The New York Mets (26-20) face the Arizona Diamondbacks (19-36) Tuesday in the second game of their three-game series. First pitch will be thrown at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Marcus Stroman is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 4-4 with a 2.45 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 through 58 2/3 IP over 11 starts.
Stroman allowed 2 earned runs in three of his last five starts, and he went 6 innings and allowing no runs in his last start. He is 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA in three career starts against Arizona.
LHP Caleb Smith is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-1 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 through 33 IP over 1 start and 18 relief appearances.
Smith made one start early in the season before being moved to the bullpen. He had an ERA of 2.70 in 18 relief appearances. He is 3-0 against the Mets in his career with a 4.11 ERA in seven appearances (five starts).
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Mets at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+135) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Mets 6, Diamondbacks 4
Money line (ML)
The Mets have won five games in a row and beat Arizona 6-2 Monday night.
The Diamondbacks have only two wins in their last 19 games. They have the National League’s worst ERA at 4.95 and are batting only .234 as a team.
Right now, you can’t count on an Arizona win any night. Until things turn around for them, ride their opponent, especially one leading their division.
Take the METS (-120).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Mets are 4-1 ATS in their five-game winning streak.
The Diamondbacks are 28-27 ATS this season, but are 1-4 ATS in their last five contests. They are an even 22-22 ATS as an underdog.
Take the METS -1.5 (+135).
Over/Under (O/U)
The last four games for the Diamondbacks went Over the total and they are 28-26-1 O/U this season. Having the highest ERA in the league, you can count on at least 5 runs for their opponent. They allowed 5 or more runs in eight of their last 10 games.
The Mets had their last three games go Over. They are 19-23-2 O/U this season. They scored fewer than 5 runs in six of their last eight games, but facing a bad pitching team like Arizona, take OVER 8.5 (-115).
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