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The NC State Wolfpack (4-2. 1-1 ACC) face the No. 18 Duke Blue Devils (4-1, 1-0) on Saturday at Wallace Wade Stadium in Week 7 of the college football season. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the NC State vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
NC State defeated Marshall 48-41 in Week 6 to cover as 6.5-point home favorites and hit the Over of 44 with ease. The Wolfpack has won 3 of its last 4 games this season and they benched transfer QB Brennan Armstrong in the win over Marshall last week and turned to sophomore MJ Morris.
Duke is coming off a bye week in Week 6 following a 21-14 loss to No. 21 Notre Dame in Week 5, in which they failed to cover as 4.5-point home underdogs. The Under of 53 also hit in the lone loss of the season for the Blue Devils. Duke enters Saturday’s ACC showdown as the No. 18 ranked team in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports
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NC State at Duke odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:58 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): NC State +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Duke -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): NC State +3 (-105) | Duke -3 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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NC State at Duke picks and predictions
Prediction
Duke 24, NC State 17
Moneyline
Even though I believe the Blue Devils will secure the win on Saturday, I’ll PASS on their moneyline at -160 odds, down from an opening -175. If you can get Duke at -150 odds or better anywhere, I would be more comfortable wagering on it straight up.
Against the spread
DUKE -3 (-115) is a fantastic bet in this ACC matchup as the Blue Devils have their sights on a solid bowl game this season. The Blue Devils want to pound the rock with ailing QB Riley Leonard under center and play stifling defense. If Leonard (ankle) can’t play Saturday, that would likely mean the 1st career start for redshirt freshman Henry Belin IV.
NC State is 1-4-1 ATS compared to Duke’s 3-2 ATS record.
Over/Under
UNDER 43.5 (-105) is the lean in this contest with Duke’s style of play. The Blue Devils are holding teams to 11.2 points per game (4th-fewest in the nation) and are balanced offensively (206 passing yards per game, 199.4 rushing yards per game).
These teams are a combined 4-6-1 to the Over this season. Also, NC State and Duke are a combined 0-4 to the Over in conference games so far.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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