It’s Week 14 of the NFL season and Lorenzo’s Locks is back. Carrying a 26-13 betting record into the week, Lorenzo focuses on Tennessee Titans vs. Oakland Raiders, Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams.
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Our weekly NFL underdog betting staple continues into Week 14 where Ken Pomponio features three teams likely to upset their underdog odds
One of our three picks from a 2-1 Week 13 provided a snapshot of getting the best of the line.
We jumped on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a week ago as 1.5-point underdogs against the host Jacksonville Jaguars. We weren’t alone as the bets were pouring in on the Bucs, and by the time kickoff rolled around Sunday, Tampa Bay was a field-goal favorite.
It didn’t matter in the end as the Bucs won and covered easily by a 28-11 score. By jumping in ahead on the right side of a massive 4.5-point line swing – which moved, mind you, without the influence of a key injury – is nothing short of vital when betting the ultra-tight NFL.
Selecting the Bucs and the Tennessee Titans, another outright underdog road winner last week, while falling short with the Minnesota Vikings in a Monday night shootout in Seattle, upped our season record to 23-16 through 13 weeks.
Now we tackle the Week 14 card, looking for a third straight winning week. As usual, we’re looking at Wednesday’s posted point spreads from BetMGM. Here goes …
Washington Redskins (+12.5) at Green Bay Packers
Photo Credit: Jeremy Brevard – USA TODAY Sports
We’ll start with a straight formula, by-the-numbers play more than anything else as we note double-digit favorites have won 19 of 22 games outright this season but are only 10-12 against the mid-week spreads, including 1-4 over the last month.
Improving rookie quarterback Dwayne Haskins and Washington have won two straight after a 1-9 start while Green Bay is coming off a get-right, 31-13 rout of the host New York Giants and just may be looking ahead a little to a crucial closing three-game stretch against NFC North foes.
We’re definitely not expecting Aaron Rodgers and Co. to slip up on the frozen tundra, but we’ll go with the D.C. visitors to somehow come up with a cover.
Denver Broncos (+7.5) at Houston Texans
Photo Credit: Ron Chenoy – USA TODAY Sports
Yeah, we know we’re playing with fire, going with another rookie quarterback on the road in the Broncos’ Drew Lock in only his second career start, but this is more a play against the Texans than anything else.
Wizard QB Deshaun Watson and Houston are coming off a massive, 28-22 upset win over the nemesis New England Patriots Sunday night, and it’s easy to see how the focus probably won’t be as sharp facing a visiting 4-8 Denver squad.
The numbers make our case as the Texans are only 1-4 ATS as favorites (as opposed to 5-2 as underdogs) this season while the usually-plucky Broncos are 6-3 as underdogs and 7-5 ATS overall, including 6-2 over their last eight outings.
That all makes the safe bet a narrow Houston win.
L.A. Rams (+2.5) vs. Seattle Seahawks
Photo Credit: Matt Kartozian – USA TODAY Sports
The NFC West-leading Seahawks are an impressive 6-0 on the road this season while the Rams have struggled at home, winning only two of five games in L.A. so far.
But coach Sean McVay is 3-2 against the Seahawks since taking the Rams’ reins in 2017, and one of the losses was a crushing 30-29 road defeat in Week 5 as PK Greg Zuerlein‘s 44-yard potential game-winning field-goal attempt sailed right with 11 seconds remaining.
Beating the Rams usually comes down to pressuring and flustering QB Jared Goff, but Seattle ranks in the league’s bottom quarter in sack percentage and quarterback hits while surrendering the fourth-most passing yards per game at 269.3.
Look for the 7-5 Rams to win outright in what could turn into a shootout Sunday night and boost their wild-card hopes.
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Game-by-game NFL Week 13 breakdowns, with NFL betting odds, lines, predictions, picks and betting tips for each game.
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SportsbookWire’s NFL Betting Guide is at your service for Week 13; full of NFL odds, lines, spreads, game-by-game predictions, picks and best-bet selections to help you make the best NFL sports bets for the week.
Be sure to check out our top NFL Underdog Bets for Week 13, where our Ken Pomponio is 21-15 on underdog predictions with this weekly staple.
Are you looking for some action on these games? Visit BetMGM and place your bets now. Games are always more interesting when you have some skin in the game.
Now that you have the skinny on what to do with each game, visit BetMGM to place a bet on your favorite match ups now. For additional sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com now and for a complete set of today’s live odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
Previewing Sunday’s New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals sports betting odds and lines, with Week 13 NFL betting picks, tips and best bets.
The New York Jets (4-7) and Cincinnati Bengals (0-11) meet at 1 p.m. ET Sunday at Paul Brown Stadium. We analyze the Jets-Bengals sports betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks and tips for the Week 13 matchup.
