Tag: New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds predictions pick betting line spread

New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (40-46) will conclude a 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-37) on Thursday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-0

In Wednesday’s 2-1 victory over the Diamondbacks, the Mets scored both of their runs in the top of the 9th inning. New York is currently on a 4-game winning streak, though they remain 18 games back in the NL East race.

The Diamondbacks have now lost 3 straight games following Wednesday’s loss. Arizona is 4-6 in its last 10 contests and is only 1 1/2 games ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers atop the NL West.

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Mets at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. RHP Ryne Nelson

Carrasco (2-3, 5.94 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 53 innings.

  • Has given up at least 1 HR in 10 of his 11 starts
  • Has allowed multiple runs and walks in 9 starts

Nelson (5-4, 4.67 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 90 2/3 innings.

  • Has struck out 5 or more batters in 4 consecutive starts
  • In hislast 2 starts has allowed a combined 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 12 K in 14 1/3 IP

Mets at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Diamondbacks -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-175) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Mets 3

Moneyline

The Mets have won the 1st 2 games of the series, but I’ll back the DIAMONDBACKS (-130) to avoid the sweep on Thursday. Nelson has looked better in recent starts and Carrasco has mightily struggled this season.

Run line/Against the spread

DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+145) has solid value at the current odds with Carrasco pitching for the Mets. Arizona has won by multiple runs in each of its last 9 wins.

The Diamondbacks also have the 6th-best ISO (.181) and are tied for the 4th-best wOBA (.335). They also own the 8th-best wRC+ (107) against right-handed pitching this season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 10 (-105) is the pick in this game despite 2 inconsistent pitchers taking the mound. The Mets are 5-2-2 to the Under in their last 9 games overall, while the Diamondbacks are 6-1 to the Under in their last 7 overall.

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New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (39-46) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-36) on Wednesday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0 after winning the series opener 8-5 on Tuesday

The Mets got home runs from OF Starling Marte, OF Brandon Nimmo, and C Francisco Alvarez in Tuesday’s victory. New York has won 3 consecutive games, but it remains 18 games behind the NL East-leading Atlanta Braves.

While the Diamondbacks lost the series open, it was a positive sign to see OF Corbin Carroll back in the lineup, who hit his 18th homer of the season. Arizona has recorded a 4-6 record in its last 10 contests but is still 2 1/2 games ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers atop the NL West.

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Mets at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. LHP Tommy Henry

Senga (6-5, 3.53 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 through 81 2/3 IP.

  • Has walked 3 or more batters in 11 of his 15 outings
  • Has recorded 6 or more strikeouts in 12 starts

Henry (5-1, 4.08 ERA) makes his 13th start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 68 1/3 IP.

  • Has given up at least 1 HR in 5 consecutive starts.
  • After allowing multiple ER in each of his first 6 turns he’s permitted 2 or fewer ER in 4 of his last 6

Mets at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

The DIAMONDBACKS (-105) are my bet in Wednesday’s NL showdown despite the Mets winning 3 games in a row. Arizona is 24-21 at home compared to New York owning a 19-27 record on the road this season.

The Mets are also 1-5 in their last 6 games against a left-handed starter.

Run line/Against the spread

DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-165) is the play for those that aren’t comfortable taking Arizona to win outright. Senga struggles with walks and that could be costly against a Diamondbacks squad that has the 4th-most steals (83) in baseball.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9.5 (-105) is the lean in this game despite the 1st game of the series hitting the Over. The Mets are 4-1-2 to the Under in their last 7 overall and the Diamondbacks are 5-1 to the Under in their last 6 overall.

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New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (50-35) welcome the New York Mets (38-46) to Chase Field for a 3-game series. First pitch Tuesday is set for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mets won 4 of 6 meeings in 2022

The Diamondbacks lost to the Angels 5-2 Sunday yet won the series 2-1. They are 6-5 over their last 11 games and are 24-20 at home this season.

