NFL underdogs upsets moneyline against the spread bets picks predictions – Page 2

Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 6

Analyzing NFL Week 6 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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Underdogs didn’t fare so well in Week 5. Out of 14 games, only 3 underdogs (Arizona Cardinals, Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants) won straight up and another (Indianapolis Colts) covered in a loss.

As such, our Week 5 picks weren’t great. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost to the Atlanta Falcons in overtime and the Denver Broncos beat the Las Vegas Raiders, but the Colts covered as 3.5-point underdogs in a 3-point loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Through 5 weeks, we are 7-7-1. Can we improve it?

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds, and tab the best NFL Week 6 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 6

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 12:10 p.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

JAGUARS (+110) vs. Bears in London – 9:30 a.m. (NFL Network)

The Jaguars are 6-5 all-time in London and QB Trevor Lawrence is 3-1 in 4 career starts across the pond. Their offense came alive last week with 37 points. After scoring a combined 40 points in the first 3 weeks of the season, they have scored 20 and 37.

The Chicago Bears have won 2 in a row, and rookie QB Caleb Williams is finding his stride. He has 3 TD passes and no INTs in the last 2 games. But London is a different animal, and Williams’ inexperience means the Jaguars, who play in London yearly, will have the advantage.

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BROWNS +9 (-110) at Eagles – 1 p.m. (CBS)

The Cleveland Browns are coming off a 21-point defeat, but their previous 2 losses were by no more than 6 points.

The Philadelphia Eagles were also blown out in a 17-point loss to Tampa Bay Sept. 29 and are coming off their bye. Their 2 wins have been by no more than 5 points.

Philly hasn’t scored more than 21 points in its last 3 games. Cleveland has scored between 13 and 18 every game.

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COMMANDERS +6.5 (-110) at Ravens – 1 p.m. (CBS)

The Baltimore Ravens have scored 28, 35 and 41 points in their last 3 games. But while facing good offenses like Dallas and the Cincinnati Bengals, the Ravens allowed 25 and 38 points in a pair of 3-point wins.

The Washington Commanders are rolling offensively, scoring 38, 42 and 34 points in the last 3 weeks.

The Ravens can score, but they also give up points, and the Commanders are 1st in the NFL with 31 points per game this season.

This should be a game that goes down to the wire.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 5

Analyzing NFL Week 5 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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In Week 4, 7 underdogs won their games outright and 10 covered the spread. Our recommended picks went 2-1, as the New York Giants covered the spread in a 20-15 loss to the Dallas Cowboys thanks to a missed field goal in the final minutes and the Jacksonville Jaguars covered the spread in a 24-20 setback to the Houston Texans. The LA Rams did not hold up their end of the bargain, losing 24-18 to the Chicago Bears as 3-point underdogs.

We are 6-5-1 with our picks through 4 weeks.

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds and tab the best NFL Week 5 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 5

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:10 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

BUCCANEERS (+105) at Falcons – Thursday, 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored over 30 points twice this season. They have 3 good wins over the Washington Commanders, Philadelphia Eagles and Detroit Lions.

The Atlanta Falcons have allowed over 20 points in 3 straight games.

Both teams have a win over the Eagles. Atlanta barely won. The Bucs blew them out.

Atlanta has not covered the spread as a favorite yet this season.

Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield threw 2 TD passes and rushed for another last week.

Atlanta will struggle to keep up with Tampa Bay’s offense, and only 1 team has scored more than 20 points on Tampa Bay’s defense

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COLTS +3 (-115) at Jaguars – 1 p.m. (CBS)

The Jags almost came through with a win against Houston but gave up a late game-winning touchdown. Now they face an Indianapolis Colts team that might be without both QB Anthony Richardson and RB Jonathan Taylor. But it was QB Joe Flacco that led the Colts to a win last week. He has won the last 5 regular-season games he has started or gotten significant playing time in. The Colts scored 27 on the Pittsburgh Steelers defense.

Jacksonville’s best offensive performance this season has been 20 points.

The Colts have scored more than that 3 times this season.

RAIDERS (+125) at Broncos – 4:05 p.m. (FOX)

That Denver Broncos defense has been tremendous, allowing 9.7 points per game over the last 3 contests. But how many times can you win when your starting quarterback has 60 passing yards (like Bo Nix had in the Broncos’ 10-9 win over the New York Jets)?

The Las Vegas Raiders have won the last 8 meetings. They have scored 20 or more points in 3 straight games.

Don’t trust the Broncos to win 3 games in a row as currently constructed.

