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Clark’s ‘Caps: Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns Game 5 player prop predictions

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Saturday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns NBA Finals Game 5 showdown.

The Milwaukee Bucks (2-2) visit the Phoenix Suns (2-2) Saturday for Game 5 of the NBA Finals at Footprint Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:05 p.m. ET. Below, we’ll highlight the top NBA player prop bet predictions for Bucks-Suns Game 5.

Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton shredded Phoenix with their two-man game Wednesday as they combined for 66 points on 50% field goal shooting with 20 rebounds and 12 assists.

On the other hand, aside from Devin Booker almost all of the Suns struggled offensively in Game 4. Booker put up 42 points on 17-of-28 shooting, but Chris Paul added just 10 points and SF Mikal Bridges scored only 7 points.

Also see: Bucks at Suns Game 5 odds, picks and prediction

Bucks at Suns Game 5 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:14 p.m. ET.

Phoenix Suns SF Mikal Bridges OVER 15.5 points, assists & rebounds “PRA” (-130)

Bridges struggled over the past two Finals games in Milwaukee but typically role players are more reliable at home in the playoffs and four of Bridges’ five highest game scores during the postseason have been in Phoenix.

Also, Bridges has gone Over 13.5 “PRA” in four of the six Bucks-Suns games this year (including the regular season) and averaged 19.9 “PRA” during the regular season and is averaging 17.1 “PRA” in the playoffs.

Furthermore, Bridges is more of a 3-and-D guy. He has 10 multi-assist games in these playoffs, five or more rebounds in nine playoff games and Phoenix’s fourth-highest usage rate in the Finals (minimum of five minutes played).

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Milwaukee Bucks SG Pat Connaughton OVER 1.5 made 3-pointers (-135)

First of all, I hate that I’m betting two Overs for player props in Game 5 of the NBA Finals. Typically as postseason series wind down, games get played at a slower pace and fewer points are scored.

However, Connaughton’s 3-point player prop has been easy money so far in the Finals. He’s made at least two 3-pointers in every Finals game (and five straight playoff games) with the second-most 3-point attempts for the Bucks in this series while shooting 45.8% from three.

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Moreover, Connaughton is averaging 31.0 minutes per game in the Finals not only because he’s a knockdown 3-point shooter but because he can also defend guards, wings and stretch-4s.

In fact, Connaughton has a plus-16 net rating this series and has been tasked with chasing Phoenix’s 3-and-D guys off the 3-point line. which has been a key wrinkle in Milwaukee’s defensive scheme in the Finals.

What I’m getting at is Connaughton should get the necessary 3-point volume and brings other things to the table, which ensures he gets enough playing time to go Over his 3-pointers made prop.

Want some action on these props? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Clark’s ‘Caps: Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks Game 3 player prop predictions

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Sunday’s Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks NBA Finals Game 3 showdown.

Game 3 of the NBA Finals tips off Sunday at Fiserv Forum at 8:05 p.m. ET with the Milwaukee Bucks (0-2) hosting the Phoenix Suns (2-0). Below, we’ll highlight the top NBA player prop bet predictions for Bucks-Suns Game 3.

All the superstars came to play in Game 2: Giannis Antetokounmpo put up 42 points with 12 rebounds, Chris Paul scored 23 points and notched 8 assists and Devin Booker added 31 points with 6 assists.

Phoenix also got a career outing from Mikal Bridges who scored 27 points on 53.3% shooting, but Game 2 was swung because of lackluster performances from the Bucks backcourt as Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton who only scored a combined 28 points on 12-for-37 shooting.

Also see: Suns at Bucks Game 3 odds, picks and prediction

Bucks at Suns Game 3 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:17 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Bucks SF Khris Middleton OVER 2.5 made 3-pointers (-120)

After having an awesome first game, Middleton put up a stinker in Game 2 but should have a bounce-back effort now that the series is in Milwaukee.

Offensively, Middleton has been a lot comfier at home, shooting 46.8% from three in Milwaukee (36.6% from three on the road) with a 121 offensive rating at home (111 offensive rating on the road).

Furthermore, Middleton has sunk at least three 3-pointers in five of his eight playoff home games this year.

