New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays odds predictions pick betting line spread – Page 2

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (18-16) and Tampa Bay Rays (27-7) wrap up a 3-game series in Tampa Sunday afternoon. First pitch from Tropicana Field is slated for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankee vs Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

New York won 3-2 Saturday as a +160 underdog, ending Tampa Bay’s 4-game win streak. The Rays scored 2 in the 1st, but the Yankees scored 3 in the top of the 8th, capped by a go-ahead, 2-run single by pinch-hitter Harrison Bader. Despite never scoring more than 4 runs in a game, the Yankees have won 3 of their last 4.

The Rays are 8-2 in series finales this season. They have the best record in the majors and lead the AL East by 4½ games over the 2nd-place Baltimore Orioles. The Yankees are last in the division, 9 games back.

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Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. LHP Josh Fleming-*

Cole (5-0, 1.35 ERA) is making his 8th start of the season. He owns a 0.90 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 46 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 4-2 Yankees home victory vs. Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
Last start vs Rays: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-0 home defeat Aug. 15, 2022
Career vs. Rays (regular season): 2-7, 3.52 ERA (92 IP, 36 ER), 1.08 WHIP in 15 starts

*-Fleming (0-0, 3.18) is expected to carry the bulk of the work either as a starter or following an “opener.” He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 22 2/3 innings across 6 appearances, which includes 1 start.

Last outing: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 1 K of 4-1 Rays home victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 2 K in 3 relief appearances — all in 2021

Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Rays +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+150) | Rays +1.5 (-185)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Rays 2

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (-120).

The Yankees send their ace Cole to close out the series against their division rivals. Despite his career record against the Rays, Cole is 2-0 on the road this season. Betting the Yankees, we’ll be backing the far superior starter without having to pay an arm and a leg for it.

Run line/Against the spread

NEW YORK -1.5 (+150) is my lean, but I wouldn’t bet it heavy. Since we’ll already be invested on the Yankees moneyline, my suggestion is to bet no more than a combined 1.5 units between this play and the ML play.

New York has not lost a game that Cole has started this season. Of those 7 wins, the Yankees have won 6 by 2 or more runs.

The Yankees win Sunday, but can’t say for sure if they’ll cover the run line.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

The Yankees have been Under this total in 10 of their last 15 road games. Games started by Cole this season have been Under this run total in 6 of his 7 starts.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (17-16) continue a 3-game series with the Tampa Bay Rays (27-6) Saturday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 1-0

The Yankees suffered a 5-4 loss to the Rays in Friday’s series opener. New York fell behind 4-0 but tied it in the top of the 6th with a 4-run inning. However, the Rays scored the eventual winning run in the bottom of the 7th on SS Wander Franco’s RBI double.

The Yankees have dropped 6 of their past 8 games on the road, while going 1-5 in the past 6 road outings against a right-handed starting pitcher.

The Rays have won 8 of the past 10 in Game 2 of a series, while going 6-2 in the past 8 games inside the AL East Division.

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Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Domingo German vs. RHP Drew Rasmussen

German (2-2, 4.46 ERA) makes his 7th start of the season. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 34 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 8 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 3-2 home loss to Cleveland Guardians Monday, his 1st quality start (QS) in 3 outings
2023 road splits: 1-0, 7.00 ERA (9 IP, 7 ER), .212 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts
2022 vs. Rays: 0-1, 3.65 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 5 ER), .234 OBA, 8 K in 3 starts

Rasmussen (3-2, 3.66 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9, 9.6 K/9 in 32 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 12-9 loss at Chicago White Sox Sunday
2023 home splits: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER), .222 OBA in 2 starts
2022 vs. Yankees: Win, 1 start, 6 scoreless innings, 6 H, 0 BB, 10 K of 4-2 victory in the Bronx Sept. 9

Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:42 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Yankees +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Rays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-130) | Rays -1.5 (+105)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Yankees 2

Moneyline

Tampa Bay (-190) is a little on the expensive side, costing nearly 2 times the potential return. For a standalone wager, or even in a multi-team parlay, playing such a heavy favorite drains all the value out of a ticket.