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Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 4

Analyzing NFL Week 4 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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Week 3 was one for the underdogs.

Eight underdogs won their games outright, including the Carolina Panthers beating the Las Vegas Raiders after Las Vegas had knocked off the Baltimore Ravens in Week 2.

Despite so many underdogs winning straight up, last week’s picks went 0-3. The New England Patriots failed to cover the spread against the New York Jets, the LA Chargers lost outright to the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Atlanta Falcons did not cover the spread against the Kansas City Chiefs, bringing our underdog picks record to 4-4-1.

Let’s see where we can make up ground in Week 4.

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds, and tab the best NFL Week 4 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 4

Cowboys at GIANTS +6 (-110) – Thursday, 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)

New York Giants WR Malik Nabers is proving to be a problem for opponents with 3 TDs in the last 2 games.

The Dallas Cowboys have beaten the Giants 6 straight times by at least a touchdown, but this team is no good defensively, allowing at least 190 rushing yards in their last 2 games.

The Giants have allowed only 2 TDs in their last 2 games but have allowed 9 scoring drives.

This should be a track meet for both teams with whoever has the ball last winning a close game.

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JAGUARS +6.5 (-110) at Texans – 1 p.m. (CBS)

The Jacksonville Jaguars have beaten the Houston Texans outright in their last 2 trips to Houston.

While Jacksonville has looked hapless both offensively (13.3 PPG) and defensively (28.3 PPG allowed), much of the defensive damage was against the Buffalo Bills last week in a 47-10 loss. Their other 2 losses were by 3 and 5 points.

The Texans have allowed 27 or more points in 2 of 3 games and failed to score 20 points themselves in 2 of 3 games.

With both coming off blowout losses, expect a hard-fought, close divisional matchup.

RAMS (+135) at Bears – 1 p.m. (FOX)

The LA Rams upset the San Francisco 49ers 27-24 without WRs Cooper Kupp or Puka Nacua.

The Chicago Bears are simply not good offensively yet. They have scored only 3 offensive touchdowns this season. If it weren’t for defensive and special teams touchdowns in Week 1, the Bears would be averaging 12.7 PPG. They allowed 140 rushing yards to the Tennessee Titans and 150 to the Indianapolis Colts. Rams RB Kyren Williams is very good, scoring twice last week against the Niners.

The Bears have turned the ball over 5 times in the last 2 games. The Rams have 2 turnovers all season.

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Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 3

Analyzing NFL Week 3 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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Week 2 was wild in the NFL for underdogs. If you were to bet every underdog in Week 2, you went 8-8 straight up and 10-4-2 against the spread. Will that trend continue in Week 3?

The 3 picks from last week’s best bets all hit with the Buffalo Bills (+2.5) beating the Miami Dolphins outright, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers not only covering the +7.5, but beating the Detroit Lions outright, and the New England Patriots covering the +3.5 (our line at press time) in an overtime loss to the Seattle Seahawks.

The underdog best bets are 4-1-1 through 2 weeks.

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds, and tab the best NFL Week 3 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 3

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:45 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

PATRIOTS +6 (-110) at Jets – Thursday, 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)

The Pats are 1-1 and have covered the spread as underdogs in both games (if you bet early in the week). They have the No. 2 rush defense in the league currently, allowing 58.0 yards per game (YPG).

The Jets don’t run the ball particularly well and have been pedestrian offensively (21.5 points per game).

New England runs the ball well (177.5 YPG), and the Jets have struggled against the run so far (l55.0 YPG allowed). That should keep the game close.

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CHARGERS (+105) at Steelers – 1 p.m. (CBS)

Chargers QB Justin Herbert is dealing with an ankle injury, but coach Jim Harbaugh believes he will play. The Chargers’ defense has allowed only 13 points so far this season. The Steelers are not exactly offensive juggernauts, averaging 15.5 points through 2 weeks.

Both teams have great run defenses. The Chargers have run the ball very well so far, averaging 197.5 YPG.

This is the best defense the Steelers have faced, and the same holds true for the Chargers. But in a matchup of Herbert vs. Steelers QB Justin Fields, Herbert gets the edge.

Chiefs at FALCONS +3.5 (-110) – 8:20 p.m. (NBC)

The Chiefs have been close-game merchants. The Falcons pulled out a last-minute win against the Philadelphia Eagles, and QB Kirk Cousins was efficient in the win, passing for 241 yards and 2 scores.

The Chiefs are missing RB Isiah Pacheco (leg), which will impact the offense.

This game feels like a last-minute field goal ending.