Also, Middleton has hit at least three 3-pointers in four of his last six games against Suns SG Devin Booker.

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Phoenix Suns SG Devin Booker OVER 28.5 points (-120)

Speaking of Devin Booker, his preference to operate in the mid-range and his 3-point volume are why Booker’s points prop is priced this high.

This is obviously a sharp number as he averaged 27.0 points per game vs. the Bucks in two regular-season meetings and is averaging 29.0 PPG through the first two games of the NBA Finals.

However, the Over is the play because Milwaukee’s defense ranks 20th in defensive field goal percentage on mid-range attempts, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, and that’s where a bulk of Booker’s production comes from.

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For instance, 50% of Booker’s field goal attempts during the regular season came in the mid-range which was in the 100th percentile of all guards and his mid-range field goal volume has increased to 57% during the postseason.

The same case could be made for CP3’s point prop but I prefer Booker’s more so since Holiday – who’s NBA All-Defensive First Team – is defending Paul and because of CP3’s interesting history with Game 3 official Scott Foster.

Lastly, Booker has increased 3-point attempt volume thus far in the Finals because of Milwaukee’s defensive strategy to play drop coverage on pick-and-rolls and allow their opponents to hoist threes.

He’s averaging 10.0 3-point attempts per game in the Finals and if Booker continues to chuck threes at that rate, he should be flirting with a 30-piece in every game this series.

Want some action on these props? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Clark’s ‘Caps: Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns Game 2 player prop predictions

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Thursday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns NBA Finals Game 2 showdown.

The Phoenix Suns (1-0) look to take a two-game lead in their NBA Finals series against the Milwaukee Bucks (0-1) Thursday at their self-titled arena. Tip-off is set for 9:05 p.m. ET. Below, we’ll highlight the top NBA player prop bet predictions for Bucks-Suns Game 2.

Bucks two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo surprised everyone by returning from a knee injury that kept him out of the last two games of the Eastern Conference Finals by suiting up for Game 1 of the NBA Finals.

There was certainly a little rust for Giannis to knock off but he still had a solid outing scoring 20 points on 54.5% shooting with 17 rebounds and 4 assists.

On the other side, Chris Paul was fantastic, putting up a game-high 32 points on 63.2% shooting with 9 assists while Suns big Deandre Ayton added 22 points with 19 rebounds and Devin Booker had 27 points.

Bucks at Suns Game 2 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 7:23 a.m. ET.

Milwaukee Bucks C Brook Lopez OVER 12.5 points (-130)

Lopez cleared this points prop in Game 1 easily by scoring 17 points on 50% shooting (3-for-5 from 3-point land) and did so on just 22:50 minutes of game time.

I could see Lopez getting more run in Game 2 since Ayton played 38:44 minutes in Game 1. Ayton is a legit seven-footer, as is Lopez, and if the Bucks don’t put Lopez out there then Ayton could dominate the paint.

Furthermore, Ayton spent more time defending Giannis than any other Suns player, which left Phoenix stretch-4 Jae Crowder to guard the much larger Lopez.

This was a big reason why Lopez had a game-high five offensive rebounds Tuesday and, if he gets matched up with Crowder again, Lopez will have an easier time getting putbacks. Any deep post touches for Lopez vs. Crowder should be easy points.

BET B. Lopez OVER 12.5 points (-130) for 1 unit.

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Suns PF Cameron Johnson OVER 1.5 made 3-pointers (+110)

Even though I whiffed with this angle in my Game 1 player props piece, I’m going back to the well with Johnson’s 3-point prop under the thinking that he’ll get quality looks because Milwaukee’s defense will be more fixated on defending CP3 and Booker.

Again, this has been Milwaukee’s defensive strategy all year long as the Bucks have the worst defensive 3-point percentage vs. opposing power forwards on the most 3-point attempts allowed to the position during the regular season.

This strategy could burn them if employed against Johnson because he’s been on fire during these playoffs.

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Johnson is shooting 45.5% from behind the arc in the postseason and has made at least two 3-pointers in nine of his 16 playoff games.

Also, Johnson shot 46.2% from three (6-for-13 from behind the arc) against Milwaukee in the regular season.