PASS, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

TAMPA BAY -1.5 (+105) offers better value than backing the heavy moneyline, although I expect it to be close like Friday’s opener.

The Yankees are 14-7 in the past 21 games inside the division, but they are 0-5 in the past 5 against winning teams and 1-6 in the past 7 on the road against a right-handed starter. Until New York turns some of those numbers around, keeping fading the Yankees.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-110) is the lean as a pitching matchup between German and Rasmussen should mean plenty of donuts on the scoreboard.

The Under is 5-1-1 in the past 7 games against a right-handed starting pitcher for the Yankees, while going 22-8-1 in the past 31 against winning teams.

The Under is also 5-1 in the past 6 games at home for the Rays, while cashing at a 5-1 clip in the past 6 at home vs. a right-hander.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (17-15) and Tampa Bay Rays (26-6) open a 3-game set Friday. First pitch from Tropicana Field is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st meeting; New York won 11 of 19 meetings in 2022

The Yankees picked up a 2nd straight win with a 4-3 10-inning win over the Cleveland Indians Wednesday. Those 2 wins against Cleveland came after a dreadful 4-game losing skid during which they were outscored 25-6. New York has the 6th-best team ERA (3.53) but its bats are ice cold, scoring the 7th-fewest runs in the majors (126).

The Rays still own the best record in baseball, sitting 4 games better than the Atlanta Braves. They’re fresh off a 3-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates, where they outscored them 15-4. Tampa Bay has scored the most runs (210) and boasts the lowest ERA (2.87) in the majors this season.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays projected starters

RHP Jhony Brito vs. RHP Yonny Chirinos

Brito (2-3, 5.56 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 22 2/3 IP.

Started the year strong with only 1 run allowed in his first 10 innings but his ERA ballooned when he allowed 7 runs in 2/3 of an inning in his 3rd start against the Minnesota Twins on April 13
Took the loss last time out despite allowing just 2 runs in 5 innings against the Texas Rangers Saturday

Chirinos (1-0, 0.64 ERA) makes his 1st start and 5th appearance. He has a 0.57 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 14 IP.

Has operated in a relief role all season, going 4 2/3 innings and allowing 1 earned run in his longest appearance of the season on Saturday at the Chicago White Sox
Has only allowed 6 hits and 1 earned run all season, with 2 of his 4 appearances coming against the Chicago White Sox

Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Yankees +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Rays -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-135) | Rays -1.5 (+110)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Yankees are struggling right now, falling to last in the AL East. Their usually high-powered lineup has been cold this season and now they go up against the best pitching staff in the majors.

I don’t see the Yankees putting up enough runs to win this one against the Rays, having scored 4 or fewer runs in each of their last 8 games. As much as I like the Rays (-185) to win this game, the moneyline isn’t rewarding enough to bet.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Rays have beaten their opponent by at least 2 runs 12 times in their last 16 wins, often blowing them out comfortably. They rarely play close games, winning by an average of 3.6 runs per game this season.

Getting them fresh off a 3-game sweep of the Priates at +110 to beat the Yankees by at least 2 runs is a great value. Pittsburgh was 20-9 before facing Tampa Bay.

BET RAYS -1.5 (+110).

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Over/Under

This isn’t exactly a pitcher’s duel in St. Pete and neither pitcher expected to go particularly deep into the game. However, Chirinos has been tough to hit in limited action this season and Brito showed signs of promise early in the season when he allowed just 1 run in his first 10 innings.

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100) Friday.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (79-52) have a divisional clash with the Tampa Bay Rays (72-57) Friday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Tropicana Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Yankees lead 8-5

The Yankees are tumbling again, losers of 4 of 5 games to inferior teams in the Oakland Athletics and Los Angeles Angels. Injuries to position players and meltdowns in the bullpen have really stung them. New York is 11-19 over its last 30 games, and what was once a staggering lead in the AL East is now just 6 games.

