New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks odds predictions pick betting line spread

New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (26-26) will go up against the Dallas Mavericks (27-25) on Thursday at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans suffered a 122-113 loss to the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday, falling short of covering the 7-point spread. New Orleans has lost 9 games in a row.

The Mavericks won 111-105 against the Detroit Pistons on Monday despite failing to cover as 10-point favorites at home. Dallas has gone 4-6 in its last 10 games.

This is the 3rd meeting this season with the teams splitting the 1st 2 — the Pelicans winning at home by 2 and losing in Dallas by 10.

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Pelicans at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Mavericks -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +4.5 (-110) | Mavericks -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pelicans at Mavericks key injuries

Pelicans

F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

Mavericks

F Maxi Kleber (hamstring) out
F Christian Wood (thumb) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pelicans at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 116, Mavericks 112

Moneyline

Even though they’ve struggled to win games recently, I’ll take the PELICANS (+155) to win on the road. New Orleans might not have Williamson available, but G CJ McCollum, F Brandon Ingram, and C Jonas Valanciunas are enough to beat Dallas.

Against the spread

If you aren’t comfortable taking the moneyline, PELICANS +4.5 (-110) is what I’d wager on in this game. Despite the Mavericks looking better than the Pelicans recently, they are overly reliant on G Luka Doncic to produce gaudy numbers.

Over/Under

OVER 222.5 (-110).

This is a pace-up game for the Mavericks and both of these teams are top 15 in offensive rating this season. New Orleans and Dallas have been involved in some high-scoring affairs against each other recently.

The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Dallas and the Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings overall.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (24-15) battle the Dallas Mavericks (22-17) Saturday. Tip from American Airlines Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

New Orleans lost to Brooklyn 108-102 Friday in a nationally televised game. It failed to cover as a 4.5-point underdog. The Pelicans are 20-19 against the spread (ATS). They have covered just 1 of their last 4 games. The Pelicans rank 5th in the NBA in points per game (117.1).

The Mavericks, on the other hand, were blown out by the Celtics 124-95 Thursday. They didn’t cover, closing as a 3-point home underdog. The Mavs are 13-24-2 ATS on the season and 0-3 ATS over their last 3. The Mavs strength is defense, ranking 5th in opponents’ points per game (110.6).

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Pelicans at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Mavericks -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +7.5 (-115) | Mavericks -7.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pelicans at Mavericks key injuries

Pelicans

F Brandon Ingram (toe) out
F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (ankle) probable
F Dorian Finney-Smith (adductor) out
F Maxi Kleber (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pelicans at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 115, Pelicans 113

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Pelicans to keep things close, but the amount of the spread is too enticing to play the moneyline odds.

Against the spread

LEAN PELICANS +7.5 (-115).

Dallas is 3-6 ATS over its last 9 games and has failed to cover 2 straight games when closing as a 7-point favorite. The Mavericks are 13-24-2 ATS on the season.

The Pelicans are 7-5 ATS with a rest disadvantage as well. On the other hand, the Mavs are 3-7-1 ATS with a rest advantage and 7-12-2 ATS at home.

Considering the trends, back PELICANS +7.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 225.5 (-105).

The Pelicans are 6-4 O/U in their last 10 and rank 5th in the NBA in offensive rebounding rate while the Mavs sit 14th in defensive rebounding rate which should give the Pels some extra opportunities on the glass.

The Mavs are down a key defensive piece in Finney-Smith as well. Both teams are 22-17 O/U this season, so the Over has consistently been the better play for both sides.

With the Pelicans 13th in pace, the game should play at a higher tempo, and no Finney-Smith could mean more G Tim Hardaway Jr., which provides additional firepower for Dallas.

Overall, back the OVER 225.5 (-105).

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New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (1-9) travel to American Airlines Center Monday to take on the Dallas Mavericks (6-3). Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Pelicans at Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Coming into this game, the New Orleans Pelicans will once again be down their two best players, Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram. Ingram is technically listed as questionable, but it seems more likely he sits.

However, they have shown potential even without them, staying close in the first half with the Warriors and the Kings. The Pels are one of just three one-win teams remaining.

They’ll be taking on a surging Mavericks group that is picking up the pace. Dallas didn’t start off hot but has won its last two and three of its last four. Behind MVP candidate Luka Doncic, the Mavs will be strong favorites in this matchup. Doncic sits 12th in points and 14th in assists per game.

