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2023 GEICO 500 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2023 GEICO 500 in Talladega, Ala., with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Talladega Superspeedway Sunday for the 2023 GEICO 500. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3 p.m. ET (FOX) from Talladega, Ala. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 GEICO 500 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

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GEICO 500: What you need to know

Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott posted the win at Talladega last fall, turning in an average speed of 153.569 mph, best among all drivers since April 2019, his 1st win at ‘Dega
Elliott has 2 wins with 5 top-5 finishes in 14 career Cup starts at Talladega with a 14.2 Average-Finish Position (AFP), best among all drivers with at least 3 Cup starts at the track
TrackHouse Racing driver Ross Chastain won the spring race with an average speed of 148.637 mph
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin is on the pole after posting a 180.751 mph best speed in qualifying Saturday
Brad Keselowski has 6 checkered flags at Talladega with 13 top-10 runs in 28 Cup starts with a 15.7 AFP and 4 DNFs
Team Penske driver Joey Logano is 2nd among all active drivers with 3 wins at Talladega, posting a 17.9 AFP with 9 DNFs in 28 career Cup starts
Last week’s winner at Martinsville, Kyle Larson, has struggled at Talladega. He has just 1 top-5 run, and 3 top-10 finishes, in 16 Cup starts with a dismal 22.8 AFP

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GEICO 500 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:29 a.m. ET.

Team Penske driver RYAN BLANEY (+1000) has a pair of Talladega victories to his name, and he has finished in the Top 5 on 4 different occasions, while leading 228 laps. Blaney also has a respectable 16.0 AFP, with just 4 DNFs in his 17 career Cup starts.

He is a strong value, and he is in desperate need of a victory at a track he has had success. Blaney was a runner-up at Phoenix, but he has been 21st or worse in 4 of his last 8 Cup starts. The time is now for a good finish, and a start at Talladega could be the elixir to cure his ills.

GEICO 500 – Long shot

Front Row Motorsports TODD GILLILAND (+6600) is worth playing lightly, as he has really been running well in recent weeks.

The driver of the No. 36 Ford machine turned in an 8th-place run on the dirt at Bristol 2 weeks ago. He was running well at Martinsville last week, too, posting 4 bonus points after starting a season-best 13th. However, he tumbled down the leaderboard late after running as high as 2nd before dropping a cylinder.

Gilliland’s 25th-place finish at Martinsville due to the mechanical issues snapped a 4-race streak finishing 15th or higher.

GEICO 500 prop picks

AUSTIN CINDRIC OVER AUSTIN HILL (-115)

– Odds from Caesars sportsbook.

Team Penske’s Cindric has finished 9th and 21st in his pair of Talladega Cup starts, good for at 15.0 AFP. It isn’t a huge sample size, but remember, Cindric also has a Daytona 500 win under his belt, and he is more proven on the superspeedway. The 29-year-old Hill was on the pole at the Xfinity race Saturday, but running in Cup is a much different animal.

KYLE BUSCH OVER KYLE LARSON (-110)

– Odds from Caesars sportsbook.

In a little Kyle-on-Kyle action, Rowdy is the play in this head-to-head matchup.

Busch has had mixed results over the years at Talladega, but he does have a win and 9 top-10 finishes in his 35 career Cup starts at the superspeedway. Of course, he also has 7 DNFs, too, as he has been collected in “The Big One” quite frequently.

Larson has really struggled in his 16 Cup starts at the track, however, finishing in the Top 10 just 3 times with 5 DNFs and a terrible 22.8 AFP.