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Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 2

Analyzing NFL Week 2 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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The underdogs didn’t do so well in Week 1. Only 3 underdogs won their games outright (the Pittsburgh Steelers, Dallas Cowboys and New England Patriots), while 7 covered the spread. Can we find the underdog values this week?

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds, and tab the best NFL Week 2 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

Our 3 picks last week went 1-1-1. The Arizona Cardinals covered as 6.5-point underdogs in a 34-28 loss. The Indianapolis Colts covered as 3.5-point underdogs in a 29-27 setback, but did not cash our moneyline (ML) pick. The Denver Broncos lost 26-20, covering as 6.5-point underdogs on the closing line, but we bet them +6 Thursday, resulting in a push.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 2

BILLS (+115) at Dolphins – Thursday, 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)

The Dolphins piled up 400 yards of offense and didn’t turn the ball over while holding the Jacksonville Jaguars to only 267 total yards in Week 1. Even then, it took a last-second field goal to win the game.

Bills QB Josh Allen had 2 TD passes and 2 rushing TDs and led a 14-point comeback against the Cardinals. Buffalo held Cardinals RB James Conner to 50 rushing yards, and Bills DE Greg Rousseau was AFC Defensive Player of the Week after 3 sacks in Week 1.

Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa was sacked 3 times in the season opener. I like the Bills to win this outright.

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BUCCANEERS +7.5 (-110) at Lions – 1 p.m. (FOX)

QB Baker Mayfield had 4 TD passes against the Washington Commanders, and the Bucs scored 37 in Week 1. The Lions shut down the LA Rams’ run game and harassed Rams QB Matthew Stafford, but still only managed to beat LA in overtime. The Bucs only allowed 50 rushing yards to Washington’s RBs, so this should be a close game.

Tampa Bay’s offensive line is in a better place than the Rams’, which had 2 backups at tackle and lost its left tackle to injury in Week 1.

It isn’t a confident enough pick to say the Bucs win outright at +290 on the ML, but this should be within a TD.

Seahawks at PATRIOTS +3.5 (-115) – 1 p.m. (FOX)

The Seahawks held the Broncos to only 231 yards of offense in Week 1.

But this game features teams that relied heavily on their run game and run defense in their openers. New England allowed 70 rushing yards while rushing for 170, and the Seahawks allowed 99 while going for 146.

Both starting QBs — Jacoby Brissett for the Pats and Geno Smith for Seattle — will be caretakers for the offense. With 2 methodical offenses and defenses that will limit the run, this should be a close game.

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Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 1

Analyzing NFL Week 1 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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The 2024 NFL season begins with the 2-time defending champion Kansas City Chiefs hosting QB Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens Thursday night. Week 1 always brings surprises. It is one of the harder weeks to predict how things will go, as every team has had weeks to prepare for the game.

So which games will bring upsets? There are some every week. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 1 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 1

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:06 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

CARDINALS +6.5 (-110) at Bills – 1 p.m. (CBS)

Arizona’s offense, with a healthy QB Kyler Murray, was a good offense in the 2nd half of last season. Now, the Cardinals they added No. 4 overall pick WR Marvin Harrison Jr. to bolster a passing attack and complement what was the No. 4 rushing attack in 2023.

While Arizona’s defense is not expected to be good, turnovers will keep the game close, allowing Murray to keep up. Bills QB Josh Allen has thrown 5 INTs in his last 2 season openers.

The Cardinals, despite winning only 4 games last season, were one of the most competitive teams, going 9-8 ATS. I don’t expect an upset win, but Arizona should keep it within less than a TD for the cover.

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Texans at COLTS (+130) – 1 p.m. (CBS)

The Texans, who beat out the Colts in the final week of the season last year to win the division and make the postseason, could be even better with the addition of WR Stefon Diggs and DE Danielle Hunter.

But the Colts have a healthy QB Anthony Richardson and RB Jonathan Taylor.

In last year’s Week 2 matchup in Houston, Richardson rushed for 2 TDs before getting hurt and the Colts blew the Texans out 31-20. The Texans beat the Colts 23-19 in Indy in Week 18.

Both teams will battle for the AFC South again. But I like to give extra juice to the home team in their home opener. Indy will look to avenge that home loss to end their season.

Go with the plus odds on the home team.

BRONCOS +6 (-110) at Seahawks – 4:05 p.m. (CBS)

The Seahawks have a new offense, new defense and new head coach.

The Broncos have a rookie starting QB in Bo Nix.

While Seattle HC Mike Macdonald led a top defense in the league last year in Baltimore, it will take time to get Seattle’s unit to that level.

