Tag: Nationals Giants odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (15-21) close out a 6-game road with the finale of a 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants (16-19) Wednesday. First pitch from Oracle Park is at 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Nationals had a 2-game win streak snapped with a 4-1 loss Tuesday. Washington had won Monday’s series opener 5-2. The Nats are just 2-3 on their road trip but 5-3 in their last 8 contests.

The Giants got 7 innings of 1-run ball from RHP Alex Cobb Tuesday as they snapped a 2-game skid. San Francisco is 5-2 in its last 7 games.

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Nationals at Giants projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Gray (2-5, 3.03 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 38 2/3 IP.

  • Had 5 consecutive starts allowing 2 or fewer ER before giving up 3 ER at the Arizona Diamondbacks last time out on Friday
  • 1-0 with 3.60 ERA in 1 start and 1 relief appearance in his career vs. Giants

Manaea (1-1, 7.33 ERA) makes his 6th start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 23 1/3 IP.

  • 8.80 ERA over 15 1/3 IP in his last 5 appearances
  • 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA over 7 IP in 1 career start vs. Nationals

Nationals at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Giants -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-155) | Giants -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 6, Giants 4

Moneyline

The Nationals have a better record on the road (9-9) than at home (6-12).

The Giants are 10-9 at home this season.

Before Gray allowed 3 earned runs over 5 innings in his last outing, he had a 1.61 ERA in his previous 5 starts. Five of his 13 earned runs allowed this season came in his first start.

Manaea has an 8.80 ERA in his last 5 appearances.

BET NATIONALS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

The plus-money moneyline is the bet to make considering a predicted Nationals outright win.

Fourteen of the Nationals’ 21 losses have been by at least 2 runs, so they will generally either win outright or lose to the spread.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Seven of the Nationals’ last 9 games have had 7 or fewer total runs.

Five of the last 7 for the Giants have had 8 or fewer runs.

Only 1 of Gray’s starts has had more than 8 total runs this season

However, all 7 of Manaea’s games have had 9 or more runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (14-20) will begin a 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants (15-18) on Monday at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Giants went 4-2 vs. Nationals in 2022

On Sunday, the Nationals secured a 9-8 victory against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Washington is 5-5 in its last 10 contests.

The Giants lost 7-3 to the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday to snap a 4-game winning streak.

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Nationals at Giants projected starters

RHP Jake Irvin vs. RHP Anthony DeSclafani

Irvin (0-0, 2.08 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 8.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 4 1/3 IP.

  • Made his MLB debut on May 3 against the Chicago Cubs
  • In his debut, he allowed 1 ER, 2 H , 4 BB, 3 K in 4 1/3 IP

DeSclafani (3-1, 2.13 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.82 WHIP, 0.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 38 IP.

  • Has recorded a quality start (6 IP with 3 ER or fewer) in 5 of his 6 starts
  • Is currently posting the 3rd best WHIP (0.82) and the best BB/9 (0.7) among qualified pitchers thus far

Nationals at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:59 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-110) | Giants -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nationals at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

AVOID.

Even though I believe the Giants will win on Monday night, taking them straight up at over -200 odds isn’t worth the risk.

Run line/Against the spread

BET GIANTS -1.5 (-110).

Instead of taking the moneyline, you can get solid value on the Giants winning by multiple runs in this matchup. DeSclafani has been fantastic for San Francisco and I’ll trust him over Irvin, who is making just his 2nd career start in the majors.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) is how I’d bet on the run total with how DeSclafani is pitching and Oracle Park is a pitcher-friendly venue. The Nationals are 4-0 to the Under in their last 4 games following a win and the Under is 33-16-2 in the last 51 meetings.

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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-46) visit the San Francisco Giants (56-32) Sunday at Oracle Park to finish their three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco is going for the sweep after raking Washington 10-4 Saturday and chasing Nationals starting LHP Jon Lester in the 3rd inning by scoring 8 runs (3 earned) on 9 hits and 2 walks.

Season series: Giants lead 4-2.

RHP Erick Fedde is Washington’s projected starter. Fedde is 4-5 with a 4.53 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 over 12 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 7-4, with 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K Tuesday at the San Diego Padres.
  • Fedde earned a win June 12 against San Francisco with a stat line of 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 7 K in Washington’s 2-0 victory.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 34 at-bats with a .206/.206/.294 slash line, 9/0 K/BB, 1 HR and 2 RBIs.

RHP Kevin Gausman makes his 18th start for the Giants. Gausman is 8-3 with a 1.74 ERA (108 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.80 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-3, with 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K Monday vs. the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Gausman was the losing pitcher in Fedde’s victory over the Giants back on June 12 with a stat line of 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 144 at-bats with a .292/.333/.479 slash line, 30/9 K/BB, 6 HR and 22 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Giants -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 5, Nationals 1

Money line (ML)

BET the GIANTS (-210) for 1 unit because Gausman has been the second-best National League pitcher through the first half of the season and the Nationals are limping into the All-Star break as losers in eight of their last 10 games.

One of the two earned runs allowed by Gausman against the Giants earlier this season was a solo home run from Nationals OF Kyle Schwarber who had a red-hot June but is currently on the IL.

Furthermore, I like betting on heavy favorites with low totals because if the House is anticipating a lower-scoring affair then there’s a solid chance that the better side scores more of the few runs projected.