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2023 Noco 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2023 Food City Dirt Race in Bristol, Virginia, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Martinsville Speedway Sunday for the 2023 Noco 400. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3 p.m. ET (FOX Sports 1) from Martinsville, Va. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 Noco 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

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Noco 400: What you need to know

Stewart-Haas Racing’s Ryan Preece posted a best speed of 94.780 mph to earn his 1st-career NASCAR Cup Series poll.
TrackHouse Racing’s Daniel Suarez was right on the heels of Preece, posting a qualifying speed of 94.298 mph, and he goes off on the outside of Row 1.
Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron won the race last spring at Martinsville, while Joe Gibbs Racing’s Christopher Bell won the fall race.
Team Penske’s Ryan Blaney has never won at Martinsville, but he leads all active drivers with a 9.7 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 14 career Cup starts. Unfortunately, he goes off from 31st Sunday.
JGR’s Denny Hamlin leads all active drivers with 5 career Cup wins at Martinsville, while posting a 10.5 AFP with 2,190 laps led.
SHR’s Aric Almirola and Chase Briscoe will start on Row 2 behind their teammate Preece.
TrackHouse’s Ross Chastain had an awful time in qualifying, and he will go off 34th after a best speed of just 91.838 mph.
Hendrick’s Chase Elliott (leg) returns after a 6-week absence due to a fractured leg and will makes his 1st start since the race at Auto Club Speedway on Feb. 26.

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Noco 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:18 a.m. ET.

The Virginia native DENNY HAMLIN (+900) is a solid bet. He leads all active drivers with 5 Cup wins at the short track, and he has led 2,190 laps while posting a 10.5 AFP. Half of his Cup starts have resulted in finished of 5th or better, too, while 23 of his 34 Cup starts have been top-10 runs, which is roughly two-thirds (67.6%) of his all-time starts at the track.

Noco 400 – Long shot

I picked DANIEL SUAREZ (+1800) last week on the dirt at Bristol, and it didn’t come into fruition. The TrackHouse Racing driver is worth a roll of the dice again this week, however. He was solid in qualifying, and goes off 2nd in Sunday’s starting grid.

Suarez has long odds for good reason, despite his favorable starting spot. In 12 career Cup starts, he has finished 10th or better just twice, and he has never led a lap, while posting a dismal 22.5 AFP. Too bad you couldn’t hit this earlier in the week, as Suarez opened up at +5500.

Noco 400 prop picks

RYAN PREECE – TOP-5 FINISH (+180)

– Odds from Caesars sportsbook.

Preece starts on the pole, and Stewart-Haas Racing has 3 drivers in the 1st 2 rows this weekend, so this team has the right setup for “The Paperclip.”

Preece has always struggled at this track, posting just 3 top-20 finishes in 7 career Cup starts, while posting an awful 27.7 AFP with 2 DNFs. But this is his best machinery yet, and like Suarez above, Preece is worth a roll of the dice based on his ultra-favorable starting position and tremendous qualifying effort. Just proceed with caution.

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2023 Food City Dirt Race odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2023 Food City Dirt Race in Bristol, Virginia, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Bristol Motor Speedway Sunday for the 2023 Food City Dirt Race. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 7 p.m. ET (FOX) from Bristol, Tenn. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 Food City Dirt Race odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

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Food City Dirt Race: What you need to know

Richard Childress Racing’s Kyle Busch is the defending winner on the Bristol dirt track last April, posting an average speed of 34.973 mph in a race which featured 14 caution flags on 82 laps
Team Penske’s Joey Logano posted the 1st win on the Bristol dirt on March 29, 2021, posting an average speed of 46.313 mph
Logano has finished 1st and 3rd in his 2 starts on the dirt at Bristol, leading 61 laps after averaging a 10.0 Average-Start Position
23XI Racing driver Tyler Reddick has never won at the dirt track at BMS, but he has finished 2nd and 7th in his pair of Cup starts
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. has finished 19th and 21st in his 2 starts despite leading 126 laps in the 2 dirt races at Bristol, most among any active driver
TrackHouse Racing driver Daniel Suarez has finished 4th and 12th in his 2 Cup starts on the dirt, leading 122 laps, 2nd-best to MTJ
Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott (leg) remains sidelined, so Josh Berry will once again be behind the wheel of the No. 9 Chevrolet

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Food City Dirt Race – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 a.m. ET.

TYLER REDDICK (+450) is the No. 2 chalk (behind Kyle Larson +400) this weekend, and for good reason. He has finished 2nd and 7th in his pair of Cup starts on the Bristol dirt, while leading a total of 99 laps. He has done that while averaging a starting spot of 15.0, too, moving up to an Average-Finish Position (AFP) of 4.5.