Meanwhile, it will be Denver’s 2nd season in DC Vance Joseph’s system.

Neither team is expected to be competitive this year for the postseason, so the 6-point spread seems like a lot with 2 basically unknown teams.

Denver averaged 33 points per game in the preseason, not that is a great predictor of how they will play offensively in the regular season, but this game is probably going to be close.

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Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 8

Analyzing NFL Week 8 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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Underdogs did well in Week 7 of the NFL. Eight underdogs covered the spread out of 13 games and 7 of those teams won their games outright. We now begin Week 8 looking for some winning picks.

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 8 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

Last week, I went 2-1 with my underdog picks. The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the New Orleans Saints and the Minnesota Vikings not only covered the spread but beat the San Francisco 49ers outright. However, the Los Angeles Chargers did not keep the game close with the Kansas City Chiefs, losing by 14 points.

Through 7 weeks, my underdog picks have gone 13-8.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 8

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:53 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

BUCCANEERS +9 (-110) at Bills – Thursday 8:15 p.m. (Amazon Prime)

The Buffalo Bills have failed to cover the spread in their last 3 games.

Tampa Bay has allowed fewer than 20 points in 4 of 6 games this season. The Bills have averaged 19.7 points per game over their last 3.

The Bucs are 2-0 on the road. They have scored last in 11 of the previous 17 games, which can lend itself to a late cover. I don’t think they will win the game outright, but 9 points is a lot to give with 2 strong defensive teams.

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PATRIOTS +9.5 (-110) at Dolphins – 1 p.m. (CBS)

The New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins played once this season. The Dolphins won by 7, covering the 1-point spread as the favorite.

New England found itself last week after 2 blowout losses and beat the favorite Bills outright. New England scored 29 points last week. Miami allowed 31. And it is unknown whether Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill will play.

Four of the last 5 meetings have been decided by 9 or fewer points.

BENGALS (+145) at 49ers – 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

The Bengals have won 2 straight games against the NFC West and are coming off their bye to prepare for San Francisco, which has lost 2 in a row and has QB Brock Purdy is in the league concussion protocol.

Cincinnati’s offense has struggled outside of their Week 5 win over Arizona, having failed to reach 300 total yards in 4 of 6 games this season, but the 49ers have been held to 17 points in each of their last 2 games.

The Bengals have 8 takeaways in their last 4 games and 5 in their last 2.

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Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 7

Analyzing NFL Week 7 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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In Week 6, there were some big underdog wins. However, overall, it wasn’t that great a week. Only 5 underdogs covered the spread and only 4 picked out outright wins. The 2 big underdog wins were the Cleveland Browns beating the San Francisco 49ers and New York Jets taking down the Philadelphia Eagles, knocking off the last 2 undefeated teams.

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 7 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

Last week, my underdog picks went 2-1, as the Washington Commanders beat the Atlanta Falcons 24-16, the Houston Texans knocked off the New Orleans Saints 20-13, but the Chicago Bears lost 19-13 to the Minnesota Vikings.

Through 6 weeks, I am 11-7 with my selections.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 7

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:45 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

JAGUARS (+110) at Saints – Thursday, 8:15 p.m. (Amazon Prime)

Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence should be good to go despite being questionable with a knee injury. Jacksonville has won 3 games in a row, while the Saints have dropped 3 of 4. The Saints are hurting on the offensive line, missing both starting tackles, and the Jaguars lead the NFL in takeaways.

The Jags are 1-1 this season as the underdog, losing only to the world-champion Kansas City Chiefs.

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CHARGERS +5.5 (-110) at Chiefs – 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

The Chiefs are 4-2 ATS on the season and 4 of their 5 wins have been by at least a TD. However, the Chargers have not lost a game by more than 3 points this season.

The Chiefs won both matchups last season but the Chargers covered the spread, losing by 3 in both games. The Chargers are 5-1 ATS against the Chiefs in their last 6 meetings.

49ers at VIKINGS +6.5 (-105) – Monday, 8:15 p.m. (ABC/ESPN)

The 49ers are coming off their 1st loss of the season and could be without LT Trent Williams, WR Deebo Samuel and RB Christian McCaffrey.

Three of the Vikings’ 4 losses have been by 6 or fewer points. The one other loss was only by 7. The Vikings are winless at home this season, so this could be a sneaky pick to win outright, but San Francisco has been too good to predict a loss.

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Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 6

Analyzing NFL Week 6 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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Week 6 of the NFL season has arrived and it’s time to take a look at good underdog bets for the week.