The Mets are 18-27 on the road and 4-6 in their last 10. They are coming off a series win over the Giants, beating them 8-4 in the final game Sunday.

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Mets at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. RHP Zach Davies

Senga (6-5, 3.53 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 81 2/3 innings.

  • The 30-year-old rookie has a NL-high 46 walks
  • Mets are 8-7 in Senga’s 15 starts
  • Last start: 5 IP, 5H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-2 win June 28 vs. the Milwaukee Brewers

Davies (1-4, 6.54 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 42 2/3 innings.

  • Diamondbacks are 4-5 in his 9 starts
  • Has allowed 4 or more ER in 3 of his last 4 starts but is coming off his best outing of the season
  • Last start: 7 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 K in 3-2 loss June 28 to the Tampa Bay Rays

Mets at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mets at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

BET METS (-115).

Despite the Mets road record, they are 14-12 as an away favorite this season, and the Diamondbacks are just 8-13 as a home underdog. This also feels like a trap game for bettors as the top team in the NL West should be a favorite against the 4th-best team in the NL East. However, the pitching difference is enough to back New York.

While Davies performed well his last time on the mound, he’s given up 6 or more ER in 2 of his last 3 starts, so it is hard to trust him against a high-powered Mets offense. With that in mind, take the METS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Diamondbacks have been better at home while the Mets have struggled on the road.

Despite the Mets having a pitcher that has been better for most of the season, taking them on the run line doesn’t have much value. Similarly, the Diamondbacks at +1.5 (-165) is far too expensive to play as well.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9 (+100).

Arizona’s offense has struggled lately, scoring 3 or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games. It is just 39-41-5 O/U this season and has gone Under in 5 straight games.

The Mets are 35-43-6 O/U, so they have been profitable on this side of the total. New York has gone 1-4-2 O/U in its last 7 games. Back the UNDER 9 (+100).

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New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (11-4) seek to pick up a road series win in game two of their three-game set Saturday against the Arizona Diamondbacks (5-9). First pitch is 8:10 p.m ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Mets won the first game of the series Friday 6-5 in 10 innings to improve to 3-1 against the Diamondbacks this season.

The Mets are winners of five of their last six games and are in first place in the NL East early in the season with a four-game lead over the Atlanta Braves.

The Diamondbacks had their two-game win streak snapped with Friday’s loss. It was the first time this season that they had won consecutive games.

Mets at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Humberto Castellanos

Williams (0-1, 0.00 ERA) makes his first start of the season in his third appearance. He has allowed 2 runs (0 earned) on 4 hits with 1 strikeout across 1 2/3 innings in two relief appearances.

  • Held the Diamondbacks scoreless over 2/3 IP in relief Sunday with 2 H and 1 K in his last appearance.
  • Is 2-3 with a 2.65 ERA in six starts and one relief appearance in his career versus Arizona.

Castellanos (0-0, 2.57 ERA) makes his second start and fourth appearance of the year. He has allowed 3 R (2 ER) on 6 H and 4 BB with 3 K across 7 IP.

  • Tossed 4 scoreless innings with 1 H, 3 BB and 1 K in a 5-0 loss at the Mets Sunday in his first start of the season.
  • Is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA across five starts and five relief appearances in his career at Chase Field.

Mets at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+105) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Mets at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Mets 3

Money line

The Diamondbacks have won at least one game in every series this season. This game seems to give them a good bet, facing Williams in his first start of the year. They have been hitting the ball better, having scored 20 runs in the last three games after only netting 1 run in the previous three.

OF David Peralta has a .313 career average with a homer against Williams.

Castellanos pitched well in his last outing and Arizona has been getting good outings out of their starters.

Take DIAMONDBACKS (+125).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks have been the underdog in every game they have played this season. They have covered the spread in four straight games and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10.

The Mets are 10-5 ATS this season overall and 2-2 ATS against the Diamondbacks.

However, expecting this game to be the one in which Arizona sneaks a win, take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-130).