There’s much to like about the driver of the No. 45 Toyota, who is already in the playoffs thanks to his win at COTA.

Food City Dirt Race – Long shot

Looking a little further down the list, DANIEL SUAREZ (+4000) has finished well in his 2 starts on the BMS dirt, leading the 122 laps, while posting finishes of 4th and 12th. There’s just something that he really likes about racing on the dirt surface, moving up from an Average-Start Position of 19.5 to an AFP of 8.0. He’ll be on the move this weekend, and is a dark horse to snatch checkers Sunday night.

Food City Dirt Race prop picks

JOEY LOGANO – TOP 5 FINISH (+150)

It’s hard to believe that you can find plus-money odds for Logano to finish in the Top 5. He has finished 1st and 3rd in his 2 Bristol dirt Cup starts, moving up from an Average-Start Position of 10.0 to post a 2.0 AFP with 61 laps led. He is also best among all drivers with an Average Rating of 122.4. There is an outside chance he waves checkers again, and no one would be surprised.

KYLE BUSCH – TOP 5 FINISH (+180)

Another stunning number is seeing Busch’s Top 5 number, as you have a chance to nearly double up. Bristol is one of Busch’s best tracks overall, and he won on the dirt surface last time out, too.

He was just 17th in the 1st installment of this race in 2021, but it was a muddy mess. Busch acclimated nicely last season, and picked up the victory in the Coliseum. He is dangerous to win anytime he steps onto the track at Bristol, dirt, asphalt or otherwise.

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2023 Toyota Owners 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2023 Toyota Owners 400 in Richmond, Virginia, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Richmond Raceway Sunday for the 2023 Toyota Owners 400. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3:30 p.m. ET (FS1) from Richmond, Va. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 Toyota Owners 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

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Toyota Owners 400: What you need to know

Hendrick Motorsports driver Alex Bowman is on the pole after qualifying was washed out Saturday
Bowman has a win at Richmond in 13 Cup starts, but also just 3 top-10 finishes with a dismal 19.6 Average-Finish Position (AFP)
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Christopher Bell leads all Cup drivers (min. 5 starts) with a 6.0 AFP in 5 starts at Richmond, including 4 top-10 finishes. Bell will go off 21st Sunday
Richard Childress Racing’s Kyle Busch has picked up 6 checkered flags in 34 career Cup starts at Richmond, posting a 7.0 AFPO with 1,529 laps lead. Rowdy starts on the outside of Row 1 Sunday
Virginia native Denny Hamlin has registered 4 career Cup victories while leading all active drivers with 2,135 laps led in Richmond. The No. 11 machine starts in the 11th spot
Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick is tied with Hamlin for 2nd among all active drivers with 4 career Cup wins at Richmond, while posting a solid 9.7 AFP. Happy goes off 10th on Sunday
Front Row Motorsports driver Michael McDowell has struggled in his Cup career at the short track in Richmond, posting a 31.5 AFP in 23 starts. Mack will start from the 15th position in the grid
TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain has had a hard time at Richmond, going for just 1 top-10 finish and a 23.3 AFP in 8 career Cup starts. The watermelon farmer begins his race in the 4th spot

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Toyota Owners 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:01 a.m. ET.

KYLE BUSCH (+700), who has already punched his ticket to the playoffs with a win at Auto Club, has really settled in nicely with his new RCR team, and any worries of a fall-off from his JGR days were greatly exaggerated.

He was a runner-up last weekend at COTA, and now he goes to one of his best tracks historically. Look for the No. 8 machine to be in the mix for checkers.

Toyota Owners 400 – Contender

CHRISTOPHER BELL (+1100) should give JGR a chance to win. He has never finished lower than 15th in his 5 career Cup starts at Richmond, while leading 73 laps. He hasn’t won at Richmond yet, but he has a runner-up finish while posting a 6.0 AFP. Only 4 of his 6 starts have been outside of the Top 10, too.

