NC State at Virginia college basketball odds, picks and best bets

Analyzing Monday’s NC State Wolfpack at Virginia Cavaliers sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks and tips.

The NC State Wolfpack (13-5) visit John Paul Jones Arena to play the ACC-rival Virginia Cavaliers (12-5) at 7 p.m. ET Monday. We analyze the NC State-Virginia odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.

NC State at Virginia: Three things you need to know

  1. Virginia has reinforced its reputation as a defensive team this season; the Cavaliers rank first in the nation in opponent points per game and second in opponent field-goal percentage.
  2. The Cavaliers have won eight straight games, including six by double digits. They’ve also won nine of the last 10 meetings against the Wolfpack.
  3. Since 2014, Virginia has an ACC-best 85-25 record, with an 8.9 margin of victory, against conference opponents. NC State sits at just 46-60 overall against ACC foes.

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NC State at Virginia: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Virginia 58, NC State 56

Moneyline (ML)

Virginia has been struggling recently but did snap a three-game losing skid by defeating Georgia Tech 63-58 in its last game. NC State has won its last two games, against Clemson and Miami, and has the same ACC record as Virginia at 4-3.

The defending National Champion Cavaliers are just missing too much production from last year’s squad to feel confident enough in a Virginia (-209) moneyline wager. They rank 351st in points per game, 348th in 3-point percentage and 316th in field-goal percentage. Given their recent history against the Wolfpack and in the ACC, I cannot justify an NC State (+170) bet, either.

PASS on the NC State-Virginia MONEYLINE.

Against the Spread (ATS)

The home team generally has the edge in these games—home teams are 5-1 against the spread in the last six NC State-Virginia meetings—but that was with a title-contending Cavaliers team. The 2019-20 Virginia Cavaliers aren’t that good. You’ve read their offensive plummet above and the following Virginia ATS trends are also alarming: Virginia is just 6-11 ATS on the season, including 3-7 ATS at home and 3-5 ATS at home against teams above .500.

Also, this game should remain close because the NC State senior backcourt of Markell Johnson and C.J. Bryce are itching to get their first win against Virginia before graduating.

HAMMER NC STATE (+4, +100) at even-money.

New to sports betting? Bet $100 on NC State to lose by no more than three points to earn a $100 profit.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total of 116.5 in NC State-Virginia is shockingly low but the UNDER -116.5 (+105) is the play. Their combined Over/Under record on the season is 14-21 and nine of the last 10 head-to-head meetings have gone Under. Over the past five seasons, Virginia has the best Under record (75-106-2) in the ACC.

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Notre Dame Basketball: Irish Can’t Hold On vs. Wolfpack

If Notre Dame wants to get to the Big Dance, games like Wednesday’s only will hurt its resume. The Irish led by as much as 12 in the second half before slipping up and ultimately collapsing in a 73-68 loss, sending them tied for last in the ACC. The …

If Notre Dame wants to get to the Big Dance, games like Wednesday’s only will hurt its resume. The Irish led by as much as 12 in the second half before slipping up and ultimately collapsing in a 73-68 loss, sending them tied for last in the ACC.

The Irish (10-5, 1-3) found themselves on the short end of an 11-2 run by the Wolfpack (11-4, 2-2) to tie the game at 60. From there, Notre Dame took the lead a few more times before falling behind and ultimately faltering. The dagger came when Markell Johnson, who led all scorers with 27 points and had a game-high six assists, split the Irish defense and drove to the hoop for an underhanded layup with 53 seconds left, giving the Wolfpack a four-point lead.

Prentiss Hubb led the Irish, who played only six players, with 24 points. John Mooney kept the double-double streak going with 14 points and 14 rebounds. T.J. Gibbs had 14 points and six assists.

 

Notre Dame Basketball: Pack and the Irish

With reigning ACC Men’s Basketball Player of the Week John Mooney in tow, Notre Dame (10-4, 1-2) will play the back end of two consecutive road games Wednesday at NC State (10-4, 1-2). The Irish have had to get familiar with not playing conference …

With reigning ACC Men’s Basketball Player of the Week John Mooney in tow, Notre Dame (10-4, 1-2) will play the back end of two consecutive road games Wednesday at NC State (10-4, 1-2). The Irish have had to get familiar with not playing conference games at Purcell Pavilion as four of their first six ACC games are being played away from home.

The Irish have held up their reputation as being one of the smartest teams in the nation as they have fewer fouls (11.6) and turnovers (9.6) a game than anyone else. They also have the fewest total turnovers (134) and the top assist-to-turnover ratio (1.96). That makes them the only team to lead the country in four major statistical categories.

Lost in the Mooney love is a quieter productive player in Prentiss Hubb. In Saturday’s win over Syracuse, Hubb became the fifth-fast player in Notre Dame history to reach 200 assists for his career by dishing out a career-high 11. He also made a key 3-pointer and two clutch free throws as the Irish tried to come back and then hold on against the Orange.

Former NC State commit chooses, signs with Georgia

Georgia football picked up a commitment from a former NC State commitment on Early Signing Day.

Georgia offered 4-star offensive tackle Austin Blaske on Monday night.

On Tuesday night, he decommitted from NC State, saying that “if a certain opportunity presented itself, I would consider it.”

One day later, Blaske committed and signed with Georgia, adding to an already loaded offensive line class.

Blaske, out of Guyton, Georgia, is a 6’5″, 278 pound beast that ranks as the nation’s No. 42 offensive tackle.

Until last night, he had been committed to NC State since May.

Georgia now has six offensive linemen either signed or committed to the program.