Notre Dame at Virginia odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Notre Dame at Virginia odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-1) visit Scott Stadium Saturday to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (6-3). Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Notre Dame vs. Virginia odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Notre Dame has just one loss on the season, a home defeat at the hands of the Cincinnati Bearcats, and still has CFP aspirations.

The Fighting Irish have continued their success behind the play of graduate transfer QB Jack Coan. All three of their remaining games are against unranked opponents, and they’ll be looking for style points in this one.

Virginia is coming in having given up 66 points to BYU and has scored more than 40 in three straight games.

The Cavaliers have been thriving behind star QB Brennan Armstrong, who faces a tough test against the quality Notre Dame defense.

Notre Dame at Virginia odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Notre Dame -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Virginia +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Notre Dame -5.5 (-115) | Virginia +5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 64.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Notre Dame at Virginia odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Notre Dame 38, Virginia 31

Money line

PASS on the money line.

While Virginia has shown that it can stay in games, it hasn’t been able to come out on top when it matters most. The Cavaliers lost to two teams ranked in the top 15 and were downed by UNC as well.

Considering they’ve yet to take down Notre Dame in three previous meetings, I’m not betting they figure it out now. At the same time, Notre Dame is a bit too pricey. The -220 could help boost a parlay, but the risk is certainly there.

Against the spread

BET on NOTRE DAME -5.5 (-115) as a solid bet in this game.

Both teams are coming in 6-3 against the spread. However, Virginia has yet to cover against a quality opponent, having lost by 20 twice and 17 once against top teams. Virginia just doesn’t show much quite as much against elite opponents.

On the other hand, Notre Dame has just one loss and it was to a top-five team. Its beaten Wisconsin by 28, UNC by 10, and USC by 15.

The better side is Notre Dame when considering the trends here.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 64.5 (-108) as there’s absolutely zero way I’m betting against the nation’s second-leading passer.

Armstrong has been dynamic this season as he and star prospect Bailey Zappe from Western Kentucky are the only players to throw for over 3,500 yards. The Cavaliers are tied with North Carolina for 11th nationally with 38.9 points per game.

Virginia has topped 40 points in 6 of 9 games, including two weeks ago against BYU, and it’s given up 40 or more in two straight games which is concerning.

At 32.8 points per game, Notre Dame is competent behind Coan as well. Combine the two offenses and the pitiful Virginia defense, and the Under stands no chance.

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First look: Notre Dame at Virginia odds and lines

Previewing the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Virginia Cavaliers Week 11 matchup, with college football odds, trends and head-to-head records.

The No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-1, Independent) meet the Virginia Cavaliers (6-3, 4-2 ACC) at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Va. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Notre Dame vs. Virginia odds and lines; check back for our college football picks and predictions.

The Fighting Irish posted a 34-6 victory over rival Navy last week, covering a 21-point number as the Under connected. The Irish has won and covered four in a row since its only loss of the season Oct. 2 vs. Cincinnati.

The Cavaliers were outscored 66-49 at BYU, Oct. 30, before the bye. Virginia has scored 48 or more points in three straight games, but lost QB Brennan Armstrong due to a rib injury in the fourth quarter vs. BYU. He is a question mark for this one.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Notre Dame at Virginia odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Notre Dame -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Virginia +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Notre Dame -4.5, -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Virginia +4.5, -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 64.5, O: -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | U: -112 (bet $112 to win $100)

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2021 betting stats:

  • ML: Notre Dame 8-1 | Virginia 6-3
  • ATS: Notre Dame 6-3 | Virginia 6-3
  • O/U: Notre Dame 5-4 | Virginia 3-6

Notre Dame at Virginia head-to-head

The Fighting Irish leads the all-time series 3-0 over the Cavaliers, including the most recent meeting Sept. 28, 2019. In the only previous meeting in Charlottesville, UVA picked up a 34-27 Sept. 12, 2015.

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Notre Dame at Virginia odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Virginia Cavaliers sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-7 overall, 0-4 ACC) visit the Virginia Cavaliers (7-2, 3-0) Wednesday for a 4:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Notre Dame-Virginia college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Virginia is No. 22 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Notre Dame at Virginia: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Notre Dame +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Virginia -560 (bet $560 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Notre Dame +9.5 (-110) | Virginia -9.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 124.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Notre Dame at Virginia: Three things to know

  1. Notre Dame enters on a 3-game skid and has lost 5 of its last 6 contests. The most recent setback was a 77-63 defeat at No. 20 Virginia Tech Sunday as the Irish failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. Notre Dame has covered the spread only once in its last 6 games. Junior F Nate Laszewski leads the Irish with 17.2 points per game and 7.8 rebounds per game.
  2. Virginia owns a 3-game win streak and is 6-1 in its last 7 games. The Cavaliers’ most recent victory was a 61-49 decision at Boston College Saturday as 9.5-point favorites. Virginia hasn’t covered the spread in back-to-back games yet this season. Senior F Sam Hauser averages 13.7 PPG and 7.3 RPG to lead the Cavs in both categories.
  3. Virginia took the season’s first matchup with Notre Dame, claiming a 66-57 victory as a 7-point road favorite Dec. 30. Junior G Kihei Clark‘s 19 points and Hauser’s 13 points and game-high 10 rebounds paced the Cavaliers, while Laszewski scored a career-high 28 points for the Irish. Virginia leads the all-time series 15-2 and is 10-0 in ACC regular-season games vs. Notre Dame. The Irish’s last win vs. the Cavs was 71-58 as 3.5-point underdogs in an ACC tourney quarterfinal March 9, 2017.

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Notre Dame at Virginia: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Virginia 65, Notre Dame 53

Money line (ML)

PASS. Virginia (-560) will win, but it’s not smart to risk nearly 6 times your potential return.

Against the spread (ATS)

VIRGINIA -9.5 (-110) is worth a HALF-UNIT wager. It’s a big line for a team that plays low-scoring games. The Cavs are 1-0 ATS when favored between 7.5 to 9.5 points, while the Irish are 1-1 ATS when underdogs between 7.5 to 9.5 points. When it comes to 10-point lines or higher, Virginia is 1-2 ATS as a favorite and Notre Dame is 1-0 ATS as an underdog.

ATS: Notre Dame 3-7 | Virginia 5-4

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 124.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Virginia’s defense ranks 11th in the country with just 59.4 PPG allowed. Notre Dame hasn’t scored more than 57 points in any of its last five outings vs. Virginia, including a 49-point performance in an overtime loss last season.

O/U records: Notre Dame 5-5 | Virginia 4-5

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