Toyota Owners 400 – Long shot

If you’re looking for a driver with some longer odds, BRAD KESELOWSKI (+4000) certainly fits the bill. The RFK Racing driver had a disastrous 2022 debut with his new team, but he has shown signs of life this season. He was 7th at Auto Club, and he had a runner-up finish in Atlanta.

Sure, he tumbled to 35th at COTA last weekend, but he has always been a beast on the short track at Richmond. He has won twice in 26 Cup starts in Virginia’s capital city, while posting 6 top-5 finishes and 1,177 laps led.

Toyota Owners 400 prop picks

DENNY HAMLIN OVER MARTIN TRUEX JR. (-120)

This is like taking candy from a baby. Load up. I love these matchup plays on BetMGM Sportsbook, and you will, too, after playing this prop.

Hamlin has managed an 8.4 AFP in 32 career Cup starts with 4 checkered flags at his home track. The Chesterfield, Va., native always brings it at Richmond. Yes, MTJ has 3 wins in his career, but he also has 4 DNFs, and a mediocre 15.7 AFP in 33 career starts at the 3/4-mile short track.

ALEX BOWMAN OVER DANIEL SUAREZ (-165)

This was going to be an attractive play originally, but it is especially so after qualifying was washed out and Bowman is going off from the pole position.

Bowman has had some uneven results at the track, but he has been bringing it all season in 2023. He was 3rd at COTA last weekend, and he has finished 9th or better in 5 of his 6 Cup starts this season.

Suarez, on the other hand, has a better AFP at Richmond at 15.5 AFP in 11 Cup starts, but he has been 22nd or worse in his past 3 starts, including a 27th-place showing last week at COTA.

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2023 Echo Park Automotive Grand Prix odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2023 Echo Park Automotive Grand Prix in Austin, Texas, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Circuit of the Americas on Sunday for the 2023 Echo Park Automotive Grand Prix. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX) from Austin, Texas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 Echo Park Automotive Grand Prix odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

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Echo Park Automotive Grand Prix: What you need to know

Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott won the inaugural race at COTA in May 2021, but remains sidelined. Jordan Taylor will take his place
Taylor was 10th in Saturday’s practice session, turning a best speed of 92.404 mph, and he qualified 4th with a speed of 93.174 mph. He’ll start on the outside of Row 2 on Sunday
TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain picked up checkers in last season’s race, and he was 4th in the 2021 run, so he has managed a 2.5 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 2 Cup starts at COTA
Hendrick’s Alex Bowman hasn’t won in 2 Cup starts in Austin, but he has a 2nd-place run, and an 8th-place showing, while leading 3 laps
Hendrick’s William Byron is on the pole after a best speed of 93.882 mph, with 23XI Racing’s Tyler Reddick on the outside of Row 1. Reddick also topped Saturday’s practice session at 92.989 mph
Team Penske’s Austin Cindric is the top Ford in the starting grid, qualifying in the 3rd position
Michael McDowell has run well in his 2 Cup starts at COTA, finishing 7th and 13th, for an AFP of 10.0. He has led 3 laps total
23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace has been awful in his 2 COTA experiences, posting 2 DNFs with an AFP of 38.5
Daytona 500 winner Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has also struggled at Circuit of the Americas, posting a 22nd-place finish, and a 37th-place DNF, good for just a 29.5 AFP with 0 laps led

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Echo Park Automotive Grand Prix – Expert pick

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:36 p.m. ET.

The chalk is TYLER REDDICK (+350), and he certainly looked good in both practice and qualifying. For a chance to multiply your initial wager by 3 1/2 times, he is still worth a look.

The better value might be ROSS CHASTAIN (+1000), however. He won this race last season, and he showed plenty of speed at 92.520 mph in Saturday’s practice run. He fell off a little in qualifying, and will go off 12th, but he should be able to matriculate his way up through the field rather nicely.

Echo Park Automotive Grand Prix – Long shot

Chase Elliott’s road course fill-in, JORDAN TAYLOR (+2000), is worth a look in the No. 9 machine.