The Rays are the team in striking distance. They’ve won 3 contests in a row and are 8-2 and 14-6 over their last 10 and 20 games. Tampa has allowed just 31 runs over its last 10 games as the pitching has been brilliant. This is the biggest series of the season, but they really need a sweep because 2 of 3 just subtracts a game from the lead.

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Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Domingo German vs. LHP Jeffrey Springs

German (2-2, 3.19 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 42 1/3 IP.

Has allowed 1 ER in his last 14 IP over 2 starts
Aug. 17 vs. Tampa: 4 2/3 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB and 6 K

Springs (6-4, 2.76 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 101 IP.

Aug. 16 vs. Yankees: 5 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 1 BB and 4 K
Was lit up for 5 ER on 8 H and 1 BB in 6 IP with 8 K against the Boston Red Sox last time out Saturday

Yankees at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:54 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Yankees +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rays -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-200) | Rays -1.5 (+160)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Yankees 3

Money line

Springs has thrown 11 innings against the Yanks this season and allowed just 3 ER for a 2.45 ERA. The Yankees have scored 43 runs over the last 10, but 13 of them came in one game. That’s 3.33 runs per game over those other 9. Tampa sets the tone and wins the opener.

Take the RAYS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The books have us cornered with -200 on the Yankees. Three of their last 4 losses have been 1-run defeats. Considering how Tampa is pitching and New York is struggling, it’s not as crazy as it sounds to go with YANKEES UNDER 3.5 TOTAL RUNS (-135) for a HALF-UNIT.

Over/Under

This number has been steamed up from 6.5 this morning, and I was leaning toward the Over there with some hesitation. As the number has shifted, so has my take, as I am going to LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-135).

The Yankees have scored 4 or more runs just once in the last 6 games. It’s still a small number on 2 good teams, but I prefer the Under.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (33-13) visit Tropicana Field Saturday for the 3rd of a 4-game series with the American League East rival Tampa Bay Rays (26-19). First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: N.Y. leads 2-0. The Yankees won the series opener 7-2 Thursday then shut out the Rays 2-0 Friday.

N.Y RHP Jameson Taillon threw an 8-inning scoreless gem Friday with just 2 hits allowed as he issued 0 walks and struck out 5.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Corey Kluber

Cole is 4-1 with a 3.31 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 51 2/3 IP across 9 starts.

Last start: Loss, 6-4, Monday at home vs. the Baltimore Orioles with 8 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 11 K.
2021 vs. the Rays: 1-3 with a 5.11 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 14.2 K/9 in 24 2/3 IP over 4 starts.

Kluber is 1-2 with a 4.42 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 38 2/3 IP across 8 starts.

Last start: No-decision in 7-6 loss at the Orioles Sunday with 3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 2 K.
2022 home splits: 1-1 with a 2.91 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 9.1 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP over 4 starts.

Yankees at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:42 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Rays +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Rays +1.5 (-155)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +112 | U: -140)

Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Rays 2

Money line

BET the YANKEES (-145) because this is a fair price with Cole on the mound vs. Kluber who’s a “bottom-of-the-rotation” starter.

Cole is 5th in xFIP (2.77) and 8th in K-BB% (23.7%) of all qualified starters (per FanGraphs) and grades in the 85th percentile of chase rate and 95th percentile of whiff rate (according to Statcast).

The Rays have lost 3 straight Kluber starts and are 3-5 overall in his 8 starts this year. Kluber is in the 15th percentile or worse in expected batting average (9%), wOBA (15%) and slugging percentage (11%).

New York has a better lineup and bullpen than Tampa and is rolling at the moment. BET 1 unit on the YANKEES (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS because N.Y.’s ML isn’t cheap and the Yankees -1.5 (+125) isn’t a steep enough payout considering the Rays are 8-3 RL as underdogs.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (-140) because Tropicana Field is a notorious pitcher-friendly ballpark and ranks 25th in park factor, the Yankees are 10-12 O/U on the road, the Rays are 10-15-1 O/U at home and 3-10-1 O/U vs. AL East foes.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (26-18) host the New York Yankees (32-13) Friday in the 2nd of their 4-game series at Tropicana Field with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: N.Y. leads 1-0.