Week 5 was good for the underdog. Seven dogs (out of 14 games) covered the spread and 6 won outright.

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 6 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

Last week, only 1 of my 3 underdog picks hit, winning outright. The Arizona Cardinals lost at home 34-20 to Cincinnati, not even covering the 3-point spread. My pick of the Houston Texans didn’t win at Atlanta, though they covered the 2.5-point spread in a 21-19 loss.

The Chicago Bears were my lone winner with a 40-20 upset victory Thursday at Washington — they were 6-point underdogs.

Overall, my picks are 9-6 through 5 weeks.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 6

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:43 p.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

Vikings at BEARS (+125) – 1 p.m. (FOX)

The Bears (1-4) have come alive offensively, putting up 28 against Denver in Week 4 and then 40 vs. Washington last week.

Minnesota (1-4) has reached 28 points only once this season and has allowed 27 or more in 3 of its last 4 games.

Bears QB Justin Fields has 4 TD passes in each of his last 2 games.

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson is on injured reserve. He is their best offensive player.

This is a great spot for the Bears, who are at home and have had extra days of rest thanks to the Week 5 Thursday night game.

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COMMANDERS +2.5 (-110) at Falcons – 1 p.m. (CBS)

As mentioned above, the Commanders (2-3) had their doors blown off 40-20 by the Bears. They’ve now lost 3 in a row, allowing 37.0 points per game (PPG) — giving up 37 to Buffalo in Week 3 and 34 to Philadelphia in Week 4.

Atlanta (3-2) has averaged 11.3 PPG over the last 3 but is undefeated at home for the season at 3-0. Two of Atlanta’s 3 wins have been by fewer than 3 points.

The Commanders have scored 30 or more twice this season.

Atlanta’s methodical run game won’t keep up but expect the Falcons to keep it close.

Saints at TEXANS (+105) – 1 p.m. (FOX)

Don’t be fooled by the Saints’ 34-0 win at the seemingly hapless Patriots last week. Prior to that game, New Orleans (3-2) had not scored more than 20 in a game, averaging 15.5 PPG through the first 4.

The Texans (2-3) have not allowed more than 21 points in their last 3 contests, and they’ve scored 30 or more in 2 of their last 3 games.

Houston QB C.J. Stroud ranks 3rd in passing yards (1,461) — behind Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa (1,614) and Minnesota’s Kirk Cousins (1,498) — and has the offense moving.

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Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 5

Analyzing NFL Week 5 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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Week 5 is here and that means another new slate of games to bet on and time to find some good underdog values.

In Week 4, there were only 3 outright underdogs winners, based on the closing lines. Another 2 underdogs covered the spread.

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 5 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

Two of my underdog picks last week ended up not being underdogs by the time the games rolled around. The Arizona Cardinals failed to pick up the backdoor cover as 14.5-point dogs in the final minutes against San Francisco, losing by 19 instead of 12. The Los Angeles Rams beat the Indianapolis Colts in overtime, while the Seattle Seahawks demolished the New York Giants.

The Rams closed at -1 and the Seahawks closed at -2.5.

Officially, I went 2-1 in Week 4, improving my overall record to 8-4.

But on to Week 5.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 5

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:53 p.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

Bengals at CARDINALS (+135) – 4:05 p.m. (FOX)

This line suggests the betting public doesn’t really believe in either 1-3 team.

The Bengals have the higher-profile talent, but the Cardinals have been a tough opponent every week.

In 2 road games, the Bengals are 0-2, have scored a total of 6 points, have averaged 176.5 yards and have allowed an average of 375.0 yards, including 139.5 rushing yards per game.

The Cardinals have scored 28 points in each of their home games and rushed for 222 yards in their win over Dallas in Week 3. This is a bad matchup for a struggling Bengals team.

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TEXANS (+105) at Falcons – 1 p.m. (FOX)

Rookie QB C.J. Stroud has been very good with 1,212 passing yards and 6 touchdown passes in 4 games. The Texans have put up at least 30 points in their last 2 games. The defense has held opponents under 300 total yards twice in 4 games.

The Falcons have scored 13 points combined in their last 2 games and have not reached 300 total yards of offense in 3 of 4 games.

The Texans probably should be favored, so take advantage.

Bears +6.5 (-115) at Commanders – Thursday 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)

Washington is touted as a tough defensive team, but it has allowed at least 33 points in each of their last 3 weeks. The Commanders allowed 365 passing yards or more twice in the last 3 weeks.

Chicago found its offense last week in a 31-28 loss to Denver as QB Justin Fields passed for 335 yards and 4 TDs.

This should be a shootout.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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