Lastly, any adjustments the Bucks defense makes to prevent CP3 from lighting them up again or keeping Booker off the foul line is going to create wide-open looks for Phoenix role players.

BET C. Johnson OVER 1.5 made 3-pointers (+110) for 1 unit.

Want some action on these props? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz Game 2 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz Game 2 odds and lines, with NBA picks, tips and predictions.

The 4-seed Los Angeles Clippers trail the 1-seed Utah Jazz 0-1 in the Western Conference Seminfinals and try to even the series Thursday night. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET at Vivint Arena. Below, we analyze the Clippers-Jazz odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Clippers got off to a good start and led by as many as 14 points in Game 1, but the Jazz rallied back. L.A. had a chance to tie at the end but F Marcus Morris had his 3-point attempt blocked by Jazz C Rudy Gobert. SF Kawhi Leonard led the Clippers with 23 points in a losing effort.

The Jazz got 45 points from SG Donovan Mitchell and 18 each from F Bojan Bogdanovic and G Jordan Clarkson. The Jazz have won five games in a row in the playoffs after losing Game 1 in the first round. They did not have PG Mike Conley Tuesday, as he missed the game due to a hamstring injury.

Clippers at Jazz: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

Money line: Clippers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Jazz -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Clippers +3 (-105) | Jazz -3 (-115)
Over/Under: 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Clippers at Jazz: Key injuries

Clippers

PF Serge Ibaka (back) out

Jazz

PG Mike Conley (hamstring) questionable

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Clippers at Jazz: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Clippers 109, Jazz 106

Money line (ML)

The Clippers faced a 2-0 deficit in the first round of the playoffs against the Dallas Mavericks and will not want to do that again, as Utah was the league’s best team in the regular season. L.A. is 19-9 after a loss this year.

The Jazz have won five in a row in the playoffs and have the league’s best record after a win at 40-16. They had only five losses at home in the regular season.

Game 1 went down to the wire. Game 2 should as well, only I expect the team with a two-time champion leading the way to bounce back.

Take the CLIPPERS (+125) for the upset.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Game 1 was a push with the three-point spread. The Clippers are 4-3-1 ATS this postseason, while the Jazz are 4-1-1 ATS. With the exception of Game 1, both teams covered the spread in each of their playoff wins.

Expecting L.A. to bounce back and even the series, take the CLIPPERS +3 (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

Every one of the Jazz’s games in the postseason has gone Over the projected total so far. L.A. is 4-4 O/U in the postseason.

On the season, both teams went Under more often than they went Over.

That said, if the pace keeps up like it has for the Jazz, that will make it hard for the Clippers. They will tighten up defensively and slow down the pace.

Take UNDER 221.5 (-110).

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Clark’s ‘Caps: NBA playoffs player prop predictions – Round 1, 5/31

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Monday’s first-round NBA playoffs card.

The NBA’s Memorial Day playoff card is a doubleheader of the 1-vs.-8 matchups from both conferences. Below, we’ll highlight Monday’s top NBA player prop predictions.

Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers try to bring out the brooms in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference First Round playoff series with the Washington Wizards.

Philly has looked every bit the 1-seed of the East as the Sixers are playing great on both sides of the floor. The 76ers have the highest effective field-goal percentage (eFG%) this postseason and the second-best defensive rating.

The West Coast primetime game features the Memphis Grizzlies hoping to even their series with the Utah Jazz in their home building of FedExForum. It has been a team effort for Utah thus far as the Jazz have five players averaging at least 15.0 points per game and the second-highest offensive rating in the playoffs.

Monday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia 76ers SF Tobias Harris OVER 30.5 points, assists & rebounds (-115)

Embiid deserves all the praise being heaped on him but it’s somewhat expected since he’s an MVP finalist. A pleasant surprise for Philly has been the fantastic play of SF Tobias Harris this series.

Harris is averaging 25.3 points per game on 64.3% true shooting (.571/.455/1.000) with 9.3 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game in the series. He went Over 30.5 “PRA” in two of the three games and the one contest he didn’t go Over is because he played only 23:17.

I like Washington to keep Game 4 close enough so Philly isn’t sitting starters in the fourth quarter. This being the fastest-paced first-round playoff series means Harris should have plenty of possessions to collect stats.