The Yankees beat the Rays 7-2 Thursday in the series opener thanks in part to a gem from SP Nestor Cortes (8 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K). Yankees OF Aaron Judge went 1-for-3 with 2 RBIs, a stolen base and run scored.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Jameson Taillon vs. LHP Jeffrey Springs

Taillon is 4-1 with a 2.95 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 42 2/3 IP over 8 starts.

Last start: No-decision in N.Y.’s 3-1 home loss May 22 to the Chicago White Sox with 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 7 K on 94 pitches.
2021 vs. the Rays: 0-2 with a 4.85 ERA (13 IP, 7 ER), 7 H, 2 HR, 6 BB and 16 K in 3 starts.

Springs is 2-1 with a 1.32 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 27 1/3 IP across 4 starts and 8 relief appearances.

Last start: Won 6-2 Saturday at the Baltimore Orioles with 5 2/3 scoreless IP, 1 H, 4 BB and 7 K on 80 pitches.
2021 vs. the Yankees: 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA (8 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 4 BB and 9 K in 6 relief appearances.

Yankees at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:47 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Yankees +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Rays -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-210) | Rays -1.5 (+170)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Rays 2

Money line

LEAN YANKEES (+105) only because Taillon’s numbers dip on the road, Springs has been lights out thus far and the Under is my favorite bet in this game.

N.Y. has a better lineup and bullpen than Tampa and Taillon looks comfier in his 2nd season as a Yankee. Taillon’s hard-hit rate, BB% and chase rate have all significantly improved since 2021, per Statcast.

Also, the Yankees are 6-2 overall in their last 8 visits to Tampa and this is a worse version of the Rays because of the injuries to their pitching staff.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. N.Y. +1.5 (-210) is just too pricey to sprinkle on their RL and I prefer to bet the Under instead.

N.Y. is 10-9 RL as road favorites and the Rays are 9-16 RL at home (2-2 RL as home favorites).

Over/Under

RISK 1 unit on the UNDER 7.5 (-130) instead of betting 1 unit because of the price.

According to Pregame.com, there’s a “Pros vs. Joe’s” situation in the betting market since more money is on the Under but bets have been placed on the Over. It’s wiser to follow the money since sharps put up more dough than your average Joe.

N.Y. is 16-24 O/U as the favorite, Tampa is 4-6-1 O/U as the underdog and the Rays are 1-3 O/U in Springs’ 4 starts.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (31-13) head to Tropicana Field Thursday to play the American League East rival Tampa Bay Rays (26-17) at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York is 6-4 straight up (SU) in its last 10 games, which includes back-to-back victories vs. the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday-Wednesday after dropping the Monday opener following a 2-1 series loss to the Chicago White Sox this past weekend.

Tampa won both of a 2-game interleague series with the Miami Marlins Tuesday-Wednesday after losing 2 of 3 contests in Baltimore last week and is also 6-4 SU in its last 10 outings.

The Rays beat the Yankees 11-8 in last year’s season series and Tampa had a staggering plus-48 run differential in those meetings.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. LHP Ryan Yarbrough

Cortes is 3-1 with a 1.80 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 45 IP across 8 starts.

Last start: Win, 7-5, at home vs. the Chicago White Sox Saturday with 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 7 K.
2021 vs. the Rays: 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 8 H, 0 BB and 10 K over 2 starts.
vs. Rays on the current roster: 2.70 FIP with a .178/.259/.367 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, 27.9 K% and 85.7 mph exit velocity (EV) in 43 plate appearances (PA).

Yarbrough is 0-0 with a 4.20 ERA (15 IP, 7 ER), 18 H, 1 HR, 7 BB and 12 K in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance.

Last start: No-decision in Tampa’s 5-1 home loss to the Toronto Blue Jays May 14 with 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 2 K.
2021 vs. the Yankees: 2-0 with a 1.56 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 10 H, 2 BB and 14 K.
vs. Yankees on the current roster: 4.01 FIP with a .257/.317/.420 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 13.5 K% and 84.8 mph EV in 96 PA.

