New Orleans Pelicans at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Cleveland Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (26-17) wrap up a 5-game road trip on Monday against the Cleveland Cavaliers (27-16) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Cavaliers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans have split the first 4 games on the road trip, and New Orleans is coming off a 116-110 win in Detroit on Friday. The Under cashed in that outing, snapping a 3-0 run to the Over. The Pelicans are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 games on the road.

The Cavaliers were dumped 110-102 in Minnesota in its final contest in a 5-game road trip, as Cleveland ended up the sojourn at 2-3 SU and ATS. The Cavs are 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 games overall, but an impressive 16-7-1 ATS in the previous 24 outings at home.

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Pelicans at Cavaliers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Cavaliers -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +6.5 (-108) | Cavaliers -6.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Pelicans at Cavaliers key injuries

Pelicans

  • F Herbert Jones (back) questionable
  • F Brandon Ingram (toe) out
  • F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

Cavaliers

  • F Dean Wade (shoulder) out
  • G Dylan Windler (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pelicans at Cavaliers picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 117, Pelicans 108

Moneyline

The Cavaliers (-240) will cost you nearly 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s rather expensive as a standalone wager, even playing against the road-weary Pelicans (+200).

Even in a parlay of 4 or more teams, there isn’t a lot of value tossing the Cavs into a multi-team MLK Day parlay.

PASS.

Against the spread

The CAVALIERS -6.5 (-112) are a solid play when coming off a SU loss, going 6-2-3 ATS in the last 11 outings. In addition, Cleveland will enjoy some home cooking, and it is 16-7-1 ATS in the last 24 games at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse.

On the flip side, the Pelicans +6.5 (-108) are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 games on the road, while going 0-5 ATS in the last 5 tries against winning teams. They’re also 0-4 ATS in the last 4 games following a cover, and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 after a straight-up win.

Over/Under

OVER 222.5 (-112) is the lean, but play it at a half-unit at most.

The Over is 11-5 in the last 16 games overall for the Pellies, while cashing in 4 of the last 5 games on the road. The Over is also 5-1 in the last 6 games at home, while going 9-4 in the last 13 games overall.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Cleveland Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (30-20) host the New Orleans Pelicans (18-31) Monday at the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Pelicans vs. Cavaliers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

NOLA has lost three consecutive games with the latest being a 107-97 home loss as a 7-point underdog to the Boston Celtics Saturday. The Pelicans are 2-4 straight up (SU) and 2-3-1 against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

Cleveland had a three-game winning streak snapped Sunday after losing at the Detroit Pistons 115-105 as a 7.5-point favorite. The Cavs are 4-2 SU and 2-4 ATS in the last 14 days.

The Pelicans (+4.5) rallied back from a 19-point, first-quarter deficit to upset the Cavs 108-104 in their first head-to-head meeting this season Dec. 28 with the Over (210) cashing.

However, Cleveland was without PG Darius Garland and C Jarrett Allen, while NOLA was missing SF Brandon Ingram and SG Josh Hart.

Pelicans at Cavaliers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pelicans +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Cavaliers -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Pelicans +7.5 (-115) | Cavaliers -7.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Pelicans at Cavaliers key injuries

Pelicans

  • SG Josh Hart (knee) questionable
  • SF Brandon Ingram (ankle) questionable
  • Jonas Valanciunas (illness) questionable

Cavaliers

  • PF Lauri Markkanen (ankle) out

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Pelicans at Cavaliers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 105, Pelicans 101

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” toward the Pelicans (+260) since I’m taking NOLA plus the points. Typically, I’ll sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting it to cover the spread.

But until NOLA’s official starting 5 is announced I cannot make an ML wager in this game. However, there has been line movement toward the Pelicans since they opened as +280 underdogs.

I’d assume that line movement is due to anticipation that NOLA will receive good injury luck for this game.

Three Pelicans starters are listed on the injury report as “questionable” and all three have a plus-11.0 points per 100 possessions adjusted on/off net rating or higher, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Against the spread

LEAN to the PELICANS +7.5 (-115) for a half-unit, which would be upgraded to a full-unit wager if Hart, Ingram and Valanciunas are active.

NOLA’s regular starting 5 scores 11.7 more points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time, which grades in the 68th percentile of lineups.

Also, the Pelicans have beaten the Cavs in seven consecutive meetings and has covered in five of those wins.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 210.5 (-112). The Pelicans are 1-5 O/U in their last six games as underdogs, the Cavs are 0-4 O/U in their last four as home favorites and both teams play at a bottom-10 pace.

If Ingram and Valanciunas play, NOLA will play more half-court basketball. If they don’t play, the Pelicans will be missing their top-two scorers.

Both teams have top-10 rebounding rates, are top 10 in second-chance points per game (PPG) allowed and are above-average in paint PPG allowed.

Lastly, there’s been a sharp line move heading south of the total as it opened at 212.5 before being steamed down to the current number.

UNDER 210.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in this game.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Cleveland Cavaliers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The New Orleans Pelicans (23-29) visit the Cleveland Cavaliers (19-33) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Pelicans-Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans picked up a 101-94 victory against the visiting Philadelphia 76ers on Friday as 5.5-point underdogs.

New Orleans is favored for the first time since April 4 in Houston when they covered a 2.5-point number in a 122-115 win.

The Cavaliers had won two road games at Oklahoma City and San Antonio by an average of 25.5 points per game.

Cleveland returned Saturday home and was hammered 135-115 as three-point favorites against the Toronto Raptors. The last time they faced the Pelicans in New Orleans resulted in a 116-82 loss.

Pelicans at Cavaliers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:02 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pelicans -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Cavaliers +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pelicans -7 (-110) | Cavaliers +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 226.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Pelicans at Cavaliers: Key injuries

Pelicans

  • SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ankle) out
  • PG Lonzo Ball (hip) out
  • SG Josh Hart (thumb) out

Cavaliers

  • C Jarrett Allen (concussion) out
  • PF Larry Nance Jr. (illness) out
  • SG Dylan Windler (knee) out

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Pelicans at Cavaliers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Pelicans 121, Cavaliers 109

Money line (ML)

The Pelicans (-300) will cost you nearly three times your potential return against the erratic Cavaliers (+230).

New Orleans drummed Cleveland earlier this season, so they’re likely to beat down the Cavs again. Still, it’s a pretty high number for a mediocre team on the road.

PASS.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The PELICANS -7 (-110) are looking for back-to-back covers for the first time since March 27-29. New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in the past five as a favorite, and they’re also 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings with Cleveland, too.

For the Cavaliers +7 (-110), they have failed to cover in four of their past five at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, and they’re just 11-23 ATS across the past 34 games overall.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 226.5 (-115) is the lean here, as the Pelicans have allowed 115 or more points in five of the past six games.

They allowed just 82 in the first meeting to the Cavs on March 12, but the Pelicans put up 116 points.

New Orleans is averaging 114.6 PPG to rank eighth in the NBA, and they are allowing 115.1 PPG to rank 27th defensively.

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