BET T. Harris OVER 30.5 points, assists & rebounds (-115) for 1 unit.

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Utah Jazz SF Royce O’Neale OVER 1.5 made 3-pointers (+125)

Utah’s offense is scorching Memphis’ defense and any adjustment the Grizzlies make will probably include O’Neale’s man helping off of him since he’s the least scary offensive player in the Jazz’s starting five.

Conley or Mitchell off of the pick and roll is deadly because of their ability to hit the open man in the corner or knock down an outside shot if their defender goes under the screen. They can also lob it to a rolling C Rudy Gobert.

The Jazz player most likely to be forgotten with the Grizzlies playing help defense is O’Neale, who has a 69.0% eFG% this series. Also, Memphis is 21st in opposing power forward’s 3-point shooting percentage.

Furthermore, O’Neale is averaging the second-most minutes per game for Utah in this series because of his defensive versatility. He had a career-high 58.0 eFG% during the regular season.

BET R. O’Neale OVER 1.5 made 3-pointers (+125) for a half unit.

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Want some action on these props? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Clark’s ‘Caps: NBA playoffs player prop predictions – Round 1, 5/30

Geoff Clark breaks down three NBA player prop bet predictions for Sunday’s first-round NBA playoffs card.

Four pivotal Game 4s are on the NBA’s Sunday docket as each series is currently 2-1 with the higher-seeded teams returning home for Game 5. Below, we’ll highlight the top NBA player prop predictions.

Julius Randle tries to end his playoff slump when his New York Knicks (1-2) visit the red-hot Trae Young and Atlanta Hawks (2-1) in State Farm Arena at 1 p.m. ET.

Next, LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers (2-1) hope to put Phoenix Suns (1-2) on the ropes before heading back to Arizona for Game 5. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET.

Then the Boston Celtics (1-2) surprisingly have a chance to even their series with the Brooklyn Nets (2-1) after Jayson Tatum dropped a 50-burger in Game 3 to key Boston’s victory. The action is set to get underway in TD Garden at 7:00 p.m. ET.

Finally, at 9:30 p.m. ET, the Dallas Mavericks (2-1) look to Luka Doncic to keep up his dazzling postseason performance at American Airlines Center when they host the Los Angeles Clippers (1-2).

Sunday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:01 a.m. ET.

Los Angeles Lakers PG Dennis Schröder OVER 14.5 points (-135)

While LeBron and Anthony Davis getting a majority of the attention makes sense it that also hides the fact that first-year Laker Dennis Schröder is playing very well in this series.

Schröder has posted an efficient 19.3 points per game on 67.8% true shooting (.559/.400/.800) and has scored more than 14.5 points in the past two games while scoring 14 points in Game 1 on 5-of-7 shooting.

During the regular season, Schröder put up 19.5 points per game on 55.8% true shooting (.452/.444/.778) in two games against the Suns.

Furthermore, Schröder could be the benefactor of each team’s injury situations because AD is dealing with knee soreness, which might mean more plays being run for Schröder, while the injury to Chris Paul‘s shoulder makes Phoenix’s backcourt defense a little softer.

BET D. Schröder OVER 14.5 points (-135) for 1 unit.

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Boston Celtics G Marcus Smart OVER 2.5 made 3-pointers (+110)

Marcus Smart has been chucking and sinking threes in Boston’s first-round series with Brooklyn, attempting a team-high eight 3-pointers per game, while his 54.2% 3-point percentage is good for second on the team.

Brooklyn’s defense has been known to take naps since the offense is one of the deadliest in NBA history. The Nets were ranked 23rd in defensive rating during the regular season and 3-point attempts allowed per game.

Also, during the regular season, Smart shot an above-average 36.4% from behind the arc in his three games against the Nets, making three 3-pointers in two of those games. In the one game he didn’t reach that mark he attempted 10 threes.

Finally, with Tatum going off for 50 points in Game 3 we could see Brooklyn expend more of its defensive bandwidth on him, which should help Smart get more open looks.

BET M. Smart OVER 2.5 made 3-pointers (+110) for a half unit.

