Saints-Buccaneers odds: New Orleans looks to rebound

Previewing Sunday’s New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 11 matchup, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets

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The New Orleans Saints (7-2) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6) hook up at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa for a key NFC South battle at 1 p.m. Sunday.

We analyze the Saints-Buccaneers sports betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks and tips for the Week 11 matchup.

Saints-Buccaneers: Week 11 preview, betting trends and notes


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  • The Saints were stunned at home by the Atlanta Falcons last week, falling 26-9 despite entering the game as 14-point favorites.
  • New Orleans has covered three straight on the road, although this is its first time being favored away from home this season. Last season the Saints were 4-2 ATS in six games as a road favorite, including a 28-14 win at Tampa as 10-point favorites.

Saints at Buccaneers: Key injuries

Nov 3, 2019; Seattle, WA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Dare Ogunbowale celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks at CenturyLink Field. (Photo Credit: Steven Bisig – USA TODAY Sports)

Saints: CB Carlton Davis (hip) practiced in full, but is still listed as questionable. LB Carl Nassib (groin), LB Anthony Nelson (hamstring) and S M.J. Stewart (knee) are out.

Buccaneers: OT Andrus Peat (forearm), CB Marshon Lattimore (hamstring) and WR Deonte Harris (hamstring) are each listed as out.

Saints at Buccaneers: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:20 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Saints 34, Buccaneers 26

Moneyline (?)

The Saints (-239) should be able to bounce back on the road in this divisional battle, but risking more than two times your return is not a wise way to go. The Buccaneers (+195) are awful on defense, but so were the Falcons. If there is any way to go, it’s the Bucs rather lightly.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Bucs moneyline returns a $19.50 profit with a Tampa Bay victory.

Against the Spread (?)

The SAINTS (-5.5, -110) should be able to get it done on the road, as long as their offense shows up. Their showing against an awful Atlanta defense was inexplicable, and you can expect them to pick apart the leaky D of the Buccaneers (+5.5, -110).

Over/Under (?)

The OVER 50.5 (-110) is the play whenever the Bucs are involved. The over has cashed in seven straight for the Bucs, and four of the past five at the RayJay. The Under has connected in eight of the past 11 on the road for the Saints, but the over is 9-3 in their past 12 following a straight-up loss.

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Follow @JoeWilliamsVI and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Texans-Ravens odds: Marquee QB showdown in Baltimore

Previewing Sunday’s Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens Week 11 matchup, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets

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The AFC South-leading Houston Texans (6-3) face the AFC North-leading Baltimore Ravens (7-2) at M&T Bank Stadium at 1 p.m. ET Sunday.

We analyze the Texans-Ravens odds and sports betting lines, while providing betting tips and advice on this Week 11 NFL matchup.

Texans at Ravens: Week 11 preview, betting trends and notes


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  • Houston is 3-2 straight up against the moneyline on the road.
  • Baltimore has hit the Over in six of nine games this season.
  • The Texans have hit the Under in five of nine games this season.
  • Baltimore is 5-0 straight up in five home games against Houston, but the Texans are 4-1 against the spread in their last five meetings with the Ravens.
  • The Ravens are the highest scoring team in the league, averaging 33.3 points a game. Houston is eighth in scoring at 26.4 points a game. Both teams are in the middle of the pack in points allowed – Baltimore giving up 21 PPG and Houston allowing 21.2 PPG.
  • The teams have met just 10 times in their history with Baltimore winning eight.

Texans at Ravens: Key injuries

Several Texans were limited in practice this week, including OT Laremy Tunsil (shoulder), WR Will Fuller (hamstring), CB Bradley Roby (Hamstring), S Tashaun Gipson (back/wrist), OL Tytus Howard (knee) and LB Dylan Cole (knee). All are questionable.

The Ravens had two players who didn’t practice Wednesday or Thursday – WR Marquise Brown (ankle) and DT Michael Pierce (ankle). Both will likely be game-time decisions.

Texans at Ravens: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Baltimore 34, Houston 27

Moneyline (?)

For a team that is 6-3 and proved the ability to win on the road, the Texans (+165) are getting a pretty good return on investment for a win straight up, which is possible in this projected battle of quarterbacks. The Ravens force players to bet double the amount of return (-200), which makes betting on them a little too spendy. If you’re going to make a bet, a small wager on Houston is the way to go if you believe there is an upset brewing, but most people won’t feel comfortable betting $100 on the Ravens to win just $50.

Against the Spread (?)

This is a difficult number at points (-115 for bets on Houston, –106 on BALTIMORE) because this has the potential to be a shootout. If the Ravens get up by more than a touchdown late, they may try to take the air out of the ball which often leads to a meaningless score late in the game that keeps the final score closer than it should be. This is a tough call, but the Ravens have the horses to get the job done. Lay the points.

Over/Under (?)

This is a high number (49½ points) and the sportsbooks are almost daring bettors to take the Under, which is +110, while the Over is -134. This is a game that will feature two of the most dynamic quarterbacks in the league in Houston’s Deshaun Watson and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson. Both are capable of huge days and both defenses have allowed big games through the air (Houston has the 29th ranked pass defense and Baltimore is 20th). It will take seven TDs and at least one field goal to get over that number, but this game has all the earmarks of a shootout. Take the OVER and tune in late.

