2023 Women’s World Cup: New Zealand vs. Norway odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New Zealand vs. Norway odds and lines, with Women’s World Cup soccer expert picks, predictions and best bets.

New Zealand battles Norway to commence the 2023 Women’s World Cup Thursday. Kickoff from Eden Park in Auckland, New Zealand, is set for 3 a.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the New Zealand vs. Norway odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.

New Zealand has played 9 friendlies in 2023, losing all but 2 of them. It beat Vietnam 2-0 July 10 and drew Iceland 1-1 April 7. New Zealand lost by at least 2 goals in 5 of its 7 matches. Its closest competitions were 1-0 defeats to Argentina Feb. 23 and to Italy July 14. New Zealand, which ranks 26th in the Women’s FIFA World Rankings, received an automatic World Cup bid as a host.

Norway, which ranks 12th in the World Rankings, is 1-2-2 (W-L-draw) in 2023. Norway’s most recent friendlies were a 3-3 draw with Sweden April 11 and a 4-2 loss to Spain April 6. The Norwegian women went 1-1-1 in the 2023 Tournoi de France, placing 3rd in the February 4-team tournament — beating Uruguay 1-0, drawing France 0-0 and falling to Denmark 2-0. Norway qualified for the World Cup by going 9-0-1 in its qualifiers, placing atop Group F behind a dominating 47-2 goal advantage.

Watch the FIFA Women’s World Cup on FOX and FS1 with FUBO TV

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New Zealand vs. Norway odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: New Zealand +850 (bet $100 to win $850) | Norway -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Draw +450
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -175 | U: +125)

New Zealand vs. Norway picks and predictions

Prediction

Norway 1, New Zealand 0

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

New Zealand (+850) may be at home, but it didn’t showcase enough to truly get behind the energy that being in front of its own fans will bring. It won’t be worth a gamble — even at +850 — against a Norwegian team that cruised through its qualifiers.

However, backing Norway at -350 doesn’t make much sense given the minimal reward.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+125).

All 3 of Norway’s Tournoi de France matches finished Under 2.5 total goals, including a 1-0 win and a 0-0 draw. Norway has one of the best defenses in the tournament, giving up just 2 goals in 10 qualifying matches. Its most experienced player is D Maren Mjelde — the team’s captain has 165 caps.

Five of New Zealand’s last 6 matches have finished Under 2.5 goals, with 2 matches finishing with just 1 goal. New Zealand has scored just 3 goals in its last 9 matches. Against a quality defense, it will likely struggle to get opportunities.

TAKE UNDER 2.5 (+125).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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