The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Phoenix Raceway on Sunday for the 2023 United Rentals Work United 500. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below we analyze at Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 United Rentals Work United 500 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.
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2023 United Rentals Work United 500: What you need to know
- Penske Racing’s Joey Logano won the NASCAR Cup Series title, taking checkers at Phoenix Raceway on Nov. 6 to close out the 2022 season.
- Logano has 3 Cup wins at Phoenix, while leading 908 laps in his 28 career starts with a 12.7 Average-Finish Position (AFP).
- Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick has managed 9 career Cup wins at Phoenix in 40 starts, posting an 8.7 AFP with 1,663 laps led.
- Kyle Busch (3) and Denny Hamlin (2) are the only active drivers with multiple Cup wins at Phoenix besides Logano and Harvick.
- Penske’s Ryan Blaney has the best AFP (12.6) among active Cup drivers who have never won at Phoenix. He does have 5 top-5 finishes, and 9 top-10 runs with 429 laps led in 14 Cup starts.
- Hendrick’s Alex Bowman has had a difficult time on the flat track in Arizona, posting a rough 23.8 AFP in 15 career Cup starts with just a single top-10 finish and 3 DNFs.
- Michael McDowell has been terrible in his career at Phoenix, posting a dismal 30.6 AFP in 24 career starts with 7 DNFs.
- Josh Berry will fill in again at Phoenix for the injured Chase Elliott (tibia). He was 29th at Las Vegas last week behind the wheel of the No. 9 Hendrick Chevrolet.
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2023United Rentals Work United 500 – Expert pick(s)
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:50 p.m. ET.
Hendrick’s KYLE LARSON (+400) is the chalk, and he is hungry to get back to Victory Lane. He was lurking at LVMS last week, running hard, but he just came up short in the runner-up position while leading a season-high 63 laps.
Larson has a win and 6 top-5 finishes with 181 laps led at Phoenix in his 17 career Cup starts while posting a 12.2 AFP.
If you don’t want to bet the favorite, SHR’s KEVIN HARVICK (+1000) is the next best bet. He finished 5th at California, and 9th at Las Vegas, and now he heads to arguably the best track in his Cup career.
Happy has dominated at this track, posting the 9 wins, 19 top-5 runs and 29 top-10 finishes with 1,663 laps led. His 8.7 AFP is best among all drivers, with Hamlin the next closes at 10.5.
2023 United Rentals Work United 500 prop pick
TOP-10 FINISH: BRAD KESELOWSKI (+250)
Keselowski had a brutal 2022 season in his first campaign with RFK Racing. The driver of the No. 6 machine has shown some signs of life during the early going of 2023, posting a 7th-place finish at Auto Club. He was running well last week at Las Vegas, but he brought it home 17th after a promising day.
Keselowski has led 49 laps in the first 3 races this season, and he is primed and ready to make noise at Phoenix. A top-10 finish will help earn multiply your initial wager by more than 2 times, and it is certainly worth a roll of the dice.
For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.
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