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The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 12.
We have a buffet to choose from on the Sunday before Thanksgiving. There’s the biggest Over/Under hitting Over, the lowest O/U going Under, two big road favorites making a statement, and talented underdog planting their flag demanding the league taking notice.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey
A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 12 action.
The NFL does most things right, but managing bye weeks isn’t one of them.
It would be easy enough to have one division have a bye week at the same time for eight weeks and have those teams play each other the week out of byes. Apparently, that makes too much sense.
Instead, the NFL has six teams from four divisions on bye this week and all of them play teams the following week that didn’t have a bye – the definition of a competitive advantage.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
The Steelers are road favorites (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Steelers have won their last five games and are 4-1 on the road. The Browns have lost seven of their last eight games, and all the losses have been by more than 3.5 points. Take the Steelers and lay 3.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is low (39.5 points at -110 for both). Minnesota has hit Under this number in each of its last three games and has allowed 17 or fewer points in seven of its eight wins, allowing just 33 points in the last three games. Chicago hasn’t scored 20 points in any of its last four games. Take Under 39.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is very high (50.5 points -110 for both). The Lions have hit Over this number in five of their last seven games, and the Colts have scored 20 or more points in seven of their last nine games. If Indy hits 20 points, this will cruise past this number. Anthony Richardson is at a crossroads. Points are coming. Take Over 50.5 points (-110).
The Dolphins are big favorites (7.5 points at -115 Patriots, -105 Dolphins). The Patriots have lost four of their last five road games, and Miami has scored 27 or more points in three of the four games since Tua Tagovailoa‘s return from injury. Take the Dolphins and lay 7.5 points (-105).
The Buccaneers are big road favorites (6 points at -105 Buccaneers, -115 Giants). The Giants have begun to go into tank mode and the veteran Buccaneers defense will feast on No. 3 QB Tommy DeVito. Take the Buccaneers and lay 6 points (-105).
The Over/Under is middle of the road this week (45 points at -110 for both). The Cowboys have scored just 16 points in their last two games, and the Commanders haven’t scored more than 27 points in the last four games. This divisional game could be defense-dominated. Take Under 45 points (-110).
The Chiefs are huge favorites (11 points at -110 for both teams). The Chiefs are coming off their first loss and each of Carolina’s seven losses this season have been by double digits. There is a beating coming for the Panthers. Take the Chiefs and lay 11 points (-110).
Houston are big favorites (8.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Titans last four losses have been by 24, 38, 10, and 10 points. Houston stands on business when facing inferior teams, and the 2-8 Titans are clearly inferior. Take the Texans and lay 8.5 points (-110).
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The Over/Under is low (41 points at -110 for both teams). The Broncos won 34-18 in their first meeting. Denver has hit Over this number four of their last five games, and the Raiders have gone Over in five of their last six, including allowing 75 points in the last two games. Take Over 41 points (-110).
The Packers have played four games against playoff-caliber teams and lost of them (Eagles, Vikings and Lions) and squeaked out a two-point win over the Texans. The 49ers have been erratic, but have their injured players back and are capable of going on a significant run. Take the 49ers on the moneyline (+115).
The Over/Under is high (47 points at -110 for both teams). When the Cardinals and Seahawks are at their best, they’re running 25-30 times. Seattle has gone Under this number in each of their last four games and Arizona has topped this number just once in the last six games. Take Under 47 points (-110).
The Eagles are road favorites (3 points at -105 Eagles, -115 Rams). The Eagles have won six straight games, and all of them have been by more than three points. All five of the Rams losses have been by five points or less – even when at full strength. Take the Eagles and lay 3 points (-105).
The Over/Under is high (50.5 points at -105 Over, -115 Under). The Chargers have played just two playoff-caliber teams (Pittsburgh and Kansas City). Not only did they lose both games, they managed just 10 points in both of them. Ravens game have hit Over, but against playoff teams the games are lower scoring. Take Under 50.5 points (-115).
The 5 best prop bets for NFL Week 11.
This week, we’re looking for nothing but positivity – everybody gets a car! We have four players hitting the Over, including two elite players, a new face in a new place, and a very young reclamation project. To top it off, we have a player scoring a touchdown against a team he absolutely owns.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 11 sports betting and DFS action.
A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 11.
These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
OFF = No odds currently listed.
The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for the Week 11.
This week’s bets are based on history, including the continuance of a pair of one-sided division rivalries, two matchups of preseason playoff hopefuls now trying to save their seasons with one going Over and one staying Under, and getting the undefeated defending champs plus points.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 11 action.
This week if the official beginning of the 2024 big point spreads as the unofficial tanking may or may not begin in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions are this year’s first 14-point favorite over the hapless/hobbled Jacksonville Jaguars. To bet on the Lions to win outright, your investment is 10-to-1 against the return. As franchises start looking more to 2025 while they limp through the remainder of 2024, this won’t be the last time we see a 14-point spread (or higher).
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
The Eagles are light betting investment favorites (3.5 points at -115 Commanders, -105 Eagles). The Eagles have the chops to make a home statement. If they don’t? Then the temperature changes. Take the Eagles and lay 3.5 points (-105).
The Packers are healthy favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). This isn’t a rivalry. It’s a statement. Green Bay has dominated since 2019 and by more than 5.5 points every time. Take the Packers and lay 5.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is pretty high (47 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Not touching 14 points on an official bet. The Lions might score 40 out of saltiness, but if the Jags defense shows up, Detroit will run to prevent Jared Goff yips and an easy win. Take Under 47 points (-110).
The Vikings are solid road favorites (6 points at -110 for both teams). The Vikings played down to the competition last week and almost lost – almost. This time, they get it right and dominate. Take the Vikings and lay 6 points (-110).
