The Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-1, 2-1 SEC) will take on the Kentucky Wildcats (4-2, 1-2) Saturday at Kroger Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mississippi State vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Bulldogs are on a 3-game winning streak entering Saturday’s contest after defeating SEC rivals Arkansas and Texas A&M by a combined score of 82-41 the last 2 weeks. QB Will Rogers has been fantastic, throwing for 2,110 yards and 22 TDs with only 3 INTs in 6 starts this season.
The Wildcats have lost 2 straight games to SEC foes in South Carolina and Ole Miss in the last 2 weeks. Kentucky is expecting QB Will Levis to return from injury on Saturday after he missed last week’s game with South Carolina, so the Wildcats should receive a boost to their passing game.
Mississippi State is No. 17 and Kentucky is No. 22 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Mississippi State at Kentucky odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 3:46 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mississippi State -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Kentucky +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mississippi State -3.5 (-112) | Kentucky +3.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Mississippi State at Kentucky picks and predictions
Prediction
Mississippi State 34, Kentucky 24
Moneyline
I believe Mississippi State comes away with the win on the road to improve to 6-1, but PASS on the moneyline in this game as the return you’ll receive at the current odds aren’t worth the risk.
Against the spread
The Bulldogs were closer to touchdown favorites earlier this week before it became apparent that Levis is expected to return for the Wildcats. With a hobbled Levis under center for Kentucky, give me MISSISSIPPI STATE -3.5 (-112) on the road.
The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record and the Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up loss. On top of that, the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, which helps Mississippi State’s cause.
Over/Under
OVER 48.5 (-115) is where I’m going in this game despite most of the trends pointing toward the Under being the ideal play. The Bulldogs have been rolling lately on offense and they could score most of the points themselves on Saturday.
The Over is 4-1 in Mississippi State’s last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record.
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