Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction, Game Preview

Minnesota vs Purdue game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 5 game on Saturday, October 1

Minnesota vs Purdue prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 5, Saturday, October 1


Minnesota vs Purdue How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 1
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
How To Watch: ESPN2
Record: Minnesota (4-0), Purdue (2-2)
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Minnesota vs Purdue Game Preview

Why Purdue Will Win

Purdue is going to bring the run defense.

It got hammered a bit by Florida Atlantic in the 28-26 win, but overall the defense is getting the job done – at least until the final moments against Penn State and Syracuse.

Minnesota for good and for bad has yet to be tested. It hasn’t faced any semblance of adversity, and Purdue has been through three tight games – it’s used to dealing with pressure.

The Boilermaker offensive line is playing well, it’s great in pass protection, and last week there was a little bit of a running game to go along with the three touchdown passes.

However …

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Why Minnesota Will Win

How healthy is Aidan O’Connell?

The Purdue starting quarterback wasn’t able to go against Florida Atlantic, and he’s questionable at best for this – the team isn’t saying what the injury is. Austin Burton wasn’t bad against FAU, but the passing game didn’t work nearly as well.

On the other side, the Minnesota offense has been a machine. It ended the Michigan State game before it could get started with a great balance, an efficient passing day – Tanner Morgan hit 23-of-26 passes and three scores – and with everything working well.

It was the first good team the Gophers have faced, and they rolled with ease. They’re No. 1 in the nation in third down conversions. No. 1 in third down D, No. 1 in time of possession, No. 1 in total defense, and No. 3 in total offense …

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What’s Going To Happen

Minnesota is playing really, really well.

Purdue struggled too much against Florida Atlantic, but the passing game will click against the Gophers. Michigan State was able to throw relatively well against the Minnesota D, but it didn’t matter. There wasn’t any Spartan ground game, and Purdue won’t be able to run, either.

Minnesota will need a quarter to get rolling, and then the offensive balance will kick in. It won’t be the breeze the first four games were, but there’s no complaining about 5-0.

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Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction, Line

Minnesota 34, Purdue 17
Line: Minnesota -12.5, o/u: 53
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Minnesota vs Purdue Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5

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Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction, Game Preview

Minnesota vs Purdue prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 2

Minnesota vs Purdue prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 2


Minnesota vs Purdue How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 2
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
How To Watch: BTN
Record: Minnesota (2-2), Purdue (3-1)
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Minnesota vs Purdue Game Preview


Why Minnesota Will Win

Which Minnesota team will show up?

Is it the one that pounded away in a shockingly dominant 30-0 win at Colorado, or is it the one that couldn’t put an offensive drive together in the brutal 14-10 loss to Bowling Green?

Either way, the Gophers have figured out one key thing – their run defense is absolutely stellar.

It held the Buffs to -19 net rushing yards and Bowling Green only gained 22, all while the Gophers were able to run well enough on their own to at least mask a gigantic issue – we’ll get to that in a second.

Okay, okay, Purdue doesn’t run so a great run D isn’t the be all end all in this, but start with assuming Minnesota will allow about 50 rushing yards and …

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Why Purdue Will Win

Purdue will throw and throw some more.

The Boilermaker passing game isn’t a dominant force – stalled a little too easily in the 13-9 win over Illinois – but it’s doing a nice job of controlling the clock and the tempo of games. Minnesota all but lives on time of possession, and Purdue might be able to take that away.

Oh, and Minnesota really, really can’t get the passing game going.

Tanner Morgan is a veteran quarterback who was among the most efficient passers in America two years ago, and he completed 5-of-13 passes for 59 yards with two picks against Bowling Green.

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What’s Going To Happen

Purdue is known for its offense, but the defense is playing great.

The win over Oregon State is looking much, much better now after the Beavers rolled USC, the close battle against Notre Dame isn’t anything to be ashamed of, and overall the D has allowed just 57 points in four games.

There’s that, and there’s the anger factor after Purdue gagged/was robbed in last year’s game – a questionable pass interference call was the big hubbub in the 34-31 loss.

Be floored if this is any sort of a shootout.

Minnesota is just flaky enough to pull a brilliant game out of its Gopher hole and turn its season right back around, but the Purdue run defense is playing just well enough to hold on.

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Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction, Line

Purdue 23, Minnesota 20
Line: Purdue -2.5, o/u: 47.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5

Must See Rating: 3

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