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Broncos-Vikings odds: Very college feel to this NFL line

Previewing the Sunday Denver Broncos at Minnesota Vikings Week 11 NFL matchup, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets

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The Denver Broncos (3-6) return from their bye week and travel to US Bank Stadium to play the Minnesota Vikings (7-3) at 1 p.m. ET Sunday.

Denver at Minnesota: Week 11 preview, betting trends and notes


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  • Vikings running back Dalvin Cook leads the NFL in touches (243), rushing attempts (203), rushing yards (991) and yards from scrimmage (1,415) this season. But Denver has allowed just 74 rushing yards a game in its last five games.
  • Denver is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games.
  • Minnesota is 5-4 ATS this season.
  • The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a bye week.
  • Denver has scored 16 or fewer points in three of its four road losses, against Indianapolis (13), Green Bay (16) and Oakland (16).
  • Minnesota is 4-0 at home this season, winning each game by double digits and beating opponents by an average final score of 30-14.

Denver at Minnesota: Key injuries

Minnesota could be without four of its starters. WR Adam Thielen (hamstring), G Josh Kline (concussion) and DT Linval Joseph (knee) have yet to practice this week, while S Anthony Harris (groin) was limited in practice Wednesday was held out completely Thursday. The only Bronco who hasn’t practiced is CB Bryce Callahan (foot).

Denver at Minnesota: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, Nov. 14 at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Minnesota 27, Denver 10

Moneyline (?)

This is more like a college moneyline than an NFL line. Minnesota (-556) is a prohibitive favorite, while Denver (+410) bettors are being given a lot of enticement to bet on them. As with most lopsided college moneylines, the best option here is to skip it entirely because the payback for bets on the Vikings are just too small. AVOID THIS.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Vikings to win would return a profit of just $1.80.

Against the Spread (?)

Minnesota is a 10.5-point favorite on a line that is -110 for both Minnesota and Denver — which should get a lot of action on both sides. Minnesota has been as dominant as any team at home and the deafening noise will make it difficult for Denver’s young QB Brandon Allen (making his second start) to change calls at the line of scrimmage. Minnesota has won all four of its home games by 10 or more points. LAY THE POINTS.

Over/Under (?)

This is a tough one because the O/U is very low at 39.5 points (-121 for the over, 100 for the under). The Vikings are averaging 30 points a game at home by themselves, so we don’t feel as strongly about this one as the Vikings covering the point spread. But, in getting even money and betting that Minnesota will shut down Denver’s offense and kill the clock with its dominant run game, we suggest taking the under (but not by much because one defensive/special teams score or a garbage-time TD late could easily put this game over).

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Jaguars-Colts odds: Rusty QBs impacting spread, O/U

Previewing Sunday’s Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts Week 11 matchup, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets

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The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-5) travel to Lucas Oil Stadium to face a division rival in the Indianapolis Colts (5-4) at 1 p.m. ET Sunday.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis: Week 11 preview, betting trends and notes


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  • Jacksonville is 7-1-1 against the spread in its last nine games following a bye.
  • The Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games against teams with losing records.
  • Jacksonville is 7-0-1 ATS in its last eight games against Indianapolis.
  • The Colts are 5-1 on the moneyline in their last six meetings with the Jaguars at Lucas Oil Stadium.
  • Indianapolis is 3-2 hitting the over at home this season, while Jacksonville is 2-1-1 hitting the over on the road.
  • The Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last five game against AFC South opponents.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis: Key injuries

The Colts got good news with QB Jacoby Brissett (knee) back to practice this week and expected to start Sunday, plus WR Devin Funchess was taken off injured reserve this week. But the club remains without WRs T.Y. Hilton (calf) and Parris Campbell (hand), as well as TE Jack Doyle (shoulder). None of them have practiced this week. Jacksonville didn’t have anyone out of Wednesday’s practice and have QB Nick Foles (clavicle) back to start Sunday.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:45 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Indianapolis 23, Jacksonville 20

Moneyline (?)

This is a difficult moneyline if you think the Colts are going to win, which we are leaning toward. The Colts are -154, while the Jaguars are at +125. We believe this is going to be a game that comes down to the wire that either team could win because Foles will be rusty and Brissett isn’t 100 percent.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Colts to win would return a profit of $6.50.

Against the Spread (?)

This is the flip side of the coin. If you agree with us that the Colts are going to win 23-20, you don’t take them here, you take them on the moneyline. With the spread at 3.5, the hook could be huge. Neither team is likely to blow the other out, and Indy getting +110 while the Jags are at -134 shows the lack of confidence in Indy’s ability to cover. Take JACKSONVILLE +3.5 (-134).

Over/Under (?)

Typically O/U numbers are relatively close on both sides, but not here. At 44.5, the over +105 and the under -125. If the game plays out as many believe it will — two rusty QBs coming back from missing time and offenses built around running the ball on first and second downs — the over gives you the better payoff. But the UNDER is the bet to make.

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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