Nuggets Thunder odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Denver Nuggets (2-0) and Oklahoma City Thunder (2-0) meet Sunday with tipoff from Paycom Center set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Nuggets won 3-1 last season

Denver picked up a 108-104 victory over the Memphis Grizzlies Friday, but did not cover as 5.5-point favorites. The star-studded duo of C Nikola Jokic and G Jamal Murray combined for 44 points in the win. Denver was sloppy, however, committing 19 turnovers and allowing 22 fast-break points.

Oklahoma City came away with a 108-105 road win vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers Friday, covering as a 2.5-point underdog. All-Star G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been hot to start the season, averaging 32.5 points on 61.4% shooting while also averaging 8 rebounds and 7 assists per game.

Nuggets at Thunder odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:23 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Thunder +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -3.5 (-105) | Thunder +3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nuggets at Thunder key injuries

Nuggets

None

Thunder

F/C Jaylin Williams (hamstring) out
F Kenrich Williams (back) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Nuggets at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 120, Thunder 117

Moneyline

LEAN NUGGETS (-155).

I like the Thunder and I love the hot start from Gilgeous-Alexander, but I don’t see his efforts being enough to stop the duo of Murray and Jokic. Murray has been hot from 3 to start the season, shooting 50% from beyond the arc on 14 attempts. I expect Murray and Gilgeous-Alexander to battle scoring-wise, but the Thunder have no players who can battle with Jokic.

Against the spread

LEAN THUNDER -3.5 (-115).

This should be a close game, especially given OKC’s home-court advantage and SGA’s red-hot start to the season. Both teams have some good 3-point snipers who will play a big role in this game. I like the defense and length of OKC F Chet Holmgren to slow down Nuggets F Aaron Gordon and limit his impact on the game. If SGA continues his hot start and the Thunder slow down Denver’s role players, they will be able to keep this game close.

Over/Under

BET OVER 229.5 (-110).

Neither squad has allowed an opponent to score 110 points, but I expect that to change for both units here. The Thunder average 16 made 3-pointers a game and the Nuggets average 14, and that will help carry this game to the Over.

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Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (4-3) and Oklahoma City Thunder (4-3) meet Thursday at Paycom Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Thunder odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets became the 1st team to lose to the Los Angeles Lakers Sunday at Crypto.com Arena, falling 121-110 and failing to cover as 2.5-point favorites. Denver held an 8-point lead with 3:45 remaining in the 3rd quarter before giving up a 22-2 run.

The Thunder improved to 4-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last 4 games after covering as 3.5-point home favorites in a 116-108 win vs. the Orlando Magic Monday. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored a game-high 34 points and is 4th in the NBA in points per game (31.5).

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Nuggets at Thunder odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -260 (bet $260 to win $100) | Thunder +205 (bet $100 to win $205)
Against the spread: -6.5 (-110) | Thunder +6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 229 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nuggets at Thunder key injuries

Nuggets

G Bones Hyland (hip) questionable
G Ish Smith (calf) questionable

Thunder

C Chet Holmgren (foot) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nuggets at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 119, Thunder 116

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nuggets (-260) moneyline is too high of a price to pay vs. 1 of the hottest teams in the league as the Thunder are 3-0 straight up in their last 3 games as underdogs. I would recommend betting on the spread or the total instead.

Against the spread

BET THUNDER +6.5 (-110).

The Thunder would be 7-0 ATS this season if it wasn’t for a failed cover as 9.5-point home underdogs in a 116-106 loss vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves Oct. 23.

Oklahoma City continues to be undervalued ATS as Gilgeous-Alexander’s play this season has made him a frontrunner for the Most Improved Player Award (6th-best odds at +1500). Take the points.

Over/Under

BET OVER 229 (-110).

The Over is 6-1 in Denver’s last 7 games after failing to cover the spread in its previous game and 3-0 in Oklahoma City’s last 3 games overall. The Over (227.5) hit in the last head-to-head meeting as the Nuggets won 122-117 at home Oct. 22 and I expect Thursday’s matchup to be played at a similar pace.

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Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (19-18) travel to Paycom Center Sunday to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (13-25). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Nuggets are 4-6 ATS over their last 10 games. With Nikola Jokic building upon his MVP campaign from a season ago, he should be able to once again have his way against a smaller OKC lineup.

OKC’s starting center for their matchup with the Wolves, one which they failed to cover, was 6-foot-9 forward Jeremiah Robinson-Earl. They do not have a dominant big man, and Jokic should abuse that.

That said, OKC has been among the best covering teams in the league this season at 24-14. They’re also 8-12 at home, so they play far better at Paycom Center.

Nuggets at Thunder odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Thunder +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -6.5 (-115) | Thunder +6.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Nuggets at Thunder key injuries

Nuggets

F Michael Porter Jr. (spine) out

Thunder

F Derrick Favors (back) questionable

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Nuggets at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 116, Thunder 108

Money line

PASS on the money line. -300 is too rich for the Nuggets. +230 for OKC is the only playable side, but I don’t like that much either given their size issues.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the NUGGETS -6.5 (-115). The last time these two teams met, the score ended 108-94 in OKC’s favor.