Jets at Bengals: Week 13 preview, betting trends and notes
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The Bengals turned back to QB Andy Dalton under center after ‘evaluating’ QB Ryan Finley over the past three games. The offense averaged 11.0points per game under Finley, while posting 18.0 PPG with Dalton under center.
Cincinnati has hit the Under in five of the past six games, and seven of the past nine.
The Bengals are a dismal 2-5 against the spread in the past seven games against losing teams and 1-7 ATS in the past eight at home vs. teams with a losing road mark.
The Over cashed in four of the past five for the Jets while going 4-1 in the past five overall and 4-0 in their past four against losing teams.
The Under is 5-1 in Cincinnati’s past six overall and 33-16-2 its past 51 vs. AFC teams.
The Jets rank 31st in the NFL in total yards per game (262.1), passing yards per game (188.5) and rushing yards per game (73.5), but they have scored exactly 34 points in each of the past three outings.
Jets at Bengals: Key injuries
Jets: WR Demaryius Thomas (hamstring) is questionable.
Bengals: WR A.J. Green (ankle) remains out.
Jets at Bengals: Odds, betting lines and prediction
The JETS (-167) are expected to add to the misery of the Bengals (+135) and keep them with a goose egg in the win column. The way QB Sam Darnold and the offense have been operating lately, there’s no reason to believe they can’t top these winless Bengals.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the moneyline returns a $6.00 profit with an N.Y. Jets victory.
The JETS (-3.5, +105) opened a little higher, but the public has been all over the Bengals (+3.5, -125). Perhaps they like the fact Dalton is back, perhaps they’re just going on percentages that the Bengals have to win sooner or later. Either way, take the Jets. It’s always pleasing to go against the public.
Pass. The projected total of 41.5 (-115) is perfect for this game. If Darnold and the offense do what they have the past few weeks, this is an easy Over play. But when do the Jets ever do what they’re supposed to do and live up to their potential?
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Previewing Sunday’s Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers sports betting odds and lines, with Week 13 NFL betting picks, tips and bets.
The Cleveland Browns (5-6) and Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5) renew acquaintances at 1 p.m. ET Sunday at Heinz Field. We analyze the Browns-Steelers sports betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks and tips for the Week 13 matchup.
Browns at Steelers: Week 13 preview, betting trends and notes
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The Browns meet the Steelers for the first time since their brawl in the closing seconds of a Week 11 game which ended in a 21-7 Cleveland win.
Steelers QB Mason Rudolph, at the center of the brawl when he was hit on the head by his own helmet, is benched in favor of QB Devlin Hodges, an undrafted free-agent rookie.
The Steelers currently hold the sixth spot in the AFC playoff race, but the Browns are just one game back and have already beaten the Steelers once.
The last time the Browns won a game in Pittsburgh was 2003, when Cleveland QB Baker Mayfield was just eight years old.
The Browns are just 6-21-2 against the spread in the past 29 games vs. teams with a winning record.
Cleveland is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetings in this series, and the Over is 4-1 in the past five battles in Pittsburgh.
Browns at Steelers: Key injuries
Browns: OT Greg Robinson (concussion) and DE Olivier Vernon (knee) are questionable.
Steelers: CB Artie Burns (knee) is listed as questionable, while RB James Conner (shoulder) is doubtful. WR Juju Smith-Schuster (concussion, knee) remains out.
Browns at Steelers: Odds, betting lines and prediction
The STEELERS (+115) are short dogs at home, but they’re worth a roll of the dice. The Browns (-139) are on a season-high three-game winning streak but have struggled over the years in Pittsburgh and it’s hard to see them getting over that hump.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the moneyline returns an $11.50 profit with a Pittsburgh victory.
The STEELERS (+1.5, +100) are a better value on the moneyline, so it’s better to just take them outright to win. If they cover, they’re going to hit the moneyline, too. Why not make a few more dollar bills?
OVER39.5 (-106) is worth a small-unit bet. It’s hard to trust a Pittsburgh offense without Conner and Smith-Schuster, while starting a UDFA under center. But this one has the potential to at least be in the 40’s.
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Previewing Monday’s Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks betting odds and lines, with Week 13 NFL betting picks, tips and best bets.
The Minnesota Vikings (8-3) travel to CenturyLink Field to face the Seattle Seahawks (9-2) in one of the most anticipated Monday Night Football games of the season and a game with big playoff implications. Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET Monday.
Vikings at Seahawks: Week 13 preview, betting trends and notes
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Both teams are 6-5 against the spread.
The Vikings have hit the Over in five of their last six games.
Seattle has hit the Over in 14 of its last 20 games.
