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The 5 best prop bets for NFL Week 11.
This week, we’re looking for nothing but positivity – everybody gets a car! We have four players hitting the Over, including two elite players, a new face in a new place, and a very young reclamation project. To top it off, we have a player scoring a touchdown against a team he absolutely owns.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 11 sports betting and DFS action.
A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 11.
These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
OFF = No odds currently listed.
The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for the Week 11.
This week’s bets are based on history, including the continuance of a pair of one-sided division rivalries, two matchups of preseason playoff hopefuls now trying to save their seasons with one going Over and one staying Under, and getting the undefeated defending champs plus points.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 11 action.
This week if the official beginning of the 2024 big point spreads as the unofficial tanking may or may not begin in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions are this year’s first 14-point favorite over the hapless/hobbled Jacksonville Jaguars. To bet on the Lions to win outright, your investment is 10-to-1 against the return. As franchises start looking more to 2025 while they limp through the remainder of 2024, this won’t be the last time we see a 14-point spread (or higher).
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
The Eagles are light betting investment favorites (3.5 points at -115 Commanders, -105 Eagles). The Eagles have the chops to make a home statement. If they don’t? Then the temperature changes. Take the Eagles and lay 3.5 points (-105).
The Packers are healthy favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). This isn’t a rivalry. It’s a statement. Green Bay has dominated since 2019 and by more than 5.5 points every time. Take the Packers and lay 5.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is pretty high (47 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Not touching 14 points on an official bet. The Lions might score 40 out of saltiness, but if the Jags defense shows up, Detroit will run to prevent Jared Goff yips and an easy win. Take Under 47 points (-110).
The Vikings are solid road favorites (6 points at -110 for both teams). The Vikings played down to the competition last week and almost lost – almost. This time, they get it right and dominate. Take the Vikings and lay 6 points (-110).
The Over/Under is low (44 points at -110 for both). The Raiders give up a lot of points. When the band is together is at home, the Dolphins can score a lot of points. Take Over 44 points (-110).
The Rams are good road favorites in the early window (4.5 points at -115 Rams, -105 Patriots). Matthew Stafford takes the Patriots to school. Drake Maye will have to keep pace. Stafford wins this one. Take the Rams and lay 4.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is suspicious (44.5 points at -110 for both). These are the two most disappointing offensive teams in the league and suddenly someone is going to light up the scoreboard? Hard pass. Take Under 44 points (-110).
The Over/Under is pedestrian (44 points at -110 for both). Anthony Richardson is back from being benched. Aaron Rodgers is having his legacy questioned. Two guys with a lot to gain and not as much to lose. Take Over 44 points (-110).
The Ravens are given road respect as favorites (3 points at -115 Ravens, -105 Steelers). This has classic trap-game repercussions, but take Lamar Jackson vs. Russell Wilson every day – much less on Sunday. Take the Ravens and lay 3 points (-115).
The Broncos are mild home favorites (2.5 points at -110 for both teams). Two teams that don’t beat playoff teams … but, thanks to being in NFC South, the Falcons are a playoff team. Take the Falcons plus 2.5 points (-110).
The 49ers are robust home favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). For a divisional rivalry, the Niners own this one and being less than a TD favorite will be viewed as insulting. Take the 49ers and lay 6.5 points (-110).
Anyone who gives Patrick Mahomes points does so at his own peril. Historically, it doesn’t end well. Until further notice, any time you get the Chiefs in addition to points you jump. Take the Chiefs on the moneyline (+115).
The Bengals are on the brink of legitimate extinction as 1.5-point underdogs in LA in prime time. Cincinnati has more firepower than the Chargers, and this isn’t Big Ten football. Take the Bengals on the moneyline (+105).
The Texans are huge road favorites (7.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Texans haven’t earned being this type of favorite on the road. If the Cowboys don’t cover this point, they should start firing now. Take the Cowboys plus 7.5 points (-110).
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey
A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 11 sports betting and DFS action.
A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 11.
These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.
Note: Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
OFF = No odds currently listed.
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The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.
We’re in Week 11 and with each passing week, more teams are going to join the list that will start looking as much to next year as finishing off the season, so this week’s focus is on those who have the most to play for in a good way.
This week’s picks include a pair of NFC West quarterbacks hitting Under their projected numbers, a pair of the highest-volume receivers doing what they do best, and a running back snapping an eight-game scoreless streak.
Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 11.
As we head into the weekend before the schedule gets crazy Thanksgiving weekend (games on Thursday, Friday, Sunday and Monday), we spread out this week’s picks to check a lot of boxes.