Taylor looked very comfortable behind the wheel of the Hendrick ride, turning in a speed of 92.404 mph in Saturday’s morning practice session, which was 10th fastest. He then bested that in qualifying, hitting 93.174 mph, so he’ll go off 4th in Sunday’s starting grid. He looked comfortable on the COTA track, and he has a tremendous ride, so he is worth a small-unit play.

Echo Park Automotive Grand Prix prop pick

JORDAN TAYLOR TOP-10 FINISH (+175)

Again, Taylor is in the No. 9 this week for Elliott and that car has had a great road-course setup. Of course, it also helps that Elliott, when healthy, is one of the best road course drivers on the circuit. Still, at least in practice and qualifying, Taylor flashed some amazing speed and skill, and doesn’t look like just your ordinary fill-in. He was fast, and among the best in both sessions. He is worth taking a chance on at plus-money for a top-10 run.

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2023 Ambetter Health 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2023 Ambetter Health 400 in Atlanta with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Atlanta Motor Speedway on Sunday for the 2023 Ambetter Health 400. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3 p.m. ET (FOX) from Hampton, Ga. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 Ambetter Health 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

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Ambetter Health 400: What you need to know

Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott won the most recent stop at Atlanta in July 2022, but he is sidelined due to a broken tibia. Josh Berry will once again fill in during Elliott’s absence
HMS driver William Byron, who enters on a 2-race win streak, picked up checkers in last spring’s race at Atlanta. Byron starts Sunday’s race in the 11th spot
Penske Racing driver Joey Logano is on the pole after posting a best speed of 177.374 mph in Saturday’s qualifying
Penske Racing’s Ryan Blaney leads all active drivers with a 12.1 Average-Finish Position (AFP) with 4 top-5 finishes, and 85 laps led in 9 career Cup starts. Blaney will go off 3rd Sunday
Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick leads all active drivers in the field with 3 Cup wins at Atlanta, posting 15.5 AFP while managing 9 top-5 finishes, 16 top-10 runs and 1,359 laps led. Harvick starts 6th in Sunday’s grid
Austin Dillon has had difficulty in his career in Atlanta, posting just a single top-10 run with no laps led and a 21.6 AFP in 12 career Cup starts. Dillon will start in the 13th position
23XI’s Bubba Wallace has also struggled in suburban Atlanta, going without a top-10 finish in 7 career Cup starts, while posting a 19.6 AFP. Wallace qualified poorly, starting 19th

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Ambetter Health 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:25 p.m. ET.

It’s hard to bet against Byron (+900), as he is brimming with confidence after 2 consecutive wins. He is the defending spring winner at Atlanta, too. However, RYAN BLANEY (+1000) is a slightly better value. Ford qualified 1 through 8 in Saturday’s session, and Penske Racing is a good bet to be there when the dust settles at the venerable Georgia track.

Ambetter Health 400 – Long shot

It’s rather surprising to see Joe Gibbs Racing driver MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+3000) with such long odds compared to the rest of the field, but take advantage.

Although MTJ has no victories in 26 career Cup starts at AMS, he hasn’t been bad, either. He has posted 6 top-5 finishes and 10 top-10 runs with 383 laps led with 4 DNFs.

Across his last 5 starts in Atlanta, MTJ has managed a 6.8 AFP with 2 top-5 finishes and all but one top-10 finish. His AFP is 2nd during the 5-race Cup span only to Blaney (6.4).

Ambetter Health 400 prop pick

MARTIN TRUEX JR. TOP-10 FINISH (+110)

As mentioned above, Truex has had some solid numbers over the years at Atlanta, so it’s uncertain why he faces such long odds.

He is plus-money (+110) to finish inside the Top 10, which is where he has been in 4 of his last 5 starts at the track, while totaling 13 top-10 runs in his 26 career Cup starts.

