemson in the first round with 38-24 win as a 13.5-point home favorite Dec. 21 while the Over (49.5) cashed.

On New Year’s Day, the Longhorns were facing a fourth and long, down 31-24 in overtime against Arizona State (91.2% win probability for Arizona State per ESPN Analytics). QB Quinn Ewers hit WR Matthew Golden on a 28-yard scoring strike to force 2OT, and Texas scored to win it 39-31.

Ohio State is No. 7 in the US LBM Coaches Poll (Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports), while Texas is No. 4.

Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Cotton Bowl: Ohio State vs. Texas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:44 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Ohio State -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Texas +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
Against the spread (ATS): Ohio State -6 (-105) | Texas +6 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Ohio State vs. Texas picks and predictions

Prediction

Ohio State 34, Texas 30

Moneyline

Ohio State (-250) will set you back 2½ times your potential return, and that’s a little too much risk for not enough reward.

Texas (+195) has the short ride up Interstate 35 from Austin to the Metroplex, although travel could be complicated by a winter storm striking the state. Still, there should be plenty of burnt orange in the stands, making it seem like a road game for the Buckeyes.

PASS.

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Against the spread

TEXAS +6 (-115) is worth a look, and even better if this line were to go up to a flat 7 or, better yet, 7 and a hook. You can also buy a point, if it makes you feel more comfortable.

Again, this is going to feel like a home game for the Longhorns, with the short ride to the Dallas metro area, as opposed to the longer flight from Columbus.

While the Buckeyes are on a roll, and the Longhorns will have their hands full trying to contain super freshman WR Jeremiah Smith, take the points.

Over/Under

OVER 53.5 (-105) may be the best play on the board in this national semifinal game.

Texas has cashed high in both playoff games to date, averaging 38.5 points per game (PPG) on offense while allowing 27.5 PPG.

For Ohio State, it has averaged 41.5 PPG in 2 games against Tennessee and Oregon, which is quite impressive, while allowing 19.0 PPG.

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Cotton Bowl first look: Ohio State vs. Texas odds and lines

Looking at Friday’s Ohio State vs. Texas college football odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The eighth-seeded Ohio State Buckeyes (12-2) and fifth-seeded Texas Longhorns (13-2) will meet in a College Football Playoff semifinal game in the Cotton Bowl Friday, Jan. 10. Kickoff from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at Ohio State vs. Texas odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds before making our expert college football picks and predictions later in the week.

The Buckeyes scored on 6 of their first 7 drives in cruising past the top-seeded Oregon Ducks 41-21 Wednesday in the Rose Bowl. Despite being the lower seed, Ohio State was favored by 2.5 points and the Over (55.5) cashed.

The Buckeyes fired out to a quick start, scoring 2 TDs in the first quarter and grabbing a 34-0 lead with 2:59 to go in the first half before the Ducks were able to get on the board with a TD and 2-point conversion on the final play of the second quarter.

Freshman WR Jeremiah Smith had 7 catches for 187 yards and 2 TDs, QB Will Howard threw for 319 yards with 3 TDs and the defense held the Ducks to -23 rushing yards … yes, that’s negative 23 with a lot of help from 8 sacks.

Ohio State is 2-0 against the spread (ATS) in its 2 playoff games, which both cashed Over tickets.

Meanwhile, the Longhorns posted a 31-24 double-overtime victory against the fourth-seeded Arizona State Sun Devils in the Peach Bowl Wednesday to advance to the semifinal. The Over (52) hit, but Texas did not cover as a 13.5-point favorite.

Texas was on the brink of elimination, down 31-24 in OT and facing 4th-and-13 at the ASU 28-yard line. That’s when QB Quinn Ewers connected with WR Matthew Golden for a 28-yard TD to send the game to a second OT. On the first play in the second extra period, Ewers found TE Gunnar Helm for a 25-yards TD before hitting Golden for a 2-point conversion and DB Andrew Mukuba’s interception sealed it.

Ewers finished with 322 passing yards with 3 TDs and 1 pick. Golden had 7 catches for 149 yards and a TD, while Helm had 3 catches for 56 yards and his score.

Texas is 1-1 ATS in its 2 playoff games, which, like Ohio State, both cashed Over tickets.

Texas is No. 4 in the US LBM Coaches Poll (conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports), while Ohio State is No. 7.

Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Cotton Bowl: Ohio State vs. Texas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 1:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Ohio State -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Texas +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
Against the spread: Ohio State -6.5 (-110) | Texas +6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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2024 betting stats

ML: Ohio State 12-2 | Texas 13-2
ATS: Ohio State 8-6 | Texas 8-7
O/U: Ohio State 7-7 | Texas 6-8-1

Ohio State vs. Texas head-to-head

Texas leads the all-time series 2-1, including a 24-21 victory in the 2009 Fiesta Bowl which was the most recent meeting. Ohio State did cover as an 8-point underdogs and the Under (52) hit.

The teams exchanged regular-season victories in 2005 and 2006, with the road team winning each of the outings. The 2006 game was a matchup of No. 1 vs. No. 2 with the top-ranked Buckeyes winning on the road 24-7 as 3-point underdogs.

Ohio State appeared in the Cotton Bowl last season in a game with much lower stakes. It fell to Missouri 14-3 as OSU was hurt by a ton of portal losses and opt-outs.

Texas hasn’t appeared in the Cotton Bowl since 2003 when it topped LSU 35-23.