Yankees at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Rays +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+140) | Rays +1.5 (-175)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Rays 2

Money line

GIMME the YANKEES (-125) because they have a 3-phase edge over the Rays in starting and relief pitching and hitting.

Cortes’ pitching peripherals support his impressive basic starts as he ranks in the 90th percentile or better in xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line and K%, according to Statcast.

N.Y.’s bats are also more productive vs. left-handed pitching than Tampa’s. The Yankees rank 2nd in wRC+ (123), 5th in wOBA (.333) and 4th in hard-hit rate (33.8%), per FanGraphs. The Rays have a 108 wRC+ (ranked 12th), .305 wOBA (15th) and a 28.5% hard-hit rate (19th).

Tampa’s bullpen has regressed year over year, mostly due to injuries, whereas New York’s bullpen is a top-5 unit. The Yankees’ relievers are 2nd in FIP (3.10) and 5th in home runs allowed per 9 innings (0.62). The Rays’ relievers are 20th in FIP (4.07) and 28th in home runs allowed per 9 (1.24).

BET 1 unit on the YANKEES (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS because the Yankees -1.5 (+140) would have to be north of +160 to take a stab since N.Y. is 20-22 RL as a favorite while Tampa Bay is 8-2 RL as an underdog. Four of the last 8 Yankees-Rays meetings have been decided by a single run.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-130) because there’s a line freeze in the betting market, the Yankees are 7-11 O/U as road favorites, the Rays are 3-6-1 O/U as underdogs and Tropicana Field is a notorious pitcher-friendly ballpark and ranks 24th in run factor.

The Yankees ML is my favorite wager in this game but there’s a little value on the UNDER 7.5 (-130).

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (53-47) and Tampa Bay Rays (60-42) play the finale of a three-game set Thursday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Gerrit Cole is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 10-5 with a 2.74 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 over 125 innings across 20 starts.

Cole allowed 3 runs, 6 hits and 2 walks with 8 strikeouts across 5 innings in a loss at the Boston Red Sox Friday. It snapped a modest two-start win streak.

The right-hander has had mixed results against the Rays this season, going 1-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 29 strikeouts across 19 1/3 innings in three outings.

RHP Luis Patino is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 1-2 with a 5.26 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 over 25 2/3 IP across five starts and two relief appearances.

Patino has had a disastrous July, going 0-1 with a 7.59 ERA in two outings. He has also allowed 4 or more runs in each of his past three starts, coughing up 13 earned runs in 14 innings during the span.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Yankees at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:04 a.m. ET.

Money line: Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Rays +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Rays +1.5 (-150)
Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Yankees 5, Rays 2

Money line (ML)

The YANKEES (-140) are a great play behind Cole in this pitching mismatch against Patino and the Rays.

It’s actually rather surprising that this line is so low, even on the road. New York should be able to roll in this series finale.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

NEW YORK -1.5 (+125) is a strong play in the getaway day game at the Trop as the Bronx Bombers look for the series sweep. New York outscored Tampa Bay 7-4 in the first two outings, covering the run line as an underdog in each game.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the lean here, ever so slightly.

The Under has connected in each of the first two games in this series, and six straight for New York. The Under is also 8-2-1 across the past 11 for the Yankees.

The Under has cashed in each of the past four for the Rays, too, while going 7-3 in the past 10 head-to-head meetings in this series.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (52-47) and Tampa Bay Rays (60-41) continue their three-game series at Tropicana Field with Game 2 Wednesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Rays lead 8-6

New York held on for a 4-3 win in Tuesday’s opener after building a 3-0 lead through 5½ innings.

LHP Nestor Cortes is Wednesday’s projected starter for the Yankees. He is 0-0 with a 1.95 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 in 2 starts and 8 relief appearances.

Last outing: 2 relief innings, 3 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 3 K at Boston Red Sox Friday
Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 B, 2 K at Houston Astros July 9 – Yankees won 4-0
Career vs. Rays: 0-0, 5.56 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 11 H, 7 BB, 13 K in 5 relief appearances

RHP Michael Wacha is projected to start for the Rays. He is 2-2 with a 5.16 ERA (66 1/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 12 starts and 5 relief appearances.

Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 5-4 home win vs. Baltimore Orioles last Wednesday
Career vs. Yankees: 1-1, 4.55 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Yankees at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:46 a.m. ET.

Money line: Yankees +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rays -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Yankees +1.5 (-180) | Rays -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Rays 5, Yankees 3

Money line (ML)

The RAYS (-135) are the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

Unfortunately, my Tuesday plays lost, backing Tampa Bay’s ML and spread, but I’m not afraid to get back on the horse as the trends favor the Rays.

They are 25-11 as home favorites and 30-19 overall at home,

New York is 6-7 as a road underdog and 25-24 overall away from Yankee Stadium.

Wacha already beat New York this season, pitching 6 scoreless innings of 1-hit ball with 2 walks and 9 strikeouts in an 8-2 road victory April 16.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Bet a HALF UNIT on TAMPA BAY -1.5 (+150).

When the Rays beat the Yankees they win by at least 2 runs. All eight of Tampa Bay’s victories in this season’s head-to-head series have been by 2 or more runs.

In 2020, the Rays went 11-4 vs. the Yankees, including a 3-2 best-of-5 AL Division Series victory. Eight of the 11 wins were by more than 1 run.

Tampa Bay’s 56-45 ATS record ranks third in the majors this season. New York is 29th at 43-56.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS due to conflicting trends.

Tampa Bay tends to cash Over tickets and New York is mostly an Under team.

The O/U is a 7-7 in the 14 Rays-Yankees meetings this season, including 3-4 at Tropicana Field.

O/U records: Yankees 43-54-2 | Rays 54-44-3

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JOHNNY’S RECORD	W-L	SP	ROI
SINCE JULY 8	8-5	2-3	+1.75
–SP: Strongest plays; ROI*: Return on investment

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (51-47) and Tampa Bay Rays (60-40) open a three-game series Tuesday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Rays lead 8-5

Both clubs had Monday off following one-run losses Sunday. The Yankees fell 5-4 and dropped three of four at the Boston Red Sox. The Rays fell 3-2 at the Cleveland Indians to snap a five-game win streak.

LHP Jordan Montgomery is projected to start for New York in Tuesday’s opener. He is 3-5 with a 3.96 ERA (104 2/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 19 starts.

Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-4 loss at Boston Thursday
2021 vs. Rays: 2-1, 3.86 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 4 starts
Career vs. Rays: 3-3, 4.47 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 in 10 starts

LHP Shane McClanahan is projected to start for Tampa Bay. The rookie is 4-3 with a 3.88 ERA (65 IP, 28 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 14 starts.

Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 9-3 home victory vs. Baltimore Orioles last Tuesday
Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 10.80 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 4-3 road loss June 2

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Yankees at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:13 a.m. ET.

Money line: Yankees +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Rays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Yankees +1.5 (-165) | Rays -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Rays 5, Yankees 3

Money line (ML)

TAMPA BAY (-145) is the way to go.

The Rays are 30-18 at home while the Yankees are 24-24 on the road.

The Rays are 25-10 as home favorites; the Yankees are 5-7 as road dogs.

Plus, the Yankees are 0-5 in Montgomery’s last 5 starts.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

TAMPA BAY -1.5 (+140) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

All eight of the Rays’ victories vs. the Yankees this season have been by 2 or more runs.

Last year, the Rays took the regular-season series 8-2, followed by a 3-2 best-of-5 AL Division Series triumph. Eight of those 11 Tampa Bay wins were by 2 or more runs.

Tampa Bay also features the majors’ third-best ATS record at 56-44 this season, while the Yankees rank 29th at 42-56.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS as the predicted score hits the O/U line of 8 on the nose.

The O/U is 7-6 in the 13 head-to-head games in 2021, including 3-3 in the contests at the Trop.

O/U records: Yankees 43-53-2 | Rays 54-43-3

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD	W-L	SP	ROI
SINCE JULY 8	8-3	2-2	+4.6
–SP: Strongest plays; ROI*: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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