The 5 best prop bets for NFL Week 7

The 5 best prop bets for NFL Week 7.

For this week’s picks, we have a pair of quarterbacks hitting under their projected numbers, a pair of dynamic playmakers going over their numbers, and a receiver scoring a touchdown for his third straight game.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 7

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 7 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 7.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 7

OFF = No odds currently listed.


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The 5 best bets for NFL Week 7

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 7.

For this week’s picks, we take an in-state rivalry to go Under, a potential shootout between two elite young quarterbacks, a Super Bowl contender making a statement in prime time, and a pair of moneyline bets involving the NFL’s last two undefeated teams.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Betting the NFL line: Week 7

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 7 action.

There are only two unbeaten teams remaining in the NFL. This week, one is a favorite and one is an underdog. The picks for this week has the favorite losing and the dog staying unbeaten.


Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


Denver Broncos (-145) at New Orleans Saints (+120)

This is the lowest Over/Under of the week (37 points at -110 for both Over and Under). With two young quarterbacks, the playbooks call for a lot of short plays to move the ball. Touchdowns will be at a premium. Take UNDER 37 points (-110).


New England Patriots (+200) at Jacksonville Jaguars (-250)

The Jaguars have been disappointing but are big favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Patriots are in the baby-steps period of their franchise rebuild, and the snake-bitten Jaguars are hungry for a home win. Take the Jaguars and lay 5.5 points (-110).


Seattle Seahawks (+130) at Atlanta Falcons (-155)

The Falcons are standard home favorites (3 points at -115 Seahawks, -105 Falcons). After an electric start, the Seahawks have lost three straight. Atlanta has won three straight and is flying under the radar as a team to be reckoned with. Take the Falcons and lay 3 points (-105).


Tennessee Titans (+360) at Buffalo Bills (-500)

Buffalo is the biggest favorite of the week (9.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Bills are trying to put a dominant foot forward, while the Titans have scored 17 or fewer points in four of five games. Buffalo can score 27. Take the Bills and lay 9.5 points (-110).


Cincinnati Bengals (-275) at Cleveland Browns (+220)

The Over/Under is pretty low (41.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Browns trading Amari Cooper seems like surrendering the season. Cleveland can’t score points, but its defense will force enough field goals. Take UNDER 41.5 points (-110).


Houston Texans (+125) at Green Bay Packers (-150)

The Over/Under is big (47.5 points and -110 for both). Both teams have offenses that can be explosive and defenses that have allowed a lot of big plays. That adds up to both C.J. Stroud and Jordan Love putting the ball in the air. Take OVER 47.5 points (-110).

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Miami Dolphins (+140) at Indianapolis Colts (-165)

The Colts are typical home favorites (3 points at -105 Dolphins, -115 Colts). Without Tua Tagovailoa, the Dolphins offense has ground to nothing. I’m not bullish on the Colts but willing to give three points against an enfeebled Dolphins team. Take the Colts and lay 3 points (-115).


Detroit Lions (+105) at Minnesota Vikings (-125)

The Vikings are one of two unbeaten teams and are small home favorites (1.5 points). Minnesota is coming off its bye and are at home, but the Lions are a legitimate Super Bowl contender that needs to make a statement. Take the Lions on the moneyline (+105).


Philadelphia Eagles (-165) at New York Giants (+140)

The Eagles are road favorites (3 points at -115 Eagles, -105 Giants). Philly is the better team, but that hasn’t played out as often as it should recently. Too many scenarios point to the Eagles rolling or the Giants making critical mistakes. Take the Eagles and lay 3 points (-115).


Las Vegas Raiders (+260) at Los Angeles Rams (-350)

The Rams are huge favorites (6.5 points at -105 Raiders, -115 Rams). The Raiders have showed nothing in terms of trying to competitive and the Rams are coming off their bye week. I disdain not-good teams giving away this many points, but the Raiders aren’t competitive right now. Take the Rams and lay 6.5 points (-115).


Carolina Panthers (+310) at Washington Commanders (-400)

The Commanders are huge favorites (8 points at -110 for both teams). Washington is starting to be treated as a legitimate playoff team and a beat-down of a team in flux cements that point. Take the Commanders and lay 8 points (-110).