Pelicans at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: Pelicans +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Mavericks -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +9.5 (-115) | Mavericks -9.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Pelicans at Mavericks key injuries

Pelicans

SF Brandon Ingram (ankle) questionable
PF Zion Williamson (foot) out

Mavericks

PF Maxi Kleber (oblique) out

Road at home odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 104, Pelicans 102

Money line

PASS on the money line.

This should get a nice boost if Ingram is ruled active, but regardless, there isn’t much value here on either side of it. At the very least, one can consider the +340, but only if Ingram plays. Otherwise, turn your attention to the points.

Against the spread

BET on the PELICANS +9.5 (-115) as this may not be a great matchup for Doncic.

The Pelicans are laced with quick guards like Devonte’ Graham and Josh Hart, both of which can defend at a high level. Hart is an extremely talented defender.

Having Hart defend Doncic should work wonder. Also, big man Jonas Valančiūnas has looked as good as ever, averaging 19.3 points per game for the Pelicans.

Without a traditional center outside of the massive 7-foot-4 Boban Marjanović, the Mavs may get eaten alive by the Pels big man. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in defensive rating and offensive rating.

Hanging almost 10 points on a team that’s not as dominant as the public thought may be a good idea. The Mavs are just 2-7 ATS while the Pels are 4-6. Hammer this, and you may get even luckier if Ingram plays.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 210.5 (-108) as the better side. With Unders hitting at almost a 60 percent rate, the sportsbooks are having to adjust.

The new rule change is impacting free-throw shooting a bit more than most thought it would. Doncic has been a main culprit of that impact, shooting two fewer free throws a game.

Despite the low number, this game still has slow, methodical style written all over it. Big Val against the half-court wizards, Doncic is the matchup unless Ingram plays.

That said, the Pelicans may rank 14th in pace, but they also are among the five worst teams in turnover rate. On the other hand, the Mavs play a slower game, a bottom 10 in pace.

Overall, combine the two, and I expect the Under to be the better pick in this one. The two teams are 3-14-2 on the total this season.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The New Orleans Pelicans (11-13) tangle with the Dallas Mavericks (12-14) Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center. Below, we analyze the Pelicans-Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

New Orleans had a four-game win streak snapped with a 129-116 beatdown administered by the Chicago Bulls Wednesday. Over the last five games, the Pelicans have the second-highest effective shooting percentage, fifth-highest assist-to-turnover ratio and second-highest rebounding rate.

The Mavericks are starting to turn their season around after a slow start as winners of three straight and four of their last five games. These haven’t been impressive wins per se since Dallas covered the spread in only one of those games, which was its only ATS win in the last 12 games.

Dallas swept the season series last year against New Orleans 4-0 (3-1 against the spread) and PG Luka Doncic had his way in those games. Doncic averaged 28.5 points, 12.8 rebounds and 8.5 assists per game with a 123 offensive rating in their four meetings last season.

Pelicans at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

Money line: Pelicans +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mavericks -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Pelicans +3.5 (-115) | Mavericks -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 232.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Pelicans at Mavericks: Key injuries

None affecting the betting odds.

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Pelicans at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Pelicans 125, Mavericks 121

Money line (ML)

New Orleans’ money line is a little cheaper than I hoped so officially it’s a lean on PELICANS (+125) but the spread is a much better play.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Stylistically, the Pelicans match up very well with the Mavericks. New Orleans attempts the second-highest rate of shots at the rim and Dallas allows the second-highest field-goal percentage on shots at the rim, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Also, the Mavericks excel in the mid-range (fifth-best field goal percentage on mid-range shots), but the Pelicans are sixth in opponent’s shooting percentage on mid-range attempts.

New Orleans is an elite rebounding team which is part of the reason it leads the Association in second-chance points. Dallas is one of the worst rebounding teams and is 20th in opponent’s second-chance points per game. Furthermore, both are top-10 in FTA/FGA rate but Dallas is 26th on opponent’s FTA/FGA rate whereas New Orleans is 11th.

TAKE PELICANS +3.5 (-115) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both defenses are pretty bad and it would take a couple of no shows from these offenses for the Under to cash. Dallas’ offense is starting to come around after a slow start, which explains five consecutive Overs cashing in Mavericks games.

Lastly, the Pelicans have the third-highest Over percentage in the Association and the Mavericks are 6-4 O/U as a home favorite with a plus-8.6-point margin against the projected total.

As square as this sounds, the OVER 232.5 (-115) is the best play in the Pelicans-Mavericks meeting.

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Also see:

Lonzo Ball talks improved free-throw shooting: ‘I know I can make them’ (Lonzo Wire)
Hoops Hype rumors: Pelicans | Mavericks

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