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2023 United Rentals Work United 500 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s United Rentals Work United 500 at Phoenix Raceway with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Phoenix Raceway on Sunday for the 2023 United Rentals Work United 500. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below we analyze at Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 United Rentals Work United 500 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

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2023 United Rentals Work United 500: What you need to know

Penske Racing’s Joey Logano won the NASCAR Cup Series title, taking checkers at Phoenix Raceway on Nov. 6 to close out the 2022 season.
Logano has 3 Cup wins at Phoenix, while leading 908 laps in his 28 career starts with a 12.7 Average-Finish Position (AFP).
Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick has managed 9 career Cup wins at Phoenix in 40 starts, posting an 8.7 AFP with 1,663 laps led.
Kyle Busch (3) and Denny Hamlin (2) are the only active drivers with multiple Cup wins at Phoenix besides Logano and Harvick.
Penske’s Ryan Blaney has the best AFP (12.6) among active Cup drivers who have never won at Phoenix. He does have 5 top-5 finishes, and 9 top-10 runs with 429 laps led in 14 Cup starts.
Hendrick’s Alex Bowman has had a difficult time on the flat track in Arizona, posting a rough 23.8 AFP in 15 career Cup starts with just a single top-10 finish and 3 DNFs.
Michael McDowell has been terrible in his career at Phoenix, posting a dismal 30.6 AFP in 24 career starts with 7 DNFs.
Josh Berry will fill in again at Phoenix for the injured Chase Elliott (tibia). He was 29th at Las Vegas last week behind the wheel of the No. 9 Hendrick Chevrolet.

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2023United Rentals Work United 500 – Expert pick(s)

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:50 p.m. ET.

Hendrick’s KYLE LARSON (+400) is the chalk, and he is hungry to get back to Victory Lane. He was lurking at LVMS last week, running hard, but he just came up short in the runner-up position while leading a season-high 63 laps.

Larson has a win and 6 top-5 finishes with 181 laps led at Phoenix in his 17 career Cup starts while posting a 12.2 AFP.

If you don’t want to bet the favorite, SHR’s KEVIN HARVICK (+1000) is the next best bet. He finished 5th at California, and 9th at Las Vegas, and now he heads to arguably the best track in his Cup career.

Happy has dominated at this track, posting the 9 wins, 19 top-5 runs and 29 top-10 finishes with 1,663 laps led. His 8.7 AFP is best among all drivers, with Hamlin the next closes at 10.5.

2023 United Rentals Work United 500 prop pick

TOP-10 FINISH: BRAD KESELOWSKI (+250)

Keselowski had a brutal 2022 season in his first campaign with RFK Racing. The driver of the No. 6 machine has shown some signs of life during the early going of 2023, posting a 7th-place finish at Auto Club. He was running well last week at Las Vegas, but he brought it home 17th after a promising day.

Keselowski has led 49 laps in the first 3 races this season, and he is primed and ready to make noise at Phoenix. A top-10 finish will help earn multiply your initial wager by more than 2 times, and it is certainly worth a roll of the dice.

For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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2023 Pennzoil 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2023 Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Las Vegas Motor Speedway (LVMS) on Sunday for the 2023 Pennzoil 400. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below we analyze at Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 Pennzoil 400 odds, and make our NASCAR picks and predictions.

2023 Pennzoil 400: What you need to know

Penske Racing’s Joey Logano claimed the Busch Light Pole Award at LVMS with a lap time of 29.024 seconds and a best speed of 186.053 in qualifying on Saturday.
Logano won last October’s run at LVMS, his 3rd win at the track in the last 8 Cup starts. He leads all active drivers with an 8.5 Average-Finish Position (AFP) with 7 top-5 runs, and 12 top-10 finishes in 19 career Cup races.
Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron was just on his heels with a 29.165-second time, joining Logano on the front row to start Sunday’s race. Byron has never won in Vegas, and he has just a single top-5 run and a 17.8 AFP in 10 Cup starts.
Las Vegas native Kyle Busch, who won at Auto Club Speedway last weekend, has a win, 11 top-5 runs and 311 laps led with a 10.8 AFP in 23 career Cup starts at his home track.
23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace has a lone top-10 finish in 10 career Cup starts, posting a dismal 24.7 AFP with 2 DNFs.
Stewart-Haas Racing’s Ryan Preece has struggled mightily at Vegas, posting a 25.2 AFP in 6 career Cup starts, with a highest finish of 15th and 1 DNF.
Logano (3x), Brad Keselowski (3x), Kevin Harvick (2x) and Martin Truex Jr. (2x) are the only multiple winners at Vegas in the active field.
Hendrick’s Chase Elliott suffered a fractured tibia in a snowboarding accident in Colorado, and he is sidelined indefinitely after surgery. Josh Berry will step behind the wheel of the No. 9 Chevrolet for HMS.