This week, we take the second-lowest Over/Under hitting Under, a division leader moving one step closer to clinching with a home win, a road underdog winning on the moneyline, one of the biggest favorites covering, and a Super Bowl reunion shootout.
Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
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Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey
The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 11.
There are some weeks that create separation and set the stage for the rest of the season moving forward. Week 11 of the 2023 season is one of those.
There are seven divisional games, including critical matchups between the Bengals-Ravens, Steelers-Browns, Jets-Bills and Seahawks-Rams. The week ends with a Super Bowl rematch between the Eagles and Chiefs. In between, there will be games that most of the winners stay alive in the playoff chase for another week and many of the losers take one step closer to turning out the lights on their season.
The Ravens have been on a scoring tear, which helps explain why they are a solid home favorite (3.5 points at -105 Bengals, -115 Ravens). However, the Bengals haven’t lost by more than three points to the Ravens since Joe Burrow‘s rookie season in 2020, so I like Cincy’s chances in a must-win game. Take the Bengals plus 3.5 points (-105).
The Steelers have been anemic on offense and bad on defense, yet they are 6-3. The Browns are without Deshaun Watson again, resulting in a microscopic Over/Under (33 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Even with their offensive struggles, Steelers games have hit Over this number in seven of nine games this season. Take Over 33 points (-110).
The Lions are huge favorites (7.5 points at -110 for both the Bears and Lions), which is understandable because five of Detroit’s last six wins have been by 14 or more points. Justin Fields is expected back, but he will be shaking off the rust and the Lions will take advantage. Take the Lions and lay 7.5 points (-110).
The Packers have lost five of their last six games and haven’t scored more than 20 points since Week 2. The Chargers are road favorites (3 points at -110 for both teams), and the only teams to hold them under 24 points were the Cowboys and Chiefs. Take the Chargers and lay 3 points (-110).
This is a gigantic spread (13.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Raiders have won two straight, but they were against the Giants and Jets. Miami’s home wins have come by 50, 15, 21 and 14 points. It may seem crazy, but this spread is in line with where it should be. Take the Dolphins and lay 13.5 points (-110).
One of the Giants two wins was a 14-7 victory over Washington. The Over/Under is low (37 points at -110 for both) but these two struggle to score more than 40 points when they play each other when healthy, much less with the injuries and trades that have weakened both teams. Take Under 37 points (-110).
The Cowboys are huge favorites (10.5 points at -110 for both teams) but have a reputation of not taking their feet off the gas when ahead. Their six wins include five that have been by 40, 20, 35, 23 and 32 points. The 1-8 Panthers won’t slow them down. Take the Cowboys and lay 10.5 points (-110).
The Jaguars are heavy favorites (6.5 points at +100 Titans, -120 Jaguars), and the investment to bet on the Jags seems to say this spread should be seven or more points. The Jaguars will rebound from their humbling loss last week and come back strong against a Titans team in transition. Take the Jaguars and lay 6.5 points (-110).
The Texans have been a surprise and are a big favorite (4.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Cardinals saw Kyler Murray return last week, and he should make the team more competitive. Houston is a great story, but five points may be too many to give away. Take the Cardinals plus 4.5 points (-110).
The Bucs have been inconsistent on offense, but the Over/Under indicates they will get shut down by the heavily favored 49ers (41.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The 49ers are capable of scoring almost all these points by themselves, so the Bucs won’t have to supply too many points to top this number. Take Over 41.5 points (-110).
The Bills have lost three of their last four and lost to the Jets in Week 1, but Buffalo remains a big favorite (7 points at -110 for both teams). A lot of people have lost money showing confidence in Buffalo, but that won’t stop many of us this week. Take the Bills and lay 7 points (-110).
The Rams get Matthew Stafford back but are small home underdogs (1 point at -110 for both teams). The Rams hammered the Seahawks in Week 1 (30-13), but the Seahawks have the better, deeper roster and should get revenge. Take the Seahawks and lay 1 point (-110).
The Broncos have won three straight games, including wins over the Chiefs and Bills, but are small home favorites (2.5 points). The Vikings have won five straight games and are playing very good defense, which will cause Russell Wilson problems. Bad things happen when Wilson struggles. Take the Vikings on the moneyline (+115).
The Super Bowl rematch has two offenses capable of putting up a lot of points, which makes the Over/Under seem too low (45.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). All this game needs is for one offense to click. This game has the capability to be a shootout that blows by this number. Take Over 45.5 points (-110).
