The Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-3, 3-2 SEC) and Arkansas Razorbacks (5-3, 1-3) meet for a Saturday 4 p.m. ET game at Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Ark. Below, we look at the Mississippi State vs. Arkansas odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Mississippi State defeated Kentucky, 31-17, last Saturday and is 3-1 over its last four games. The only loss in that stretch was against No. 2 Alabama. Against UK, Bulldogs QB Will Rogers set an SEC single-game record for completion percentage (36-of-39, 92.3%), and the MSU signal caller has completed 75.2% of his passes this season (third FBS).
Arkansas is coming off a bye week after an Oct. 23 win over FCS Arkansas-Pine Bluff. That victory snapped a three-game losing streak.
The Razorbacks won last year’s meeting with the Bulldogs, 21-14, in Starkville, Miss. But MSU has held sway in this series of late: the Bulldogs have won seven of the last nine meetings.
Mississippi State at Arkansas odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mississippi State +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Arkansas -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mississippi State +3.5 (-107) | Arkansas -3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Mississippi State at Arkansas odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Arkansas 27, Mississippi State 20
Money line
This game features the pass-first Bulldogs against the run-first Razorbacks. And both defenses are solid in stopping the other’s bread-and-butter. Arkansas is coming off a bye and has had ample to time to prepare for MSU’s air-raid offense.
Arkansas (-190) is a lean here but only a value play at -185 or better. PASS.
Against the spread
Arkansas has a solid offensive line, and the Razorbacks leverage running room into big plays at a healthy clip.
Mississippi State has been extra stingy in preventing touchdowns on red-zone trips. And that metric is not aligned with a not-so-successful record of allowing drives to reach the 40- and 30-yard lines. Peg MSU’s defensive numbers as being a bit suspect.
TAKE THE RAZORBACKS -3.5 (-115).
Over/Under
Arkansas does play at a fast pace usually, but in a successful effort in this spot at home, look for a total in the mid-40s to low-50s. TAKE THE UNDER 52.5 (-110).
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