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2023 Pennzoil 400 – Expert pick(s)

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:17 p.m. ET.

It’s hard not to like JOEY LOGANO (+550) based on his past history at the track. Yes, it’s a little hacky to bet the chalk, but the driver of the No. 22 Ford machine has won 3 times in the last 8 Cup starts at Las Vegas, and Team Penske just seems to perform above and beyond expectations on a routine basis at Vegas, which has been a desert oasis for the group.

If you don’t like Logano, the next best bet might be JGR’s DENNY HAMLIN (+1500), who is a much bigger value. Of course, he also comes with a little more risk. The No. 11 has been to Victory Lane once in 22 career Cup starts here, while leading 359 laps. He also has 2 DNFs with 11 top-10 finishes with 12.9 AFP.

2023 Pennzoil 400 prop pick

TOP-10 FINISH: KEVIN HARVICK (+125)

Happy didn’t pan out in California last weekend, but Harvick was still in the mix for most of the afternoon.

He is one of a handful of multi-winners at LVMS, and he heads into the race with a 13.7 AFP in 27 career Cup starts while leading the pack in 679 laps, tops among all drivers in the field. He has had 13 top-10 finishes, too. A win isn’t a likely outcome for the No. 4, but a top-10 finish should certainly be within his sights.

AND KEEP AN EYE ON JOSH BERRY

Berry steps behind the wheel of the No. 9 Chevrolet vacated by Elliott due to injury. It’s a giant spot for the young driver, and it remains to be seen if he can handle the pressures of stepping into the big time. Still, it’s worth a roll of the dice seeing that he will be in top-notch equipment, giving him a tremendous chance to be on a level playing field with the big boys. You can’t go to Vegas and not take a flier on a long-shot bet, right?

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2023 Pala Casino 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2023 Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Auto Club Speedway (ACS) in Fontana, Calif., Sunday for the 2023 Pala Casino 400. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below we analyze at Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 Pala Casino 400 odds, and make our NASCAR picks and predictions.

2023 Pala Casino 400: What you need to know

Rain washed away qualifying Saturday, so the starting grid is set by performance metrics based on last week’s Daytona 500. The formula uses the fastest lap time position (15%), driver’s final race position (25%), owner’s final race position (25%) and owner’s team points position (35%).
Based on the formula above, it was determined Joe Gibbs Racing’s Christopher Bell will be in the top starting spot for Sunday’s race.
Bell has the worst career Average-Finish Position (AFP) at Auto Club Speedway of any driver in the field, at 37.0 AFP. He has finished 36th and 38th in 2 starts there in the Cup series.
Sunday’s weather forecast calls for mostly cloudy and dry conditions, with temperatures in the low 40’s, uncharacteristic for Southern California, that’s for sure.
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson is the defending champ at ACS, posting a win in a caution-filled race which featured a California-record 59 yellow-flag laps last February.
Las Vegas native Kyle Busch leads all active drivers with a 9.8 AFP in 23 career starts in Fontana, including 4 victories.
Outside of Busch, the rest of the field has accounted for 6 total wins at the track, spread across 5 drivers, with Larson taking 2 checkered flags. Alex Bowman, Kevin Harvick and Brad Keselowski are the other drivers in the field with a ACS win.
Michael McDowell has a dismal 34.3 AFP in 12 career Cup starts at the track, including 7 DNFs.
TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain has also had his issues at ACS, posting a 25.8 AFP in 4 career Cup starts with 0 laps led.

