5 Best NCAA Tournament Predictions Against The Spread, Point Total: Sweet 16

What 5 NCAA Tournament games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into the Sweet 16?

What 5 NCAA Tournament games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into the Sweet 16?


NCAA Tournament Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
Every Game Preview & Prediction
CFN Expert Picks: Sweet 16

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Here are five NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 games that appear to be a wee bit favorable against the spread or with the point total.

Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.

5. (8) Loyola vs (12) Oregon State

POINT TOTAL: 125
PICK: Over
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

This is all on principle.

If someone wants to give you a 125 college basketball point total, go over.

1) It’s just not that hard a number to hit, and 2) you don’t want to be known as that guy who goes under on a total so low.

The worry here, of course, is the Loyola defense with a week to rest up and get ready. How many times have the Ramblers allowed more than 60 points this season?

Five times in 30 games. That’s it. That’s ridiculous.

Not even the high-powered Illinois team with as much talent as anyone in college basketball could hit the 60 mark. Of course, to math this up, both teams have to get to at least 60 or one side has to rock to get past 125.

The Loyola-Illinois game got to 129.

Oregon State has gone dead-cold at times this year, scoring fewer than 60 points in six games, but one of those went over 125 and every other game out of the 31 went over the mark.

There’s also a wee bit of a worry over an Oregon State D that can keep this tight, or if the thees aren’t falling, and …

You’re not going to take the under on 125. That’s not how you roll.

NEXT: Baylor vs Villanova

5 Best NCAA Tournament Predictions Against The Spread: First Round Saturday

What 5 NCAA Tournament games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into first round on Saturday?

What 5 NCAA Tournament games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into first round on Saturday?


NCAA Tournament Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
Every Game Preview & Prediction
CFN Expert Picks: Every First Round Game

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Here are five NCAA Tournament first round Saturday games that appear to be a wee bit favorable against the spread.

Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.

5. (1) Michigan vs (16) Texas Southern

LINE: Michigan -26
ATS PICK: Texas Southern
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

The NCAA Tournament is obviously a whole separate thing from anything that happens during the regular season, but it’s still asking the world for something different and new to occur.

It’s not like Texas Southern didn’t play anyone. Yes, anything that happened in November shouldn’t really matter, but the Tigers lost to Washington State by four and wasn’t totally embarrassing in an 85-65 loss to Oklahoma State.

The key comp is Wyoming, an up-and-down, high-powered team that likes to  get moving, and Texas Southern shocked the Cowboys 76-74 in Laramie.

I’m stalling here … it’s Michigan, it’s a 1 seed vs a 16, and it’s going to win by whatever point total it wants to. However …

The Wolverines didn’t beat anyone this year by more than 26, and Texas Southern didn’t lose to anyone this year by more than 26.

The Tigers’ worst loss was that 85-65 thing against Oklahoma State, and Michigan’s biggest win was by 25 over Minnesota.

Oh, you’ll have to sweat it out – Michigan will be up 30-10 in a hiccup – but if the anomaly happens, so be it.

NEXT: Iowa vs Grand Canyon

5 Best Point Total NCAA Tournament Predictions: First Round Friday

What 5 NCAA Tournament games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into first round on Friday?

What 5 NCAA Tournament games appear to be the best bets and the best picks for the over/under point totals going into first round on Friday?


NCAA Tournament Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
Every Game Preview & Prediction
CFN Expert Picks: Every First Round Game

[jwplayer 7LCg2xra]

The unpredictability and irrationality of the games themselves are what define the NCAA Tournament. As you’re reading this, your bracket is already busted – really, it is, you just don’t know it yet.

Point totals are different.

Point totals don’t care if that 14 beats the 3 or if the 2 beat the 15 by 54. Here, you should be a wee bit more in control of your investment.

Here are five NCAA Tournament first round Friday games that appear to be a wee bit favorable when it comes to the over/under and point total.

Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.

5. (3) Arkansas vs (14) Colgate

Point Total: 161.5
Pick: Under
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Even for two high-powered college offenses, 161.5 is a massive number.

Easy math, that means at least one team has to be in the 80s to get there, and that shouldn’t be a problem. The concern is likely going to be Arkansas and how much it wins by.

Colgate averages 86 points per game, but as I pointed out in the 5 Best Picks Against The Spread piece, you and four friends could’ve hung at least 70 on the board against the teams on the Raider schedule.

Arkansas averages over 82 a game, and it’s probably going to get there and then some. How much does the Hog D want to slow down a Colgate offense that scores in bunches, but again, is taking a massive step up in competition?

The best comp to use is the Arkansas 87-76 win over Oral Roberts back in late December. The Golden Eagles bomb away as well as any team in the country – they’re playing Ohio State in the first round – and that game barely got past the 161.5 mark.

Forget the seed, Oral Roberts is a more dangerous team than Colgate – again, forget the stats and look at the competition.

Arkansas-Colgate is more likely an 85-68 type of game than any sort of an even shootout, and even then, there’s a chance the Hogs put this away and sort of coast.

Only nine of the 28 games Arkansas played got to over 161.5 and one of them was in overtime.

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NEXT: Houston vs Cleveland State

NCAA Tournament 5 Best Predictions Against The Spread: First Round Friday

What 5 NCAA Tournament games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into first round on Friday?

What 5 NCAA Tournament games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into first round on Friday?


NCAA Tournament Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
Every Game Preview & Prediction
CFN Expert Picks: Every First Round Game

[jwplayer 7LCg2xra]

Brackets schmackets. Anyone and everyone can fill one out. I did, and it’s already busted – I’m SO reading that Loyola – Georgia Tech matchup wrong – but the money you invest on these games is forever.

Or for five minutes until you reinvest, but that’s more fun than getting some 12-seed you never heard of right over that 5, right?

Here are five NCAA Tournament first round Friday games that appear to be a wee bit favorable against the spread.

Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.

5. (5) Tennessee vs (12) Oregon State

LINE: Tennessee -8
ATS PICK: Tennessee
Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Never be one of those people who gets weird over a half a point. It all evens out over a lifetime, so if you like a pick, make it, and don’t get into a twist over the line changing …

OH (bleep)ing (bleep) … Tennessee went from 7.5 to 8?

A half a point means a whole lot in basketball – not as much as people like to believe in football – but this whole tournament is just getting started, so I’m not bailing on my core beliefs quite yet.

Speaking of abandoning belief systems, I came into the bracket season determined to pick against the Pac-12 whenever possible, and I think I ended up picking Pac-12 teams whenever possible – except for the conference tournament champion.

Falling for the conference tournament champion that rises up out of the blue is always dicey. The gimmicky tournaments are the last things anyone sees, so the lines are always a wee bit skewed. This one is about right – even with the extra half a point, and it doesn’t matter.

Tennessee might be flaky, but the defense was the best in the SEC in field goal percentage, and Oregon State isn’t exactly automatic from the field. I’m not buying that the Beaver threes that were dropping like the beat around the 23 minute mark of any Carl Cox mix are going to keep going.

Tennessee is too good at slowing teams down on the inside, and it’ll hold up on the outside shooters. Oregon State won’t get the Vol turnovers.

NEXT: Arkansas vs Colgate