Remember, regular-season MLB betting is a grind so don’t go outside of your comfort zone with this bet. If your standard unit is $100 then risk that on the GIANTS (-210) to hopefully scoop a $48 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (-105) because although I’d prefer to play it safe and lay -210 with San Francisco’s money line there’s certainly a case to be made for the run line.

The Giants have the second-highest cover rate at home this season with a 25-17 ATS record while the Nationals are just 19-23 ATS on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 8 (-105) since the presumed “sharp” money is on the Under whereas the “public” is backing the Over. Washington is 3-8-1 O/U in Fedde starts this season and the Under cashed in nine straight Giants-Nationals meetings prior to Saturday’s Over.

However, I have a hunch the Giants bats could rake Fedde in this matchup and I much prefer the San Francisco sides more than the total in this one.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (55-32) host the Washington Nationals (42-45) Saturday for the second game of their three-game set at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco won the first game of the series Friday, 5-3, with C Curt Casali filling in nicely for C Buster Posey by hitting 3-for-4 with a home run, a double and 2 RBIs.

Season series: Giants lead 3-2.

LHP Jon Lester is Washington’s projected starter. Lester is 2-3 with a 5.34 ERA (60 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 across 13 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 4 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 7-5 victory at the San Diego Padres Monday.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 161 at-bats with a .242/.313/.447 slash line, 42/14 K/BB, 8 HR and 19 RBIs.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani makes his 18th start for the Giants. DeSclafani is 9-3 with a 2.84 ERA (101 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-2, with 8 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 7 K Sunday at the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 159 at-bats with a .239/.288/.377 slash line, 39/9 K/BB, 5 HR and 14 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Giants -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 6, Nationals 2

Money line (ML)

When you look under the hood of DeSclafani’s home numbers you’ll see that he’s pitched much better than his basic numbers indicate and he’s due for a solid home outing.

For instance, DeSclafani has a 4.24 ERA at home and a 2.14 ERA on the road this season, but DeSclafani’s xFIP, K-BB% and home run per nine innings rate are all better in San Francisco.

However, DeSclafani’s .289 home BAbip (.212 BAbip on the road) and 62.1% left-on-base percentage at home (91.1% LOB% on the road) show he’s just been unlucky in San Francisco.

The opposite is true with Lester’s home/road splits as his pitching peripherals in away games are far worse than at home. In fact, Lester has an 8.53 FIP on the road and a minus-1 K-BB%.

What I’m getting at is the GIANTS (-200) is a fair price that I’d put 1 unit on. As in, if your standard unit is $100 then I’d wager that on the GIANTS (-200) to hopefully earn a $50 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (-105) for a half unit because we are paying a steep enough price for San Francisco’s money line.

That being said, the Giants have a winning ATS record at home, and as a home favorite, while the Nationals have a sub-.500 ATS record as road underdogs.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS even though Lester’s road splits are awful and Washington’s bullpen is nothing to brag about because San Francisco’s IL is far too lengthy for me to have a lot of confidence in the offense.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-44) visit the San Francisco Giants (54-32) Friday to start a three-game set at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Paolo Espino is on the rubber for the Nationals. Espino is 2-2 with a 2.48 ERA (40 IP, 11 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 across four starts and 15 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 5-3 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday.
  • 2021 road splits: 0-0 with a 3.65 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 5.0 K/BB rate across 10 bullpen outings.

RHP Logan Webb is San Francisco’s starter. Webb is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA (49 IP, 21 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 over nine starts and one bullpen outing.

  • Last outing: Win, 11-6, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 7 K at the Los Angeles Dodgers May 29. Webb is making his first start since coming off the IL with a right shoulder strain.
  • 2021 home splits: 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA (19 IP, 4 ER), 1.11 WHIP and 3.6 K/BB rate over three starts and one relief appearance.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Giants -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-155) | Giants -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 8, Nationals 5

Money line (ML)

GIMME the GIANTS (-150) for 1 unit because Webb has way better stuff than Espino and the Nationals’ 9-8 loss in their series finale against the San Diego Padres Thursday was so terrible it could carry into Friday.

Washington was up 8-0 against San Diego All-Star Yu Darvish heading into the bottom of the 4th inning, with All-Star Max Scherzer on the bump, before Scherzer gave up 7 earned runs and the Padres ended finishing the job on the Nationals’ bullpen. I’d argue that kind of loss has a carry-over effect.

Furthermore, Webb’s pitching peripherals are far better than Espino’s. Webb grades in the 74th percentile or better in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected wOBA, chase rate and expected slugging percentage.

On the other side, Espino grades in the 25th percentile or worse in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected slugging percentage, whiff rate and barrel rate.

Also, Washington’s lineup should easier for Webb to navigate since Nationals slugger Kyle Schwarber is currently on the IL and Schwarber was one of the hottest batters in the majors before suffering a “significant hamstring strain” last weekend.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (+125) a quarter unit because San Francisco has the second-highest cover rate at home (23-17 ATS) and Washington’s bullpen is mediocre to below-average.

Moreover, the Nationals’ relievers are a bit overworked since Scherzer didn’t make it out of the 4th inning Thursday and Espino isn’t an “innings eater” as he averages just two innings pitched per outing.

I expect the Giants to extend whatever lead they get against Espino on Washington’s bullpen and five of San Francisco’s seven wins during Webb outings have been by at least two runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a quarter unit – if at all – since the market is backing the Over more so than the Under.

However, I much prefer the San Francisco sides, especially the Giants money line, then the total in this game.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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