The Over/Under is low (44 points at -110 for both). The Raiders give up a lot of points. When the band is together is at home, the Dolphins can score a lot of points. Take Over 44 points (-110).
The Rams are good road favorites in the early window (4.5 points at -115 Rams, -105 Patriots). Matthew Stafford takes the Patriots to school. Drake Maye will have to keep pace. Stafford wins this one. Take the Rams and lay 4.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is suspicious (44.5 points at -110 for both). These are the two most disappointing offensive teams in the league and suddenly someone is going to light up the scoreboard? Hard pass. Take Under 44 points (-110).
The Over/Under is pedestrian (44 points at -110 for both). Anthony Richardson is back from being benched. Aaron Rodgers is having his legacy questioned. Two guys with a lot to gain and not as much to lose. Take Over 44 points (-110).
The Ravens are given road respect as favorites (3 points at -115 Ravens, -105 Steelers). This has classic trap-game repercussions, but take Lamar Jackson vs. Russell Wilson every day – much less on Sunday. Take the Ravens and lay 3 points (-115).
The Broncos are mild home favorites (2.5 points at -110 for both teams). Two teams that don’t beat playoff teams … but, thanks to being in NFC South, the Falcons are a playoff team. Take the Falcons plus 2.5 points (-110).
The 49ers are robust home favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). For a divisional rivalry, the Niners own this one and being less than a TD favorite will be viewed as insulting. Take the 49ers and lay 6.5 points (-110).
Anyone who gives Patrick Mahomes points does so at his own peril. Historically, it doesn’t end well. Until further notice, any time you get the Chiefs in addition to points you jump. Take the Chiefs on the moneyline (+115).
The Bengals are on the brink of legitimate extinction as 1.5-point underdogs in LA in prime time. Cincinnati has more firepower than the Chargers, and this isn’t Big Ten football. Take the Bengals on the moneyline (+105).
The Texans are huge road favorites (7.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Texans haven’t earned being this type of favorite on the road. If the Cowboys don’t cover this point, they should start firing now. Take the Cowboys plus 7.5 points (-110).
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey
The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 10.
This week’s picks include a pair of teams currently destined to make a deep playoff run padding their resumes, one high number going Over, one low number going Under, and a three-point underdog making more noise against a division leader.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 10 action.
The demarcation between the good teams, struggling teams, and bad teams is playing itself out this week for those looking to wager on point spreads.
Only three of the 14 games have a current point spread of three points or fewer on the Week 10 slate, while six games have a spread of 6.5 points or more.
Numbers like scream that could be a lot of blowouts this week … or at least the perception that beat-downs are coming is clear.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
The Ravens are big favorites (6.5 points at -120 Bengals, -110 Ravens). Divisional games between playoff-hardened teams is rarely this high, but Baltimore is clicking – winning their last four games and seven of nine games this year by eight points or more. Take the Ravens and lay 6.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is low (40.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under). There is a reason. Both teams have hit Under this number in six of their nine games. They play field-position games that have field goals deciding them. Take Under 40.5 points (-105).
The Bears are strong home favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Patriots are in rebuild mode and that shows up on the road. Their last four losses included deficits of 21, 17, and 16 points. Take the Bears and lay 6.5 points (-110).
The Bills are road favorites (4 points at -110 for both teams). The Colts are teetering on irrelevance, while the Bills are looking to stay with the other AFC big dogs. Buffalo has scored 30 or more points in six of nine games and the Colts aren’t equipped to compete with that. Take the Bills and lay 4 points (-110).
Once again, the Chiefs are big favorites (8.5 points at -110 for both teams). We’ve been down this road before. The Chiefs win, but they don’t cover because their number is too high. I’ve taken the bait before. I am again. Take the Chiefs and lay 8.5 points (-110).
The Falcons are decent road favorites (3.5 points at -115 Falcons, -105 Saints). The Saints fired their head coach, and the Falcons have won five of the last six. Don’t buy into the “new coach bump” routine here. Take the Falcons and lay 3.5 points (-115).
The Chiefs are stiff road favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Bucs are likely without their top two receivers on a short week after going five quarters against the Chiefs, and Christian McCaffrey may be back. Take the 49ers and lay 5.5 points (-110).
If you at the hindsight strength of the opponents both teams have played, there hasn’t been a “signature win” among any of them. The Steelers defense is legit and make plays against those who take risks. Jayden Daniels takes risks. Take the Steelers on the moneyline (+120).
The Vikings are an impressive road favorite (4.5 points at -110 for both teams). Minnesota still needs to make some believers, and the banged-up Jaguars are starting to book January vacation destinations. Take the Vikings and lay 4.5 points (-110).
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The Chargers are prohibitive favorites (7.5 points at -105 Titans, -115 Chargers). In all six Tennessee losses, the Titans have scored 17 or fewer points. The Chargers’ five wins have come by 12, 23, 7, 18, and 7 points. Those are a good combination. Take the Chargers and lay 7.5 points (-115).
The Eagles are huge road favorites (7.5 points at -105 Eagles, -115 Cowboys). These may be the most overrated teams in the league. Dak Prescott is out, but it’s hard to give a home team on the brink of disaster more than a TD cushion at home. Take the Cowboys plus 7.5 points (-115).
The Cardinals are favored by only one point at home. The Jets are on life support, so they will take more risks. Aaron Rodgers in a death match works here, because one more loss kills their season. Take the Jets on the moneyline (-110).
Detroit is a road favorite (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Lions are not only beating people, they’re beating up people. The Texans are a good team but can’t trade punches with a heavyweight from Detroit. Take the Lions and lay 3.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is huge (50 points at -110 for both Over and Under). It took until Week 10 for both teams to have all their star offensive players together on the same field, and they’re going let it fly under the primetime lights. Take Over 50 points (-110).