Kansas City Chiefs (+105) at San Francisco 49ers (-125)

The Chiefs are underdogs (1.5 points). Any time you’re getting points along with Patrick Mahomes, you take them. History is your guide. Take the Chiefs on the moneyline (+105).


New York Jets (-135) at Pittsburgh Steelers (+115)

The Over/Under is low (38 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The Steelers offense is always a struggle and bringing in Davante Adams won’t be as big an impact in Week 7 as it will moving forward. Take UNDER 38 points (-110).


Baltimore Ravens (-190) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+155)

The Ravens are road favorites (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Bucs are good enough to beat the teams that are playoff hopefuls … against a Super Bowl hopeful is a different story. Take the Ravens and lay 3.5 points (-110).


Los Angeles Chargers (-155) at Arizona Cardinals (+125)

The Chargers a three-point road favorites. The Cardinals are up and down, but it’s rare when the national spotlight comes to Arizona. The Chargers are far from world-beaters, much less in unfamiliar territory. Take the Cardinals on the moneyline (+125).


2024 NFL office pool pick’em: Week 7

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

2024 Week 7 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2024 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2024 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 163-106 162-107 173-96 169-100 162-107 171-98 169-100
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,812-1,050-11 1,733-1,129-11 1,787-1,075-11 1,706-901-10 1,291-802-9 870-462-5 347-204-2
Accuracy 63.3% 60.5% 62.4% 65.4% 61.3% 65.3% 62.9%

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 135-129-5 128-129-11 133-129-7 132-130-7 136-125-8 142-120-7 136-125-7
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,384-1,472-17 1,413-1,438-21 1,441-1,414-18 1,331-1,276-10 1,092-1,001-12 704-617-16 263-277-11
Accuracy 48.8% 49.6% 50.8% 51.1% 52.2% 53.3% 48.7%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


The 5 best prop bets for Week 7

NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

This week the number of prop bets have been significantly reduced with six teams on their bye week, but the picks cover the gamut – two of the AFC’s best hitting the Over, two NFC quarterbacks who won’t hit their number, and one of the league’s most physical receivers getting into the end zone.

Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 7

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 7 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 7.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Note: Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 7

OFF = No odds currently listed.


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The 5 best bets for Week 7

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 7.

This week we have as few games to choose from as any week during the season with six teams sharing a bye week. We found an eclectic mix – a down-and-out home underdog, a game to go Under, a game to Over, and a couple of NFC West teams bringing the hammer down on lesser opponents.

Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Picks: Office pool pick’em – Week 7

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

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2023 Week 7 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2023 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2023 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,649-944-11 1,571-1,022-11 1,614-979-11 1,537-801-10 1129-698-9 699-364-5 178-104-2
accuracy (63.3%) (60.3%) (61.9%) (65.5%) (61.5%) (65.4%) (62.7%)

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,249-1,343-12 1,285-1,309-10 1,308-1,285-11 1,199-1,146-3 956-876-4 562-497-9 127-152-4
accuracy 48.0% 49.3% 50.2% 47.7% 52.1% 52.6% 44.9%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


Betting the NFL Line: Week 7

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 7 action.

It has been a brutal year for quarterbacks, which has dramatically impacted betting lines. We’re only six weeks into the NFL season and the number of quarterbacks out, missing time or playing with injuries is astounding for this early in a season.

The list includes Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, Trevor Lawrence, Kyler Murray, Justin Fields, Deshaun Watson, Aaron Rodgers, Anthony Richardson, Bryce Young, Jimmy Garoppolo, Daniel Jones and Ryan Tannehill.

Those guys represent starters for 38 percent of NFL teams, and nobody has played more than six games. It’s looks like it’s survivor mode in 2023.

Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Jacksonville Jaguars (+100) at New Orleans Saints (-120)

Three of Jacksonville’s four wins have come by double digits, and the Saints’ three wins have come against teams with a combined record of 3-18. The reason the spread is this close is because of questions as to whether Trevor Lawrence will play. I believe he does and makes the difference. Take the Jaguars on the moneyline (+100).