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2023 Pala Casino 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:21 p.m. ET.

Last week at Daytona when long-shot Ricky Stenhouse Jr. took home the prize, the potential winner pool was quite expansive, and it was difficult to pinpoint a winner.

This race will be the first intermediate run of the season and the potential winner’s pool won’t be as great. We should have a return to the big-money teams bringing home the prize.

Hendrick’s KYLE LARSON (+650) won on this track last season, and he is the only other multi-winner at ACS in the current field outside of Kyle Busch. I don’t like the latter, especially as his transitions to a new team, crew chief, etc.

However, California native Larson is a solid value. In 8 career Cup starts at Fontana, he has won twice, posted 4 top-5 finishes, with 138 laps led.

If you want to go with a little more of a long shot, JGR’s MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+1200) ran well last week at Daytona until getting collected in a late wreck, ending up 15th. He has a win under his belt in California, and he has had 7 top-10 results in 21 Cup starts at the track. He is hungry for a win, as he looks to qualify for the playoffs after missing out in 2022.

2023 Pala Casino 400 prop pick

TOP-10 FINISH: MARTIN TRUEX JR. (-125)

MTJ is still a value at this price, although you will have to pay a little juice. Still, he has 21 career Cup starts here with 236 laps led, and he has finished inside the Top 10 on 7 different occasions. He ran well last week, and was in position for a top-10 finish before wreck which was not under his control.

TOP-10 FINISH: KEVIN HARVICK (-105)

The sun is setting on Happy Harvick’s career, but he isn’t expected to ride off quietly into retirement. He made plenty of noise last week in Daytona, and he has always run well at this track.

While Harvick has just 1 checkered flag in 28 career starts at ACS, he has 7 top-5 finishes, 14 top-10 runs and 238 laps led. Again, that’s 50% of his Cup starts resulting in top-10 finishes. At near even-money, this is a solid prop play.

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2023 Busch Light Clash odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2023 Busch Light Clash at the Los Angeles Coliseum with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at the Los Angeles Coliseum Sunday for the 2023 Busch Light Clash. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Below we analyze at Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 Busch Light Clash odds, and make our NASCAR picks and predictions.

2023 Busch Light Clash: What you need to know

Penske Racing’s Joey Logano won the inaugural Clash race at Los Angeles Coliseum last February, and he won the Clash in Daytona in the previous season.
Last season, A.J. Allmendinger started 21st for Kaulig Racing, but he worked his way up through the field to finish an impressive 9th. Allmendinger is the full-time driver of the No. 16 Chevrolet after running a part-time schedule in recent seasons.
Kyle Busch makes his debut at the Richard Childress Racing (RCR) team after moving over from Joe Gibbs Racing. He’ll be driving the No. 8 Chevy.
Tyler Reddick steps behind the Toyota of the No. 45 machine for 23XI racing, taking over for veteran Kurt Busch.
Ryan Preece gets a major bump, stepping into the No. 41 car for Stewart-Haas Racing, replacing the demoted Cole Custer.
Alex Bowman of Hendrick Motorsports has a new crew chief, as Blake Harris takes over atop his pit box.
Noah Gragson, the Trucks Series star, steps behind the wheel of the No. 42 machine for Legacy Motor Club, formerly Petty GMS.
This season the Clash field expands from 23 cars to 27 cars for this special Southern California event.

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2023 Busch Light Clash – Expert pick

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:44 p.m. ET.

CHASE ELLIOTT (+1200) opened as 1 of the co-favorites to win this race, and the fan favorite will get his 2023 season off on a great foot. Kyle Busch and Christopher Bell are the current co-favorites (+750).

2023 Busch Light Clash prop pick

WINNING MANUFACTURER: CHEVROLET (+115)

Elliott and teammate Kyle Larson are among the faves and both in Chevrolet’s for Hendrick Motorsports, and Kyle Busch is also back in a Chevy after years behind the wheel of a Toyota. Don’t forget about playoff contender Ross Chastain, who took TrackHouse Racing on a championship run, just falling short in the title race last November.

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