Denver was down 22 at the start of the 4th. They’re the better team, and Jokic likely won’t repeat his measly 13-point effort. Denver has covered 3 of its last 5.

The Thunder rank last in points, field goal percentage and three-point field goal percentage. Having lost 3 straight all by 7 or more, the Thunder have struggled recently, and I’d rather bet that continues than changes.

Over/Under

BET on the OVER 213.5 (-115).

With this side getting the juice, it’s the one the sportsbooks think is more likely to hit as well. Both teams allow just over 106 points per game. The Nuggets rank 12th in true shooting percentage yet have a negative net rating.

Having topped 120 points in two of their last 4 games, the Nuggets have an elite offense. While the Thunder are just 15-13 on the O/U this season, they’re 4-4 in their last 8.

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Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (15-14) are on the road Wednesday night to face the Oklahoma City Thunder (10-19). Tip-off is 8 p.m. ET at Paycom Center. Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Nuggets have not played five days, as they had their game against the Brooklyn Nets postponed due to a COVID-19 outbreak. They won the first game of their road trip last Friday, beating the Atlanta Hawks 133-115. They have won three of their last four games overall.

The Thunder have won two in a row, most recently beating the Memphis Grizzlies 102-99 on the road on Monday. While they have won two straight, they lost three in a row before that and have lost 11 of their last 15.

Nuggets at Thunder odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Thunder +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -5.5 (-120) | Thunder +5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Nuggets at Thunder key injuries

Nuggets

F Bol Bol (health and safety protocols) out
G P.J. Dozier (knee) out
F Aaron Gordon (hamstring) questionable
F JaMychal Green (ankle, knee) questionable
G Jamal Murray (knee) out
F Michael Porter Jr. (back, health and safety protocols) out

Thunder

C Mike Muscala (rest) out
G Tre Mann (toe) questionable

Nuggets at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 117, Thunder 101

Money line

PASS on the money line. The Thunder have won two in a row and have done it against two of the better teams in the Western Conference, but they have won more than two games in a row only once this season.

The Nuggets still have the reigning MVP in C Nikola Jokic playing and should have Gordon as well.

The money line play is only worth it if you think the Thunder can get the upset for the third straight game. I don’t think that will happen.

Against the spread

Dating back to Nov. 8, every Nuggets win has covered the spread and they have failed to cover the spread in any loss. They are 2-2 ATS as road favorites.

The Thunder have covered the spread in three straight games and in five of their last seven games. They are 8-5 ATS as a home underdog this season.

The problem is the Nuggets are averaging 118.5 points per game in their last six, while the Thunder are the lowest-scoring team in the league at 99.2 per game.

Take the NUGGETS -5.5 (-120).

Over/Under

If you want consistency, the Nuggets are consistent with the Over. Fifteen of their last 17 games have gone Over the projected total.

Only one of the Thunder’s last five has hit the Over, but they are 8-6 O/U in their last 14 games.

Take OVER 213.5 (-107).

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Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Denver Nuggets (17-15) take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (14-19) Saturday night. The game tips off at 8:05 p.m. ET at Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma City. Below, we analyze the Nuggets-Thunder odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Nuggets at Thunder: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Thunder +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
Against the spread/ATS: Nuggets -7.5 (-110) | Thunder +7.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Nuggets at Thunder: Key injuries

Nuggets

SG Gary Harris (thigh) out
PF JaMychal Green (shoulder) out
PF Paul Millsap (knee) out
SG P.J. Dozier (hamstring) questionable

Thunder

SG Hamidou Diallo (groin) questionable
PG George Hill (thumb) out
PF Al Horford (rest) probable

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Nuggets at Thunder: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 110, Thunder 105

Money line (ML)

PASS on the money line as there just isn’t enough value on the Denver side to make this bet worthwhile.

The Nuggets are -350 to win and that is just far too risky of a bet for a team that has lost four of its last six games. Instead, take a look at the point spread as it offers more value.

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Against the spread (ATS)

THUNDER +7.5 (-110) is the smart play here as the Nuggets are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games. Making matters worse for Denver is its 1-6 record against the spread in its last seven road games.

The Thunder haven’t been a great home team straight up this season (6-10) but 7.5 points is a lot of points in this game. Expect the Nuggets to win, but for the Thunder to keep it within a few baskets.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 222.5 (-110) is the lean as the total has gone Under the projected line in seven of the last nine games for the Thunder. Oklahoma City has one of the league’s worst offenses, averaging just 107.0 points per game.

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Also see:

‘Freak athlete’: Teammates react to Bazley dunk vs. Hawks (Thunder Wire)
Trade rumor rankings (Hoops Hype)

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