Las Vegas Raiders (-160) at Chicago Bears (+135)

This game has the lowest Over/Under of the week (37.5 points at -110 Over, -110 Under). You can’t get too much lower than this in an NFL game, but with injuries to both starting quarterbacks, the potential matchup of Aidan O’Connell vs. Tyson Bagent doesn’t do much for fans of either team – much less casual fans. Take Under 37.5 points (-110).

Cleveland Browns (-150) at Indianapolis Colts (+125)

Another battle of backup quarterbacks for offenses designed to run a lot. Points will be at a premium, which is why the Over/Under is low (40 points at -110 for both). This game has the look of more punts than scoring chances. Take Under 40 points (-110).

Buffalo Bills (-400) at New England Patriots (+310)

The Patriots have scored 20 points in their last three games combined, which makes them a heavy home underdog (8.5 points at -110 for both the Bills and Patriots). The Bills have a penchant for putting a beating on inferior teams and have beaten the Patriots by double digits in each of their last three meetings. Take the Bills and lay 8.5 points (-110).

Washington Commanders (-130) at New York Giants (+110)

Washington’s problem is defense, having allowed 33 or more points in four of their last five games. New York’s problem is offense, having scored just 71 points in six games. The Commanders are a small favorite (2.5 points at -105 Commanders, -115 Giants). It won’t take a ton of points to cover this spread. Take the Commanders and lay 2.5 points (-105).

Atlanta Falcons (+120) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-145)

There’s a reason this O/U is so low (38 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The Bucs have hit under this number in four of five games. The Falcons have scored just 50 points in their last four games. Both offenses are trying to find their footing, which could lend itself to a lot of running. Take Under 38 points (-110).

Detroit Lions (+130) at Baltimore Ravens (-155)

The Lions haven’t scored under 20 points in any game this season, which makes this Over/Under suspect (42 points at -110 for both). The Ravens have scored 24 or more points in all four of their wins and are home favorites. Too many stars align for this game to have more points than projected. Take Over 42 points (-110).

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Pittsburgh Steelers (+135) at Los Angeles Rams (-160)

The Rams are the standard home favorite for evenly matched teams (3 points at -110 for both teams). The Steelers find ways to win games like this and are in line to improve to 4-2 with a win. This one could be a one-point game, so being given the cushion of three points is a bonus. Take the Steelers plus 3 points (-110).

Arizona Cardinals (+280) at Seattle Seahawks (-375)

The Cardinals are 1-5 and in free fall, having lost their last three games by 19, 14 and 17 points. Seattle has only played at home once since Week 1, and the 12th Man will be lending its loud support. The Seahawks are a solid favorite (7.5 points at -110 for both teams), but it should be higher given Arizona’s recent struggles. Take the Seahawks and lay 7.5 points (-110).

Green Bay Packers (-115) at Denver Broncos (-105)

After a strong start, Green Bay has lost three of its last four games and has a decimated offensive line. The Broncos are 1-5 and looking awful, but the Packers are only a one-point favorite. The oddsmakers know something on this one. Take the Broncos on the moneyline (-110).

Los Angeles Chargers (+195) at Kansas City Chiefs (-250)

The Chargers continue to find ways to lose, but the Chiefs haven’t been blowing people out. KC is a decent favorite (5.5 points at -110 for both). As with every bet involving the Chargers, you have to expect the bonehead coaching decision that turns a close game into a loss. Take the Chiefs and lay 5.5 points (-110).

Miami Dolphins (+110) at Philadelphia Eagles (-130)

Miami has been the story of 2023, but their five wins came against the Chargers, Patriots, Broncos, Giants and Panthers. The Eagles are small favorites (2 points at -110 for both) but are the better team. This should be a wild one with the world watching, and the Eagles should lay claim to their spot at the top of the NFL. Take the Eagles and lay 2 points (-110).

San Francisco 49ers (-300) at Minnesota Vikings (+240)

Some teams just have another team’s number. The 49ers pound Minnesota every time they play and are strong road favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). Without Justin Jefferson, Minnesota needs to be a ball-control team. Even with injuries to Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel, the Niners have the horses to win this one big. Take the 49ers and lay 6.5 points (-110).