Minnesota has won six of its last seven games outright, but has covered the spread in just one of its last four. Seattle has won four straight and has a 3-0-1 record against the spread.
Minnesota is 3-3 on the road and Seattle is 3-2 at home.
Seattle’s 26.5 points per game ranks fifth in the NFL, but the Seahawks are 21st by scoring defense while allowing 23.9 points per game.
Minnesota’s defense ranks sixth in scoring (18.6 PPG allowed), and is in the top eight in the league in total yards allowed per game and yards per play allowed.
Vikings at Seahawks: Key injuries
Vikings WR Adam Thielen (hamstring) and DT Linval Joseph (knee) are expected to return.
Seahawks LT Duane Brown (biceps/knee), G Mike Iupati (neck), TE Luke Willson (hamstring), DE Jadeveon Clowney (core) and DT Jarran Reed (ankle) missed practice Thursday.
Vikings at Seahawks: Odds, betting lines and prediction
This is pretty simple. If you think the Vikings are going to win, take them on the moneyline at +125. While Seattle gets a pretty nice price (-150), it’s getting a better return while laying 2.5 points on the spread. If you bet the moneyline, take the VIKINGS (+125).
With a small margin of 2.5 points, the Seahawks will cover and provide bettors with a better return on investment than the moneyline with a win by at least three points. Take the SEAHAWKS (-2.5, -121)
The projected total of 48.5 points is getting more juice on the Over (-125) while the Under (+105) is getting plus-money. Both defenses have shown the ability to shut down opposing offenses, but they also play aggressive, risk-taking defense which can be exploited by the big play. Seattle has the weapons to take advantage of Minnesota’s aggression and the Vikings have had two weeks to prepare. Look for a back and forth game that hits the OVER 48.5 (-125).
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Previewing the Eagles at Dolphins Week 13 NFL matchup, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets
The Philadelphia Eagles (5-6) look to right the ship for a December run as they travel to play the Miami Dolphins (2-9) at Hard Rock Stadium at 1 p.m. ET Sunday.
Philadelphia at Miami: Week 13 preview, betting trends and notes
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Scores in Eagles games have hit the under in four of the last five games.
Miami is 2-5 at home against the spread in its last seven home games.
The Dolphins have a better record ATS (5-6) than the Eagles (4-7).
Philadelphia is 2-4 against the moneyline in its last six games, while Miami is 2-12 against the moneyline in its last 14 games.
The Dolphins have the NFL’s 30th-ranked offense and 30th-ranked defense.
Philadelphia at Miami: Key injuries
Eagles TE Zach Ertz was held out of practice after suffering a hamstring injury. RB Jordan Howard still hasn’t been cleared for contact with a shoulder injury. WR Alshon Jeffery (ankle) returned to practice, but was limited.
In Miami, all of the Dolphins practiced Wednesday, but WRs Allen Hurns (ankle) and Albert Wilson (hip/chest), CBs Ken Webster (ankle) and Ken Crawley (shoulder), and S Steven Parker (groin) were limited.
Philadelphia at Miami: Odds, betting lines and prediction
This has all the makings of a college moneyline with Philadelphia (-455) a massive favorite over Miami (+340). As much as Philly’s offense has struggled and been missing key weapons to the offense for the last month, -455 is a stiff price to pay to get such little return. While we would avoid this one for obvious reasons, if you were to make a bet, the only one that makes sense is a small wager on Miami on the off chance of Fitzmagic from QB Ryan Fitzpatrick.
The Dolphins have been ugly all season, which is why they’re a 9.5-point home dog (-110 on each team). If the Eagles can’t blow this one out, they don’t deserve to be in the playoffs. Including the Dolphins, four of the Eagles’ final five games are against teams currently 2-9 (Miami, New York Giants and two against Washington). This is a statement game for the Eagles – good or bad – and we think it’s going to be an aggressive statement for a team with a fresh ring. LAY THE 9.5 POINTS.
The O/U is 44.5 points (-115 on the over, -106 on the under). Miami is last in the league in points allowed, giving up 31.5 per game. But the Eagles defense, despite an anemic showing from the Philly offense, held Tom Brady and Russell Wilson to 17 points each in their last two games. Miami’s offense? Fitzpatrick is going to be under attack all day. He may not get 10 points. TAKE THE UNDER … but not by much.
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NFL parlay bets to consider around Week 13’s Thanksgiving Day Games.
Three NFL games are on tap for Thanksgiving Day, giving sports fans and bettors plenty of betting action to take part in while friends and family gather around the holiday celebration.
While you can bet on all three games individually, the slate leads to some interesting parlay options, too.
