The Missouri Tigers (5-6, 2-5 SEC) and Arkansas Razorbacks (2-9, 0-7 SEC) play Friday at War Memorial Stadium in Little Rock, AR at 2:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Missouri-Arkansas odds and betting lines while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Missouri at Arkansas: Three things you need to know
1. Arkansas played about 15-20 minutes of sound, fundamental football last Saturday against LSU. Then the wheels fell off. A 7-6 game became a 56-20 rout as LSU coasted to a 36-point win. That was Arkansas’ eighth straight loss.
2. Missouri lost to Tennessee 24-20 last week to drop its fifth straight contest in a row. Plus, the Tigers’ bowl ban was upheld this week so they have little to play for but pride.
3. Arkansas may be down to QB Jack Lindsey as a starter. That would be their fifth-string quarterback who was given a scholarship just in August. Missouri hasthe banged-up Kelly Bryant under center.
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Missouri at Arkansas: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2:30 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Missouri 38, Arkansas 20
Moneyline (ML)
Missouri is laying -556 on the moneyline and Arkansas is +400 in this rivalry game.
Arkansas must run often to keep Missouri off the field. RB Rakeem Boyd has gained 1,038 yards and behind one of the worst offensive lines in the SEC. That being said, Missouri has too much firepower not to win with ease. Arkansas allows 6.9 yards per carry (125th in the FBS). The odds are just too chalky with a $10 bet garnering a profit of $1.80. PASS.
Against the Spread (ATS)
Arkansas is 3-8 against the spread overall and just 1-5 ATS at home, coming in just under 18 points per game below the line. Missouri is 0-4 ATS on the road and has an even worse -22.2 points off the projection line. However, Arkansas is likely down to its fifth-string quarterback Friday.
Back the TIGERS (-12.5, -115). Missouri QB Kelly Bryant has a chance to get well and end his senior season on a good note.
Over/Under (O/U)
The projected total is 54.5. This will be close but it is hard not to side with the OVER (-106). Arkansas has shown it can keep up with teams but cannot stop them once they string some plays together. Missouri should be able to do that enough to make this Over a reality.
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