Dallas Mavericks big Kristaps Porziņģis UNDER 7.5 rebounds (-135)

Kristaps Porziņģis is listed as Dallas’s starting center but plays more like a stretch-4 and spends a lot more time outside the paint than in it.

For instance, Porziņģis has the eighth-highest rebounding rate on Dallas out of the 10 Mavs that have played during this series and is averaging just 3.7 boards on 33.9 minutes per game.

Moreover, KP has grabbed more than eight boards in just one of his past nine games, a stretch that includes this playoff series and dates back to April 21 of the regular season.

Whether Porziņģis plays power forward or center, the Clippers have done a good job keeping opponents at both positions off of the glass. They’ve held opposing power forwards to the fewest rebounds per game and opposing centers to the 10th-fewest rebounds per game.

BET K. Porziņģis UNDER 7.5 rebounds (-135) for 1 unit.

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Want some action on these props? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Clark’s ‘Caps: NBA playoffs player prop predictions – Round 1, 5/29

Geoff Clark breaks down three NBA player prop bet predictions for Saturday’s first-round NBA playoffs slate.

Saturday’s NBA playoff bonanza features a four-game card with two games from each conference. Below, we’ll highlight the top NBA player prop predictions.

Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks look to complete the sweep of the Miami Heat as the Bucks try to get revenge for last year’s Eastern Conference Semifinals playoff exit at the hands of the Heat.

Probable MVP Nikola Jokic and his Denver Nuggets try to take a commanding 3-1 lead on the Portland Trail Blazers before heading back to Denver for Game 5.

The Washington Wizards hope to get back into their first-round series with the Philadelphia 76ers as they are down 0-2 heading to the nation’s capital for the next two games.

Finally, the Utah Jazz visit FedExForum to play the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 3 with the series tied 1-1.

Saturday’s NBA player prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

Denver Nuggets PG Facundo Campazzo OVER 1.5 made 3-pointers (-110)

The 30-year-old rookie is playing the third-most minutes per game for Denver in this series and is shooting an impressive 46.2% from behind the 3-point arc.

Also, Jokic’s domination of the Blazers thus far—he’s averaging 36.0 points per game on 68.4% true shooting—will only ensure Denver’s role players continue to get quality looks.

Portland’s 3-point defense cannot stop a nose bleed. The Blazers have the fifth-worst defensive 3-point percentage against opposing point guards, were 20th in 3-point defense during the regular season and have the second-worst 3-point defense in the playoffs.

BET F. Campazzo OVER 1.5 made 3-pointers (-110) for 1 unit.

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Philadelphia 76ers C Joel Embiid OVER 30.5 points (-115)

Philly will go for the jugular on Washington in Game 3 and specifically, Embiid should have a monster game and put the Wizards’ season on the brink.

Washington’s role players should shoot the ball better in their home gym and a more competitive game only helps Embiid’s chances of cashing his points prop.

Embiid is playing three fewer minutes per game in the playoffs than in the regular season but when on the floor, he’s dominating the Wizards.

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“JoJo” is scoring 26.0 points per game on 74.2% true shooting (.607/.429/.938) so all we really need is an increase in shooting volume.

Lastly, given Wizards SG Bradley Beal‘s trolling in Game 1 and Embiid’s willingness to mix it up, I think Embiid is motivated to essentially put this series to bed.

BET J. Embiid OVER 30.5 points (-115) for 1 unit.

Memphis Grizzlies SG Dillon Brooks OVER 19.5 points (-110)

Brooks has played his way into perhaps being one of Memphis’ building blocks of the future and is an integral piece of the Grizzlies’ short-term future.

He averaged a career-best in both points per game and usage rate during the regular season and his true shooting percentage increased from 51.5% to 54.4% when playing the Jazz this season.

In this series, Brooks is averaging 27.0 points per game on 57.5% field-goal shooting (57.1% from behind the arc) with the team’s second-highest usage rate and has played well against Jazz SG Donovan Mitchell in recent meetings.

Brooks has scored 22 or more points in three of his last four head-to-head meetings with Mitchell, which includes 23 points on 10-for-14 shooting in Game 2.

BET D. Brooks OVER 19.5 points (-110) for a half unit

Want some action on these props? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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