Over/Under

Half of the Mets’ games this season have finished with totals of 9 runs or more.

Only four games for Arizona have had 9 or more runs. Four of Arizona’s five wins have had totals of 7 or fewer runs.

Take UNDER 9.5 (-115).

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New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (26-20) face the Arizona Diamondbacks (19-36) Tuesday in the second game of their three-game series. First pitch will be thrown at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field.  Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Marcus Stroman is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 4-4 with a 2.45 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 through 58 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

Stroman allowed 2 earned runs in three of his last five starts, and he went 6 innings and allowing no runs in his last start. He is 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA in three career starts against Arizona.

LHP Caleb Smith is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-1 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 through 33 IP over 1 start and 18 relief appearances.

Smith made one start early in the season before being moved to the bullpen. He had an ERA of 2.70 in 18 relief appearances. He is 3-0 against the Mets in his career with a 4.11 ERA in seven appearances (five starts).

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Mets at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+135) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Mets 6, Diamondbacks 4

Money line (ML)

The Mets have won five games in a row and beat Arizona 6-2 Monday night.

The Diamondbacks have only two wins in their last 19 games. They have the National League’s worst ERA at 4.95 and are batting only .234 as a team.

Right now, you can’t count on an Arizona win any night. Until things turn around for them, ride their opponent, especially one leading their division.

Take the METS (-120).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Mets are 4-1 ATS in their five-game winning streak.

The Diamondbacks are 28-27 ATS this season, but are 1-4 ATS in their last five contests. They are an even 22-22 ATS as an underdog.

Take the METS -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under (O/U)

The last four games for the Diamondbacks went Over the total and they are 28-26-1 O/U this season. Having the highest ERA in the league, you can count on at least 5 runs for their opponent. They allowed 5 or more runs in eight of their last 10 games.

The Mets had their last three games go Over. They are 19-23-2 O/U this season. They scored fewer than 5 runs in six of their last eight games, but facing a bad pitching team like Arizona, take OVER 8.5 (-115).

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New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (25-20) and Arizona Diamondbacks (19-35) play the first game of a three-game series at Chase Field Monday with a 9:40 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jacob deGrom is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 3-2 with a 0.80 ERA, 0.60 WHIP, 14.8 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 over 45 IP through 7 starts.

DeGrom allowed just one run and three hits with no walks and nine strikeouts last time out against the Colorado Rockies in a no-decision in his return from the 10-day injured list. He has faced Arizona this season, allowing one run, one hit and three walks with six strikeouts over five innings in a win May 9.

RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-5 with a 4.84 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 over 57 2/3 IP through 10 starts.

Kelly has turned in three straight quality starts, although he has no wins to show for his efforts. Prior to that stretch, he allowed three runs (two earned) and three hits over 5 2/3 innings in a loss against the Mets on the road May 8. His ERA has improved in each of his past seven outings, dropping from 8.44 to 4.84 since April 15.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Mets at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (-110) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (Over +100 | Under -120)

Prediction

Mets 4, Diamondbacks 1

Money line (ML)

The METS (-190) are slightly over my personal money line limit of -180, but sometimes you have to make exceptions. DeGrom and the Mets are worth backing here against Kelly, who has just had awful luck lately despite pitching pretty well on his own.

The Diamondbacks snapped a 13-game losing streak Sunday with a 9-2 win vs. the St. Louis Cardinals, but don’t expect a two-game win streak to start. They haven’t won back-to-back games since May 10-11.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

NEW YORK -1.5 (-110) is the play here behind deGrom. In eight of the Diamondbacks’ 13 losses during their ugly skid, they lost by two or more runs. They’ll face a major challenge cobbling any runs together against an ace like deGrom, who has an ERA under 1.00.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 7.5 (-120) is easily the best play on the board. Kelly has been pitching well, posting three straight quality starts, and deGrom has been nearly unhittable. Runs will be at a premium in the desert.

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