New to sports betting? A parlay bet is when you place a wager on two or more items. In order to cash, you need them all playing out exactly as you pick. They can include different betting lines, games or sports, even. The larger amount of items involved in a parlay lead to larger payout opportunities, but also higher risk.
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Thanksgiving NFL Parlay Bets
1. Bears moneyline (-189), Bills against the spread (-106) and Saints moneyline (-286)
A $10 wager returns a potential $40.28 payout, $30.28 profit
2. Lions/Bears under (-139), Bills/Cowboys over (-125) and Saints/Falcons over (-106)
A $10 wager returns a potential $60.37 payout, $50.37 profit
Now that you have the skinny on what to do with each game, visit BetMGM to place a bet on your favorite match ups now. Don’t miss out on BetMGM’s special Thanksgiving NFL prop bet, too!
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Game-by-game NFL Week 13 Thanksgiving Day game breakdowns, with NFL betting odds, lines, predictions, picks and betting tips for each game.
Happy Thanksgiving, sports fans.
SportsbookWire’s NFL Thanksgiving Day Game Betting Guide is at your service; it is the start of Week 13 and full of NFL odds, lines, prop bets, spreads, game-by-game predictions, picks and best-bet selections to help you make the best NFL sports bets for Thanksgiving Day.
Three games kickoff this week’s action, giving us plenty of sides of football action for sports betting enjoyment to go along with our holiday meal.
Are you looking for some action on these games? Visit BetMGM and place your bets now. Games are always more interesting when you have some skin in the game.
NFL Week 13 – Thursday, November 28th
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The bottom of the NFC North meet to kick off the Week 13 action. The Lions, a home underdog, have plenty of backups in their lineup, while the Bears continue to search for ways to solve their offensive woes.
The Cowboys, barely hanging onto the NFC East lead, just had a painful loss at the hands of the Patriots, while the surprising Bills continue to find ways to win and push toward a playoff spot. Despite their records, Dallas enters this as a solid favorite.
The Falcons shocked the Saints, who are heavily favored in this game, just a few weeks ago. Will lightning strike twice for Atlanta against the NFC South leading Saints?
Now that you have the skinny on what to do with each game, visit BetMGM to place a bet on your favorite match ups now. Don’t miss out on BetMGM’s special Thanksgiving NFL prop bet, too!
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Previewing the Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys Week 13 Thanksgiving Day matchup, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets
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The surging Buffalo Bills (8-3) travel to AT&T Stadium to play the Dallas Cowboys (6-5) at 4:30 p.m. ET Thursday as the second game during Thanksgiving action. We analyze the Bills-Cowboys odds and betting lines, while providing sports betting picks and tips.
Buffalo at Dallas: Week 13 preview, betting trends and notes
The total has hit the under is six of Buffalo’s last seven road games.
The total has hit the over in five of the Cowboys last seven games.
Buffalo is 9-3-1 against the spread in its last 13 games and 7-3-1 this season.
Dallas is 7-4 against the spread this season.
Buffalo is third in the league in points allowed per game (15.7), while Dallas is seventh, allowing 19.1 points per game.
The Cowboys are 0-4 against teams they played who had a winning record at the time. They’re 6-1 in games against teams that had losing records.
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Buffalo at Dallas: Key injuries
Given the short week, teams are only doing walk-through practices, but Buffalo listed OL Ty Nsekhe (ankle) as the only starter who didn’t practice.
For Dallas, LB Leighton Vander Esch (neck) isn’t expected to play, DT Antwaun Woods (knee) didn’t practice and three starting offensive linemen – La’el Collins (knee/back), Zach Martin (back/ankle/elbow) and Connor Williams (knee) were limited.
Buffalo at Dallas: Odds, betting lines and prediction
The Cowboys (-304) are a prohibitive favorite despite their recent struggles. Buffalo (+240) is getting a nice return on investment, so, if you are to bet this at all a small bet on Buffalo and looking for an upset in what looks to be a tight, defense-dominated game would be the call, even though we’ll avoid it because we think Dallas will win and 1:3 return is just too low.
For a team who hasn’t beaten a team with a winning record, Dallas is still the betting favorite laying 6½ points (-121), while Buffalo is even money getting 6½. The Cowboys have the weapons to blow the game out, but Josh Allen can make enough plays to get Buffalo in scoring position often enough to keep the game close. Take Buffalo plus the 6½ points.
The total is 44½ points (-110 on both the over and under) and Dallas has a history of hitting the over at home this year. While Buffalo hasn’t faced a very tough schedule, it does have a history of playing the good teams tight. 44½ is about right for the kind of game we’re expecting, so the under in a Zeke Elliott dominated game plan is the bet to make as both teams struggle to find the end zone with regularity.
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