The Denver Nuggets (4-3) and Oklahoma City Thunder (4-3) meet Thursday at Paycom Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Thunder odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Nuggets became the 1st team to lose to the Los Angeles Lakers Sunday at Crypto.com Arena, falling 121-110 and failing to cover as 2.5-point favorites. Denver held an 8-point lead with 3:45 remaining in the 3rd quarter before giving up a 22-2 run.
The Thunder improved to 4-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last 4 games after covering as 3.5-point home favorites in a 116-108 win vs. the Orlando Magic Monday. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored a game-high 34 points and is 4th in the NBA in points per game (31.5).
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Nuggets at Thunder odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -260 (bet $260 to win $100) | Thunder +205 (bet $100 to win $205)
- Against the spread: -6.5 (-110) | Thunder +6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 229 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nuggets at Thunder key injuries
Nuggets
- G Bones Hyland (hip) questionable
- G Ish Smith (calf) questionable
Thunder
- C Chet Holmgren (foot) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Thunder picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 119, Thunder 116
Moneyline
PASS.
The Nuggets (-260) moneyline is too high of a price to pay vs. 1 of the hottest teams in the league as the Thunder are 3-0 straight up in their last 3 games as underdogs. I would recommend betting on the spread or the total instead.
Against the spread
BET THUNDER +6.5 (-110).
The Thunder would be 7-0 ATS this season if it wasn’t for a failed cover as 9.5-point home underdogs in a 116-106 loss vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves Oct. 23.
Oklahoma City continues to be undervalued ATS as Gilgeous-Alexander’s play this season has made him a frontrunner for the Most Improved Player Award (6th-best odds at +1500). Take the points.
Over/Under
BET OVER 229 (-110).
The Over is 6-1 in Denver’s last 7 games after failing to cover the spread in its previous game and 3-0 in Oklahoma City’s last 3 games overall. The Over (227.5) hit in the last head-to-head meeting as the Nuggets won 122-117 at home Oct. 22 and I expect Thursday’s matchup to be played at a similar pace.
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